bottom for SHOPTSX:SHOP NYSE:SHOP
This call is primarily based on price action and risk reward.
We can see a lower low being pushed on the daily time frame but over last week price rejected the $173 level.
The other notable mention is the Risk to reward ratio, with a bottom formed we have an excellent place to set our stop knowing the trend would go bearish is it was triggered
Remember to always manage you risk
Shopify
Shopify tightening range holding uptrend, preparing for breakoutSHOP.TO is tightening up on the daily as price forms an equilibrium. Decreasing bull volume on the daily tells me we're likely to set a lower high relative to 199.50 before coming back to test the uptrend that's held since Dec 2017, and set a higher low relative to 172.95. Volume within this pattern will be key clue about how the pattern will break
SHOP - The w[E]ed-[Commerce] solution from CANADA So you should know this buy now
www.cbc.ca
And if you are from Ontario and over 19 years old, I bet you also know what happens on October 17, 2018.
www.ontario.ca
Shopify Inc. (Nasdaq: SHOP) is a company that’s about to make billions from the end of marijuana prohibition without ever touching the leaf.
It’s the online retailer – not Amazon.com Inc. (Nasdaq: AMZN) – that just inked a contract to provide an e-commerce platform for a major Canadian cannabis retailer.
You see, when Canada goes fully legal later in summer 2018, pot companies will want to sell (and their customers will want to buy) their wares online. Makes sense.
And the great news for investors in Shopify? The Ontario Cannabis Retail Corp. (OCRC) – the government agency in charge of sales in the province – is relying on Shopify, and only Shopify, to make it happen.
That’s going to be a huge boon for cannabis investors. Ontario is home to 13.6 million people, with bustling Toronto and its financial sector at the heart of the province.
That’s the perfect place to begin cashing in on Canada’s legal weed market, which Deloitte says could hit $8.7 billion over the next few years.
But that’s really just the beginning for Shopify.
This tech-forward company develops the kind of sophisticated software that allows small retailers to plug into e-commerce platforms like Amazon and sell their stuff.
With Shopify’s platform, they can manage orders, collect sales dollars, and send out emails to buyers. Or, if they prefer to go it alone, Shopify can help small retailers build their own online storefront, handle multiple sales channels, and plug into social media for customer outreach.
That business model alone qualifies this as a solid choice for investors. Its sales grew an average 85% over the past three years, compared to 26% growth for Amazon during that stretch.
Now, OCRC has picked to exclusively use Shopify’s e-commerce platform for cannabis sales online. Shopify’s technology will also be used inside OCRC’s Ontario Cannabis Stores to process transactions and for digital kiosks displaying product information.
And Ontario is just the “first mover” here. Many of Canada’s other nine provinces are likely to follow the leader here in choosing the home-grown Shopify (which is based in Ottawa) as their e-commerce partner.
That could double Shopify’s total market opportunity there.
In fact, Quebec province-based grower Hydropothecary Corp. has already chosen Shopify to help it sell medical marijuana online.
Thanks to moves like the OCRC deal, Shopify’s total addressable market stands to exceed $50 billion…
As a side note, just imagine if they integrate cryptocurrencies
SHOP will go up a buck tomorrow - 8/13Looking at the technicals, this stock will make at least a buck tomorrow, 8/13. If you look at the daily movement on the stock, you can easily see that the stock moving average is heading to its middle Bollinger band at $156.71. Now, the weekly movement is generally down so that may turn this stock down. But the weekly has found a floor in its weekly middle Bollinger band, and I predict it will start to make a rise out of that this week.
Shopify: $150 Short, $170 Long PriceShopify is one of those stocks that went really up the past few years and is sort of a gold mine in the startup world. More and more people are getting interested in dropshipping and e-commerce and the market demand is showing. The small negative dip it had, immediately re-correlated to positive and had a breakout the following quarter. Even though there could be potential for still some negatives after that dip, it is reasonably a conservative investment for those who expect returns. Within a few weeks, a $150 threshold is possible, and within the end of the year, crossing the $170 price tag is quite reasonable.
SHOP: Short Term Correction Before We Hit $205 TargetObservations
We are currently in the intermediate 3rd wave of the major 5th wave.
Based on Elliott wave count, it appears that intermediate 3rd wave is complete which means we are due for a correction.
Expecting wave 4 to be a small correction within 0.236 - 0.382 fib zone as wave 2 was a very significant correction to 0.786 fib.
Target price for the intermediate 5th wave appears to be around $205.00 based on 1:1 ratio of the 1st wave.
