GU 1H Sell Idea 1/25/25Since price is rejecting a monthly consolidation zone from 12/1/23, I would like a retest on the bottom of my 8H level to continue bearish at least up to the Daily Consolidation Zone that was created on 1/10/25.
Lower Lows and Highs have already started to form on the 1-5m, while the 15m is currently consolidating at market closure on 1/24/25. Also, the W. D, 4H, & 1H have all rejected the Monthly Consolidation Zone as of 1/24/25 market closure.
If the higher time frames line up, the sells will be valid.
Shorts
BTC1! Bitcoin possible crash scenario.The BTC1! chart strikes me as particularly interesting because, unlike other BTC charts, professionals use Bitcoin futures contracts here to speculate on BTC's volatility or manage risk in larger portfolios. The trading schedule runs from Monday (opening at 5:00 PM CT) to Friday (closing at 4:00 PM CT). When the Monday opening price differs from the Friday closing price, a gap is created, which is often filled, as historical data shows similar occurrences.
Currently, there is an unfilled gap between 80,000 and 78,000. While it's not guaranteed that this gap will close, it's worth keeping an eye on that zone. Interestingly, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level also aligns with this area. Additionally, there's the 0.25 zone where we find an nPOC (naked Point of Control).
We could see a significant bounce of 20–40% from these levels. If BTC were to experience a 50% drop from the current point, it would bring us to around 54,000. Historically, it tends to have a substantial bounce whenever BTC has fallen more than 40%, making these levels worth monitoring closely.
NZDUSD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on NZDUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.5637 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.5606
Safe Stop Loss - 0.5653
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
DXY Dive Incoming? Watch the Liquidity Zones!From the higher timeframe perspective, DXY is currently hovering within a key monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), marked in red. This zone serves as a critical point of interest and could dictate the next directional bias for the dollar.
Key Observations:
Current FVG Zone:
-Price is consolidating within the monthly FVG. A close below this zone would provide stronger confirmation of a bearish move targeting lower liquidity levels.
Bearish Bias:
-The recent price action indicates weakness as sellside liquidity (SSL) is beginning to show signs of attraction.
-The presence of significant sellside liquidity targets below, including:
-105.411 (Weekly SSL - Sweep)
-103.370 (Weekly SSL - Next Zone)
-100.215 (Major Daily SSL Zone)
Messy Market Conditions:
-Due to fluctuating macroeconomic factors, including USD news events, we may observe temporary rallies or retracements. However, these are likely to form lower highs before continuing the descent.
Confirmation Levels:
-Bearish Confirmation: A daily or weekly close below the monthly FVG would solidify the bearish case, signaling that sellside liquidity at 105.411 and lower levels are likely next.
-Bullish Risk: If the current FVG holds as support and price pushes higher, we could see an attempt to retest higher zones (e.g., 109.535) before resuming downside momentum.
Conclusion:
The expectation is for DXY to drop towards sellside liquidity levels at 105.411, 103.370, and potentially as low as 100.215. However, traders should await a clean confirmation (such as a close below the monthly FVG) to validate the move.
DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade safely amidst potential market volatility!
Let me know if you'd like any refinements!
QQQ: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
QQQ
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short QQQ
Entry Point - 521.74
Stop Loss - 526.52
Take Profit - 512.96
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Potential bottom, turnaround; catalyst today?Buenos dias,
This stock is crazy and I won't get into the details except at high level: The stock has, until recently, only had ~6.5m issued shares. Some dingus (or genius) cashed in their warrants for ~130m new shares, which sent the trade volume into a craze the past few days. Yesterday GCTK was the most traded stock and the most shorted stock on NASDAQ. Today the market cap of the company based on issued shares is approximately $ 20m. We do not know if the original owner of the warrants cashed out, is holding, or plans to cash out, although they received an outsized portion of shares for their warrants and could dump on the market, although I suspect the massive volume is related to their offloading of shares.
Take a look at the larger chart - it has been dump city for years. So goes the life of a R&D company with no products. The company, however, has developed a novel diabetic monitor that is implantable, lasts 2-3 years, and gives real-time accurate data. This is an order of magnitude more efficient and capable than the best version of implantable devices today. The predict $ 1B in revenue early on after product launch.
Today, they are presenting their latest trial data, presumably from their human subjects, at a major biotech conference at 12:30pm Eastern. This will be their first human-based data release.
