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Analysis of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)Technical Analysis Monthly Chart: Since January 2023, the DXY has been moving within a range. The upper boundary of this range was marked by the 107.348 level, which has now been cleared. This breach of the previous high suggests that liquidity above the range has been taken, signaling the potential for a downside move. Historically, such liquidity grabs often precede significant reversals, aligning with the current bearish setup. Daily Chart: On the daily timeframe, the DXY displayed a sharp decline after taking out its last significant high. This aggressive sell-off has formed a strong bearish pattern, indicating a potential continuation to the downside. The presence of strong bearish momentum highlights sellers' dominance in the current market conditions, reinforcing the bearish outlook initiated by the liquidity grab on the monthly chart. Price Targets: Short-Term Target: A move toward 104.636 is expected as the DXY continues its bearish momentum, which aligns with immediate support and prior structural lows. Medium-to-Long-Term Target: If the bearish trajectory persists, the DXY could reach the 101.917 level, which aligns with a significant support zone from previous price action. This target reflects the potential for extended downside in a broader bearish scenario. Fundamental Analysis Federal Reserve and Interest Rates: Recent minutes from the Federal Reserve highlight concerns about continuing rate cuts due to the potential risks they pose to inflation. The Fed has signaled that further rate reductions would only be considered if both the labor market weakens and inflation continues to decline. However, these two factors are closely intertwined. Labor Market Conditions: Historically, the months of November and December exhibit strong employment trends due to holiday hiring. This seasonality reduces the likelihood of immediate rate cuts, as a robust labor market typically does not align with the conditions necessary for easing monetary policy. Inflation Outlook: For the Fed to proceed with aggressive rate cuts, inflation figures would need to remain stable or show further declines. If unemployment rises and inflation remains under control, the Fed may have room for another round of cuts. Such a scenario would support a long-term bearish outlook for the DXY, as lower interest rates reduce demand for the U.S. dollar. Summary and Outlook Technically, the DXY is positioned for further downside following the liquidity grab above the 107.348 level and the subsequent bearish pattern on the daily chart. Fundamentally, while seasonal strength in the labor market may delay immediate bearish moves, the broader macroeconomic context suggests that eventual rate cuts are likely. Key factors to monitor include: Unemployment data in the coming months. Inflation trends to confirm stability or further declines. Any changes in the Fed’s tone regarding rate policy. Price Expectations: In the short term, we could see the DXY reach 104.636, reflecting a retracement toward a key support zone. In the medium to long term, the DXY is likely to target 101.917, aligning with major support from prior price structures and further confirming the bearish outlook. If unemployment begins to rise and inflation remains under control, these targets become even more probable, reinforcing the alignment between technical and fundamental factors.
TVC:DXYShort
by Wiiso
She Say A BOOM,BOOM... Now, I Say BOOMYES! Old CoinSLayer learned his lesson on this one! haha I must say that moment in time sure did sting EEEP 😬 Well any who I got my bags packed and I ama ready to go very nice! Interstellar mission and #XRP ani't the only ship I'm flyin in... YOLO Moonboyz🌛 If you feel so inclined to do so. 🚽👄Toilet Mouth: "Why do all your post say Short!?" ⭐Not my job to tell you to buy or sell entries matter to most I only care about my exits. ⭐Let each person determine their cost to acquire and choice to play or not. No Advice to give just thoughts that I can't shake after the last 8 years in the world of "CRYPTO" Things 🤷‍♂️ #Fixed IDK! 🙏 FOR JUST A HEALTHLY PULLBACK! Teeheeheeee ""KEEP CALM AND MANAGE THY RISK & BALANCE your Senses!"" I am The CoinSLayer New And Improved 👨‍💻😈 P.S. Now witha bag! P.S.S. well two or Ten
BINANCE:LINKUSDShort
by BradySWilliams
23