Side Note: I absolutely love SHOP. It is definitely a great company to be holding long term. I have been in since $32.00 but have sold late October year for about $147.00 to reinvested those gains into my MJ stocks :)
Disclaimer
For informational purposes only and not deemed as financial advice
Cautiously Bullish on SHOP by selling Put Credit SpreadsSell the Feb 16 SHOP 100/95 Put Credit Spread for $0.65 or better, for a 13% (not counting commissions) return within 35 days.
Stop loss should be if the spread increases to $1.30.
SHOP has held the 61.8% retracement of the Sep 17 high to Oct 17 low and is clearing the way for higher moves.
Playing it with selling a put credit spread and receiving $65 for every $5 wide contract sold, for a potential 13% Return on Risk over 35 days.
Happy Trading
Lindosskier
Shopify Breaking Out once againShopify is a SaaS company providing eCommerce solutions to businesses of all sizes. They allow retailers to set up websites for fractions of what it cost to build a full blown eCommerce platform from the ground up. The company is showing explosive revenue growth due to the proliferation of online retailing and the ability to provide a better and cheaper solution to many of its customers. The stock recently went through a period of consolidation from mid September until now after Andrew Left made it a short target of his. The recent breakout was on above average volume. Watch for the stock to continue to rise, but be quick to exit if it closes below the breakout line shown on the chart. Updates to come...
SHOP LongShopify softened a little over the holidays but had a strong bullish punch on Jan2. Earnings coming up at the end of January, so I expect a retest of the 50-day SMA and continuation higher. We have `JAN 18 2019 SHOP $90` naked puts sold for `$15.00` two weeks ago and `APR 20 2018 SHOP $90` naked put sold for `$3.80` one week ago looks good too.
Shopify - keep it on your watch list.Shopify - keep it on your watch list.
Entry now would be too early . Still looks like it has more downside to play out.
Look for a buy in the next month or so. Then watch it go.
I am new to Wave theory, so if I am wrong in my analysis, please offer some feedback. Thx.
SHOP daytrade ideaSHOP has been a big trender all year. Today there was a hit piece out on it. If it can break lows here it will also take out the 50sma on the daily and could flush into the close down close to 100. It is a tad extended intraday ideally it holds here for an hour or so and lets the 9ema catch up and build up a bit more base then breaks down.
SHOP setting up to break 94 resistance? 1 White Soldier on dailySHOP opened higher than Fri close and is sitting right around yesterday's high of 93.3. If it closes > yest. open 92.22 (ideally > yest. high) it'll look like a clear bullish 1 White Soldier bouncing off long uptrend line & testing/establishing 94 as support. But since the white soldier isn't technically at support yet (so far, 94 still resistance), it may just be signalling bullish momentum heading into Aug. 1 ER but we may see the price staying in the 91-94 range with tests of 90 & uptrend line and tests > 94 til then per previous analysis. Best to sell puts and enter/go long ~91 regardless since any news could easily send this through 100 & solid long:)
SHOP rejecting off 94? If so, back to retest/establish 91Looks like SHOP is rejecting off 94 resistance so if it closes <94, we may get that 91 retest earlier analysis indicated (which prompted me to close the Oct 90 calls for just small gain & miss the 94/95 test bec. i forgot to look at momentum indicators which i'm learning now...). If so, will be watching MACD, RSI & CCI closely for choosing entry for my first attempt at a weekly swing trade with this. Debating whether to start super small w/ just 100 shares & see how it goes since the 20 is still below the 50 avg. and it may drop further than I expect in which case I could add more - or whether to try to swing it buying call options, which are much riskier. Maybe I'll do both because i have a feeling the hard part for me will be selling shares next test of 94-95 level since I'm so long this company and will want to hold them.
Either way, ideally will try to catch bottom of 91 retest & grab somewhere along high 88s uptrend line if it looks like it will even dip that far & close call options when/if it retests 94-95 again...that way i'll only really risk the amount invested in call options since I'm long the stock & will just hold the shares (and sell puts & maybe calls) if it goes against expectation.
SHOP tests 94 support, if it closes >94 onto 98!Looks like 91 support held, broke through 94 yesterday, testing it today and so far looks like it's holding. If closes > 94 today on to break/test 98 level...kicking myself for closing out my Oct. 90 calls for small gain - thought we'd get another <91 test and I could re-buy them but this just keeps climbing. If closes >94 today, I'll be buying Oct. 95 calls & selling 90 puts tomorrow!