Shortgold
#Gold Sell Oportunity!!!!!!!Gold has beed trading in a ranging market however in a grand corrective cycle.
that means the biased direction is to the downside in order to finish from the third corrective leg near 1805- 1776 $ per ounce.
meanwhile gold is retracing upwards in a 3 waves pullback, we will be looking for short positions near 1914-1917 level with respect to a stop loss
above 1923$ per ounce.
targets are open for now, however 1805 is insight.
Gold - Potential selling opportunity setup Taking a look at the 1 Hour chart on Gold, it has gone through a sharp drop since breaking its record highs above the $2000 level.
Currently now the price in Gold has pulled back higher from its sharp recent fall and is trading in an ascending channel.
This Channel has completed a potential larger 3 drive bearish pattern in the process. Why we like this pattern is that it has convergences at the 3rd drive high which also lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
This current high is starting to look like there is a bit of price exhaustion just below the $2000 level as well.
What we want to see is price start to breakdown on our lower time frames and locate any smaller bearish price patterns in the process to help confirm a possible move lower. We have also drawn a lower trend line as this can also increase the probability for a move lower and expose a good point of execution if this trend line gets broken to the downside for a possible retest entry short.
If the price in Gold starts to continue its rise and trades above the pattern and $2000 level no action needs to be taken.
GOLD - Using price patterns to time reversals of trends.With the market watching out for Gold to hit the $2000 level, once this occurred and broke higher you have to always be cautious and take a step back before jumping into any longer term trend continuation plays.
When new record highs or lows get established in any market that is highly liquid, its good to keep your options open and try and look at the market with also a contrarian point of view as well.
To many new and novice traders will just expect prices to keep climbing and jump into the move with no account for strategy, analysis or more importantly a study of price.
Looking at Gold, we wanted to keep an open mind and read the price action especially when your looking for counter trend moves as this will lower the probability of a trade but when you are patient and follow the structure of price you can get some good nuggets of information that can really help you time your trade.
As you can see on the 1 Hour chart, price was moving up nicely until it formed a bearish 3 drive pattern in the process. This pattern can be a good indicator of price exhaustion especially when you can see these being formed on no less then a 1 Hour time frame.
Once we saw the pattern complete, that alone is not enough, we need to be patient and find a lower trend line, preferably with multiple hits registered on the line for if this breaks to the down side as well, this not only gives us good reason to enter the trade short but it allows for greater timing and accuracy of the trade.
We would look to place our stop just above the 3rd and final drive high to start with, as we are trading the pattern so there is no need to place it very far away.