How to continue to short (2)As in my last analysis, currently XAUUSDXAUUSD is about to hit that 2945-2948
Operation policy reference:
Short Position Strategy
1:XAUUSD sell@2945-2948 20%Transaction of funds , tp:2930-2920-2910
2:XAUUSD Buy@2910-2915 20%Transaction of funds , tp:2930-2945-2955
The Signals have timeliness , if you also need to get accurate signals every day,follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
If your account is still in the red, you need to pay attention to whether the resistance is valid. If the resistance is valid, there may be a decline. You can close your order on the decline and trade in the right direction again
Shorts
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Short ( SELL STOP )Technical Analysis:
1. Trend:
• All three timeframes (H1, M15, M3) show a clear downtrend.
• Price has broken key support levels and continues to make lower highs and lower lows.
2. Indicators:
• MACD: Bearish momentum is strong across all timeframes.
• RSI: All readings are below 40, signaling bearish momentum with room for further downside.
• OBV: Declining, suggesting distribution and strong selling pressure.
3. Key Levels:
• Support: 2868
• Resistance: 2900 (recent swing high)
⸻
Fundamental Analysis:
• US Dollar Strength:
• Higher probability of hawkish Fed rhetoric or strong NFP data leading to more downside in gold.
• Rising Treasury yields could put further pressure on gold prices.
• Risk Sentiment:
• Stronger risk appetite (equities rallying) often leads to gold weakness.
⸻
Trade Setup (Short Position):
• Entry: 2885
• Stop Loss (SL): 2905 (Above resistance)
• Take Profit (TP): 2845 (Next major support)
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Short ( SELL LIMIT ) Technical Analysis:
1. Trend Analysis:
• H1 Chart: The price was in an uptrend but has started to weaken. The MACD is losing bullish momentum, and RSI is below 50, indicating bearish pressure.
• M15 Chart: The price has recently made lower highs and lower lows, signaling a short-term downtrend. RSI is below 50, and MACD is negative.
• M3 Chart: The price is breaking support levels and showing increased selling momentum. The MACD is bearish, and RSI is below 50.
2. Key Levels:
• Support: $2895 (near recent lows)
• Resistance: $2910 (previous structure level)
3. Momentum & Indicators:
• RSI is below 50 on all timeframes, confirming bearish momentum.
• MACD is negative on M15 and M3, indicating continued selling pressure.
Fundamental Analysis:
• US Dollar Strength: If recent economic data favors the USD (strong labor market, inflation concerns), gold could continue lower.
• Risk Sentiment: If markets are stable or risk appetite increases, gold may decline further.
• Interest Rates: If the Fed maintains a hawkish stance, gold could weaken due to higher real yields.
⸻
Trade Setup:
• Entry: $2906 (near current price)
• Stop Loss (SL): $2913 (above resistance)
• Take Profit (TP): $2892 (previous support level)
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2
Execution Plan:
• Enter short at $2906.
• Stop-loss above resistance to avoid being stopped out by minor pullbacks.
• Take profit at $2892, ensuring a 2:1 RRR. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
BULL LOOKS PRETTY OVERAfter we had the gap at 78k, it closed as expected, and we saw a significant bounce. However, the bounce brought the price exactly to the gap at 93k xD. By the time CME opens tonight, the current price will have Bitcoin at 93k, creating a new, fairly large gap that will need to be closed between 84-93k.
GBPJPY trend continuation?Next week, we can expect the continuation of the trend. The technical analysis is fully explained in the chart, but what needs to be watched are the fundamental reports:
Manufacturing PMI on Monday, (impulsive move)
Tuesday nothing (correction move)
Services PMI on Wednesday, (impulsive move)
Jobless Claims on Thursday, (impulsive move)
and NFP along with Fed Chair Powell's speech on Friday. (impulsive move)
We expecting high volatility during news events. Trade what you see, not what you think.
#TAIUSDT – Bearish Scenario, Expecting a Downward Breakout📉 SHORT BYBIT:TAIUSDT.P from $0.11880
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.12155
⏱ 15M Timeframe
⚡ Trade Plan:
✅ The BYBIT:TAIUSDT.P price is in a downtrend, continuing to decline after testing the POC (Point of Control) at $0.13002.
