BTC - ABC Correction to Absorb Long Liquidity Further to my previous recent post, I wanted to highlight two indicators that accurately present us with liquidity on the BTC chart.
Connecting the pieces of the puzzle of this prediction - this ABC correction pattern allows the market to absorb the Long position liquidity left in tact on the chart.
Since these long positions leave a trail of leveraged sell orders (stop losses) - we should expect a mass chain reaction of these orders setting off one into the next, with increasing speed and momentum of the drop.
We do not need a black swan event for this to occur. The orders are already in the chart to allow it to happen, as an adverse consequence to open interest and open traders positions during the last 2 years.
There is many confluences to support this correction pattern, if interested in learning more, see my previous posts on Trading View.
Enjoy!
Shorts
Trade idea: US30 short ( SELL LIMIT )Technical Analysis:
1. Daily Chart:
• Trend: Bearish correction after a strong uptrend.
• MACD: Negative, showing increasing bearish momentum.
• RSI: 38.25, indicating oversold conditions but with room for further downside.
• Price Action: The price has broken below the short-term moving average, signaling further weakness.
2. 15-Min Chart:
• Trend: Downtrend with lower highs and lower lows.
• MACD: Bearish crossover, confirming downward momentum.
• RSI: 62.60, indicating price has rebounded but is not yet overbought.
• Resistance: Around 41786, which aligns with prior price rejection.
3. 3-Min Chart:
• Trend: Recent short-term uptrend, but likely a retracement in the larger bearish structure.
• RSI: 77.65 (overbought), indicating a potential short opportunity.
• MACD: Bullish but losing momentum.
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Fundamental Analysis:
• Recent Market Sentiment: High volatility suggests caution. A larger correction is possible.
• Interest Rate & Economic Data: If the Fed remains hawkish, equities could see further declines.
• Geopolitical & Economic Risks: Uncertainty in global markets could weigh on the Dow.
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Trade Setup:
• Position: Short (Sell) US30
• Entry: 41750 (near resistance on the 15-min chart)
• Stop Loss (SL): 41880 (above previous highs, tight risk control)
• Take Profit (TP): 41450 (key support level)
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Trade Idea : US30 Sell ( MARKET)1. Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
• Trend: The index is in a broader downtrend, with a recent pullback from highs around 42890 to 42060.
• MACD: Deep in negative territory, suggesting bearish momentum.
• RSI: 43.01 — indicating it’s closer to oversold but still has room to fall further before a reversal.
15-Minute Chart
• Trend: Short-term uptrend, showing a rally from a dip around 40900 to 42060, but nearing resistance near 42145.
• MACD: Positive, but momentum appears to slow down.
• RSI: 61.29 — heading toward overbought territory, indicating a potential pullback.
3-Minute Chart
• Trend: Micro uptrend, but showing signs of consolidation after the recent strong push.
• MACD: Positive but flattening, suggesting momentum is fading.
• RSI: 60.10 — also near overbought.
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2. Fundamental Analysis
• Market Sentiment: Recent rallies seem more like a technical rebound rather than a fundamentally-driven bullish push.
• Geopolitical/Economic Factors: If the broader market sentiment remains uncertain (e.g., interest rate worries, inflation data), the US30 could face further downward pressure.
• Dollar Strength: A strong USD typically weighs on US equities, which aligns with the bearish technical outlook.
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3. Trade Setup: Short Position (Sell)
• Entry: 42080 (near current price, just under resistance)
• Stop Loss (SL): 42150 (just above the last 15-min resistance level)
• Take Profit (TP): 41700 (previous support on the 15-min chart) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
XRP Wave 2 or Wave B incoming Part 1Hello there,
I am presenting a bearish (short term; current post) count and a bullish count (in my next post). This is showing that we hit a truncated top (see previous posts; attached) and we are coming down in the $1.9 - $1.4 ish range to compete Wave 2 (or could be Wave B) of cycle. I see us pushing to the $2.9 - $3.2 ish range to finish the C wave of the Major wave B of the wave 2 before finishing. it seems to me that we are making a Flat in this sideways chop.
please review and ask me any questions
GOD BLESS AND TRADE ON
Stay Humble and Hungry
BTC FOMC FLASH CRASH / LIQUIDATION IDEAThe FOMC data this week could be a conduit that sticks the price to play down these two trend lines.
We can see the mass liquidity on the chart in these low zones.
Bitcoins consistent rise since late 2022 has been leaving a train of long stop loss orders (leveraged sell orders) underneath - think of the mechanics of “why it’s possible” as a massive chain reaction of stop losses getting fired off and creating mania and hysteria for further fear based selling.
If we see drops to these low zones, I’m presenting the TA evidence of it so that we know it’s not the bottom - but a liquidation move.
The worst thing people could do is sell at massive losses thinking BTC is going to zero.
I see this move occurring and following that over the next years, a BTC pushing upwards of those $140-$200k zones.
The market is interested in reclaiming this liquidity - we are awaiting the conduit or event to justify it.
This is my personal trading plan.
Happy trading to all and be safe out there.
