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Shortoil

USO Oil ShortUSO on the 60 minute chart is currently in a broadening wedge and reflecting down off a reversal at the upper resistance trend line. The MACD lines have crossed over the histogram and are trending down showing moving average convergence. Price is between the mean and first upper band lines and moving down toward the former. Current factors at play include an OPEC+ meeting, Russia working around sanctions, increased demand of the summer driving season, federal rate action projections as well as those in Europe and the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East. I will short USO here targeting 74 at the bottom of the wedge pattern.
AMEX:USOShort
by AwesomeAvani
USO US Crude OIl ETF trending down SHORTUSO on the weekly chart over the past two and a half years makes a symmetrical triangle patter with the upper and lower trendlines drawn in. Price appears to be dropping out of the pattern in a breakdown and she now yet tested the prior support trendline as resistance. The Stochastic RSI and Zero Lag MACD are confirmatory. The Relative volatility indicator shows downward volatility exceeding upward for six weeks now. Putin just met with OPEC+ in Saudi Arabian. It is doubt that the OPEC+ has the fortitude to cut supply to force prices higher. Dropping the price of oil nicely supports global efforts to stymie inflation for the good of all except perhaps OPEC+ and Big Oil. I will take a short position in buying put options on USO. I will strike $ 60 because the puts will be cheaper and I expect the price to drop below that into a volume void on the profile and not be easily able to get above the volume shelf at $63 where I will set the stop. I am targeting $35.00 which is comfortably above the volume profile POC line. I will take an expiration next July during the presidential nominations. Politicians are also wanting oil prices to drop to keep voters happy. All goepolitical events will have a bid in the price action of the puts.
AMEX:USO
by AwesomeAvani
TAKE PROFIT REACHED: Sasol Price hit the R184.52 level-now what?Rising Flag formed on Sasol, the price broke below and beautifully it went down on a strong trajectory and declination. The price remained below the 200MA confirming the bear market for the company. The price came down in a strong fashion takeing it to the first target of R184.52. The oil price also coincided with the Sasol price having the downtrend dominate taking investors and trader out and shifting to shorts and sells. The previous trend was down, and it was clear that the downside that came here was a DIstribution phase of the market environment... SO where to from here? Well, Down! There is no indication of upside or slowing down. And when there is I'll let you know.
JSE:SOLShort
by Timonrosso
3
OIL MIGHT BE GETTING INTO FURTHER SELL-OFFOil prices have continued to decline, marking the third consecutive session of losses. This decline is attributed to a series of sluggish economic data releases from Germany, the eurozone, and Britain, which have raised concerns about energy demand. Brent crude futures dropped by 2%, down $1.76 to $88.07 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell by 2.2%, down $1.91 to $83.58 per barrel. The eurozone's business activity data showed an unexpected downturn this month, raising fears of a potential recession in the region. Germany, one of Europe's economic powerhouses, appeared to be slipping into a recession, and Britain reported another monthly decline in economic activity, increasing concerns of a recession ahead of the Bank of England's interest rate decision. These economic uncertainties, along with other global factors, have contributed to the downward pressure on oil prices. Despite the economic concerns in Europe, the U.S. recorded an uptick in business output in October, which helped boost the U.S. dollar, making dollar-denominated oil more expensive for holders of other currencies. Additionally, concerns surrounding the situation in the Middle East, where diplomatic efforts are underway to contain the Israel-Hamas conflict, have also impacted oil prices. Overall, the oil market remains on edge, with a focus on potential supply disruptions and geopolitical tensions. If this trend continues, the price might reach levels of 81.53. In the opposite scenario, as a pivot point might be considered 86.38, from where the price might reach levels of 89.32. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by legacyFXofficial
COP- Divergences suggest bearish reversal.COP has had a brief trend up in the past three and a half trading days of about 8%. An analysis of the 30 minute chart suggests this could reverse. Firstly, the HA candles are now narrow- ranged and more or less Dojis. The MTF RSI indicator of Chris Moody shows dropping RSI on the 5 minute TF while it is hold up at 100 on the 60 minute TF. The former is indicative of bearish divergence. In a similar fashion the zero lag MACD shows an early cross-over of the K and D lines over the positive histogram another bearish divergence and sign of impending reversal of momentum. Based on all of this I will take two put option on COP striking $110 one expiring 7/14 and the other 7/21 targeting stock prices of $105 then $102. I am projecting profits of 25% on the shorter trade and 75% on the longer trade. I will find the entry on the 5 minute chart looking for a pivot high coupled with a transitioning EMA200 from a positive slope to zero or negative. Other traders may simply short COP and hold to the lower target.
NYSE:COPShort
by AwesomeAvani
NRGD a 3X Leveraged ETF that shorts oilNRGD goes up when oil goes down; this ETF tracks the oil futures ; it is leveraged and managed. Here on the one-hour chart with an Bollinger Bands and EMA bands indicator added, it can be seen that price had been trending down in two waves beginning June 1st , Upon dropping outside the BB lower line, price reversed upward to reach the upper BB line and reversed again. Finally, price dropped outside the BB lower line and reversed this past Thursday. The RSI oscillator has recently trended between 65 and 40, suggesting healthy price action without and oversold or overbought conditions. As it is now trending up again. I see it as suitable for a l long trade. I have plotted horizontal resistance lines in order to plan a tiered exit from a trade of 4 shares where I will partially close the position by selling a share each time price reaches one of those lines. At the same time, I will move the stop loss up to midway between its l location and that line. I will repeat this until all shares are sold. I am expecting a 12% profit overall for a week-long trade. This will be a free trade without risk after the first move of the stop loss to above the entry point. If the RSI remains below 80, I may let the last share run until I am alerted that price has hit the BB upper line by an alert or alternatively set up a trailing stop loss of 2%.
