BTC , 1D BTC has Break Down in 4Hr and Retest the lower Trendline in 1Hr , SO we think that it will Fall in Future , If BTC is Sustaining below its 1,05,600 then we confirm that it will be Fall Drastically
if BTC is falling then remaining coins , which are giving Breakdown of Patterns they will give Very Good Profit
Risk - 3% and Aim for 20 % .
Follow for More Swing Idea Like this
Shortposition
S&P500: Top Within ReachThe S&P has recently continued its upward movement, climbing higher into the magenta-colored Short Target Zone between 5,880 and 6,166 points. Primarily, we expect the top of the current wave (X) in magenta within this price range, after which a downtrend should follow with wave (Y). This final phase of the magenta three-part movement should lead the index into the green Long Target Zone between 4,988 and 4,763 points, completing the overarching green wave there. A rise above the upper boundary of the Target Zone and a breach of resistance at 6,675 points would trigger our alternative scenario.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Selling pressure, gold price continues to fall below 3285?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices declined by nearly 2% on Monday, slipping below the $3,300 mark, as investor sentiment improved following U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to postpone tariffs on European Union imports. The renewed risk appetite, coupled with a modest rebound in the U.S. Dollar from last week’s losses, placed pressure on the non-yielding precious metal.
The move came after a weekend call between President Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, which resulted in the U.S. deferring the planned 50% tariffs on EU goods until July 9. The development eased global trade concerns, prompting a shift away from safe-haven assets—excluding the Greenback—and helped propel global equity markets higher.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Accumulated price zone around 3300, under selling pressure, mainly waiting for important economic news this week: GDP, FOMC
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3363- 3365 SL 3370
TP1: $3352
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3325
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3266- $3268 SL $3261
TP1: $3277
TP2: $3286
TP3: $3300
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU/USD continues sideways above 3200 zone⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
U.S. President Donald Trump stated on Monday that he does not anticipate reinstating the 145% tariffs on Chinese imports following the current 90-day suspension. In a Fox News interview on Wednesday, he emphasized the "excellent" relationship with China, which fueled trade optimism and weighed on safe-haven demand for Gold during the Asian session.
Meanwhile, on the geopolitical front, Russia and Ukraine are preparing for their first high-level, in-person negotiations since 2022, scheduled to take place in Istanbul this week. The talks come amid mounting international pressure for Moscow to accept a proposed 30-day ceasefire. Representing the U.S., Secretary of State Marco Rubio, along with special envoys Steve Witkoff and Keith Kellogg, are expected to participate in the discussions.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Accumulation price zone, gold price sideways around 3200 - 3270, balance between buyers and sellers
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3282- 3284 SL 3289
TP1: $3270
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3250
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3167 - $3165 SL $3160
TP1: $3178
TP2: $3189
TP3: $3200
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
CPI - inflation assessment, gold accumulation⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Swap markets have now fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, with expectations for two additional reductions by year-end. This marks a slight shift from last week, when traders had anticipated the first cut as early as July and a total of three rate cuts in 2025.
On the geopolitical front, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi stated on Monday that military operations against Pakistan are merely on hold, warning that future actions will depend on Islamabad’s conduct. Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed willingness to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin later this week, following US President Donald Trump's call for him to "immediately" accept a peace summit invitation in Turkey. Heightened geopolitical risks from these developments could fuel demand for safe-haven assets like gold, reinforcing the metal’s appeal amid ongoing global uncertainty.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
CPI assesses the level of inflation in the US economy, gold prices continue to strive to maintain the price range around 3200
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3281- 3283 SL 3288
TP1: $3270
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3250
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3176 - $3174 SL $3169
TP1: $3185
TP2: $3198
TP3: $3210
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Bears are active at the beginning of the week, prices are down⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The United States and China announced “substantial progress” following two days of trade negotiations in Switzerland, marking a potential turning point in efforts to ease tensions between the world’s two largest economies. Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng characterized the discussions as “an important first step” toward stabilizing bilateral trade, while US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent echoed the sentiment, noting meaningful advancements were made. The US is expected to release more details about the outcome of the talks on Monday.