How to continue to short (2)As in my last analysis, currently XAUUSDXAUUSD is about to hit that 2945-2948
Operation policy reference:
Short Position Strategy
1:XAUUSD sell@2945-2948 20%Transaction of funds , tp:2930-2920-2910
2:XAUUSD Buy@2910-2915 20%Transaction of funds , tp:2930-2945-2955
The Signals have timeliness , if you also need to get accurate signals every day,follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
If your account is still in the red, you need to pay attention to whether the resistance is valid. If the resistance is valid, there may be a decline. You can close your order on the decline and trade in the right direction again
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Short ( SELL STOP )Technical Analysis:
1. Trend:
• All three timeframes (H1, M15, M3) show a clear downtrend.
• Price has broken key support levels and continues to make lower highs and lower lows.
2. Indicators:
• MACD: Bearish momentum is strong across all timeframes.
• RSI: All readings are below 40, signaling bearish momentum with room for further downside.
• OBV: Declining, suggesting distribution and strong selling pressure.
3. Key Levels:
• Support: 2868
• Resistance: 2900 (recent swing high)
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Fundamental Analysis:
• US Dollar Strength:
• Higher probability of hawkish Fed rhetoric or strong NFP data leading to more downside in gold.
• Rising Treasury yields could put further pressure on gold prices.
• Risk Sentiment:
• Stronger risk appetite (equities rallying) often leads to gold weakness.
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Trade Setup (Short Position):
• Entry: 2885
• Stop Loss (SL): 2905 (Above resistance)
• Take Profit (TP): 2845 (Next major support)
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Short ( SELL LIMIT ) Technical Analysis:
1. Trend Analysis:
• H1 Chart: The price was in an uptrend but has started to weaken. The MACD is losing bullish momentum, and RSI is below 50, indicating bearish pressure.
• M15 Chart: The price has recently made lower highs and lower lows, signaling a short-term downtrend. RSI is below 50, and MACD is negative.
• M3 Chart: The price is breaking support levels and showing increased selling momentum. The MACD is bearish, and RSI is below 50.
2. Key Levels:
• Support: $2895 (near recent lows)
• Resistance: $2910 (previous structure level)
3. Momentum & Indicators:
• RSI is below 50 on all timeframes, confirming bearish momentum.
• MACD is negative on M15 and M3, indicating continued selling pressure.
Fundamental Analysis:
• US Dollar Strength: If recent economic data favors the USD (strong labor market, inflation concerns), gold could continue lower.
• Risk Sentiment: If markets are stable or risk appetite increases, gold may decline further.
• Interest Rates: If the Fed maintains a hawkish stance, gold could weaken due to higher real yields.
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Trade Setup:
• Entry: $2906 (near current price)
• Stop Loss (SL): $2913 (above resistance)
• Take Profit (TP): $2892 (previous support level)
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2
Execution Plan:
• Enter short at $2906.
• Stop-loss above resistance to avoid being stopped out by minor pullbacks.
• Take profit at $2892, ensuring a 2:1 RRR. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
BULL LOOKS PRETTY OVERAfter we had the gap at 78k, it closed as expected, and we saw a significant bounce. However, the bounce brought the price exactly to the gap at 93k xD. By the time CME opens tonight, the current price will have Bitcoin at 93k, creating a new, fairly large gap that will need to be closed between 84-93k.
GBPJPY trend continuation?Next week, we can expect the continuation of the trend. The technical analysis is fully explained in the chart, but what needs to be watched are the fundamental reports:
Manufacturing PMI on Monday, (impulsive move)
Tuesday nothing (correction move)
Services PMI on Wednesday, (impulsive move)
Jobless Claims on Thursday, (impulsive move)
and NFP along with Fed Chair Powell's speech on Friday. (impulsive move)
We expecting high volatility during news events. Trade what you see, not what you think.
#TAIUSDT – Bearish Scenario, Expecting a Downward Breakout📉 SHORT BYBIT:TAIUSDT.P from $0.11880
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.12155
⏱ 15M Timeframe
⚡ Trade Plan:
✅ The BYBIT:TAIUSDT.P price is in a downtrend, continuing to decline after testing the POC (Point of Control) at $0.13002.
✅ The asset is currently near the $0.11887–$0.12155 support zone, and a breakdown could trigger further selling pressure.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.11550
🔥 TP 2: $0.11305
📢 A close below $0.11880 would confirm the downward move.
📢 POC at $0.13002 acted as a major resistance where buyers were active.
📢 Increasing volume on the decline supports the bearish momentum.
📢 The first TP at $0.11550 is a level where partial profit-taking is recommended.
🚨 BYBIT:TAIUSDT.P remains under pressure – monitoring for a confirmed breakdown and securing profits at TP levels.
ADA’s Long-Term Potential, But a Short-Term Drop Is ComingLooking at the crypto market right now, there’s a lot of uncertainty—and Cardano (ADA) is feeling the heat. Bitcoin is holding up well thanks to massive inflows into spot ETFs, but altcoins like ADA just aren’t keeping up. And that’s a problem.
