... to the 277/281 short call vertical in the same expiry for a .50/contract credit. Notes: A SPY core position management trade. Rolling the farthest out-of-the-money short call vertical of my core position defensively, cutting long delta a little bit. The entire position remains net long delta to accommodate a potential bounce running into expiry.
... for a .12/contract debit/.44 profit per contract. Notes: Here, I'm taking a little call side off in profit from my XOP core position. Naturally, this leaves me "imbalanced" from a unit perspective (more put side than call) and doesn't help the position's current long delta, but I'll look to put some back on if there's a bounce ... .
... for a .66/contract credit. Going small, defined risk, collecting one-third the width of the spread. Metrics: Probability of Profit: 55% Max Profit: $66/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $134/contract Break Even: 30.66
... for a .66/contract credit on another VXST/VIX >1.00 print. Probability of Profit: 52% Max Profit: .66 ($66)/contract Max Loss: 1.34 ($134)/contract BE: 33.66 Notes: Will start to look at taking profit north of 50% max ... .
FXE JUNE 16TH 105/108 SHORT CALL VERTICAL The first of the two setups is a "static" short call vertical with a break even around 106 resistance. Metrics: Probability of Profit: 58% Max Profit: $120/contract Max Loss: $180/contract BE: 106.20 Notes: Look to manage at 50% profit. FXE JUNE 16TH 107 SHORT CALL/SEPT 15TH 110 LONG CALL DIAGONAL This particular...
This is a VIX futures "Term Structure" trade (see Post Below) ... . It's farther out than I like to go, but I only have one other VIX setup on -- a May 16/19 short call vertical. You can either consult the June VIX futures price and look to set up your short call using that price as a guide, or sell the spread with the short call at ~50 delta. Filled for a .75...
If you're familiar with VIX Term Structure, you'll know that the VIX spot price is currently lower than the front month /VX future. Currently, VIX is at 11.7 and the Jan VIX futures contract is at 14.55. The notion here is that the VIX spot price and the Jan VIX futures contract price will converge at some between now and the Jan VIX futures contract expiry...
A short volatility trade here on the notion that VIX reverts to its mean in fairly short order post-election ... . Metrics: Probability of Profit: 57% Max Profit: $105/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $195/contract Break Even: 38.05 Notes: This, in all likelihood, will require adjustment at open so that the break even is at or near current price. Look to...
Although I still have a little bit of time on this, it's too little time to effectively roll the short put side up of this setup here without pushing it in too tight to the call side for my taste, so I'm closing the put side out for a .10 ($10)/contract debit here and leaving the call side to dangle for a bit. As always, hope springs eternal that price will break...
With a mere 9 DTE to go with this setup, this is probably the last roll I'll do here to capture movement and/or delta balance ... . Filled for $150 credit ... . Notes: Actually just noticed that I inadvertently widened the spread by $5, which is probably why I got $150 out of it. Lol.
More housekeeping ... . With 4 DTE and this 30 handle upmove, this is one of those "too close for comfort" rolls. Truth be told, I'll probably end up rolling it again if we don't come off of this 208 level with some vengeance, but only time will tell. In any event, I got a $40/contract credit for the roll ... . To protect the rolled short call vertical from...
With only 14 DTE left for this particular iron condor, I'm pulling off the short call side at near worthless (a $5 debit) rather than rolling it toward current price. (The call wing was worth $45/contract, so closing it out here nets me $40/contract). I'll keep an eye on the short put side (196/200) as expiration approaches. At this point, I would be more than...
With this little down move here, I closed out the short call side of my RUT/IUX iron condor -- the April 1st 1120/1130 short call wing. The short call wing of the iron condor was worth approximately $166 in credit/contract when put on as part of the iron condor, and I closed it out today for a $40 debit, yielding a profit of about $126/contract for that...