ES NQ AND RTY FUTURES QUICK OVERVIEW OF TODAY and LEVELS Areas of major interest from last nights and todays futures session. High probability levels to keep a close eye on for further developments.
Shorts
ES FUTURES QUICK LOOK AT TODAYS ACTION AND AREAS OF INTERESTFirst Video on Tradingview. Quick ES look at major levels and what to expect soon with a possible push up and a big selldown
ADA’s Long-Term Potential, But a Short-Term Drop Is ComingLooking at the crypto market right now, there’s a lot of uncertainty—and Cardano (ADA) is feeling the heat. Bitcoin is holding up well thanks to massive inflows into spot ETFs, but altcoins like ADA just aren’t keeping up. And that’s a problem.
Macroeconomic Pressure: A Tough Environment for ADA
One of the biggest factors weighing on ADA is the current macroeconomic landscape. Many traders were hoping for early interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, but that’s looking increasingly unlikely. Inflation remains sticky, and as long as rates stay high, speculative assets like ADA will struggle to attract fresh demand.
Another key issue is capital flow: Institutional investors are laser-focused on Bitcoin. We’re seeing billions pour into BlackRock and Fidelity’s Bitcoin ETFs, while altcoins are largely being ignored. ADA might have strong fundamentals, but without serious buying pressure, it’s hard to push the price higher.
Why ADA Is Particularly Weak
Compared to other altcoins, ADA lacks a strong narrative right now. Ethereum is getting a boost from the upcoming Dencun upgrade, and Solana is thriving thanks to high network activity and meme coin hype. But ADA? It’s been quiet.
Cardano has a dedicated community, which is great for long-term vision, but not ideal for short-term price action. Right now, the market is favoring assets with strong momentum and hype—and ADA doesn’t have that.
My Outlook: More Downside Ahead
Unless ADA can break above $0.835 with real buying volume, I see more downside risk. I expect a retest of the $0.66 level soon, and if that doesn’t hold, we could see a drop to $0.50.
Bottom line? There’s no strong catalyst to push ADA higher in the short term, while macro factors and capital rotation keep the pressure on. That’s why I’m shorting ADA and waiting for a shift in sentiment before considering a long position.
BTCUSDT 30 m - 1 h analysis
so at the beginning accept my apologize, my english isn't so good
as you can see on the chart the price has been created a channel and current price is at top line resistancs, and according to price action the last up wave is getting weak and this is a sign of downward trend,
i turn ichimoko cloud of so you can see better, but in ichi the span A is above span b but the kumo is weak and its highly possible to breake and at the same time we have a downward cross witch means that tenkan-sen break kijun-sen in 30 M timeframe
so i expect the price to go down and the targets are 95450 and if the price break 94786 the second target will be at 92000
what you guys think?
HMSTR risky short position as always The price has just hit the 1-hour aggressive bearish Order Block and is already showing some rejection, which could signal a potential move down from here. Based on this setup, I’m going for a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio, with my take profit set at the nearest supply zone. It’s a clean setup technically, but I’m keeping my expectations in check.
That being said, it’s important to remember that Hamster doesn’t have any real market cap, which makes it super easy to manipulate. This isn’t the kind of coin where you can rely solely on technical analysis—big players can move the price in any direction without warning. The lack of liquidity means even small trades can cause big swings, and it’s easy to get caught on the wrong side of a sudden move. So, while the setup looks decent, this is definitely a high-risk trade. I’m keeping my position size small and staying ready to adjust if things don’t go as planned. Always better to play it safe with coins like this.
XRP/USDT Short Opportunity: Daily CHoCH and Fresh Supply Zone XRP/USDT is presenting a high-probability short opportunity as it approaches key technical levels. A Change of Character (CHoCH) on the daily timeframe signals bearish momentum, while a fresh H1 supply zone at $2.42 could serve as a strong resistance point. With these factors aligning, a potential downside move to the $2.18 level is in focus.
Key Technical Factors Supporting the Short
Daily CHoCH Formation:
XRP/USDT has printed a CHoCH on the daily chart, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish market structure. This signals a possible trend reversal as sellers begin to take control.
H1 Fresh Supply Zone at $2.42:
On the H1 timeframe, a newly formed supply zone around $2.42 aligns with the bearish narrative. This zone is likely to act as a strong resistance, providing an ideal entry point for short positions.
Target Level at $2.18:
If the supply zone holds, the next logical support level lies at $2.18, making this a reasonable take-profit target.
Risk Considerations
Volume Confirmation: Ensure there is bearish momentum (increased sell volume) as price taps the supply zone.
Invalidation: A clean break above $2.45 would invalidate the short setup.
