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BTC swing tradeFollowing only the calls on my LZD system since Feb and reinvesting the profit into a new position on the close/open opposite position calls, you could have turned 10,000 into 23,432 (minus fees on 14 total trades). Without compounding profit you would still have 74% profit on your total position. It has some bad calls and the largest loss was two 12% losses in a row, but when it gets them right the profits can be huge. Last three calls could have been profitable if manually closed, but going by open/close on calls only, you would have three 0% ROI calls in a row (consolidation). Average profit on winning calls is 11.4%, and average loss on failed calls is 6%. It has about a 50% strike rate if you include calls with 0-1% ROI. If you only include calls with greater than 1% ROI and greater than -1% ROI the strike rate from February alone of this year (leaving out earlier dates because hit had some huge wins prior and very little draw down) the strike rate goes up to 63% with average ROI of 11.4. From February of this year largest loss on a single call was 12% and largest return was 30% on a single call. It is more sensitive than an SMA trend systems and can be used with other trend systems to minimize draw down even more. It has killed the bear market thus far. System is long at the moment, and I am hoping for a drop to fill more orders at the marked horizontals. Price is consolidating with yearly low on volatility, so there will likely be some violent moves soon. So far I have opened 50% of my desired position. I am bullishly biased unless that call switches. This is a trend following system, so it lags significantly, but still catches the majority of every large move. I will update if the system closes the long and opens a short (likely if we drop more than 3% from here). Risk management is still essential. I generally use a 2% stop on these and reopen if price returns to the open call price without a close/open opposite position call. These are my own trades. They are provided for entertainment and educational purposes only.
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PLong
by Nevermorejk
BTC destroys the hopes of holders?I did not publish the ideas for a while, because the market situation needed clarification. And now the situation does not look good: 1. Divergence on the 4H chart 2. Bearish flag 3. Bearish flag fixed to the trend line (see the comment with the image of the daily chart) 4. Possible head and shoulders pattern 5. This movement is corrective because it has many overlaps, which may mean a further decrease 6. According to the Wyckoff method, the next price movement can be the C phase Enter ~ 6550 - 6600 Stop ~ 6710 Target ~ 6250
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by chorny.capital
3
Short Trade FTSE100 - Test Ending Diagonal Looking at the Macro analysis in my last published idea, have been waiting for. good entry on the FTSE for the past couple of weeks. See above my idea. Good R:R for this trade. I suspect we are currently experiencing wave c2 - I will be looking to catch the trip to the downside for wave 3/4/5 for a test of the lower bound of the diagonal. Considering chart pattern, we have broken a bull pennant to the downside and this wave 2, in my mind, is the rested before markdown. My stop loss has been placed at the point where my opinion is proved wrong and a recount will be required. Once my order is filled and price moves in my favour, I will move in my stop loss to increase R:R - then just let it play out. Although I do see the FTSE being bearish over the coming months, that will change if I am stopped out the upside here. For more in depth analysis - join me here - t.me or on twitter @Colgal92
TVC:UKXShort
by ColinGallaghere5
3
EURGBP Looking Good for a Move Lower From Channel ResistanceEURGBP Has been trading within a channel for the last 9 months. It is currently testing the upper channel line, the last 2 days candles both with long upper shadows show the bulls are not able to push prices higher at the moment. Fridays doji candle shows indecision, the bulls managed to push prices higher but the bears drove them back down again to close near the open. Should prices push above the high of 0.88907 we could see a swift push higher and a breakout of the channel to the upside. A stop loss order needs to be placed just above this level to protect from this possible alternative outcome.
Short
by Trend_Analyst
Short SWKS I hope everyone has had a great Monday. Skyworks Solutions -1.91% is a semi-conductor company that is traded on the NASDAQ. While I wouldn't normally bet against the semi-conductor industry, this, I believe is a quick short for easy gain. Trade war tensions have been high and will likely remain high until a deal is struck with China over what President Trump has dubbed a "massive trade deficit." While many economist and pundits scratch their head at this proposition (trade deficits are not necessarily bad, as it allows Americans to purchase more goods at what will be a lower price), it is not important who is right or wrong in a trade war/skirmish, but instead to focus on what will happen in the short term because of the actions of these countries. That brings me to Skyworks, a company that in regular times I would not never short with a ten-inch pole. Now, however, is the perfect time to bring on the short army. The main and nearly only reason for this call is a simple fact: SWKS -1.91% currently getting 80% of its revenue from China. If a trade war were to break out, having this much exposure (whether China pushes heavy tariffs or not) will send this stock tumbling. For this short position I believe in 2/3 main targets. 1. $93 2. $86 No hold below the $86 threshold would be advisable. Again, this is a high-risk, high-reward trade. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and have no plans to initiate any positions in SWKS -1.91% within the next 72 hours.
NASDAQ:SWKSShort
by jgree107
Boeing the Obvious Loser of a Trade SkirmishI hope everyone has had a solid week. I was doing some end of week checks and I think that this is a great trading idea based off the latest trade skirmishes between the United States and, well, everyone. Boeing is a developer and manufacturer of airplane and airplane parts, and gets a a fair bit of business from China (10%, give or take, of its total revenue). With the latest threat of trade war I decided to pull up the technical anaylsis here and I I think this is a wonderfully interesting chart. As you can see, investors have priced in the possibility of a trade war in the stock already. However, if you look at how the stock itself was performing, I feel there could be further pressure down. There are multiple levels of support in the Fib sequence, and you can see that it has found one here. If this breaks, however, there could be extreme downside pressure which could possibly lead the price down to the last Fib level. For those who are in the mood for a high-risk/high-reward trade, if the stock pierces the current Fib level where it has found support significantly, this could be a wild ride straight down. Insider transfers and institutional transfers are also both down, (-8.7% and -2.76%, respectively). The only issue is there is high short interest, which could easily cause a short squeeze. Overall, if you love high-risk versus high-reward, this is a great trade for you.
NYSE:BAShort
by jgree107