Taking a look at the past few days on the chart, despite a flood of new shares and despite a flood of shorting, the price has effectively triple bottomed at $0.11 and has withstood the great flood.
I suspect that this is a new floor, and we will see a period of upward price movement, likely preceded by a large spike today due to speculators. I believe shorters are massively offside here, and there is opportunity to make a significant gain today and potentially over the next few years. Once they go to launch their product, it will be too late for speculators to make massive ROIs.
WARNING: BTC USDT MOVE! US SELLS THEIR BTC (silk road BTC)💰 Current Bitcoin Price: Bitcoin is trading at approximately $93,456.76, with a 7-day decline of 3.54%.
📊 Macroeconomic Factors: Strong US economic data and inflation concerns have negatively impacted Bitcoin as the Federal Reserve moderates interest rate cuts.
💵 Global Liquidity: Bitcoin’s price is pressured by contractions in the M2 money supply, though historical trends show potential for recovery with increased liquidity.
😟 Market Sentiment: The Greed & Fear Index has shifted from extreme fear to cautious optimism, reflecting mixed investor confidence.
🪙 Investor Behavior: Exchange withdrawals are reducing supply, while profit-taking activities have influenced recent price corrections.
📉 Historical Patterns: January slumps are common for Bitcoin following US presidential elections, aligning with historical trends.
🚀 Future Outlook: Institutional interest and potential increases in global liquidity could drive Bitcoin’s price recovery and stability in early 2025.
STUDY TIME!
PS—preliminary support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
SC—selling climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes, as heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
AR—automatic rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR.
ST—secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at these levels. If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. It is common to have multiple STs after a SC.
Test—Large operators always test the market for supply throughout a TR (e.g., STs and springs) and at key points during a price advance. If considerable supply emerges on a test, the market is often not ready to be marked up. A spring is often followed by one or more tests; a successful test (indicating that further price increases will follow) typically makes a higher low on lesser volume.
SOS—sign of strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. Often a SOS takes place after a spring, validating the analyst’s interpretation of that prior action.
LPS—last point of support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume. On some charts, there may be more than one LPS, despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term.
BU—”back-up”. This term is short hand for a colorful metaphor coined by Robert Evans, one of the leading teachers of the Wyckoff method from the 1930s to the 1960s. Evans analogized the SOS to a “jump across the creek” of price resistance, and the “back up to the creek” represented both short-term profit-taking and a test for additional supply around the area of resistance. A back-up is a common structural element preceding a more substantial price mark-up, and can take on a variety of forms, including a simple pullback or a new TR at a higher level.
Note: Springs or shakeouts usually occur late within a TR and allow the stock’s dominant players to make a definitive test of available supply before a markup campaign unfolds. A “spring” takes price below the low of the TR and then reverses to close within the TR; this action allows large interests to mislead the public about the future trend direction and to acquire additional shares at bargain prices. A terminal shakeout at the end of an accumulation TR is like a spring on steroids. Shakeouts may also occur once a price advance has started, with rapid downward movement intended to induce retail traders and investors in long positions to sell their shares to large operators. However, springs and terminal shakeouts are not required elements: Accumulation Schematic 1 depicts a spring, while Accumulation Schematic 2 shows a TR without a spring.
Why OM Could Decline to $2 in the Short TermThe recent surge in OM token's price has been impressive, but market dynamics suggest potential risks of a short-term correction. Several factors could contribute to a decline in the price, possibly reaching the $2 level:
1. Overvaluation and Profit-Taking
The OM token has experienced a rapid and substantial price increase in a relatively short period. Such exponential growth often leads to overvaluation, where the market price outpaces the token's intrinsic value or utility.
Early investors and traders may begin to take profits, especially after significant gains, creating selling pressure that could drive the price downward.
2. Market Sentiment and Speculation
A large portion of OM's recent price movement may be driven by speculative trading rather than fundamental developments. If market sentiment shifts or a negative event occurs, speculative traders could exit their positions en masse.
A decline in trading volume or a reduction in bullish sentiment could exacerbate this effect.
3. Potential Lack of Immediate Utility
While OM is positioned as a significant player in the DeFi and RWA (Real World Asset) tokenization space, its current utility and adoption might not yet fully justify its market cap.
Investors might reassess the token's value relative to its actual use cases and market penetration, leading to a price adjustment.