✅ The asset is currently near the $0.11887–$0.12155 support zone, and a breakdown could trigger further selling pressure.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.11550
🔥 TP 2: $0.11305
📢 A close below $0.11880 would confirm the downward move.
📢 POC at $0.13002 acted as a major resistance where buyers were active.
📢 Increasing volume on the decline supports the bearish momentum.
📢 The first TP at $0.11550 is a level where partial profit-taking is recommended.
🚨 BYBIT:TAIUSDT.P remains under pressure – monitoring for a confirmed breakdown and securing profits at TP levels.
ADA’s Long-Term Potential, But a Short-Term Drop Is ComingLooking at the crypto market right now, there’s a lot of uncertainty—and Cardano (ADA) is feeling the heat. Bitcoin is holding up well thanks to massive inflows into spot ETFs, but altcoins like ADA just aren’t keeping up. And that’s a problem.
Macroeconomic Pressure: A Tough Environment for ADA
One of the biggest factors weighing on ADA is the current macroeconomic landscape. Many traders were hoping for early interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, but that’s looking increasingly unlikely. Inflation remains sticky, and as long as rates stay high, speculative assets like ADA will struggle to attract fresh demand.
Another key issue is capital flow: Institutional investors are laser-focused on Bitcoin. We’re seeing billions pour into BlackRock and Fidelity’s Bitcoin ETFs, while altcoins are largely being ignored. ADA might have strong fundamentals, but without serious buying pressure, it’s hard to push the price higher.
Why ADA Is Particularly Weak
Compared to other altcoins, ADA lacks a strong narrative right now. Ethereum is getting a boost from the upcoming Dencun upgrade, and Solana is thriving thanks to high network activity and meme coin hype. But ADA? It’s been quiet.
Cardano has a dedicated community, which is great for long-term vision, but not ideal for short-term price action. Right now, the market is favoring assets with strong momentum and hype—and ADA doesn’t have that.
My Outlook: More Downside Ahead
Unless ADA can break above $0.835 with real buying volume, I see more downside risk. I expect a retest of the $0.66 level soon, and if that doesn’t hold, we could see a drop to $0.50.
Bottom line? There’s no strong catalyst to push ADA higher in the short term, while macro factors and capital rotation keep the pressure on. That’s why I’m shorting ADA and waiting for a shift in sentiment before considering a long position.
BTCUSDT 30 m - 1 h analysis
so at the beginning accept my apologize, my english isn't so good
as you can see on the chart the price has been created a channel and current price is at top line resistancs, and according to price action the last up wave is getting weak and this is a sign of downward trend,
i turn ichimoko cloud of so you can see better, but in ichi the span A is above span b but the kumo is weak and its highly possible to breake and at the same time we have a downward cross witch means that tenkan-sen break kijun-sen in 30 M timeframe
so i expect the price to go down and the targets are 95450 and if the price break 94786 the second target will be at 92000
what you guys think?
HMSTR risky short position as always The price has just hit the 1-hour aggressive bearish Order Block and is already showing some rejection, which could signal a potential move down from here. Based on this setup, I’m going for a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio, with my take profit set at the nearest supply zone. It’s a clean setup technically, but I’m keeping my expectations in check.
That being said, it’s important to remember that Hamster doesn’t have any real market cap, which makes it super easy to manipulate. This isn’t the kind of coin where you can rely solely on technical analysis—big players can move the price in any direction without warning. The lack of liquidity means even small trades can cause big swings, and it’s easy to get caught on the wrong side of a sudden move. So, while the setup looks decent, this is definitely a high-risk trade. I’m keeping my position size small and staying ready to adjust if things don’t go as planned. Always better to play it safe with coins like this.
XRP/USDT Short Opportunity: Daily CHoCH and Fresh Supply Zone XRP/USDT is presenting a high-probability short opportunity as it approaches key technical levels. A Change of Character (CHoCH) on the daily timeframe signals bearish momentum, while a fresh H1 supply zone at $2.42 could serve as a strong resistance point. With these factors aligning, a potential downside move to the $2.18 level is in focus.
