GBPAUD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GBPAUD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GBPAUD
Entry - 1.9775
Stop - 1.9881
Take - 1.9568
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Short
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0579
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.0536
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.2770 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.2750
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the USDJPY pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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“How Short-Sellers Have Distorted Ryde Group's Share Price"Ryde Group Limited (NYSE) , a promising mobility solutions provider in Southeast Asia, has recently seen its stock price impacted by heightened short-selling activity. While the fundamentals of the company remain solid, the data suggests that aggressive shorting has created a misleading picture of its value, adding volatility and artificial downward pressure to its share price.
As of November 15, 2024, Ryde had 232.67k shares sold short, representing 1.45% of its float of 11.8 million shares. Although the percentage may seem small, Ryde’s low float amplifies the impact of short-selling on price movements.
A smaller float means fewer shares are available for trading, so even a modest short interest can disproportionately sway market sentiment, pushing prices lower than the company’s fundamentals would warrant.
Interestingly, while the short interest decreased significantly from 443.39k shares in the prior month, the presence of short-sellers remains a factor in suppressing the stock’s performance.
The current short ratio of 0.39 suggests that while some short positions are being covered, the lingering activity continues to weigh on investor confidence. This sustained pressure creates a negative feedback loop, where price declines caused by shorting further deter potential buyers, compounding the artificial undervaluation.
Adding to the picture is Ryde’s low institutional ownership, which stands at only 1.06%. Institutions typically provide stability to a stock by holding significant positions and countering speculative trading activity. In Ryde’s case, the limited presence of institutional investors has left the company more vulnerable to short-seller tactics. However, this lack of institutional ownership contrasts sharply with the company’s 34.51% insider ownership, which demonstrates strong internal confidence in Ryde’s long-term growth potential. Such a high percentage of insider holdings suggests that those closest to the company—its executives and key stakeholders—firmly believe in its business model and future prospects.
!The short information above was extracted from Yahoo Finance.
The effects of this short-selling activity are especially concerning because they appear disconnected from Ryde’s underlying fundamentals. Short-sellers often exploit temporary market conditions or investor uncertainty, which can lead to exaggerated declines in stock prices. For a company like Ryde, whose operational and financial health remains stable, this downward pressure creates a misleading narrative that does not align with its true value. Such distortions make it challenging for the market to accurately price the company, potentially causing long-term investors to overlook its potential.
In conclusion, while Ryde’s stock price has been affected by short-sellers, the company’s strong insider confidence and promising fundamentals suggest that its current valuation may not reflect its true worth. Investors who are willing to look beyond the short-term volatility caused by speculative trading may find an opportunity to capitalise on the eventual rebalancing of the market’s perception of Ryde Group Limited.
DJI Is Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for DJI.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 44,642.75.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 43,791.11 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPJPY Will Fall! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 192.164.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 191.292 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GOLD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GOLD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 15m timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 2,647.359 area.
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GBP/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/CHF is making a bullish rebound on the 12H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.116 level.
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GBP/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so GBP-JPY is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 188.358.
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EUR/AUD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
EUR/AUD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 2H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.640 area.
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IO Weekly Technicals Review [2024/49]: Near Term Bearish Trend
SGX TSI Iron Ore CFR China (62% Fe Fines) Index Futures (“SGX IO Futures”) expiring in Jan 2025 fell last week closing USD 1.85/ton lower by Friday.
SGX IO Futures opened at USD 104.4/ton on 02/Dec (Mon) and closed at USD 102.55/ton on 06/Dec (Fri).
Prices briefly touched a weekly high of USD 105.70/ton on 04/Dec (Wed) and a low of USD 102.25/ton on 06/Dec (Fri). It traded in a range of USD 3.45/ton during the week.
Prices traded above the pivot point for most of the week but did not manage to pass the R1 weekly pivot point of USD 106.05/ton. Price dipped below the pivot point of USD 103.20/ton on 06/Dec (Fri)
Volume peaked on 04/Dec (Wed).
Fundamentals in Summary
Caixin’s China manufacturing PMI rose to 51.5 in November from 50.3 in the prior month, above analyst expectations of a 50.6 reading and the highest reading since June. PMI data has shown a continued recovery in the manufacturing sector over the past 3 months reflecting improved demand following the stimulus announcement.
Caixin China non-manufacturing PMI eased to 51.5 from 52 reflecting a slowdown in the service sector.
This week, traders will be watching for the CPI release for November on 9/Dec (Mon). In October, CPI fell 0.3% MoM and eased to 0.3% YoY, its lowest reading since June reflecting continued struggles in domestic demand.
The annual Central Economic Work Conference is scheduled for 11/Dec (Wed) where leaders are expected to map out economic targets and stimulus plans. Rumors that a higher-than-usual deficit target for 2025 could be set spurred a rally in Chinese stocks last week.
IO China Portside inventories fell by 100k tons to 150.4 million tons in the week ending 6/Nov, extending its decline from the prior week according to data from the CISA. Elevated inventory levels could limit demand for further imports.
