SHOP
Shopify tightening range holding uptrend, preparing for breakoutSHOP.TO is tightening up on the daily as price forms an equilibrium. Decreasing bull volume on the daily tells me we're likely to set a lower high relative to 199.50 before coming back to test the uptrend that's held since Dec 2017, and set a higher low relative to 172.95. Volume within this pattern will be key clue about how the pattern will break
SHOP - The w[E]ed-[Commerce] solution from CANADA So you should know this buy now
www.cbc.ca
And if you are from Ontario and over 19 years old, I bet you also know what happens on October 17, 2018.
www.ontario.ca
Shopify Inc. (Nasdaq: SHOP) is a company that’s about to make billions from the end of marijuana prohibition without ever touching the leaf.
It’s the online retailer – not Amazon.com Inc. (Nasdaq: AMZN) – that just inked a contract to provide an e-commerce platform for a major Canadian cannabis retailer.
You see, when Canada goes fully legal later in summer 2018, pot companies will want to sell (and their customers will want to buy) their wares online. Makes sense.
And the great news for investors in Shopify? The Ontario Cannabis Retail Corp. (OCRC) – the government agency in charge of sales in the province – is relying on Shopify, and only Shopify, to make it happen.
That’s going to be a huge boon for cannabis investors. Ontario is home to 13.6 million people, with bustling Toronto and its financial sector at the heart of the province.
That’s the perfect place to begin cashing in on Canada’s legal weed market, which Deloitte says could hit $8.7 billion over the next few years.
But that’s really just the beginning for Shopify.
This tech-forward company develops the kind of sophisticated software that allows small retailers to plug into e-commerce platforms like Amazon and sell their stuff.
With Shopify’s platform, they can manage orders, collect sales dollars, and send out emails to buyers. Or, if they prefer to go it alone, Shopify can help small retailers build their own online storefront, handle multiple sales channels, and plug into social media for customer outreach.
That business model alone qualifies this as a solid choice for investors. Its sales grew an average 85% over the past three years, compared to 26% growth for Amazon during that stretch.
Now, OCRC has picked to exclusively use Shopify’s e-commerce platform for cannabis sales online. Shopify’s technology will also be used inside OCRC’s Ontario Cannabis Stores to process transactions and for digital kiosks displaying product information.
And Ontario is just the “first mover” here. Many of Canada’s other nine provinces are likely to follow the leader here in choosing the home-grown Shopify (which is based in Ottawa) as their e-commerce partner.
That could double Shopify’s total market opportunity there.
In fact, Quebec province-based grower Hydropothecary Corp. has already chosen Shopify to help it sell medical marijuana online.
Thanks to moves like the OCRC deal, Shopify’s total addressable market stands to exceed $50 billion…
As a side note, just imagine if they integrate cryptocurrencies
SHOP bearish engulfing on the daily with market weaknessSHOP bearish engulfing today, looking down at the highlighted supports.
Given the market weakness and the loss of RSI support, I would be looking to play a higher low compared to 132.63 for bull entries, especially anything other than a day trade. A patient bull will wait for hourly trend to change so there is a new support established.
SHOP will go up a buck tomorrow - 8/13Looking at the technicals, this stock will make at least a buck tomorrow, 8/13. If you look at the daily movement on the stock, you can easily see that the stock moving average is heading to its middle Bollinger band at $156.71. Now, the weekly movement is generally down so that may turn this stock down. But the weekly has found a floor in its weekly middle Bollinger band, and I predict it will start to make a rise out of that this week.
$SHOP Shopify Holding Trendline - Reversal Underway$SHOP Shopify appears to be holding the longer term trend line after bouncing off support around $151.00 yesterday. Both RSI and MFI are beginning to reverse from oversold territory. Expecting further price recovery in the near term - will monitor for a break of the 50d ema for confirmation.
Short term target - $162.50 (gapfill)
Medium term target - $175.00
Stop loss - $149.50
Note: Observation/opinion, not investment advice.
MELI IS IN HEAD AND SHOULDERSHeads up. MELI Online E-commerce superstar out of South America is potentially forming a head and shoulders formation on could be an opportunity for some great trading in the next 3-6months on this fast mover.
Discounted Cash Flow Model produces a valuation of $440 using historical growth and margins in forecasting method - around 32% revenue growth. This implies a 27.53% upside. If the model proves correct, the price will correct to its upper trendline at LT resistance.
Relative Pricing model to competitors (AMZN, EBAY, FB, SHOP, TCEHY, and BABA) produces a weighted average share price of $385 or +11.84% upside. If the model proves accurate the price will move to the LT resistance trend line or steadily appreciate relative to its peers.
If the stock corrects below the neckline of the H+S, it will correct to LT support at which would be a solid time to add to your position due to the LT growth prospects of the firm. This will likely be caused by macro risk at which time you should reassess the position to add or exit.
Cheers and good luck!