QQQ - The Warning-Line Scenario For A ShortIt's simple a s that:
If price can't make it back into the Fork, then it's doomed to reach at least the Warning-Line.
This scenario likely happens if the current weeks bar close below the Warning line, and the open of the new Bar is also outside of the Fork.
Happy Short §8-)
Short
USDCAD Will Fall! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.445.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.435 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Short AUDUSD The Perfect Storm: Stagflation, GeopoliticsIn a world increasingly defined by geopolitical volatility and economic uncertainty, a perfect storm is brewing, casting a long shadow over the Australian dollar. The confluence of persistent stagflationary pressures, escalating trade tensions, and a resurgent U.S. dollar is creating a formidable headwind for the AUDUSD pair. This article delves into the intricate web of factors driving this bearish sentiment, offering a comprehensive analysis for macro traders and financial viewers seeking clarity amidst market turbulence.
The Stagflationary Grip: A Global Economic Quagmire
The global economic landscape is ensnared in a precarious dance between "sticky" inflation and a palpable slowdown. Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) remains stubbornly elevated, while Producer Price Index (PPI) figures signal continued upward pressure on consumer prices. This persistent inflation, coupled with a weakening housing market, declining consumer confidence, and a sharp contraction in global trade activity (as evidenced by the plummeting Shanghai and China Containerized Freight Indices), paints a stark picture of a "Stagflationary Weakness."
www.census.gov
The Federal Reserve finds itself trapped between a rock and a hard place, grappling with the unenviable task of taming inflation while averting a looming recession. Policy missteps are increasingly probable, further amplifying market anxieties.
Geopolitical Fault Lines and Trade Wars: Fueling the Fire
Adding to the economic woes are escalating geopolitical tensions and trade disputes. The contentious US-Ukraine situation, heightened US-China strategic competition (including technology decoupling and potential military tensions in the South China Sea), and the ever-present threat of cyberattacks are creating an environment of heightened risk aversion.
President Trump's aggressive tariff policies, targeting Canada, Mexico, and China, have ignited fears of retaliatory measures and further disruptions to global trade flows. The market's reaction has been swift and decisive, with the S&P 500 experiencing consecutive weekly declines, reflecting growing investor unease.
The AUDUSD Under Siege: A Technical and Fundamental Breakdown
Against this backdrop, the AUDUSD pair is experiencing a decisive bearish breakdown. The U.S. dollar (DXY), fueled by its safe-haven appeal and the prevailing risk-off sentiment, is exhibiting robust strength, targeting 109.900. This dollar resurgence is exerting significant downward pressure on the risk-sensitive Australian dollar.
Gaining Traction Amidst Global Uncertainty
The AUDUSD has decisively breached the critical 0.64000 level, signaling a clear shift in market sentiment. While rising commodity prices, particularly in energy, have historically provided support for the AUD, the current environment is unique. Geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainties are overshadowing the positive impact of rising commodity prices.
Technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), confirm the bearish momentum. The 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages are all trending downwards, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Key Support Zone and Outlook:
We have identified a key support zone between 0.61435 and 0.60838. This zone represents a potential area of consolidation or a temporary pause in the downtrend. However, given the strong bearish momentum and the prevailing fundamental factors, we anticipate a continued downward trajectory.
Impact of Strong Dollar and Risk Aversion"
Traders should closely monitor the DXY and global risk sentiment for further confirmation of the bearish trend. Any sustained break of the 0.64000 level would confirm the current outlook.
The AUDUSD pair is currently navigating a perfect storm of stagflationary pressures, geopolitical risks, and a resurgent U.S. dollar. This confluence of factors has created a compelling bearish outlook, with technical indicators and fundamental analysis aligning to support continued downward momentum.
In this environment, vigilance and a deep understanding of the global macroeconomic landscape are paramount. Traders must remain attuned to the evolving geopolitical and economic narratives, adapting their strategies to navigate the turbulent waters of the current market. FX:AUDUSD CAPITALCOM:DXY
USDCHF: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the USDCHF pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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GBPJPY A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
GBPJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 189.95 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 189.26
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
HelenP. I Bitcoin may continue move down to $80KHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Not long ago, BTC dropped to the first resistance level, which aligned with a key resistance zone, before reversing and climbing toward the second resistance level, which also coincided with another resistance area. After breaking through this level, Bitcoin continued to rise, reaching the trend line, but soon started to decline. In a short time, the price fell back to the resistance level, eventually breaking below it. However, BTC quickly rebounded, not only recovering its losses but also pushing above the trend line. After that, it reversed direction once again, dropping back to the first resistance level. Following this movement, Bitcoin bounced back, climbed to the trend line, and then began to decline while hovering near it. At one point, BTC temporarily broke above the trend line and traded within a range for some time. Later, it reversed again, falling back to the trend line, breaking through the first resistance level, and recently even dropping below the trend line. At this stage, I believe the price might push slightly above the trend line before resuming its decline. With that in mind, my goal is set at 80K. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GBPUSD Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.257.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.235 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CHF/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
CHF/JPY pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 165.981 area.
