Shortsetup
SHORT ON EUR/USDEUR/USD has finally given a change of character to the downside and is currently pulling back into a supply area.
The dollar is gaining strength due to Tariffs and looks like it will rise.
I will be selling EUR/USD with a sell limit order looking to catch over 200-300 pips over the next few days.
XAUUSD Trading Trend Today - Stable Awaiting US NF🔔🔔🔔 AUD/USD news:
➡️ The Trump administration announced that the US would impose a base tariff rate of 10% on all imports into the country. China was particularly affected, facing tariffs of at least 54% on many items. In response, the Chinese government threatened retaliation after Trump imposed the highest US tariffs on any nation. This, in turn, could put some downward pressure on the Australian dollar, as China is Australia's main trading partner.
➡️ However, positive economic data from China could help limit the losses of the AUD. China's Caixin Services PMI improved to 51.9 in March, up from 51.4 in February, surpassing the expected 51.6.
Personal opinion:
➡️ AUD/USD will move in a sideways trend and wait for the US NF news to create momentum for the next trend.
➡️ Moreover, the RSI is approaching the oversold zone, showing signs of a slowdown from the sellers. need to pay attention to the bullish reversal point of this zone
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and Volume profile combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy AUD/USD 0.6265 – 0.6255
❌SL: 0.6230 | ✅TP: 0.6320 – 0.6345
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
AUD/USD Trend Before and After Tariff Announcement✍ ✍ ✍ AUD/USD news:
➡️ AUD/USD is struggling to extend its previous day's recovery and remains below the 0.6300 mark early on Wednesday, as markets await U.S. President Trump's tariff announcement later in the day. However, buyers continue to find support from optimism surrounding Chinese stimulus measures and the RBA's cautious stance on policy outlook.
➡️ Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve (Fed) faces a challenging task: ongoing trade tensions could drive higher inflation, potentially justifying prolonged rate hikes. However, early signs of a cooling U.S. economy suggests the need for restraint, even as labor market data remains solid.
➡️ During its March 19 meeting, the Fed kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25–4.50% and reiterated its patient "wait-and-see" approach. Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized the need for caution, highlighting forecasts that indicate slower growth and slightly higher inflation—some of which could be exacerbated by the upcoming tariffs.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The Australian Dollar has a 2-day winning streak, but this currency still depends on the developments of global trade tensions, China's growth prospects and central bank policy moves
➡️ Technically, AUD/USD has entered the overbought zone and is showing signs of decline. Therefore, it is difficult to maintain the upward momentum in the short term, especially with the upcoming US tariff announcement.
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell AUD/USD 0.6295 - 0.6310
❌SL: 0.6335 | ✅TP: 0.6255 - 0.6225
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Gold Trend Before Tariffs Announced✍ ✍ ✍ Gold news:
➡️ Gold prices fell on Tuesday as traders took profits while awaiting Liberation Day on April 2 in the United States, an event where President Donald Trump is expected to announce additional tariffs aimed at addressing trade deficit imbalances.
➡️ Market sentiment remains mixed, as reflected in U.S. stock markets. Investors are anticipating the latest U.S. tariffs set to be announced on Wednesday, with speculation that they will be applied globally and could reach up to 20%, according to The Washington Post.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The uptrend remains strongly reinforced as gold fails to break below the 3100 level. Currently, buyers are taking a break and watching tariff news, so a new ATH is unlikely. The market is expected to move in the range of 3100 - 3150, you should consider strong support - resistance zones to make the best profit
➡️ Analyze based on important support resistance levels and Volume profile combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Resistance zone: 3132 - 3148
Support zone: 3122 - 3113 - 3100
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3112 - 3114 (Scalping)
❌SL: 3109 | ✅TP: 3117 - 3120 - 3125
👉Sell Gold 3147- 3149
❌SL: 3154| ✅TP: 3143 – 3137 – 3130
👉Buy Gold 3100 - 3098
❌SL: 3093| ✅TP: 3106 – 3112 – 3118
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Layer - ShortDear my friends,
I’m observing the Layer chart on larger timeframes. And when switching to the daily timeframe, my perspective becomes quite clear. With the RSI having dropped below support along with a divergence between price and RSI, I’m seeing two support zones that the Layer price might return to: $1.18 or $1.09. I’ll short here and wait for the price to move to these two zones before making my next decision.
Best Regards,
#AI16ZUSDT remains in a bearish momentum
📉 SHORT BYBIT:AI16ZUSDT.P from $0.1544
⚡️ Stop loss $0.1582
🕒 Timeframe: 1H
✅ Overview BYBIT:AI16ZUSDT.P
➡️ Price continues in a downtrend, breaking key support levels.
