EUR/USD Trend After Trump Tariff News🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news:
👉The EUR/USD pair climbed toward 1.0800 during North American trading hours on Thursday, rebounding after six consecutive days of losses despite growing concerns over a potential trade war between the United States and the Eurozone. Trade war afraid intensified as the EU prepares to impose retaliatory tariffs on the U.S. in response to the 25% auto tariffs implemented by President Donald Trump on Wednesday, set to take effect on April 2.
👉 Germany’s economy is expected to be among the hardest hit by Trump’s auto tariffs, as the country exports 13% of its total automobile production to the U.S. Such a scenario could weaken the outlook for the Euro (EUR).
👉 Earlier in the day, President Trump also threatened to introduce large-scale tariffs on Canada and the Eurozone, accusing them of attempting to harm the U.S. economy. economy. Following these broad tariff threats, ECB policymaker and Belgian Central Bank Governor Pierre Wunsch stated in an interview with CNBC that tariffs would negatively impact economic growth and increase inflationary pressures.
Personal opinion:
👉 The recovery in the EUR/USD pair is also driven by a significant correction in the US Dollar. But this is only in the short term, the main trend is still more unfavorable for the EUR.
👉 Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines and EMA
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell EUR/USD 1.0810- 1.0820
❌SL: 1.0855 | ✅TP: 1.0770 – 1.0740 – 1.0700
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Shorteurusd
EUR/USD Trend in US Session Today - Maintain Downtrend🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news:
👉The EUR/USD exchange rate has fallen sharply as the euro came under pressure after ECB President Christine Lagarde's warning of economic risks to the eurozone from potential US tariffs.
👉Lagarde completed before the European Parliament's Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee during European trading hours on Thursday. She said that the 25% tariffs imposed by the United States on European imports, as threatened by US President Donald Trump, could reduce eurozone growth by around 0.3% in the first year, according to ECB analysis. The study also found that retaliatory tariffs from Europe could push that down to around 0.5%.
👉Concerns about weak economic growth in the eurozone are dampening the appeal of the euro, as they could force the ECB to make further rate cuts.
👉Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) rose as the Federal Reserve showed no urgency in adjusting its monetary policy. The central bank keeps its benchmark interest rate in a range of 4.25% - 4.50%, despite uncertainty surrounding President Trump's policies.
Personal analysis:
👉EUR/USD will continue to sell after these statements. Buying is risky at this time
👉DXY has increased for the third consecutive day and shows no signs of stopping, after the daily RSI entered the overbought zone and showed signs of increasing convergence, making EUR/USD more likely to fall.
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell EUR/USD 1.0860 – 1.0870
❌SL: 1.0905 | ✅TP: 1.0810 – 1.0760– 1.0710
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
EUR/USD Trend Today - Waiting for EUR and US PMIs🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news:
👉EUR/USD remains in positive territory near 1.0850 during the European session on Monday, rebounding from a three-day losing streak. Improving risk sentiment, driven by easing concerns over US reciprocal tariffs, has put pressure on the US Dollar and helped the pair stay firm despite mixed German PMI data.
👉The shift toward risk appetite has made it difficult for the US Dollar (USD) to extend last week’s gains, providing support for EUR/USD at the start of the week.
👉According to the Wall Street Journal, the White House is revising its tariff strategy set to take effect on April 2, potentially skipping industry-specific duties while imposing reciprocal tariffs on key US trading partners. Likewise, Bloomberg reports that President Donald Trump’s tariff measures are expected to be more precisely targeted than initially anticipated. Following these headlines, US stock futures rose between 0.8% and 1.0% during the European morning session.
Personal analysis:
👉 The market’s reaction to the PMI data is likely to be brief and straightforward. Positive releases from Germany and/or the Eurozone could provide immediate support for the Euro. Conversely, if any of the key US PMI indices fall below 50, it could further weigh on the US Dollar.
👉Therefore, investors should keep an eye on the Economic Calendar, which will release the US PMI data on Monday afternoon.