While signs of progress may dampen demand for safe-haven assets like gold, lingering uncertainty around the specifics of any deal could still lend some support to the precious metal. “Ongoing ambiguity surrounding tariffs remains one of the most influential factors sustaining gold,” noted David Meger, Director of Metals Trading at High Ridge Futures.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The short-term downtrend is maintained, gold price accumulates around 3300 and continues to go down to lower support zones.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3315- 3317 SL 3322
TP1: $3300
TP2: $3290
TP3: $3280
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3223 - $3225 SL $3218
TP1: $3238
TP2: $3245
TP3: $3260
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
H4 frame accumulation 2 trend lines✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 05/12/2025 - 05/16/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices advanced over 1% on Friday, rebounding as the US Dollar (USD) softened following a two-day winning streak, pressured by declining US Treasury yields. Renewed risk-off sentiment, fueled by persistent geopolitical tensions, bolstered demand for the safe-haven metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading near $3,338.
US equity markets slipped as investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of Saturday’s high-stakes meeting between US and Chinese delegations in Switzerland. While hopes for a de-escalation in trade tensions remain elevated, uncertainty continues to dominate sentiment.
Adding to the volatility, US President Donald Trump reignited trade concerns by stating on social media, “80% Tariff on China seems right! Up to Scott B.”
🔥 Identify:
Gold prices slow down, starting to accumulate more. Trade negotiations will appear more, putting selling pressure on gold prices in the near future.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3402, $3435
Support : $3282, $3203
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Lack of bullish momentum, gold price waits, slight decrease✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 05/05/2025 - 05/09/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold (XAU/USD) slipped by more than 0.35% on Friday and is on track to close the week with a decline exceeding 2.5%, as easing trade tensions and upbeat US labor market data boosted investor risk appetite. This shift in sentiment encouraged profit-taking ahead of the weekend, weighing on the safe-haven asset. At last check, XAU/USD was trading around $3,226, pulling back from an intraday peak of $3,269.
Adding to the improved market mood, China’s Commerce Ministry confirmed that the US has shown a willingness to resume discussions on tariffs, while reiterating that Beijing remains open to dialogue.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price continues to adjust down, lacking momentum to increase price. around price range 3200 - 3350
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3285, $3316, $3355
Support : $3202, $3155
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold price heading below 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have signaled openness to potential interest rate cuts, a stance that could limit further upside in the US Dollar (USD) and lend support to the non-yielding Gold price. Additionally, growing concerns over the economic repercussions of President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff measures, combined with ongoing geopolitical instability, continue to bolster the appeal of safe-haven assets. In this environment, the broader bias for gold remains tilted to the upside, urging caution for traders considering bold bearish positions.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
continue sideways, price range fluctuates around 3300
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3382- 3384 SL 3389
TP1: $3370
TP2: $3360
TP3: $3350
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3294 - $3292 SL $3287
TP1: $3300
TP2: $3310
TP3: $3320
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold's short-term decline continues⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) regained strong upward momentum during the Asian session on Thursday, rebounding sharply from the previous day’s steep decline and ending a two-day losing streak near the $3,260 weekly low. The renewed buying interest comes amid lingering concerns over the protracted trade impasse between the US and China, following US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s comments indicating that the standoff could drag on.
Compounding market anxiety is the persistent uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump’s tariff policies and their broader implications for global growth. These factors have fueled a fresh wave of safe-haven demand, driving investors back toward gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Still under selling pressure, gold price is consolidating below the downtrend line. Trading around 3300 and lower.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3412- 3414 SL 3419
TP1: $3390
TP2: $3380
TP3: $3370
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3228 - $3230 SL $3223
TP1: $3240
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3260
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Gold begins to stabilize, trading around 2990⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) finds renewed upward momentum during Tuesday’s Asian session, appearing to end a three-day losing streak after dipping to a nearly four-week low around the $2,957–2,956 region on Monday. Investor sentiment remains fragile amid lingering concerns over a potential global trade war, triggered by US President Donald Trump’s sweeping reciprocal tariffs announced last week. Fears of a recession and heightened uncertainty continue to fuel safe-haven demand, helping bullion stabilize after its sharp pullback from last Thursday’s all-time high.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is in a correction downtrend, will continue sideways around 2950 - 3040
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3036 - 3038 SL 3043
TP1: $3020
TP2: $3005
TP3: $2990
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2962 - $2964 SL $2957
TP1: $2975
TP2: $2990
TP3: $3010
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
EUR/USD short on weekly chart
Stop Loss = 1.14925
Entry Order = 1.10425
TP1 = 1.05925
Two positions with the same stop loss and x1 target for the first position
The stop loss of the second position to breakeven when the first position hits the target1.