NLong
by AwesomeAvani
WTI Crude Oil: 19.4 - A slide off the edge? A 'rising wedge" pattern is one of the most bearish candlestick patterns out there. It's when the highs consolidate with the lows in the shape of a sharp triangle going up. When the support trend-line breaks down - A trend reversal is usually ON! Meaning that from higher highs and lows the shift is to lower highs and lows and new lower targets are targeted. Yesterday I've covered how a break below 104.50 can be the beginning of a $10 or more drop down. 105.60 is another important support level to be broken and a blockage on the way down. Today is a very critical day as it may break this level, the other scenario is that WTI could retest the broken rising wedge at the high 107's low 108's. Pay close attention to the WTI today, as this could be the beginning of a significant correction down. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I'd very much appreciate a like and follow if you found this analysis helpful :D Please let me know what you would like to see more of and what you liked/disliked about my idea. My goal is to benefit the trading community and help improve results of all traders across the board ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by Exactus
11
WTI Crude Oil - The crossroad you need to know about !18.4 1) The breakout above the down trend-line starting from the highest high , when the price went above 101, marked the beginning of the movement we've seen so far (+$8). 2) There's 2 technical scenario playouts: *Break above 108.20 with a 4h/1d close - 113.40 to 114.64 may be reached in the very short-term *Break below 104.50 with a 4h/1d close - 97.90 to 93.20 may be reached in the very short-term 3) The circles on the chart mark the horizontal levels of support/resistance which play a very important role in price action. 4) Converging lows and highs are so far in the shape of a 'rising wedge" which could mean there's a higher potential for reversal down. 5) Fundamentally, oil is currently acting within an 'emotional' investor phase , which means in simple terms, there's no real shortage of oil so far - And reality may hit the price hard at any given time. OPEC, Aramco, SHELL, USA all have capability to supply the entire world with oil if necessary. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If you liked my analysis please like and follow , it would mean a lot to me :D If there's any questions please don't hesitate to ask me I would also like to hear suggestions of what you guys would like to see more of I thank you for reading this far and wish all of you successful trading <3 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLACKBULL:WTI
by Exactus
1
CL1 CRUDE BRENT OIL- IS OIL STILL A GOOD TRADE ?Oil may be in a reversal now or going through corrections as the markets get use to the the Russian Invasion in Ukraine. I don't believe that US and NATO will be successful at imposing oil embargo sanctions on Russia. Therefore I am bearish and will be shorting oil etfs.. Give me a thumbs up if you enjoyed this TA, PS. Disclaimer I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by CryptoBuzzAnalyst
UKOIL short position selling from the 80sAs the new year begins, the markets are a little quiet but in the oil , markets seem a little confusing, Based on OPEC-JMMC Meetings we made our view on the oil market. "That's one way of looking at it OPEC plus seems confident that despite omicron spreading rapidly around the world and with cases rising it's not going to have that much of an impact on oil demand the group is expecting the oil market to be in a supply surplus in the first and second quarters" While the U.S airlines have canceled and delayed thousands of flights since 23 December 2021, The energy sector will depend on storage more than consumption in the coming period. OPEC plus is probably not almost certainly not going to actually add 400 000 barrels a day to the market because of supply problems incertain members in the oil club. I see OPEC crude oil production increasing since Jul 2020 : 24.82M bbl /d on Jul 2020 to be 28.87M bbl /d in Aug 2021 Making the oil production increase +16.31% in one year. The technical view you will see 83.00 -82.00 area as a supply area on the chart, also, 86.50 - 85.00 area is a strong historical supply area. The Market tend to sell from these areas, we may see some increase in the price shortly but in the volume indicator the average volume is in decline For the position I recommend a sell order from 83.00 -81.50 area Sell limit on 84.5- 86.5 in case the market still growing before retrograding Targets 1st target 77. 40 - 77.00 demand area 2nd target 68.40- 69.10 demand area The period of the Positon is more than 1 month up to 5 months (estimated ) This is a swing trade so be patient we estimate +16% to +20% profit for 5 months The news and numbers source coming from theoilsellers.com/ news.cn/ ycharts.com/
TVC:UKOILShort
by youssefallax
2
Oil Topping for nowPrice has flipped many times in the past at this price. Price is extended to the upside. Momentum has been diverging for the last 8 months. OPEC+ has reaffirmed their stance to increase production. Saudi Arabia and other countries production hasn't even been turned back on yet so they can increase it even more if need be. Global demand and consumer demand is actually falling, this can be seen by China's economy contracting so prevalently. It's still winter and a correction is warranted. Maybe by May or so, we go back up again and could go to crazy heights if things don't get better with inflation.
TVC:UKOILShort
by MonetaryRebel