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell EUR/USD news: 1.0900 – 1.0910
❌SL: 1.0950| ✅TP: 1.0850 – 1.0805 1.0755
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Is there a short-term pullback in EUR/USD?🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news:
👉EUR/USD traded below 1.090 in early Thursday morning in Europe. Escalating US-EU trade tensions weighed on risk sentiment and the pair, providing some support to the US dollar amid cooling US inflation
👉 Although EUR/USD has maintained its bullish momentum, the price chart in recent days has not been as strong as before, signaling that the market's buying power may weaken in the short term
Personal opinion:
👉RSI (4H) clearly shows divergence and breaks the uptrend line, signaling a possible short-term downtrend for the pair. Check out the support resistance levels to buy at the best price
Analysis:
👉Based on important support resistance and SMA levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy EUR/USD 1.0870 – 1.0885
❌SL: 1.0920 | ✅TP: 1.0820 – 1.0780– 1.0720
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
EUR/USDd Trend This Week – Bearish?🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news:
👉The US Dollar (Greenback) strengthens as President Donald Trump's steel and aluminum tariffs take effect on Wednesday. The White House confirmed that a 25% tariff on all imported steel and aluminum will be implemented as planned, affecting key US allies and top suppliers, including Canada and Mexico.
👉Additionally, increasing speculation that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates twice more by summer could put pressure on the Euro against the USD. Traders have already factored in two additional rate cuts, driven by strong confidence that Eurozone inflation will steadily return to the 2% target this year.
Personal opinion:
👉DXY bounces sharply after falling to a multi-week low
👉EUR/USD RSI (4H) shows signs of divergence
👉Europe is caught in a trade war with the US despite the two sides being trade allies, which will weaken the EUR more than the USD
➡️➡️➡️Indicating the possibility that EUR/USD will decline in the near future
Analysis:
👉Based on important resistance - support levels combined with pivot points standard and SMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell EUR/USD 1.1000 - 1.1010
❌SL: 1.1050 | ✅TP: 1.0940 - 1.0880 - 1.0800
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
EURUSD continue decrease H1 🔔🔔🔔 EURUSD news:
👉The EUR/USD pair slips to around 1.0835 during Asian trading hours on Friday, as the Euro (EUR) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) amid rising trade tensions between the United States and the European Union. Later in the day, market participants will focus on Germany’s Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for February and the preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment report for March.
Personal opinion:
👉Price is falling along the trendline, the main trend of H1, along with the increase of the dollar through tax policies. EURUSD continues to be under downward pressure (Trump administration threatens new tax rates for EU)
Technical analysis:
👉trendline H1 + resistance ( news USD today )
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉SELL EURUSD 1.08400 - 1.08500
❌SL: 1.08800
✅TP: 40 - 70 -120 PIPS
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Will EUR/USD continue to rise or reverse to the downside?🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD new:
👉The EUR/USD surged 1.75% on Wednesday, approaching the 1.0800 level as market sentiment improved following another shift in U.S. President Donald Trump's trade policy. Trump has once again eased off his previous stance of imposing heavy tariffs on imports, a strategy he had used to retaliate against perceived unfair treatment by other nations.
👉Meanwhile, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) on Thursday, lowering the Main Refinancing Operations Rate to 2.65% and the Deposit Facility Rate to 2.5%. Despite sluggish and uneven economic growth in the Eurozone during the first quarter, traders have reduced their expectations for further ECB rate cuts in 2025, as inflation remains more persistent than policymakers initially anticipated. The market now predicts fewer than 70 bps in additional rate reductions for the rest of the year.
👉In the U.S., the ADP Employment Change for February showed only 77K new jobs, well below the 140K forecast and March’s 186K figure. However, since a reporting methodology change in 2022, ADP data has had little correlation with Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), suggesting that the weak figures may not have a significant impact.
Personal opinion:
👉EUR/USD increased by 4% in 3 days so it is dangerous to continue buying
👉Technically, RSI in many time frames is in the extreme zone and there are signs of RSI divergence - This is a forecast for a short-term downtrend.
