PLTR at support and has high bullish sentimentShort Put : 18-strike expiring 4/16 for $0.69. Short 16 delta and has a 75% POP. It is also very cheap at $400 BPE for a solid 17.5% ROC.
This is a neutral to bullish play with a modest room to the downside and still profit from the trade. This will give you the highest possibility to win and the best part is that you don't need to predict the direction as long as it stays above $18. Close this at 50%-75% profit, 150%-200% loss or 20DTE, whichever comes first.
Shortput
SFIX Short PutSFIX gap down following disappointing earnings and not-so-bright forecast for the next quarter. Same thing happened with INTC twice over the last year and we saw how it was just an over-reactionary sell-off as it quickly rallied up after a continuation sell-off for a week or so. SFIX's fundamentals are solid assuming that shipping problems don't disrupt the business too much. It will most likely close the gap at around 42. It might also pull down a little bit more, but hopefully it won't go below $34. It gives us a decent range from $34-$42 to accumulate the stock. There is also heavy support around the $41.5 area with both a supply/demand zone along with the 200-day SMA.
Trade Ideas:
Shares: Accumulate between $34-$42 . SL below that if it does continue to fall further, which is unlikely but make sure the SL isn't too close to the bottom support. We should see a push up to $53.75, $65 and $72.5+.
Short Put: Medium Risk: 35 Strike for $0.85-$1 Cr. Aggressive: 40 Strike for $1.65 Cr. This can help you reduce your cost basis by at least $0.85 to $1.65 per share if you do get assigned. If you don't get assigned or the stock never dips that low, you get to keep the premium. It also only requires $385/$425 Buying Power which should yield a nice 22%/38% max ROC.
In either case, assuming you have at least 1 lot of shares, you can always sell 70%-80% OTM covered calls for more passive income while your stock appreciates.
Trade Idea (IRA/Retirement Account): EMB May 21st 103 Short Put.. for a .95/contract credit.
Notes: With a current yield of 4.032% (4.381/share annualized) versus a TLT (20 Year + Maturity Treasuries) yield of 1.607%, a play to acquire this emerging market bond fund at a 102.05 break even or below. On a one-lot basis, a bit buying power heavy, so consider acquiring a smaller amount of shares if it ever gets to around this level if short putting isn't an option here.
Me personally, just looking to deploy some idle buying power while I wait for an uptick in broad market volatility here in an underlying where, if assigned, I get paid to wait as I reduce cost basis via selling call against. An alternative go-to would be in HYG (current yield 4.676%; 4.142/share annualized), where I could see selling acquisitional puts in the low 80s (e.g., the May 83 short put (68 DTE) is paying .69 here.
Opening (IRA): IWM April 23rd 195 Short Put... for a 2.80 credit.
Notes: My weekly, 16 delta short put in the expiry nearest 45 days in the broad market exchange-traded fund with the highest 30-day (currently IWM). 1.46% ROC at max as a function of notional risk. 192.20 break even.
Alternative Trades:
IWM April 23rd 190/195 short put vertical, paying .64 at the mid price, 12.8% ROC at max on buying power of 4.35.
RUT April 23rd 1915/1965 short put vertical, paying 6.35 at the mid price, 12.7% ROC at max on buying power of 43.65.
Opening (IRA): GDX April 16th 27 Short Put... for a .42/contract credit.
Notes: With 30-day at 44.5%, adding some miners out in the April monthly on this weakness. 1.58% ROC at max as a function of notional risk; 12.82% annualized. As usual, will take profit on approaching worthless or roll out/take assignment and sell call against if in the money toward expiry (whichever pays more credit).
OPENING (IRA): GDX MARCH 19TH 31 SHORT PUT... for a .60/contract credit.
Notes: With 30-day at 36.7% and expiry-specific at 39.2%, opening a 19 delta short put with a 30.40 break even in the March monthly, since I've already got some on in February. 1.97% ROC as a function of notional risk.
Will run to approaching worthless and/or roll out if in-the-money or take assignment/sell call against (whichever pays most from a credit standpoint).
Opening (IRA): TAN April 16th 85 Short Put... for a 2.31/contract credit.
Notes: High 30-day at 63.7%. Going with the 17 delta strike in April. 2.79% ROC at max; 22.6% annualized as a function of notional risk. Will take profit on approaching worthless or take assignment/sell call against or roll if in-the-money toward expiry (whichever pays most).
Opening (IRA): SPY August 20th 250 Short Put... for a 2.60 credit.
Notes: Part of a longer duration retirement account strategy initially targeting the short put strike paying at least 1% of the strike price, after which I roll intraexpiry at intervals to realize gains and bring in additional credit (e.g., See Post Below).
Opening (IRA): LIT April 16th 54 Short Put... for a 1.20/contract credit.
Notes: Ranked second in my exchange-traded fund watchlist for 30-day implied at 57.1% (MJ's in first place at 73.1%), selling premium in the April monthly (45 Days 'Til Expiry). 2.27% ROC at max as a function of notional risk; 18.4% annualized.
OPENING (IRA): XLE APRIL 16TH 35 SHORT PUT... for a .93/contract credit.
Notes: With 30-day at 42.1% and expiry-specific also at 42.1%, going out to April (I already have some March on) to sell the 19 delta. 2.76% ROC at max. Just trying to keep theta on and burning. Trade management: run to approaching worthless or, if in the money, look at rolling out for a credit or taking on shares/selling call against (whichever pays more in credit).
OPENING (IRA): BA MARCH 19TH 170 SHORT PUT... for a 2.91 credit.
Notes: The highest 30-day IV Dow component at 47.1% and expiry-specific at 51.6% and with earnings in the rear view mirror. Still have a February 170 on, which I am running to approaching worthless. 1.74% ROC at max as a function of notional risk.
OPENING (IRA): SPY JUNE 21ST 245 SHORT PUT... for a 2.60 credit.
Notes: Targeting the short put strike in June paying at least 1% of the strike price in credit (See Post Below). Roll up intraexpiry at 50% max with > 45 days until expiry; pull off on approaching worthless and/or sell call against if assigned.
I would note that you will not make squat with this type of setup if you just set and forget it and everything expires worthless, since your ROC %-age is around 1% at max on fill in a cash secured environment. Consequently, you will have to monitor these positions and roll up the short puts at appropriate junctures in order to collect more credit and get a better ROC %-age as a function of notional risk and/or sell call against if assigned.
It is also probably better to deploy over time and on red days to take maximal advantage of implied volatility/heightened premium. I'm opting for being somewhat lazy here as I approach retirement, where I value my free time more than my screen time, so am looking for a setup that is minimally invasive of my time, does what I generally need it to do from an ROC %-age perspective, and keeps my buying power engaged and working for me, even if theta decay is slow.
OPENING (IRA): HYG FEBRUARY 19TH 83 SHORT PUT... for a .37/contract credit.
Notes: Selling the strike in the monthly that pays a credit > or = to the monthly dividend, looking to emulate monthly dividends without being in the actual stock. The weeklies, unfortunately, aren't as liquid as I would like, so will sell in the nearest monthly down to 30 days until expiry.
OPENING (IRA): IWM APRIL 1ST 200 SHORT PUT... for a 2.80 credit.
Notes: I've been neglecting my broad market 16 delta put selling in the expiry nearest 45 days 'til expiry. Here, opting for an IWM short put in the April 1st cycle, since it still has the highest 30-day out of the majors (SPY, DIA, QQQ, IWM). 1.42% ROC at max as a function of notional risk.