#APTUSDT expecting further decline📉 SHORT BYBIT:APTUSDT.P from $5.5950
🛡 Stop Loss: $5.7250
⏱ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:APTUSDT.P remains in a downtrend, forming lower lows. The price broke key support at $5.6600 and continues downward.
➡️ POC (Point of Control) at $5.94 indicates the highest liquidity zone, confirming a bearish market sentiment.
➡️ A breakdown of $5.5950 strengthens the downtrend, opening the way toward $5.2950, where buyers previously showed interest.
➡️ Holding below $5.5950 will likely accelerate selling pressure.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Enter SHORT after confirming a breakdown below $5.5950, signaling further downside.
➡️ Risk management through Stop-Loss at $5.7250, placed above resistance.
➡️ Primary downside target – $5.2950, where buyers may step in.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP1: $5.2950 – key support level.
📢 BYBIT:APTUSDT.P remains in a strong downtrend with no clear signs of reversal. If the $5.5950 level breaks with increasing volume, the decline may accelerate.
📢 It is crucial to watch the reaction at $5.2950—if significant buying interest appears, a short-term bounce is possible. However, if selling pressure persists, the price may continue to fall toward $4.3450.
🚀 BYBIT:APTUSDT.P remains weak - expecting further decline!
RNDR SHORT/LONGWe had a strong reaction from $3.5, with a bounce of nearly 50%. Currently, the price is at a support level of around $4.1.
From here, the price could either consolidate or gradually move lower toward $3.5, possibly even $3, as the Stoch RSI still has room to go down.
However, a short-term rally toward the 21 EMA on the daily timeframe ($5.6) is also possible.
I'm considering entering a short if the price makes a fakeout above the 21 EMA, targeting at least $4. After that, if the setup aligns, I would look for opportunities to scale into long positions. We also need to remember that on February 11, RNDR will release 0.10% of its total supply into circulation.
This could add some selling pressure, so it’s worth considering when evaluating potential price movements.
FORD WEEKLYRULES:
-If price break Point 2, 4, 6, or 8 cancel the setup
-Price needs to break Point 1, 3, 5, or 7 to confirm the setup
When price reach the 100FE(BLUE BOX) it normally does a pullback/retest or reversal
The market can Truncate(fall short)
#BILLYUSDT expecting further decline!📉 SHORT BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P from $0.00367
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.00390
⏱ 1H Timeframe
📍 Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P continues to trend downward, forming new local lows. After retesting the $0.00387 zone, the price failed to hold and dropped again, confirming seller dominance.
➡️ POC (Point of Control) at $0.00475 shows the highest liquidity area, positioned above the current price. This confirms a bearish market sentiment, as major trading activity is still concentrated at higher levels.
➡️ A breakdown of support at $0.00367 strengthens the downtrend, opening the way toward $0.00336, where buyers previously showed interest.
➡️ If the price holds below $0.00367 , further downside movement is likely, with increasing sell pressure.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Enter short after confirming a breakdown below $0.00367 , signaling further downside.
➡️ Risk management through Stop-Loss at $0.00390 , placed above the nearest resistance zone.
➡️ Primary downside target – $0.00336, where buyers may step in.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.00336
🚀 BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P remains weak — expecting further decline!
📢 BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P remains in a strong downtrend with no signs of buyer recovery. If the $0.00367 level is broken with increasing volume, the decline may accelerate.
📢It's crucial to watch the reaction at $0.00336—if significant buying interest appears, a short-term bounce is possible.
📢However, in the long term, there are no clear reversal signals yet, and long positions should be approached with caution.
BTC next moves for 2025? Will 2021 repeat itself? Let's see :) History repeats itself, but will 2021 cycle repeat itself?
If we break 90K next level around 70, but there are many longs down the line, liquidation and long squeez is likely leading us to 60 if not 50 ranges, a wick is expected then a retest to 90K levels to get rejection before final breakout to the all time trend prices likely around 115-120K.
The herd will get excited by then, expecting a price to go above 120K, but I don't see this happening. And small dream secret, Nakamoto to be revealed later this year leading to significant crypto crash.
I know many may laugh, but let's see how this go! It makes sense from technical POV (hahaha, except my dream which likely to happen - since I don't dream too often) - keep an eye on RSI to get back in 40s before refill.
This idea is valid only and only if BTC breaks 90K and closes both daily and weekly below it with some a high volume!
Desclaimer:
The ideas and strategies presented here are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You should consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this post is not liable for any losses or damages resulting from the use of this information.
DXY Dive Incoming? Watch the Liquidity Zones!From the higher timeframe perspective, DXY is currently hovering within a key monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), marked in red. This zone serves as a critical point of interest and could dictate the next directional bias for the dollar.