SMM expects construction to enter its traditional off-season in December with no new projects scheduled for now. However, several major central government meetings and the year-end housing project delivery remain key events to watch and could catalyze a rally.
Based on seasonality, SGX IO Futures Jan contract trades 13.4% below its last 5-year average (USD 118.94/ton). Seasonal trends suggest a rally in the coming weeks.
Short-Term Moving Averages Signal Fading Bullish Trend
While the 9-day moving average has remained above the 21-day MA since marking a bullish MA crossover on 29/Nov, the price decline in the later part of last week drove price below the 9-day MA and it has started to flatten suggesting the rally may be losing steam. Price trades above the 21-day MA which could serve as a support level.
Long-Term Averages Signal Reversal from 200-day MA
Price tested the 200-day moving average last week but the level acted as resistance with price failing to pass it. Price remains well above the 100-day MA at 100.31. However, if the 21-day MA fails to provide support, this level could be tested next.
MACD Points to Fading Rally
Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 51.04 signals a neutral level. However, the RSI marked a crossover with its MA suggesting the price could face a period of negative returns. MACD is narrowing from its positive level and is close to marking a bearish crossover between the 12-day and 26-day MA which could signal a period of decline.
Volatility Eases to 1Y Low, Fibonacci 50% Signals Resistance
Volatility continued to decline and reached its lowest level in more than a year. Last week, prices retested the 50% Fibonacci level at USD 105.4/ton once more which has previously acted as resistance. With price declining, it could suggest a continuation of the bearish trend following the rejection at the Fibonacci level.
Prices at Top End of Declining Channel
Prices have traded in a declining parallel channel following the stimulus driven rally in late-September. Prices are currently just below the top end of the parallel channel which could represent a favorable entry level for a short position.
Hypothetical Trade Setup
Iron Ore prices reversed the early week gains last week to end the week lower. 12-day and 26-day MA are close to signaling a bearish crossover following the price rejection at the 200-day moving average last week. This could signal a near-term bearish trend. With prices at the top end of a declining channel, this could provide a favorable entry for a short position. However, given the low volatility and the strong support at USD 100/ton, the decline could be smaller than previous weeks.
We propose a hypothetical trade set up of selling SGX IO January Futures Contract at USD 103/ton with a stop at USD 105.5/ton and target at USD 100/ton resulting in reward-to-risk ratio of 1.2x. Each lot of SGX IO Futures Contract provides exposure to 100 tons of iron ore. For each lot, the hypothetical trade would result in gain of USD 300/lot ((103 – 100) x 100) while exposing the trade to a loss of USD 250/lot. This calculation excludes transaction costs comprising of clearing broker fees and exchange clearing fees. The SGX requires a minimum initial margin of USD 1,188/lot and a maintenance margin of USD 1,080/lot.
DISCLAIMER
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
NZDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD fora selling opportunity around 0.83200 zone, NZDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 12.09.2024🔮
📅Tue Dec 10
All Day
OPEC Meetings
📅Wed Dec 11
⏰8:30am
Core CPI m/m
CPI m/m
CPI y/y
⏰10:30am
Crude Oil Inventories
📅Thu Dec 12
⏰8:30am
Core PPI m/m
PPI m/m
Unemployment Claims
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
EURAUD in the SpotlightTechnically, there is room for the EURAUD to dive downward, especially if it develops a bearish harmonic pattern on the daily chart.
Fundamentally, it may depend on the RBA interest rate decision and statement, which is to be released on Tuesday. And employment data on Thursday. Fingers crossed. :)
EURUSD 8/12/24This week, with Euros to the U.S. dollar, we’ve seen price pull back to the highest area highlighted in last week’s markup. It took out the liquidity high we placed below it while also mitigating some of our longer-term points of liquidity.
We’ve now identified several points of liquidity lower down, one being at the base of the last upward move. This move originated from the area we highlighted as a potential zone for bullish price action. Despite the significant upward movement, our higher time frame bias maintains a bearish narrative, indicating that money is still flowing out of this market, pushing prices lower.
As shown on the chart with the indicator applied, we are now on the 4-hour timeframe. A "money-out" area has been formed, and we are watching for price action to follow this trend, targeting the liquid lows we have marked. This setup points to a sell opportunity at the start of this market session, with the expectation that price will continue to move bearish throughout the week.
Stick to your risk and follow your trading plan.
UMAUSDT Short Setup / Futures TradeBINANCE:UMAUSDT
COINBASE:UMAUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(For beginners, I suggest low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
3.66
3.53
3.41
3.29
3.13
🔴SL:
4.195
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
SPY Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
SPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 607.88 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 596.88
Recommended Stop Loss - 614.33
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
APPLE: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
APPLE
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short APPLE
Entry Point - 242.84
Stop Loss - 246.57
Take Profit - 235.15
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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TESLA: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
TESLA
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell TESLA
Entry Level - 389.41
Sl - 412.70
Tp - 333.03
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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QQQ The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
QQQ looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 526.54 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 515.69
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK