Gold continues downtrend at the end of 2024⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) remains steady near $2,610 in the early Asian session on Tuesday, with trading subdued as markets anticipate a quieter pace ahead of the holiday week. Investors are keeping an eye on the US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for December, set to be released later in the day.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold sideways in 2 H1 trendlines - downtrend is dominant. At the end of the year, there will be a lack of trading liquidity, not many big fluctuations.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2627 - $2629 SL $2634
TP1: $2620
TP2: $2610
TP3: $2600
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2604 - $2602 SL $2597
TP1: $2610
TP2: $2618
TP3: $2627
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Shortsetup
SCALPING XAU ! Gold sideway trend DOWN⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The US central bank indicated last week that it plans to ease the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025. This supports elevated US Treasury yields, helping the US Dollar (USD) maintain its strength near a two-year high, which limits gains for the non-yielding Gold price. With trading volumes thin, it seems wise to wait for sustained buying momentum before anticipating a continued recovery from the one-month low reached last week.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold sideways price range 2610-2620, H1 trendline downtrend
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2618 - $2620 SL $2623 scalping
TP1: $2614
TP2: $2608
TP3: $2602
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU recovers - returns to downtrend retest zone⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates at its December meeting as anticipated but signaled a slower pace of future reductions. The updated dot plot, which outlines projected rate trends, now suggests a half-percentage-point cut in 2025, down from the full percentage-point reduction forecasted in September. This shift continues to strengthen the US Dollar (USD) and weigh on USD-denominated Gold, as rising real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
On the other hand, weaker-than-expected US inflation data may help limit gold’s downside. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose to 2.4% year-over-year in November, up from 2.3% in October but slightly below the 2.5% market estimate. Meanwhile, Core PCE remained steady at 2.8% but fell short of the expected 2.9%.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold H1 frame recovered and retested the break zone in the downtrend, mainly sideways price below 2650 zone
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2643 - $2645 SL $2651
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2620
TP3: $2610
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2606 - $2604 SL $2599
TP1: $2615
TP2: $2628
TP3: $2640
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
VIRTUAL at Crucial Resistance: Short Setup with 18% Potential GaThe price is approaching the high from December 16th. A short opportunity arises only if the price gets rejected with confirmation at this level.
Target Levels:
Weekly Level: The next major support lies at $2.711, which aligns with the Point of Control (POC) observed on the Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP).
Support Zone: The anchored VWAP (yellow line) is currently at the same level, reinforcing $2.711 as a strong support zone.
Short Setup:
A short trade from the current high, upon rejection, could target a potential drop of +16% to +18%, offering a favorable Risk-to-Reward (R:R) ratio.
Key Condition: Entry should only be considered if clear rejection confirmation is observed at the high. Without confirmation, this setup remains invalid.
ZEN Skyrockets 244% – Is a Correction Around the Corner?ZEN has experienced an impressive +244% rally over the past 7 days, completing 7 consecutive bullish days.
Key Resistance Levels:
0.618 Fibonacci Retracement: Reached for the entire structure (logarithmic scale), providing an ideal short entry.
0.666 Fibonacci Retracement: Located at $53.55, perfectly aligning with the previous significant swing high, further strengthening resistance at this level.
Psychological Level: $50 serves as a critical psychological barrier.
The rally suggests an imminent correction due to overextension. Multiple resistance levels indicate a high probability of price cooling off.
Short Setup:
Elliott Wave Completion: 5-wave structure appears completed, signaling the end of the bullish trend.
Take-Profit Targets:
First TP: $39.68 (Fib 0.618 of the current wave).
Second TP: $33.74 (Fib 0.382 of the entire structure).
Risk-Reward Ratio: Targeting 0.382 offers a +25% gain.
BTC ( Bitcoin ) will first need a correctionBitcoin will first need a correction and then continue its upward trajectory.
Given the current situation, it should correct to the highlighted area to evacuate sellers and bring in new buyers.
This support area is quite strong and has the intersection of two strong technical supports.
After that, it will either grow rapidly or, after a little bit of suffering and attracting liquidity from new buyers, it will start to grow incrementally.
If you have followed my ideas, you will see that they always point to the desired point and have a correct prediction trend.
Price target $35 remaining underweight for FY 2025- Ugly draw downs for NASDAQ:PLTR next year.
- Fundamentals don't support the rosy valuation. Stock is priced more than perfection.
- Investors expectations are way to high and will met with disappointment in upcoming quarters in FY 2025
- FY 2025 will likely trap bulls and lead to severe corrections at much lower levels than Twitter bulls claiming PLTR to the moon 100+
$SBUX Starbucks Corporation Daily Chart AnalysisThe chart depicts Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) on the daily timeframe, showing a recent breakdown from a rising wedge pattern. The price has sharply fallen below key support levels and moving averages, suggesting a shift in momentum to the downside. Here's a detailed walkthrough of the analysis:
Key Observations:
1. Trend Analysis:
Rising Wedge Breakdown:
The chart highlights a breakdown from a rising wedge, a bearish reversal pattern, indicating potential for further downside.
The price has decisively broken below the lower boundary of the wedge, confirming the bearish momentum.
Bearish Momentum:
SBUX is now trading below the 200-day moving average (red line) and other short-term EMAs (8 EMA, 21 EMA), which aligns with a bearish trend.
2. Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance Levels:
92.28-93.01: A key resistance zone aligned with prior dark pool activity and broken support, likely to act as a ceiling for any short-term rebounds.
95.79: Previous support turned resistance, near the 200-day moving average.
98.60: A strong resistance area near recent highs.
Support Levels:
87.00: Immediate support zone, tested recently with increased volume.