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EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0488 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.0411
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0535
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NATGAS Massive Short! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for NATGAS is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 4.257
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3.892
My Stop Loss -4.468
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
APPLE Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the APPLE next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 245.60
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 251.37
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 235.33
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.26500 zone, GBPUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.26500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCAD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
USDCAD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.4439 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 1.4484
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.4352
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bitcoin's Next Move: Accumulation or Breakdown?The Market at a Tipping Point – What's Next for Bitcoin?
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $80,594, sitting 26.7% below its all-time high of $109,951 reached just over a month ago. The market is showing signs of uncertainty—traders are caught between a potential accumulation phase and a looming correction.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is flashing 38.2, creeping towards oversold territory, while the Money Flow Index (MFI) at 28.2 suggests that liquidity is drying up. With MA50 at 84,015 and MA200 at 92,048, BTC remains below key moving averages, signaling bearish momentum in the short term. But is this really a time to sell—or could this be a golden accumulation zone before the next leg up?
Recent VSA Buy Patterns indicate that smart money could be positioning for an upward move. However, resistance at $84,686 looms overhead, a level that must be reclaimed before bulls can take control. On the flip side, failure to hold above $76,701 support could open the floodgates to lower levels.
So, what’s the verdict? Breakout or breakdown—who’s ready for the next move?
Bitcoin's Price Roadmap: Tracking the Smart Money Moves
The market never lies, but it sure knows how to fake out the crowd. Let's break down the most recent Bitcoin (BTC) price action through the lens of high-impact VSA patterns and volume dynamics, separating the noise from the real moves.
Phase 1: The Sell-Off – Smart Money Setting the Trap?
2025-02-26 18:00 UTC – Sell Volumes Max kicks in, sending BTC downward from $86,002 to $84,112, a clear indication that the big players were offloading before the next major move.
2025-02-28 01:00 UTC – Confirmation: Another Sell Volumes pattern emerges, pushing BTC lower to $81,613. The downward momentum is undeniable. Bears are in control.
Phase 2: A Reversal or a Trap?
2025-02-28 08:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st emerges at $79,176, signaling an accumulation phase. The structure suggests a comeback, but we need validation.
2025-02-28 06:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd confirms the recovery as BTC moves up from $79,953 to $80,392, bouncing off key liquidity zones.
Phase 3: Where Are We Now?
Bitcoin's ability to reclaim $80K+ and sustain above the $78K liquidity zone suggests that the market might be done with the shakeout. However, true confirmation lies in breaking $84,686 resistance before bulls can run the show.
The MFI at 28.2 still signals low liquidity, meaning bulls need fresh momentum to confirm a sustainable move.
Key Takeaway: The Next Play
If BTC holds above $80K, watch for a move toward $84K+. If volume dries up, expect another flush before the real pump begins. Either way, the big money has already placed their bets—are you ready?
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
When it comes to Bitcoin, levels are everything—play them right, and you’re in the game. Miss them, and you’re catching knives. Here’s what’s on the board:
📍 Resistance Levels – Where the Heat Is
$84,686 – First roadblock, and where sellers could step in hard.
$92,058.5 – If BTC rips past 84K, this is the next stop.
$94,036.1 – Mid-level supply zone; needs a breakout confirmation.
$96,271.2 – Psychological barrier before the big leagues.
$100,796.4 – The last line before full-on euphoria.
🛠️ Support Levels – Where the Bounces Happen
$76,701.7 – If bulls want a second chance, they gotta hold this.
$67,838.7 – Break this, and we’re talking deeper retrace.
$60,295.6 – Final line of defense before things get ugly.
$47,122.4 – Buyers better show up here.
$28,696.9 – Let’s not even talk about this one…
🚀 Powerful Levels – The True Battlegrounds
Support: $96,262.6 – Bulls want this level back, or it flips to resistance.
Resistance: $76,701.7 – If price reclaims this, expect fireworks.
⚠️ If these levels don’t hold, they flip to resistance. That’s how the market works—fail to bounce, and these same zones become walls for the next run-up. Stay sharp, play the levels, and let the market show its hand.
Trading Strategies Using Fibonacci Rays: Optimistic & Pessimistic Scenarios
The VSA Fibonacci Rays are already on your chart—your job is to watch for price interactions and react accordingly. These dynamic levels are based on the natural flow of price action, not rigid static points. When price meets a ray, it signals either a reversal or continuation, but only after confirmation from volume dynamics and moving averages.