Key Observations:
Current FVG Zone:
-Price is consolidating within the monthly FVG. A close below this zone would provide stronger confirmation of a bearish move targeting lower liquidity levels.
Bearish Bias:
-The recent price action indicates weakness as sellside liquidity (SSL) is beginning to show signs of attraction.
-The presence of significant sellside liquidity targets below, including:
-105.411 (Weekly SSL - Sweep)
-103.370 (Weekly SSL - Next Zone)
-100.215 (Major Daily SSL Zone)
Messy Market Conditions:
-Due to fluctuating macroeconomic factors, including USD news events, we may observe temporary rallies or retracements. However, these are likely to form lower highs before continuing the descent.
Confirmation Levels:
-Bearish Confirmation: A daily or weekly close below the monthly FVG would solidify the bearish case, signaling that sellside liquidity at 105.411 and lower levels are likely next.
-Bullish Risk: If the current FVG holds as support and price pushes higher, we could see an attempt to retest higher zones (e.g., 109.535) before resuming downside momentum.
Conclusion:
The expectation is for DXY to drop towards sellside liquidity levels at 105.411, 103.370, and potentially as low as 100.215. However, traders should await a clean confirmation (such as a close below the monthly FVG) to validate the move.
DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade safely amidst potential market volatility!
Let me know if you'd like any refinements!
Energy Policy and USDWTIKey Entry Points:
Ideal Entry: $78 (Sell Position)
The $78 level was an optimal sell entry, primarily due to the declaration of emergency in the energy sector made by the new administration. This policy move is expected to increase energy production significantly. The current administration is heavily investing in the energy sector to mitigate price increases in other sectors, combat inflation, and maintain or reduce it. This macroeconomic context highlights why $78 was a strategic sell zone.
Current Entry Opportunity: $74 (Sell Position)
From a technical analysis perspective, $74 is a notable resistance level. While this level carries more risk compared to $78, it presents a viable sell opportunity due to price inefficiency beginning at this point. Observing the daily chart, we notice an efficient bearish trend with a clear price inefficiency that originated at $74. This inefficiency creates a strong resistance zone, making it a reasonable point for continuation to the downside.
Technical Analysis Across Timeframes:
Daily Chart:
The current bearish trend remains intact. The inefficiency at $74 reinforces the case for selling at this level. While not as secure as the $78 zone, it offers a good probability for a continuation to lower levels.
Weekly Chart:
The market is currently in an impulsive phase. However, no significant support or resistance zones are evident within this timeframe. This lack of structural confirmation increases the risk of entering at this level.
Monthly Chart:
The monthly chart shows a clear rejection from a downward resistance. This reinforces the bearish outlook and aligns with the target at $70.80, which represents a strong support level.
GU 1H Sell Idea 1/25/25Since price is rejecting a monthly consolidation zone from 12/1/23, I would like a retest on the bottom of my 8H level to continue bearish at least up to the Daily Consolidation Zone that was created on 1/10/25.
Lower Lows and Highs have already started to form on the 1-5m, while the 15m is currently consolidating at market closure on 1/24/25. Also, the W. D, 4H, & 1H have all rejected the Monthly Consolidation Zone as of 1/24/25 market closure.
If the higher time frames line up, the sells will be valid.
XRP TOPPED / CRASHED I have been following the rise and predictable fall of XRP using Murrey Math, Elliot Wave, and Kumar Wave. It was a very straight forward call. Do we have an echo and a retest coming. I think so, $2.40 next target down. But for now, let the market reflate before shorting. Will update.
BTC1! Bitcoin possible crash scenario.The BTC1! chart strikes me as particularly interesting because, unlike other BTC charts, professionals use Bitcoin futures contracts here to speculate on BTC's volatility or manage risk in larger portfolios. The trading schedule runs from Monday (opening at 5:00 PM CT) to Friday (closing at 4:00 PM CT). When the Monday opening price differs from the Friday closing price, a gap is created, which is often filled, as historical data shows similar occurrences.
Currently, there is an unfilled gap between 80,000 and 78,000. While it's not guaranteed that this gap will close, it's worth keeping an eye on that zone. Interestingly, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level also aligns with this area. Additionally, there's the 0.25 zone where we find an nPOC (naked Point of Control).
We could see a significant bounce of 20–40% from these levels. If BTC were to experience a 50% drop from the current point, it would bring us to around 54,000. Historically, it tends to have a substantial bounce whenever BTC has fallen more than 40%, making these levels worth monitoring closely.