4. Trend in Bitcoin (BTC)
Bitcoin, as the leading cryptocurrency, often sets the tone for the broader market. Currently, BTC is experiencing a downward trend, with selling pressure and weaker buying interest dominating the market.
A falling BTC price historically triggers corrections in altcoins, as investor confidence wavers and capital flows out of higher-risk assets like OM.
If BTC continues its bearish trend, it could significantly impact OM, amplifying existing selling pressure and pulling its price lower toward $2.
5. Broader Market Trends
Cryptocurrencies are highly correlated with broader market trends. In addition to BTC’s downtrend, other macroeconomic factors such as interest rate hikes, regulatory developments, or reduced liquidity in risk assets could further weaken the cryptocurrency market.
Combined with OM’s recent price surge, these conditions make the token more vulnerable to corrections.
6. Technical Indicators Suggest Overbought Conditions
Technical analysis tools such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) may indicate that OM is currently in overbought territory. Historically, such conditions are followed by price corrections.
Support levels near $2 could become the next logical target if resistance levels above the current price fail to hold.
7. Increased Competition
The DeFi space and RWA tokenization market are becoming increasingly competitive, with several projects vying for dominance. New partnerships, technological advancements, or announcements by competitors could divert attention and investment away from OM.
Conclusion
While OM has shown strong potential as a DeFi and RWA tokenization platform, the combination of overvaluation, speculative trading, BTC’s ongoing downtrend, technical indicators, and external market factors creates a compelling case for a potential short-term price correction. A decline to $2 would represent a natural retracement, providing an opportunity for the token to establish a more sustainable base for future growth. Investors should approach with caution and consider both the risks and opportunities in their investment strategies.
USDCAD: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the USDCAD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Correction to $850-920 essential for keeping the uptrend healthy- Price is overextended and investors are treating NASDAQ:COST as the growth stock than a safe quality stock. Price/Earnings ratio is around 60 which his historical high on the other hand the company is growing single digits.
- With wage growth stalling and with uncertain macro, it's unlikely that majority of people will stock groceries for a month in advanced. Many folks are shopping weekly/bi-weekly from Walmart instead.
Short Bitcoin (BTC) (For Study Purpose Only)Short Recommendation
Entry Level: Below $94,000
Stop Loss (SL): $111,111
This surge has been largely attributed to President-elect Donald Trump's pro-cryptocurrency stance, including promises of deregulation and the establishment of a national strategic Bitcoin reserve.
However, concerns are emerging regarding Bitcoin's current valuation. Analysts warn that the market may be overheating, with some predicting a potential correction of up to 35%.
COINTELEGRAPH
Additionally, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has stated that the U.S. central bank cannot hold Bitcoin, which has introduced uncertainty into the market.
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Cryptocurrency trading involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Ensure to evaluate your risk tolerance and conduct thorough research.
Ready to tape read Yen for the last hour of trading?? Hello fellow traders!
Let's observe Yen for the last hour of trading for 2024, that is, 0030 to 0130 New York time . My expectation is that the market will not break pdl , but we could see aggressive selling in the last hour. We've already taken buyside and I'm not expecting it to go above 158.082, which is the 26th Dec '24 high. Short term sellside objectives seem obvious. Do they seem obvious to you?
Not a trading advice.
Enjoy the holidays and wish you all a Happy and Prosperous New Year 2025!!
SUIUSDT - SHORTS and LONGS!SUI USDT is ideally at such a great position one can imagine to trade this coin as per the doodles drawn. 4.1234 ideal buys for buyers and shorters targets till there, i would inititate buys only when it reaches the point marked in green box, and anywhere if the purple doodle happens, would short from there if it happens, thats a more evident thing to happen!
AUDCHF The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDCHF below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.5674
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.5637
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CPOOL Hanging man CS more red to come?CPOOL on daily
The chart on CPOOL looks rather bearisch with high wicks and a massive hanging man candlestick.
After a nice run up this could signal the cool down for CPool. The RSI was overbought for a few days and did withdraw with a small way into the higher mid range before popping up again.
With BTC making new ATH the market is awaiting the storm as it seems.
Can we get a nice cooldown from here and see a nice entry or will CPOOL pick up the uptrend and steam on to new highs?
I would be carefull with leverage longs at this point
USOIL: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
USOIL
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell USOIL
Entry - 71.02
Stop - 71.82
Take - 69.48
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️