➡️ POC: $0.1615 marks a high-volume area where price was rejected, indicating strong selling pressure.
➡️ Resistance at $0.1582 — expect rejection on retest.
➡️ Entry zone: $0.1544, but wait for confirmation before entering!
➡️ Targeting TP1: $0.1510 and TP2: $0.1485 on further downside movement.
📍 Important Note: Watch for confirmation levels before entering! Do not enter too early.
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.1510
💎 TP 2: $0.1485
⚡️ Plan:
➡️ Wait for confirmation before entering at $0.1544.
➡️ Stop loss $0.1582 — above resistance.
➡️ Take profits at $0.1510 and $0.1485.
🚀 BYBIT:AI16ZUSDT.P remains in a bearish momentum — follow the plan after confirmation!
USD/JPY - ShortWeekly (Bias Validation)
- Price between EMAs → ❌ Ranging
- Major Swing Point High: 158.880 Low: 146.543
D1 (Daily): Trend Bias
- Price below 200EMA & 50EMA on D1 → ✅ Bearish Bias
- Major Swing Point High: 154.804 Low: 146.543
- ✅ Break of Structure (BoS) + Volume Imbalance
- Price below Weekly VWAP → ✅ Bearish Bias
H4 (4-Hour): Trend Bias
- Price below 200EMA & 50EMA on D1 → ✅ Bearish Bias
- Major Swing Point High: 151.214 Low: 149.684
- ✅ Break of Structure (BoS) + Volume Imbalance
- Price below Weekly VWAP → ✅ Bearish Bias
- High-Probability Entry Zones (H4 OTE)
- H4 OB (OTE)
H1 (1-Hour): Trend Bias
- Swing Point High: 150.953 Low: 149.684
- ✅ Break of Structure (BoS) + Volume Imbalance
- H4 OB → (OTE)
- H1 OB → (OTE)
🔲 Validate with VWAP:
✔ ✅ H1 VWAP must align with H4 OTE before entry
✔ ✅ If price rejects H1 VWAP + OB midpoint, strong trade setup
🔲 Entry Options:
✔ Option 1 (Limit Order Entry):
* Place a limit order at the OB midpoint inside OTE
* Set stop-loss below OB (for longs) / above OB (for shorts)
✔ Option 2 (EMA Confirmation Entry):
* ✅ Enter when 9EMA crosses 21EMA near OTE
* ✅ Must have Volume Imbalance Confirmation
🔲 Final Confirmation:
✔ ✅ High Volume on Structure Break → Confirms strong move
✔ ✅ Low Volume on Pullback → Smart money accumulation
S&P 500 Short Setup – Key Resistance in Focus!🔥 I’m watching this critical resistance zone on the S&P 500 (US500)! A rejection at this level could spark strong bearish momentum. A clear reaction at resistance is key for confirmation.
📍Entry: 5,726.50 USD – just below the key resistance, but only after rejection is confirmed
🎯Targets:
TP1: 5,645.00 USD
TP2: 5,610.00 USD
TP3: 5,585.00 USD
⛔Stop-Loss: 5,768.00 USD
⚡ Patience is crucial, waiting for confirmation reduces risk and boosts accuracy! Would you take this trade? Let me know below! 👇
GBP/USD Trend Before and After Tariff Announcement✍ ✍ ✍ GBP/USD news:
➡️ The US dollar is showing weakness against the British pound ahead of Trump's tariff announcement. The pair is currently trading near the 1.3000 level, following weak macroeconomic data released during the US trading session on Tuesday. The ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 49 in March from 50.3 in February, while the JOLTS Employment Number fell to 7.56 million in February from 7.76 million in January. Both figures were below analysts' expectations. The strong ADP data still failed to stop the pair's short-term rally
➡️ US President Donald Trump will announce the new tariff regime at 20:00 GMT on Wednesday.
➡️ US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said late Tuesday that the tariffs announced on Wednesday will be the highest level yet imposed. Countries will then have the opportunity to take steps to lower these tariffs, he added.
Personal opinion:
➡️ GBP/USD will find it difficult to break out to the 1.3000 zone as buyers are waiting and evaluating the tariff policy.
➡️ Moreover, RSI is close to overbought territory and buying momentum is slowing down
➡️ In short, this pair will move within the trend line and may break down to 1.2870 after the tariff news is announced
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell GBP/USD 1.2970 - 1.2980
❌SL: 1.3010 | ✅TP: 1.2930 - 1.2890
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
EURUSD Trend in EUR and US Trading Sessions–Weak Upside Momentum✍ ✍ ✍ EUR/USd news:
➡ Disappointing macroeconomic data from the United States makes it difficult for the US Dollar (USD) to strengthen on Tuesday, allowing EUR/USD to find support. However, the cautious market sentiment prevents the currency pair from gaining significant traction.