EURJPY SHORTLots of sell pressure. Lower highs lower lows. Previous break and retest. Great area to short
NZDUSD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on NZDUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.5637 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.5606
Safe Stop Loss - 0.5653
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BULLISH TRIANGLE BREAKOUTOn H4 Timeframe bulls are incredibly dominant on Toncoin as a result of uptrend, on the other hand of the triangle, the breakout completely confirms the buy signal from 5.59
Follow for more ideas, Don't forget to boost this idea if you found it helpful
QQQ: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
QQQ
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
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Entry Point - 521.74
Stop Loss - 526.52
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Potential bottom, turnaround; catalyst today?Buenos dias,
This stock is crazy and I won't get into the details except at high level: The stock has, until recently, only had ~6.5m issued shares. Some dingus (or genius) cashed in their warrants for ~130m new shares, which sent the trade volume into a craze the past few days. Yesterday GCTK was the most traded stock and the most shorted stock on NASDAQ. Today the market cap of the company based on issued shares is approximately $ 20m. We do not know if the original owner of the warrants cashed out, is holding, or plans to cash out, although they received an outsized portion of shares for their warrants and could dump on the market, although I suspect the massive volume is related to their offloading of shares.
Take a look at the larger chart - it has been dump city for years. So goes the life of a R&D company with no products. The company, however, has developed a novel diabetic monitor that is implantable, lasts 2-3 years, and gives real-time accurate data. This is an order of magnitude more efficient and capable than the best version of implantable devices today. The predict $ 1B in revenue early on after product launch.
Today, they are presenting their latest trial data, presumably from their human subjects, at a major biotech conference at 12:30pm Eastern. This will be their first human-based data release.
Taking a look at the past few days on the chart, despite a flood of new shares and despite a flood of shorting, the price has effectively triple bottomed at $0.11 and has withstood the great flood.
I suspect that this is a new floor, and we will see a period of upward price movement, likely preceded by a large spike today due to speculators. I believe shorters are massively offside here, and there is opportunity to make a significant gain today and potentially over the next few years. Once they go to launch their product, it will be too late for speculators to make massive ROIs.
EUR USD H4 SELLA bearish medium-term structure has been confirmed to complete the correction, which will fall again
WARNING: BTC USDT MOVE! US SELLS THEIR BTC (silk road BTC)💰 Current Bitcoin Price: Bitcoin is trading at approximately $93,456.76, with a 7-day decline of 3.54%.
📊 Macroeconomic Factors: Strong US economic data and inflation concerns have negatively impacted Bitcoin as the Federal Reserve moderates interest rate cuts.
💵 Global Liquidity: Bitcoin’s price is pressured by contractions in the M2 money supply, though historical trends show potential for recovery with increased liquidity.
😟 Market Sentiment: The Greed & Fear Index has shifted from extreme fear to cautious optimism, reflecting mixed investor confidence.
🪙 Investor Behavior: Exchange withdrawals are reducing supply, while profit-taking activities have influenced recent price corrections.
📉 Historical Patterns: January slumps are common for Bitcoin following US presidential elections, aligning with historical trends.
🚀 Future Outlook: Institutional interest and potential increases in global liquidity could drive Bitcoin’s price recovery and stability in early 2025.
STUDY TIME!
PS—preliminary support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
SC—selling climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes, as heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
AR—automatic rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR.
ST—secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at these levels. If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. It is common to have multiple STs after a SC.
Test—Large operators always test the market for supply throughout a TR (e.g., STs and springs) and at key points during a price advance. If considerable supply emerges on a test, the market is often not ready to be marked up. A spring is often followed by one or more tests; a successful test (indicating that further price increases will follow) typically makes a higher low on lesser volume.
SOS—sign of strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. Often a SOS takes place after a spring, validating the analyst’s interpretation of that prior action.
LPS—last point of support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume. On some charts, there may be more than one LPS, despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term.
BU—”back-up”. This term is short hand for a colorful metaphor coined by Robert Evans, one of the leading teachers of the Wyckoff method from the 1930s to the 1960s. Evans analogized the SOS to a “jump across the creek” of price resistance, and the “back up to the creek” represented both short-term profit-taking and a test for additional supply around the area of resistance. A back-up is a common structural element preceding a more substantial price mark-up, and can take on a variety of forms, including a simple pullback or a new TR at a higher level.
Note: Springs or shakeouts usually occur late within a TR and allow the stock’s dominant players to make a definitive test of available supply before a markup campaign unfolds. A “spring” takes price below the low of the TR and then reverses to close within the TR; this action allows large interests to mislead the public about the future trend direction and to acquire additional shares at bargain prices. A terminal shakeout at the end of an accumulation TR is like a spring on steroids. Shakeouts may also occur once a price advance has started, with rapid downward movement intended to induce retail traders and investors in long positions to sell their shares to large operators. However, springs and terminal shakeouts are not required elements: Accumulation Schematic 1 depicts a spring, while Accumulation Schematic 2 shows a TR without a spring.