Macroeconomic Pressure: A Tough Environment for ADA
One of the biggest factors weighing on ADA is the current macroeconomic landscape. Many traders were hoping for early interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, but that’s looking increasingly unlikely. Inflation remains sticky, and as long as rates stay high, speculative assets like ADA will struggle to attract fresh demand.
Another key issue is capital flow: Institutional investors are laser-focused on Bitcoin. We’re seeing billions pour into BlackRock and Fidelity’s Bitcoin ETFs, while altcoins are largely being ignored. ADA might have strong fundamentals, but without serious buying pressure, it’s hard to push the price higher.
Why ADA Is Particularly Weak
Compared to other altcoins, ADA lacks a strong narrative right now. Ethereum is getting a boost from the upcoming Dencun upgrade, and Solana is thriving thanks to high network activity and meme coin hype. But ADA? It’s been quiet.
Cardano has a dedicated community, which is great for long-term vision, but not ideal for short-term price action. Right now, the market is favoring assets with strong momentum and hype—and ADA doesn’t have that.
My Outlook: More Downside Ahead
Unless ADA can break above $0.835 with real buying volume, I see more downside risk. I expect a retest of the $0.66 level soon, and if that doesn’t hold, we could see a drop to $0.50.
Bottom line? There’s no strong catalyst to push ADA higher in the short term, while macro factors and capital rotation keep the pressure on. That’s why I’m shorting ADA and waiting for a shift in sentiment before considering a long position.
BTCUSDT 30 m - 1 h analysis
so at the beginning accept my apologize, my english isn't so good
as you can see on the chart the price has been created a channel and current price is at top line resistancs, and according to price action the last up wave is getting weak and this is a sign of downward trend,
i turn ichimoko cloud of so you can see better, but in ichi the span A is above span b but the kumo is weak and its highly possible to breake and at the same time we have a downward cross witch means that tenkan-sen break kijun-sen in 30 M timeframe
so i expect the price to go down and the targets are 95450 and if the price break 94786 the second target will be at 92000
what you guys think?
HMSTR risky short position as always The price has just hit the 1-hour aggressive bearish Order Block and is already showing some rejection, which could signal a potential move down from here. Based on this setup, I’m going for a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio, with my take profit set at the nearest supply zone. It’s a clean setup technically, but I’m keeping my expectations in check.
That being said, it’s important to remember that Hamster doesn’t have any real market cap, which makes it super easy to manipulate. This isn’t the kind of coin where you can rely solely on technical analysis—big players can move the price in any direction without warning. The lack of liquidity means even small trades can cause big swings, and it’s easy to get caught on the wrong side of a sudden move. So, while the setup looks decent, this is definitely a high-risk trade. I’m keeping my position size small and staying ready to adjust if things don’t go as planned. Always better to play it safe with coins like this.
XRP/USDT Short Opportunity: Daily CHoCH and Fresh Supply Zone XRP/USDT is presenting a high-probability short opportunity as it approaches key technical levels. A Change of Character (CHoCH) on the daily timeframe signals bearish momentum, while a fresh H1 supply zone at $2.42 could serve as a strong resistance point. With these factors aligning, a potential downside move to the $2.18 level is in focus.
Key Technical Factors Supporting the Short
Daily CHoCH Formation:
XRP/USDT has printed a CHoCH on the daily chart, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish market structure. This signals a possible trend reversal as sellers begin to take control.
H1 Fresh Supply Zone at $2.42:
On the H1 timeframe, a newly formed supply zone around $2.42 aligns with the bearish narrative. This zone is likely to act as a strong resistance, providing an ideal entry point for short positions.
Target Level at $2.18:
If the supply zone holds, the next logical support level lies at $2.18, making this a reasonable take-profit target.
Risk Considerations
Volume Confirmation: Ensure there is bearish momentum (increased sell volume) as price taps the supply zone.
Invalidation: A clean break above $2.45 would invalidate the short setup.
#APTUSDT expecting further decline📉 SHORT BYBIT:APTUSDT.P from $5.5950
🛡 Stop Loss: $5.7250
⏱ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:APTUSDT.P remains in a downtrend, forming lower lows. The price broke key support at $5.6600 and continues downward.
➡️ POC (Point of Control) at $5.94 indicates the highest liquidity zone, confirming a bearish market sentiment.
➡️ A breakdown of $5.5950 strengthens the downtrend, opening the way toward $5.2950, where buyers previously showed interest.
➡️ Holding below $5.5950 will likely accelerate selling pressure.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Enter SHORT after confirming a breakdown below $5.5950, signaling further downside.
➡️ Risk management through Stop-Loss at $5.7250, placed above resistance.
➡️ Primary downside target – $5.2950, where buyers may step in.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP1: $5.2950 – key support level.
📢 BYBIT:APTUSDT.P remains in a strong downtrend with no clear signs of reversal. If the $5.5950 level breaks with increasing volume, the decline may accelerate.
📢 It is crucial to watch the reaction at $5.2950—if significant buying interest appears, a short-term bounce is possible. However, if selling pressure persists, the price may continue to fall toward $4.3450.
🚀 BYBIT:APTUSDT.P remains weak - expecting further decline!