➡ Later in the day, the ADP Employment Change data will be released as part of the U.S. economic calendar. However, investors are unlikely to react strongly to this data ahead of President Donald Trump's tariff announcement on "Liberation Day."
➡ Market volatility is expected as traders assess the Trump administration's new tariff regime and its potential impact on economic prospects. Consequently, making investment decisions based on immediate reactions could be risky. Additionally, volatility may remain high if U.S. trade partners, such as the EU, respond by imposing their own tariffs on American goods.
Personal opinion:
➡ Currently, the disadvantage is in favor of the EUR, so the downtrend for the EUR/USD currency pair is inevitable. The momentum for the EUR/USD pair is currently quite low, so a short-term sell order can be considered feasible.
➡ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell EUR/USD 1.0800 – 1.0810
❌SL: 1.0845 | ✅TP: 1.760 – 1.0730 – 1.0700
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
SHORT ON AUD/NZDAUD/NZD has given a perfect setup for a sell.
I has bearish divergence as well as a rising channel/wedge into a Major Supply Area from the Higher TF.
We have also change structure from Up to Down on the Lower Timeframe.
I will be selling AUD/NZD to the pervious swing low / demand area for about 100 pips. OANDA:AUDNZD
NEULANDLAB short opportunityUpon the breakdown of the trendline NEULANDLAB has immense downside of 42 odd percentage. Next quarter results will be the catalyst, making or breaking the stock. Negative surprise in last two consecutive results declare us participants to beware of the liquidity present below this key level.
Short below daily close of 11,100
Stoploss - 8%
TP - Trail the 50 DMA close above
ADA - Next Trade Setups to WatchADA’s been stuck in this sideways grind for a while, and the volume’s basically ghosting us. So, where’s it at, and where’s the next move? Let’s dig in.
ADA’s sitting at $0.6615 right now, trading below the yearly open at $0.8451 and the range’s sweet spot, the POC, at $0.7325. That tells me it’s leaning a bit bearish, but not exactly screaming panic, more like it’s just chilling in this 57 day range. It tapped the monthly open at $0.6328 recently, bounced a little, but without volume showing up, it’s like nobody’s ready to commit yet.
Key Levels
Resistance Zones (Short Opportunities)
1.) Range POC: $0.7325, this is the most traded price within the 57 day range, acting as a magnet for price. A rejection here could signal a short setup.
2.) Yearly Open ($0.8451): a psychological and structural level that could cap upside if momentum remains weak. Trading below this level keeps the yearly bias bearish. A break above with volume would flip the narrative.
Support Zones (Long Opportunities)
1.) Monthly Open: $0.6328, already saw a little bounce here with that swing failure move, perfect setup for a long trade if you were quick on the draw.
2.) Yearly Open 2024 + 21 Monthly EMA: $0.594 - $0.5928, strong confluence with the prior yearly open and a key moving average. This zone aligns closely with the swing low at $0.5801, forming a robust support cluster between $0.5801 - $0.594.
3.) 21 SMA: $0.53, a deeper support level if the above zone fails. This would indicate a more significant breakdown, but it’s a potential accumulation area for longer-term traders.
Market Structure Analysis
Bearish Bias Above Swing Low: Trading below the yearly open and POC suggests sellers are in control unless price reclaims $0.7325 with conviction.
Range-Bound Behaviour: The 57 day range indicates consolidation. Volume is the missing catalyst, watch for a spike to confirm direction.
Swing Low as Key Pivot: The $0.5801 level is critical. A hold here maintains the range; a break below shifts focus to $0.53 and signals capitulation.
High-Probability Trade Setups
Long Setups
1.) Long Setup #1 at Swing Low ($0.5801 - $0.594 Zone)
Entry Trigger: Look for a swing failure pattern (SFP) where price dips below $0.5801, reclaims it, and shows rejection of lower prices (e.g., a bullish candle with a wick below).
Stop Loss (SL): Place just below the swing low
Take Profit (TP): $0.70 (near-term resistance)
Stretch Target: $0.8451 (yearly open), though this requires stronger momentum.
Confirmation: Higher-than-average volume on the reclaim + bullish price action (e.g., engulfing candle).