XRP - Short term Bearish - long term BullishHey Trader! Is now the right time to buy some XRP? Let’s take a closer look. XRP/USDT - Symmetrical Triangle Suggests a Breakout Is Coming XRP/USDT is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle on the 1-hour chart—a classic pattern that reflects market indecision and often signals an impending breakout. The price is trading between critical support at $1.29 and resistance at $1.54 , with a broader resistance level at $1.64 , representing a recent high. This phase of consolidation suggests the market is gearing up for a decisive move, either up or down. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 36.96 , indicating bearish momentum but approaching oversold territory. If the RSI dips below 30 , it could signal that sellers are losing strength, increasing the likelihood of a rebound. However, for a stronger bullish case, the RSI would need to rise above 50 , as bearish sentiment still dominates for now. From a technical standpoint, a bullish breakout would occur if the price pushes above the triangle’s upper boundary and clears the $1.54 resistance. This could pave the way for a move toward $1.64 or higher. Conversely, a bearish breakdown below the $1.29 support would confirm sellers' dominance, potentially triggering a drop to lower levels. This symmetrical triangle highlights a period of consolidation and mounting tension, with a breakout imminent. Traders should pay close attention to the direction of the breakout to position themselves accordingly. Will the bulls regain control and push XRP higher, or will the bears take the upper hand? Stay tuned—this is a setup you don’t want to miss! 🚀📉
Short
by Aksel_Rom
3
What are your thoughts on Gold? Possible Rally??Could we see a rally back to Structure break or Area of Interest??? -Price has broken through and retested Bullish Trend line -Price has broken through Structure Swing Low - LH Created Thesis: Wait for price to pull back to 1)Structure break or 2) Area of interest Notes: bearish run is rejecting Daily lvl 2558 W/ Massive rejection wick. 1) Rally to Area of Interest would be around 50% prz. (Head & Shoulders R Pattern) 2) Rally to Structure low (MSS) would be a 23.6prz.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by brianfj
4
US DollarLooking at historical events, Specially heading into 2025 as a year where we could see sharp declines in the stock market as rebalancing commences early in 2025. The US dollar has enjoyed a lot of support over the last couple of months. and could still enjoy more, but as a long term investor and position trader im not interested in buying USD at these levels as COT index is showing imminent signs of reversals coming. Coupled with Seasonality it could happen in December. ill await clearer shifts on lower time frames for an entry. retail traders also are 80% long EURUSD, the moment they start selling i will buy and hold.
TVC:DXYShort
by Mike_SnD
1
What are your thoughts on what's to come for SPX500?I think we're in for a sell to the previous structure high. Obviously a "Counter trend entry" to ride until we return bullish. Just my Thoughts.....What's your opinion? Thesis: Bearish Bias break and retest (however either play is at hand). Wait for a break and retest Notes: Every Bull run has had a correction to the previous structure high. Following that trend. A Retest would be a 50% prz. for the recent move and right around 23.6% prz for the entire move. Daily: Bullish, Trading in a minor consolidation for the past few days. -Reversal pattern with Doji (Loss of momentum) & Bearish Hammer. -Con: Seller Exhaustion wicks under support H4: Bullish ( **Hidden Bearish Divergence @ Minor resistance lvl) look for possible sell off H1: Bullish
BLACKBULL:SPX500Short
by brianfj
7
Pepsi Co to test 157$ resistance, what's next?Pepsi co had a steady bull run from March of 2020 to May 2023, where the price doubled in a span of three years after testing it's long term support line in March of 2020 at 100$. Since May 2023, the price is in a downtrend and even Trump pump did not help it! Currently price is about to test its short term resistance at 157$. This price coincides with 0.382 fibonacci retracement level. If the price holds there, there might be a chance for Pepsi co to break out of the downtrend and start a bull run. However, if the resistance does not hold and price fall below 150$, we are probably going to test the long term trend line (green line) which has been a support since market crash of 2009. If that happens, then we will be looking at prices around 130$ per share. This price is retracement level of 0.618 of fibonacci level.