The second position has no target, only exit
Risk= 2% of account capital (1% each position)
Are These the Three Black Crows Signaling More Pain Ahead? The S&P 500 has just printed three consecutive long-bodied red candles following a brief uptrend. This classic "Three Black Crows" formation could be a powerful bearish reversal signal—one that historically hints at a deeper correction on the horizon.
📊 What does this pattern mean?
Appears after an uptrend or rally.
Consists of 3 bearish candles closing near their lows.
Suggests strong seller control and trend reversal potential.
🔍 Current context:
The S&P is already under heavy pressure from macroeconomic and geopolitical concerns.
This pattern adds further bearish sentiment, especially if we see continued follow-through on volume.
🚨 If confirmed, we could be looking at the continuation of a larger downtrend. But remember: confirmation is key. Watch closely how price reacts in the next 1–2 sessions.
🧠 Do you see this as a real warning—or just a pause before the next leg up?
#SP500 #ThreeBlackCrows #CandlestickPatterns #BearishSignal #TechnicalAnalysis
BTCUSD TOUCHED 85000 REVERSAL ?What’s up, traders? I’m here to drop free game, sharp analysis, and top-tier trade setups! 🎯 Let’s get straight to it:
🔍 Market Insight
🔸 BTC/USD has been consolidating since Friday night now it broke the consolidation and touched 85000 which was awaiting from long way we posted an idea with a buy entry but price missed our entry area and flyed
🔸 A liquidity sweep at 84789 on the 30M timeframe confirms smart money movements.
🔸 Strategy: After a liquidity grab, we shift to the 1-minute timeframe to confirm a Change of Character (ChoCh) for a sniper entry! 🎯
🔥 Trade Execution
✔️ Order Block marked at 84,900.
✔️ Sell limit at 84,900 – catching this right at the sweet spot!
✔️ Stop-loss 85,200 (-30 pips) to manage risk.
✔️ Take-profit 84,100 (+80 pips) – smooth 1:2.5 risk-reward!
📊 Technical Breakdown
🟢 Bias: Bullish – buyers in control!
⚠️ Lock in profits after 30 pips – don’t get greedy!
📌 Final Setup
💰 Sell Limit: 84,900
⛔ Stop-Loss: 85,200
🎯 Take-Profit: 84,100
💸 Let’s ride this move and secure the bag! 🚀💰 #CryptoSignals #BTCUSD #SmartMoney #ForexTrading
Bitcoin’s Final Surge? One Month Before the Post-Halving Drop!Bitcoin Halving Cycles: What History Tells Us About 2025
The Bitcoin halving is a highly anticipated event that occurs approximately every four years, reducing the block reward by 50% ⛏️. This supply shock has historically been a major catalyst for price movements. By analyzing previous cycles, we can attempt to forecast what might happen in the upcoming halving cycle of 2025.
Historical Performance of Bitcoin Halving Cycles
First Halving (2012)
365 Days Before Halving: 📈 +385%
365 Days After Halving: 🚀 +8069%
Peak-to-Trough Decline After Peak: 🔻 -76.98%
Second Halving (2016)
365 Days Before Halving: 📈 +142%
365 Days After Halving: 🚀 +284%
Peak-to-Trough Decline After Peak: 🔻 -82.88%
Third Halving (2020)
365 Days Before Halving: 📈 +17%
365 Days After Halving: 🚀 +559%
Peak-to-Trough Decline After Peak: 🔻 -75.64%
Current Cycle and 2025 Halving Expectations
- Last Halving Date: 📅 April 15, 2024
- 365 Days Before Halving: Bitcoin gained 📈 +130% from $28,827 (April 2023) to around $65,000.