2.) Long Setup #2: $0.4735 Sniper Entry
Entry Trigger: If ADA takes a bigger tumble, $0.4735 is your sniper’s nest, think of it as catching the knife with style. Could be a wick that snaps back.
This is a deeper, high-reward play. Price has to fall by a lot from here, but if it hits, the R:R is amazing, and it’s below most traders radar. Patience is the name of the game.
Short Setup
At POC ($0.7325) or Yearly Open ($0.8451)
Strategic Outlook
Current Stance: If not in a trade, the $0.5801 level is the highest-probability long setup due to confluence and R:R. The SFP at $0.6328 today was a missed opportunity, but a deeper pullback sets up an even better entry.
Breakout Watch: A decisive close above $0.7325 (POC) with volume shifts focus to $0.8451. Conversely, a break below $0.5801 targets $0.53.
Patience is Key: Low volume suggests waiting for a clear catalyst (e.g., news, BTC move) to drive ADA out of this range.
Wrapping It Up
The $0.5801 swing low long with SL below and TP at $0.7 - $0.8451 is the standout trade right now—low risk, high reward, and backed by confluence. Monitor volume closely, as it’s the linchpin for any breakout or reversal. If ADA holds this support and volume picks up, the retest of $0.8451 becomes plausible.
If you found this helpful, please leave a like and a comment. Happy trading!
CADCHF SHORT LIVE TRADE AND BREAKDOWN EXPLANATION 9K PROFITThe CHF/CAD pair tells the trader how many Canadian Dollar (the quote currency) are needed to purchase one Franc Swiss (the base currency). These two economies are quite intensely linked because Canada is an important producer of gold while Switzerland is a great importer of that same commodity - a quart part of the overall commodities imported by Switzerland is gold and there is a solid tradition of gold refineries/gold mining companies in the country. Switzerland can be considered as a stable and safe country. The same accounts for its currency, the Swiss Franc (CHF). The currency is often referred to as the “safe-haven” currency, as it is a backup for investors during times of geopolitical tensions or uncertainty: it is expected to increase its value against other currencies in times of volatility.
SHORT ON ES?This could be a short rade idea for swing trade.
Las week price invalidate long ideas and the structure remain bearish.
Depending on how we open on Sunday, and with NFP week ahead, I would see ha Monday price will dive quick again, or retrace a little and offer short second half of he week.
XRP - Choppy Market, Will We See $1.5 Again?After finishing the 5-wave structure in early 2025, XRP had a rough patch, trading between $3 and $2 and offering some pretty neat swing trade opportunities. Now, two months later, the big question is: will this range continue, or is a breakout on the horizon? Let’s break down the key levels and high-probability setups.
Short Trade Setup
Resistance Zone:
The weekly level and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement are both around $2.5763 to $2.5792, aligning nicely with each other.
The anchored VWAP from the all-time high at $3.4 adds extra resistance at about $2.63.
Setup Details:
A low-risk short trade can be considered at the weekly level, with a stop-loss set above both the anchored VWAP and the swing high.
Target: The monthly open, aiming for an R:R of about 4:1.
Support Backup:
Additional support in this range comes from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (from a low at $1.9 to a high at $2.59), the weekly 21 SMA at $2.28, and a weekly level at $2.0942 just below the monthly open.
This support between the weekly level at $2.0942 and the monthly open is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. If it holds, the bearish short setup stands; if it breaks, things could get tricky.
Long Trade Setup
When to Consider a Long:
If the support zone mentioned above fails, look for a long trade opportunity at the swing low around $1.77.
Support Confluence:
Primary Support: The swing low at $1.77, with lots of liquidity around that area.
Additional Layers:
The monthly level at $1.5988.
The weekly level at $1.5605 sits just below the monthly.
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the 5-wave structure at $1.5351.
Anchored VWAP from the low at $0.3823, aligning with the weekly level.
And don’t forget the psychological level at $1.5.
Setup Details:
This long trade setup would offer an attractive R:R of roughly 6:1, targeting back to the monthly open for an approximate 33% gain, with a stop-loss placed below the $1.5 mark.
XRP's current trading range has provided some good short and long trade setups, a long opportunity at the swing low ($1.77-$1.5) could be the next big play. Whether you lean towards short or long, finding these confluence zones helps in making more informed, high-probability trade decisions.
If you found it helpful, please leave a like and a comment. Happy trading!
TIA: 40% Crash in Sight – What's Next?TIA recently lost its strong $4 support, and that level is now acting as resistance. For the past two months, the price hasn’t been able to climb back above $4, leaving us with one burning question: Is more blood on the table?
Broken Support: TIA has given up its $4 support, which now serves as resistance.