NASDAQ:PEPShort
by Mo_reza_kaz
XAU/USD to continue dropping?From both technical and fundamental analysis I believe we should be seeing the beginning of a gold drop. Gold has been nothing but bullish with extreme euphoric movement. Following Donald Trumps win in the American election we can expect the dollar to begin its bullish ascent meaning that its time for the XAU/USD to finally start its descent. from my charts we can see that I predict a slight bullish move from the market open reacting of an 8H Imbalance taking Asian high liquidity from the upside and reacting from another 8H IMB to ultimately continue in its downtrend at least until the daily zone that caused a previous break of structure to the upside.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JamelCapital
$IONQ : 5 REASONS TO BE CAUTIOS! BUYERS BEWARE! NYSE:IONQ 5 REASONS TO BE CAUTIOS! BUYERS BEWARE! 5 REASONS WHY: 1⃣ We have a flag pole pattern. The last flag pole pattern in 2023 had the same 937 bar run before it pulled back. 2⃣ Had a Multi-year Symmetrical breakout but needed to retest the breakout area. 3⃣ RSI is running into resistance 4⃣ Stochastic (Trend) is at all-time highs 5⃣ William R is hitting resistance where the stock has bounced off 4 other times. I like the name and want to HOP on this move higher, but I'm not going to jump on a flag pole without a parachute. I'm targeting PULLBACK and an entry price of $13-$14. Stay tuned for more!🔔 Like ❤️ Follow 🤳 Share 🔂 Will the Flag Pole get bigger, or do you agree we are due for a pullback? What other stocks do you want to see an analysis of? Not financial advice.
NYSE:IONQShort
by RonnieV29
DIXON Short Setup: Evening Star & Potential HNS with Trendline Weekly Analysis Pattern Observed: Evening Star on Weekly Timeframe Additional Insights - The Evening Star pattern tends to be more reliable on Daily and Weekly timeframes, making this setup particularly noteworthy for swing traders. Trade Setup 1. Entry: Enter after a decisive break below the low of the third (red) candle in the Evening Star pattern. - Alternatively, you may enter on the fourth candle if it signals a reversal, with a stop loss set according to your risk tolerance. 2. Stop Loss (SL): Can be set based on your risk preference, usually just above the high of the Evening Star pattern. 3. Target (TGT): Consider scaling out at key support levels or use the measured HNS target as detailed below if the formation completes. --- Potential Head and Shoulders (HNS) Formation Trade Setup for HNS Pattern: 1. Entry : Enter when price decisively breaks below the neckline on a closing basis. 2. Target (TGT): Measure the distance from the top of the head to the neckline and project it downwards from the neckline for your target. 3. Stop Loss (SL): Place the stop above the head of the HNS pattern. --- Additional Confirmation I've drawn a trendline to monitor for a potential breakdown. If either the Evening Star or HNS pattern aligns with a trendline break, it would serve as an additional confirmation for a short position. --- This setup combines a confluence of technical factors, making it robust for weekly trading decisions. Comments and thoughts welcome! IMPORTANT THINGS TO REMEMBER 1. Don't be fooled by opearators Theyll try it take it up to sell 2. Don't be a hero, follow SL with 1% extra loss max. (as setup is on Weekly TF)
NSE:DIXONShort
by The2PercentTrader
1
GBPJPYHello guys TechPips here this is my personal view on gbpjpy market as been bullish on daily and they are beginning to lose momentum or Liquidity since new high as been created so I am expecting a bearish run on daily in this new week we are entering so in my 1hr timeframe I am expecting the bears to break the trend and redirect the trend then I will look for an entry to swing for few days. NOTE : Risk management is Important in trading so kindly apply it if you are join the ride. All action made by you based on your capital is your responsibility so trade with caution and be smart in taking trades.
Short
by Skul_Fx