👉If EUR/USD breaks the trend line and retests this area, consider buying at 1.0800
Analysis:
👉Based on the trend line and RSI combined with resistance - support levels and SMA
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell EUR/USD 1.0800 – 1.0820
❌SL: 1.0860 | ✅TP: 1.0750 – 1.0700 – 1.0600
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
EUR/USD Trend Today - Downtrend?EUR/USD news:
🔆The EUR/USD pair continues its downward trend for the third consecutive day, trading around 1.0390 during the Asian session on Friday. The Euro faces selling pressure due to increased risk aversion, driven by escalating trade tensions between the US and the EU. US President Donald Trump signaled the possibility of imposing “reciprocal” tariffs on the EU as soon as April.
🔆In response, a European Commission (EC) spokesperson stated that the EU would respond decisively and immediately to any unjustified trade barriers. This ongoing uncertainty may further weaken the Euro, adding to the bearish sentiment surrounding the EUR/USD pair.
🔆Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the USD against six major currencies, gained strength following the release of US GDP data on Thursday. At the time of writing, the DXY remains near 107.40.
Personal opinion:
🔆EUR/USD will continue to maintain a downtrend in the coming days due to the negative news still affecting. But there will be an increase to retest the resistance zone and then follow the downtrend
Analysis:
🔆Based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with the SMA200 line to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell EUR/USD 1.0420 – 1.0430
❌SL: 1.0460 | ✅TP: 1.0380– 1.0340 – 1.0300
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Personal opinion on EURUSD pair🔆 Key factors affecting EUR/USD include:
👉Yesterday's CPI (inflation) index, which will strongly affect the USD.
👉If inflation is higher than expected: The Federal Reserve (Fed) may maintain high interest rates for a longer period of time, causing the USD to strengthen and EUR/USD may fall.
👉On the contrary, if CPI is lower than expected: The Fed may ease policy, pushing the USD down and helping EUR/USD rise.
🔆Geopolitical situation:
👉Trade tensions and conflicts in Europe may affect the strength of the Euro.
👉If instability increases, money flows may shift to the USD, putting downward pressure on EUR/USD.
🔆In short:
👉EUR/USD is in the accumulation phase, signaling strong volatility ahead. Traders should be cautious and wait for a breakout signal to determine a clear trend. Follow PPI news from the US today to predict the next movement more accurately.
🔆 Plan:
Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy EUR/USD 1.0345 – 1.0360
❌SL: 1.0300 | ✅TP: 1.0400 – 1.0440
Which way will the Eur/USD pair go?EUR/USD Market Update:
🔆The US dollar continued to strengthen amid ongoing developments in President Trump’s tariff policies. While the widely debated 25% tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports have been postponed, the 10% tariffs on Chinese goods remain unchanged. The lack of clarity and uncertainty from the White House initially led investors to unwind their long positions in the dollar early last week.
🔆However, the greenback regained momentum over the weekend after President Trump announced plans to introduce a new 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports into the US, in addition to the current tariffs on these metals.
🔆Investors are now closely watching Fed Chair Powell’s speech today. In the past, the Fed has maintained a hawkish stance amid concerns over Trump’s trade and fiscal policies. Meanwhile, the ECB recently cut interest rates by 25 basis points in an effort to address slowing economic growth and persistent inflation above its 2% target.
Personal Insight:
🔆The euro faces significant headwinds. A robust US dollar, diverging monetary policies between the Fed and the ECB, and internal challenges within the eurozone—such as Germany’s economic slowdown—could all put downward pressure on the single currency. While short-term rebounds are possible, the euro’s long-term trajectory remains uncertain, especially as global trade tensions, including those involving the EU, continue to unfold.
Technical Outlook:
🔆Analysis based on the RSI (4H) indicator, Fibonacci confluence trendlines, and key resistance-support levels.
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy EUR/USD 1.0330 -1.0345
❌SL: 1.0400 | ✅TP: 1.0300 – 1.026 – 1.021
What will be the next trend of EUR/USD ?🔆The EUR/USD pair is being influenced by a number of economic and political factors, leading to significant volatility in recent times.
🔆 Technical Analysis:
The EUR/USD pair is currently in an uptrend, with the price trading above both the 34 EMA and the 89 EMA, suggesting a bullish bias in the short term. The next resistance level is identified at 1.0530 as the 1.618 Fibonacci line intersects the resistance zone; if the price reaches this level, a corrective rally is expected.