Key Technical Factors Supporting the Short
Daily CHoCH Formation:
XRP/USDT has printed a CHoCH on the daily chart, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish market structure. This signals a possible trend reversal as sellers begin to take control.
H1 Fresh Supply Zone at $2.42:
On the H1 timeframe, a newly formed supply zone around $2.42 aligns with the bearish narrative. This zone is likely to act as a strong resistance, providing an ideal entry point for short positions.
Target Level at $2.18:
If the supply zone holds, the next logical support level lies at $2.18, making this a reasonable take-profit target.
Risk Considerations
Volume Confirmation: Ensure there is bearish momentum (increased sell volume) as price taps the supply zone.
Invalidation: A clean break above $2.45 would invalidate the short setup.
#APTUSDT expecting further decline📉 SHORT BYBIT:APTUSDT.P from $5.5950
🛡 Stop Loss: $5.7250
⏱ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:APTUSDT.P remains in a downtrend, forming lower lows. The price broke key support at $5.6600 and continues downward.
➡️ POC (Point of Control) at $5.94 indicates the highest liquidity zone, confirming a bearish market sentiment.
➡️ A breakdown of $5.5950 strengthens the downtrend, opening the way toward $5.2950, where buyers previously showed interest.
➡️ Holding below $5.5950 will likely accelerate selling pressure.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Enter SHORT after confirming a breakdown below $5.5950, signaling further downside.
➡️ Risk management through Stop-Loss at $5.7250, placed above resistance.
➡️ Primary downside target – $5.2950, where buyers may step in.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP1: $5.2950 – key support level.
📢 BYBIT:APTUSDT.P remains in a strong downtrend with no clear signs of reversal. If the $5.5950 level breaks with increasing volume, the decline may accelerate.
📢 It is crucial to watch the reaction at $5.2950—if significant buying interest appears, a short-term bounce is possible. However, if selling pressure persists, the price may continue to fall toward $4.3450.
🚀 BYBIT:APTUSDT.P remains weak - expecting further decline!
RNDR SHORT/LONGWe had a strong reaction from $3.5, with a bounce of nearly 50%. Currently, the price is at a support level of around $4.1.
From here, the price could either consolidate or gradually move lower toward $3.5, possibly even $3, as the Stoch RSI still has room to go down.
However, a short-term rally toward the 21 EMA on the daily timeframe ($5.6) is also possible.
I'm considering entering a short if the price makes a fakeout above the 21 EMA, targeting at least $4. After that, if the setup aligns, I would look for opportunities to scale into long positions. We also need to remember that on February 11, RNDR will release 0.10% of its total supply into circulation.
This could add some selling pressure, so it’s worth considering when evaluating potential price movements.
#BILLYUSDT expecting further decline!📉 SHORT BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P from $0.00367
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.00390
⏱ 1H Timeframe
📍 Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P continues to trend downward, forming new local lows. After retesting the $0.00387 zone, the price failed to hold and dropped again, confirming seller dominance.
➡️ POC (Point of Control) at $0.00475 shows the highest liquidity area, positioned above the current price. This confirms a bearish market sentiment, as major trading activity is still concentrated at higher levels.
➡️ A breakdown of support at $0.00367 strengthens the downtrend, opening the way toward $0.00336, where buyers previously showed interest.
➡️ If the price holds below $0.00367 , further downside movement is likely, with increasing sell pressure.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Enter short after confirming a breakdown below $0.00367 , signaling further downside.
➡️ Risk management through Stop-Loss at $0.00390 , placed above the nearest resistance zone.
➡️ Primary downside target – $0.00336, where buyers may step in.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.00336
🚀 BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P remains weak — expecting further decline!
📢 BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P remains in a strong downtrend with no signs of buyer recovery. If the $0.00367 level is broken with increasing volume, the decline may accelerate.
📢It's crucial to watch the reaction at $0.00336—if significant buying interest appears, a short-term bounce is possible.
📢However, in the long term, there are no clear reversal signals yet, and long positions should be approached with caution.
BTC next moves for 2025? Will 2021 repeat itself? Let's see :) History repeats itself, but will 2021 cycle repeat itself?
