Shopify
Irrational Exuberance: How do we short this beast?We're way beyond reasonable valuation at this point. What we have here is a bubble that's gotten out of hand. See $TLRY's momentous run up last year, what goes up must come down. But how and when?
$SHOP is a pure momentum stock that people keep buying out of FOMO, it only just over 8 Million shares, which means it will move on you...FAST. THIS IS NOT FOR THE FAINT OF HEART, only use what you're prepared to lose.
Solution #1 : Purchase a Bear Put Spread. Buy 280, sell 250...or whatever width you desire. MAKE SURE this is far dated, July or August at least. What this will do is let you make money IF SHOP CONTINUES TO RISE, you're short put will lose theta and you can collect premium by buying it back cheaper. Once you're short put value has gone to nothing....the inevitable crash should plow right through your now naked long put. Giving you a nice payout. Cannot stress the importance of buying enough time here.
Solution #2 : Wait until its next consolidation and keep your eye on the pivot points (like the ones I highlighted). The reversals that have been happening have ignited massive short squeezes sending this higher every time. Usually the stock will break support intraday and chill there for a bit until it decides it's not having it and reverses. This is the stock telling you "I'm still not ready to collapse yet".
Wait for a CONFIRMED move to the downside. Allow it to close below the pivot and watch for follow-through the next day.
The way premiums are priced on this right now I would say Spreads are the way to go, but this is up to you.
Good luck out there.
Short opportunity: SHOPMassive run appears to be topping out. Zacks just rated them as "bear of the day" because "they just don’t make very much money." Overextended after nearly 80% run in the last 4 months. Stock is not HTB
Short around 214
Target 1: 208.87 --- 2.48%
Target 2: 198.61 --- 7.3%
Target 3: 184.15 --- 13.8%
Target 4: 170.22 --- 20.55%
Buy Shopify?The Megalodon indicator speaks for itself on this chart!
The Megalodon indicator uses an artificial intelligence, combined with data from over 500 buy setups, and over 2000 indicators to produce extremely accurate buy signals on any and all asset classes! Send me a message if you would like to try it for yourself!
SHOP - Breakout from Bull Flag?Did SHOPify breakout of a bull flag?
1) Bullish open and close candle above the trend line.
2) MACD bullish (although histogram is slowing)
3) Force Indicator is bullish
4) RSI is not overbought or showing any signs of bearish divergence.
5) Parabolic SAR is bullish
6) 20 EMA is above the 40 EMA indicating a bullish trend
7) 50 EMA is above the 200 EMA also supporting a bullish trend
8) However, is the price to far overextended from the 20 EMA? Might it pull back? Is this a false breakout?
Shopify Clean Channel Potential ReversalTrade Idea: Bearish Reversal
Price has been consolidation at the edge of the channel for almost a week now, indicating that price is exhausting its bullish swing.
Trade Step-up: Short
Price rejects a breakout from the current channel trend. Look for a reversal to 140.00 & 125.00. Stop loss at 165.00.
Shopify following old trendsDrew this chart almost 2 months ago, and it's been hitting its trendlines perfectly ever since without any adjustments, which lead me to believe that this will continue on in this fashion for the foreseeable future
Leaning more towards a long position here with entries on the small dips in between these two major trendlines