Looking at November 2024: The low from November 2024 was around $1.9. Revisiting that level could provide us with a high-probability long trade.
Trade Setup Opportunity
Entry Point: Set an alarm for the $1.9 low. A successful bounce here would signal a potential long trade opportunity.
Target & Reward: With the goal of targeting the $3 level, this trade could offer a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 5:1.
Implication: If the $1.9 level is revisited and holds, we could be looking at a scenario with roughly 40% more downside in the current trend—but also a setup for a low-risk long if the bounce holds.
SUI Swing: The Art of Patience in TradingSUI has been playing nice with the technicals lately, giving us some really neat swing trade opportunities. Remember that short trade we talked about—from $3 down to around $2? Well, here's why that setup was a winner.
After that initial short trade, SUI bounced off $2 and then traded in a tight range between $2.5 and $2.2 for about two weeks. Then it broke higher to test the monthly open at $2.83—and it hit that level right on the dot. That’s where all the magic happens.
Why This Short Trade Worked
Fibonacci Confluence: When you draw a Fibonacci from the high at $3 to the low at $1.9626, the 0.786 level comes in at about $2.778. This is right near the monthly open, and we know that price tends to reverse between the 0.618 and 0.786 zones.
Trading Range POC: The $2.8 area was our previous point of control, so it adds extra weight as a resistance level.
Anchored VWAP: The VWAP from the high at $3.8999 sits just above the monthly open at around $2.855, giving us another nod that this level is important.
Fib Speed Resistance Fan: Even the speed resistance fan at the 0.618 level lines up with the $2.8 zone.
All these factors lined up to form a solid resistance area. That’s why short entries between $2.778 and $2.855 made sense.
Trade Setup Recap
Short Trade:
Entry Zone: $2.778 to $2.855
Target: The bullish order block at about $2.4745, which also lines up with the 0.618 fib retracement from the low at $2.2358 and the high at $2.8309
Risk-to-Reward: This setup gave us a risk-to-reward of 4:1 or even better, depending on where you set your stop-loss.
There’s also a possible long trade at the bullish order block, but that one’s only for when you see the confirmation.
Wrapping It Up
The takeaway? Confluence is your best friend. Waiting for that high-probability setup can really pay off. Let the trade come to you, don’t force it, and stay calm and focused.
Thanks for reading this SUI analysis. If you liked it, please leave a like and drop a comment. Happy trading!
#GPSUSDT is forming a bearish structure📉 Short BYBIT:GPSUSDT.P from $0.02888
🛡 Stop loss $0.02952
🕒 1H Timeframe
⚡️ Overview:
➡️ The main POC (Point of Control) is at 0.03326, marking the highest volume zone and a major resistance above the current price.
➡️ The 0.02952 level acts as local resistance and an ideal stop placement.
➡️ Price BYBIT:GPSUSDT.P has already tested the $0.02888 support — a confirmed breakdown could trigger stronger downward momentum.
➡️ Volume is increasing on the decline, supporting the sellers' pressure.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.02850
💎 TP 2: $0.02810
💎 TP 3: $0.02787
📢 Watch for a clean break of the $0.02888 level — it could be the entry trigger for this short setup.
📢 If price pulls back above $0.02952, the short scenario becomes invalid.
BYBIT:GPSUSDT.P is forming a bearish structure — continuation to the downside is expected if support fails.
GBP/USD Trend Today - Bearish?🔔🔔 GBP/USd news:
👉Weaker-than-expected inflation data pressured the British Pound in early European trading on Wednesday. Later in the day, the UK's Office for Budget Responsibility announced a downward revision of its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 1%, leading to a decline in GBP/USD.
While presenting the Spring Budget, UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves highlighted the increasing instability of the global economy and announced cuts to planned government spending.
👉 On Thursday, the U.S. Department of Labor will release the weekly Initial Jobless Claims data, with markets expecting a rise to 225,000 from the previous 223,000. A significant drop in this figure could strengthen the U.S. dollar and push GBP/USD lower.
👉Meanwhile, market sentiment remains cautious early Thursday following the latest remarks from U.S. President Donald Trump regarding tariffs.
👉 If safe-haven flows dominate financial markets later in the day, GBP/USD may struggle to maintain its position.
Personal opinion:
👉GBP/USD will continue to decline as this pair is vulnerable to potential risks from the trade war.
👉Moreover, a part of investors will turn to safe havens such as gold to keep their assets. So this pair will still be limited in the near future
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell GGBP/USD 1.2970 – 1.2980
❌SL: 1.3010 | ✅TP: 1.2920 – 1.2870
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