🔆 Fundamental Analysis:
A trade war between the US and Europe could push the euro to parity with the US dollar. New tariffs from the US could further weaken the eurozone economy, putting downward pressure on the euro.
The US dollar is expected to maintain its strength against the euro as the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates more gradually than expected as President Trump's policies may increase inflation.
🔆 Conclusion:
The trend of the EUR/USD pair in the coming period will depend on the developments of the above economic and political factors. Forecast Traders should closely monitor key support and resistance levels, along with macroeconomic information and monetary policies from both sides to make appropriate trading decisions.
Thank you for reading my comment: "FM"
How EUR/USD is affected by President Trump's high tariffs ?Comment:
EUR/USD continues its downtrend. On the daily chart (D1), EUR/USD is in a long-term downtrend. Recently, the pair tried to correct higher but met strong resistance at 1.0340, after which it fell back.
On the 4-hour timeframe (H4), the downtrend is also clear. The recent upward correction stopped at the resistance at 1.0335. The trading plan on H1 favors short positions
Currently, the pair is consolidating at 1.0300. The market is waiting for the first policies of the new President D. Trump on Europe
Trump's tariff policy often creates a volatile trading environment for the EUR/USD pair. If D. Trump imposes high tariffs on European goods, the USD may benefit in the short term if investors seek safety. However, in the long run, if trade tensions cause more damage to the US economy than to Europe, the USD could weaken, creating an opportunity for the EUR to rise.
Thank you for reading my comment: "FM"
Short Eurusd - Targeting 1.02211Eurusd has been making continuous strides further down in price. The recent pullback to 1.04500 was rejected and indicating for me more movement to the downside, there was divergence of the RSI & MFI on the 4hr at that rejection level of price. If price continues to slide, I'll be looking to target a price of 1.02211. I'm currently in a short position at 1.04077, a nice 187 pips I would be looking to grab if price hits target. Patience is key! If you see anything different, feel free to share!
Short EURUSDI'll be looking to see the EURUSD go lower this month. The DXY has been steadily gaining since the beginning of the year, and it seems like that continuation is likely to keep at it. I'll be entering a short position and looking to take profit at the lows of Nov 1st of last year (1.05197). Let me know your thoughts on this pair, if you share a similar analysis or something different I'm open to see all sides. Good luck traders!
EUR/ USD!! 5/12/2023 supporting the DOWN trend⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ EUR/USD INFORMATION:
The US Census Bureau released data on Monday revealing a 3.6% month-on-month decrease in US factory orders in October, following a 2.3% increase in the previous report. In addition, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that the US ISM Manufacturing PMI remained unchanged at 46.7 in November, falling short of expectations.
According to Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, the US monetary policy has been successful in slowing down the economy, as predicted, with the overnight interest rate now in restrictive territory. Although Powell emphasized the Fed's readiness to further tighten policy if necessary, market sentiment suggests that the rate-hike cycle has reached its conclusion. Consequently, this has put downward pressure on the US dollar across all markets.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The price area touches the downtrend line, Scalping during the day is a SELL signal
⭐️ SET UP EURUSD PRICE:
🔥SELL EUR/USD zone: 1.08500 - 1.08650 SL 1.09100
TP1: 1.08000
TP2: 1.07700
TP3: 1.07400
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Short EURUSD on Trend TurningEURUSD had definitely broken down the bullish channel over the past 2 to 3 weeks. It could be the European economic weakness and the strength of the USD after the resolution of the debt ceiling is driving the short EURUSD. That said given the current moves, the EURUSD might retrace first today before going down. Look at the short trade parameters.
EURUSD 6.5:1 ShortEURUSD is setting up nicely for a reversal after former a swing high at 1.09300. After creating a poor high yesterday markets, the pair looked weak going into close. I expect for the pivot at 1.08506 to act as resistance through Asia and Europe and for a reversal to take markets down to 1.07990 or the swing low at 1.07129.
EURUSD/SHORT Daily-4h Timeframe Setupoverall my directional bias for EU is short.
important area of resistance around 1.06200 which can act as liquidity area to dump price on lower levels.
meanwhile I'm waiting for my alert to activate for bigger risk to reward setup.
checkout last weeks profitable signals for
USDCHF
and EURJPY