- Projected 365 Days After Halving (April 2025): If history rhymes, we could see a price increase of around 📊 +72%, with a potential closure at the current Peak of $110,000.
- Post-Peak Decline Estimate: Previous post-halving peaks saw declines of 📉 75%–82%. With Bitcoin's all-time high around $110,000, a 🔻 75% drawdown would target a bottom of ~$30,000 before the next recovery cycle.
Key Takeaways
Bitcoin's price tends to rally leading up to the halving, but the largest gains historically occur in the year following the halving. 📊
Post-bull run drawdowns are severe with past declines ranging from 🔻 -75% to -82%.
While the Pre and Post-Halving theory suggests that the decline starts around 365 days after the halving, the full bear market typically unfolds between ⏳ 486 to 510 days post-halving. This aligns with the ⛓️ 70,000-block mark post-halving, as Bitcoin halvings occur approximately every 210,000 blocks. This means that while the peak may occur within a year after the halving, the deep bearish phase historically becomes evident around 1.3 to 1.4 years after the halving, reinforcing the long-term cyclical nature of Bitcoin’s market trends 🔄.
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin halving events are pivotal moments in the crypto market cycle 🔥. The data suggests that 2025 could see significant gains, but we should also be prepared for the inevitable correction that follows 📉.
What are your thoughts on the upcoming cycle? Share your insights in the comments!
Disclaimer
This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. The historical performance of Bitcoin halving cycles does not guarantee future results, and past trends may not necessarily repeat. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and investing in Bitcoin or any other asset carries risks, including the potential loss of capital.
Readers should conduct their own research, assess their risk tolerance, and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The information provided is based on publicly available data and historical observations, which may be subject to change.
Sources:
Nakamoto, S. (2008). Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System.
Bitcoin block time and halving data: Blockchain.com
Historical Bitcoin price data: CoinMarketCap
Bitcoin halving cycles and trends: Messari
Market performance metrics: Glassnode
By reading this article, you acknowledge that you are solely responsible for your own financial decisions and that the author assumes no liability for any losses incurred from trading or investing. 🚀
Double Top Pattern – A bearish reversal signalThe Double Top is one of the most well-known bearish reversal patterns in technical analysis. It signals a potential trend change from bullish to bearish and can provide traders with strong shorting opportunities when confirmed.
How It Works:
1- Formation: The price reaches a resistance level twice, failing to break higher, creating two peaks at a similar level.
2- Neckline Break: After the second peak, the price falls to the previous support level (neckline). If this level is broken, it confirms the pattern.
3- Bearish Confirmation: A breakdown below the neckline often leads to a strong downward move, as buyers lose control and selling pressure increases.
Key Trading Strategy:
✅ Entry: Enter a short position once the neckline support is broken.
✅ Stop Loss: Set above the second peak to minimize risk.
✅ Profit Target: The expected price drop is usually the same distance as the height of the pattern (from peak to neckline).
In the chart above, we can see a clear Double Top formation in the NASDAQ 100. After failing twice at resistance, the price broke support, confirming a bearish trend reversal.
Short AUDUSD The Perfect Storm: Stagflation, GeopoliticsIn a world increasingly defined by geopolitical volatility and economic uncertainty, a perfect storm is brewing, casting a long shadow over the Australian dollar. The confluence of persistent stagflationary pressures, escalating trade tensions, and a resurgent U.S. dollar is creating a formidable headwind for the AUDUSD pair. This article delves into the intricate web of factors driving this bearish sentiment, offering a comprehensive analysis for macro traders and financial viewers seeking clarity amidst market turbulence.
The Stagflationary Grip: A Global Economic Quagmire
The global economic landscape is ensnared in a precarious dance between "sticky" inflation and a palpable slowdown. Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) remains stubbornly elevated, while Producer Price Index (PPI) figures signal continued upward pressure on consumer prices. This persistent inflation, coupled with a weakening housing market, declining consumer confidence, and a sharp contraction in global trade activity (as evidenced by the plummeting Shanghai and China Containerized Freight Indices), paints a stark picture of a "Stagflationary Weakness."
www.census.gov
The Federal Reserve finds itself trapped between a rock and a hard place, grappling with the unenviable task of taming inflation while averting a looming recession. Policy missteps are increasingly probable, further amplifying market anxieties.