🚀 Optimistic Scenario: Bulls Take Control
If Bitcoin reclaims key resistances and confirms strength via moving averages, we’re looking at a trend continuation.
Long Entry: $80,594 (current market level)
First Target: $84,686 (First resistance break confirms strength)
Second Target: $92,058 (MA200 alignment, momentum builds)
Final Target: $96,271 (Extended breakout zone)
Trigger: A clean bounce from Fibonacci Ray support with rising buy volume. Confirmation via RSI moving above 50 and MA50 flipping upward.
🔻 Pessimistic Scenario: Bears Keep the Pressure
If Bitcoin fails to hold above $76,701, we’re entering a corrective phase with further downside possible.
Short Entry: $76,700 (Break below key support)
First Target: $67,838 (Next liquidity grab zone)
Second Target: $60,295 (Stronger demand area)
Final Target: $47,122 (Capitulation scenario, extreme bear case)
Trigger: A rejection at $80,000–$81,000 on weak volume + failure to reclaim MA50 resistance. Confirmation via RSI below 40 and a bearish cross on MA100 & MA200.
🎯 Key Takeaways for Trade Execution
Always wait for price interaction with a Fibonacci Ray before entering.
Trades run from ray to ray—first target is always the next ray in the sequence.
A bounce from support rays = long setup. A failure to reclaim resistance rays = short setup.
MA50 & MA200 act as trend confirmations—price above is bullish, below is bearish.
Bottom line: The market won’t move in straight lines, but rays act as dynamic waypoints, guiding price through the chaos. Position accordingly.
Got questions? Want to discuss levels, setups, or how to use these insights in your trading? Drop your thoughts in the comments! I read everything and do my best to respond.
If this analysis was useful, hit Boost and save this post—check back later to see how price respects the mapped-out structure. Trading is all about understanding reaction points, and this roadmap lays them out for you.
I use a private indicator that automatically plots Fibonacci rays and key levels—if you’re interested in accessing it, shoot me a message.
Need a breakdown on a specific asset? I can chart it for you. Some analyses I share publicly, while others can be done privately depending on what you need. If you want a custom markup, let me know—we’ll figure out the best way to make it happen.
These rays work across all assets—crypto, forex, stocks, you name it. If there’s a ticker you want analyzed, hit Boost and comment below, and I’ll include it in my upcoming posts.
And if you haven’t yet—follow me on TradingView to stay ahead of the market. Let’s trade smart. 🚀
GBPJPY Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 189.489.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 188.370 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBP/CAD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the GBP/CAD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.799.
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GBP/CHF BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/CHF pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 5H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.132 area.
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EURUSD - Bullish No More!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURUSD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising channel, however it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the red zone is the upper bound of its weekly range.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD approaches the red circle, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USOIL - Short Trade (28th Feb 2025)This is a short trade idea on Crude Oil.
Basically, i'm not convinced of this sudden rejection. This is just manipulation to me. I want to target the liquidity resting below. I think we are going downtown to a monthly sSIBI at around 57.
Liquidity and efficiency rules the market. Everything else is nonsense.
- R2F Trading
FOOT LOCKER looks like it will make a run for $6.50 FL has been around for years but doesn't look great even though EBITDA is 3x Net Income.
Feels like FL can make a move back to $6.50 range. I would consider a long at that level and trade back to the $30.00 range what the tangible book value is as of 2/27/2025
There is a 4-5x return from $6 in FL.
bch midterm sell limit"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
EUR/GBP Bearish Retest – Downtrend Continuation Below 0.8300Chart Analysis & Trade Setup:
The EUR/GBP 2-hour chart highlights a strong downtrend with a descending trendline acting as resistance. The price recently tested a key horizontal resistance zone near 0.8300, rejecting it for a potential continuation lower.
Technical Breakdown:
📉 Descending Trendline: The price has respected the trendline resistance, marked by two key rejection points (black and red arrows).
📊 Support Turned Resistance: The previous support near 0.8300 has now flipped into resistance after a breakdown.
🔄 Bearish Retest Formation: Price is expected to retest 0.8300 before continuing the downtrend.
📌 Bearish Outlook: If the price holds below 0.8300, we can expect further downside toward new lows.
Trade Plan:
✅ Entry: Consider a short position near 0.8290 - 0.8300 on bearish confirmation.
🎯 Target 1: 0.8220 (Previous low).
🎯 Target 2: 0.8180 (Next key support zone).
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 0.8325, to protect against an invalidation of the bearish setup.
Conclusion:
EUR/GBP remains in a clear downtrend, with a bearish rejection at 0.8300 acting as a key trigger for further downside. Traders should watch for a clean retest before entering short positions.
📊 Bearish Retest in Play – EUR/GBP Targets Lower Levels! 🚀