If we break 90K next level around 70, but there are many longs down the line, liquidation and long squeez is likely leading us to 60 if not 50 ranges, a wick is expected then a retest to 90K levels to get rejection before final breakout to the all time trend prices likely around 115-120K.
The herd will get excited by then, expecting a price to go above 120K, but I don't see this happening. And small dream secret, Nakamoto to be revealed later this year leading to significant crypto crash.
I know many may laugh, but let's see how this go! It makes sense from technical POV (hahaha, except my dream which likely to happen - since I don't dream too often) - keep an eye on RSI to get back in 40s before refill.
This idea is valid only and only if BTC breaks 90K and closes both daily and weekly below it with some a high volume!
Desclaimer:
The ideas and strategies presented here are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You should consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this post is not liable for any losses or damages resulting from the use of this information.
DXY Dive Incoming? Watch the Liquidity Zones!From the higher timeframe perspective, DXY is currently hovering within a key monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), marked in red. This zone serves as a critical point of interest and could dictate the next directional bias for the dollar.
Key Observations:
Current FVG Zone:
-Price is consolidating within the monthly FVG. A close below this zone would provide stronger confirmation of a bearish move targeting lower liquidity levels.
Bearish Bias:
-The recent price action indicates weakness as sellside liquidity (SSL) is beginning to show signs of attraction.
-The presence of significant sellside liquidity targets below, including:
-105.411 (Weekly SSL - Sweep)
-103.370 (Weekly SSL - Next Zone)
-100.215 (Major Daily SSL Zone)
Messy Market Conditions:
-Due to fluctuating macroeconomic factors, including USD news events, we may observe temporary rallies or retracements. However, these are likely to form lower highs before continuing the descent.
Confirmation Levels:
-Bearish Confirmation: A daily or weekly close below the monthly FVG would solidify the bearish case, signaling that sellside liquidity at 105.411 and lower levels are likely next.
-Bullish Risk: If the current FVG holds as support and price pushes higher, we could see an attempt to retest higher zones (e.g., 109.535) before resuming downside momentum.
Conclusion:
The expectation is for DXY to drop towards sellside liquidity levels at 105.411, 103.370, and potentially as low as 100.215. However, traders should await a clean confirmation (such as a close below the monthly FVG) to validate the move.
DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade safely amidst potential market volatility!
Let me know if you'd like any refinements!
Energy Policy and USDWTIKey Entry Points:
Ideal Entry: $78 (Sell Position)
The $78 level was an optimal sell entry, primarily due to the declaration of emergency in the energy sector made by the new administration. This policy move is expected to increase energy production significantly. The current administration is heavily investing in the energy sector to mitigate price increases in other sectors, combat inflation, and maintain or reduce it. This macroeconomic context highlights why $78 was a strategic sell zone.
Current Entry Opportunity: $74 (Sell Position)
From a technical analysis perspective, $74 is a notable resistance level. While this level carries more risk compared to $78, it presents a viable sell opportunity due to price inefficiency beginning at this point. Observing the daily chart, we notice an efficient bearish trend with a clear price inefficiency that originated at $74. This inefficiency creates a strong resistance zone, making it a reasonable point for continuation to the downside.
Technical Analysis Across Timeframes:
Daily Chart:
The current bearish trend remains intact. The inefficiency at $74 reinforces the case for selling at this level. While not as secure as the $78 zone, it offers a good probability for a continuation to lower levels.
Weekly Chart:
The market is currently in an impulsive phase. However, no significant support or resistance zones are evident within this timeframe. This lack of structural confirmation increases the risk of entering at this level.
Monthly Chart:
The monthly chart shows a clear rejection from a downward resistance. This reinforces the bearish outlook and aligns with the target at $70.80, which represents a strong support level.
GU 1H Sell Idea 1/25/25Since price is rejecting a monthly consolidation zone from 12/1/23, I would like a retest on the bottom of my 8H level to continue bearish at least up to the Daily Consolidation Zone that was created on 1/10/25.
Lower Lows and Highs have already started to form on the 1-5m, while the 15m is currently consolidating at market closure on 1/24/25. Also, the W. D, 4H, & 1H have all rejected the Monthly Consolidation Zone as of 1/24/25 market closure.
If the higher time frames line up, the sells will be valid.