Geopolitical Fault Lines and Trade Wars: Fueling the Fire
Adding to the economic woes are escalating geopolitical tensions and trade disputes. The contentious US-Ukraine situation, heightened US-China strategic competition (including technology decoupling and potential military tensions in the South China Sea), and the ever-present threat of cyberattacks are creating an environment of heightened risk aversion.
President Trump's aggressive tariff policies, targeting Canada, Mexico, and China, have ignited fears of retaliatory measures and further disruptions to global trade flows. The market's reaction has been swift and decisive, with the S&P 500 experiencing consecutive weekly declines, reflecting growing investor unease.
The AUDUSD Under Siege: A Technical and Fundamental Breakdown
Against this backdrop, the AUDUSD pair is experiencing a decisive bearish breakdown. The U.S. dollar (DXY), fueled by its safe-haven appeal and the prevailing risk-off sentiment, is exhibiting robust strength, targeting 109.900. This dollar resurgence is exerting significant downward pressure on the risk-sensitive Australian dollar.
Gaining Traction Amidst Global Uncertainty
The AUDUSD has decisively breached the critical 0.64000 level, signaling a clear shift in market sentiment. While rising commodity prices, particularly in energy, have historically provided support for the AUD, the current environment is unique. Geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainties are overshadowing the positive impact of rising commodity prices.
Technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), confirm the bearish momentum. The 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages are all trending downwards, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Key Support Zone and Outlook:
We have identified a key support zone between 0.61435 and 0.60838. This zone represents a potential area of consolidation or a temporary pause in the downtrend. However, given the strong bearish momentum and the prevailing fundamental factors, we anticipate a continued downward trajectory.
Impact of Strong Dollar and Risk Aversion"
Traders should closely monitor the DXY and global risk sentiment for further confirmation of the bearish trend. Any sustained break of the 0.64000 level would confirm the current outlook.
The AUDUSD pair is currently navigating a perfect storm of stagflationary pressures, geopolitical risks, and a resurgent U.S. dollar. This confluence of factors has created a compelling bearish outlook, with technical indicators and fundamental analysis aligning to support continued downward momentum.
In this environment, vigilance and a deep understanding of the global macroeconomic landscape are paramount. Traders must remain attuned to the evolving geopolitical and economic narratives, adapting their strategies to navigate the turbulent waters of the current market. FX:AUDUSD CAPITALCOM:DXY
EUR/USD Rejection at Key Resistance – Bearish Drop Incoming?EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis 📉🔥
Key Observations:
Resistance Zone (Supply Area) 🚨
Price has tested a strong resistance level (marked by the shaded box) near 1.0500.
Multiple rejections in this area suggest selling pressure is strong.
Potential Reversal Setup 🔄
The price has wicked into resistance and started showing weakness.
A lower high structure could be forming, indicating a possible trend shift.
Bearish Outlook 🐻📉
A break below recent support would confirm a sell-off targeting the lower price range.
The chart suggests a potential move towards 1.0350 - 1.0300 levels.
The 200 EMA (1.0425) is acting as dynamic support, but a break below it will accelerate the drop.
Liquidity Grab & Stop Hunt 🎯
Price action could have trapped buyers before reversing.
A potential stop-loss hunt above the previous highs before a drop.
Trading Plan 💡
✅ Sell Bias: Look for confirmations like bearish engulfing candles or break below 1.0450.
❌ Invalidation: A clean breakout above 1.0510 cancels the bearish setup.
🎯 Target Levels: 1.0350, 1.0300.
🔥 Final Verdict: Bearish setup forming. Watch for breakdown confirmation! 🚀
Correction period of BTCAs of now i can see here in 1D chart market has broke its FIB level (0.236) 87,500$ , so there is a high probability that it may touch its next level which is (0.382) 73,750$ after its retest (91,000$ - 87,000$) region. After that market may show a NEW HIGH, but for that it should respect its next level (0.382) 73,750$. Which is also it's weekly Support level.
This is my opinion which may differ from yours.
Thank you.