80.24-79.15: Major support area, aligning with historical levels and dark pool prints.
Below 79.15, the next significant level is 75.00, a psychological support area.
3. Volume Analysis:
A volume spike accompanies the recent sell-off, indicating strong selling pressure. However, this could also signal capitulation if buyers step in near support levels.
4. Moving Averages:
The price is trading significantly below the 200-day moving average, confirming bearish sentiment.
Short-term moving averages (8 EMA, 21 EMA) are sloping downward, suggesting that bearish momentum may persist.
5. Dark Pool Activity:
Recent dark pool levels around 93.01 and 92.28 may act as resistance if the price attempts a rebound.
Additional dark pool levels at 80.24 and 79.15 suggest institutional interest, making this area a critical support zone.
Trade Setup:
Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation
Trigger: If the price fails to reclaim the 92.28 resistance level and continues lower, the bearish trend is likely to persist.
Profit Targets:
87.00: Immediate short-term target.
80.24-79.15: Strong support zone with significant institutional interest.
75.00: Longer-term bearish target.
Stop-Loss: Above 93.50, as a break above this level would signal potential bullish recovery.
Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal
Trigger: A breakout above 92.28, accompanied by strong volume, would signal a potential reversal or relief rally.
Profit Targets:
95.79: Resistance near the 200-day moving average.
98.60: Strong resistance zone near recent highs.
Stop-Loss: Below 87.00, as a failure to hold this level would invalidate the bullish setup.
Scenario 3: Range-Bound Consolidation
If the price consolidates between 87.00 and 92.28, consider:
Long positions near 87.00, targeting 92.28.
Short positions near 92.28, targeting 87.00.
Volume and candlestick patterns will help confirm the direction of the breakout.
Final Thoughts:
Short-Term Outlook: Bearish momentum is strong, with the immediate downside target at 87.00. If this level breaks, watch for a move toward 80.24-79.15.
Long-Term Outlook: The dark pool levels near 80.24-79.15 suggest strong institutional support. If the price reaches this zone, it could provide a significant buying opportunity for long-term investors.
Technical Analysis of NIFTY Index - 30-Minute TimeframeDouble Top Pattern:
The chart shows a double top pattern (marked as "Top 1" and "Top 2"), which is a bearish reversal pattern.
The neckline for this pattern has been broken, confirming bearish momentum. The pattern suggests that the uptrend has reversed, leading to a downward move.
Falling Wedge Pattern:
After the double top, the index has formed a falling wedge, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern.
The price has broken out of the falling wedge, signaling the potential for a short-term bounce.
Targets:
Immediate Upside Target: The breakout from the falling wedge suggests a potential recovery toward 24,200–24,300.
Downside Target: If bearish momentum resumes, the index could move toward 23,500 as marked on the chart.
Volume Analysis:
The breakout from the falling wedge is accompanied by a slight increase in volume, which supports the bullish case. However, sustained volume is needed for the uptrend to continue.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support:
Immediate: 23,800
Stronger: 23,500
Resistance:
Immediate: 24,200–24,300
Extended: 24,500
Moving Averages:
The index is currently trading near its short-term moving averages, which could act as dynamic resistance. A breakout above these levels would confirm further bullish momentum.
Fundamental Analysis of NIFTY Index
Macroeconomic Environment:
Global Factors: Uncertainty in global markets, including rising interest rates and geopolitical tensions, have added to the volatility in Indian markets.
Domestic Growth: India's economy continues to grow steadily, supported by strong consumer demand, government infrastructure spending, and a robust services sector.
Sectoral Performance:
IT and Pharma: Defensive sectors like IT and Pharma have seen relative strength amid global uncertainties.
Banking and Financials: Despite some recent corrections, banking and financial services continue to drive the index, supported by rising credit growth and strong results from private banks.
Metals and Energy: Global commodity prices and demand from China remain key drivers for metals and energy stocks.
Corporate Earnings:
Indian corporates have shown resilience with steady earnings growth, particularly in the FMCG, banking, and auto sectors. However, margin pressures persist in some sectors due to higher input costs.
Valuation:
NIFTY's valuation remains slightly stretched compared to historical averages, suggesting room for further correction. However, strong long-term growth potential keeps the outlook positive.
Key Risks:
Rising interest rates globally could tighten liquidity.
Any further escalation in geopolitical tensions or slower global growth could impact market sentiment.
Conclusion:
Technical Outlook:
NIFTY has formed a double top, confirming bearish momentum, but a breakout from the falling wedge offers a short-term bullish opportunity.
Upside Targets: 24,200–24,300
Downside Risk: 23,500 (if bearish momentum resumes)
Fundamental Outlook:
India’s economic fundamentals remain strong, supported by consumer demand and government spending.
While the market faces short-term headwinds, the long-term outlook remains positive, making this an opportunity to accumulate quality stocks during corrections.
Will the interest rate cut in late 2024 happen? XAU UP OR DOWN ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 12/16 - 12/20/2024
🔥 World situation:
Although gold posted some losses, it remains up nearly 1% for the week, supported by a mix of US economic data. While inflation figures were varied, the latest Initial Jobless Claims report strengthened investor confidence in a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Attention now shifts to the Fed’s December 17-18 policy meeting, with traders pricing in a 93% likelihood of a 25 basis point cut, according to CBOT data. Following the announcement, all eyes will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference for insights into the policy direction for 2025.
🔥 Identify:
H4 is seeing price close to the bullish trendline - which will be validating the last rate cut of the year. There will be some upside but it will still be difficult to break above the 2723 price zone
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2678, $2723
Support : $2613, $2590, $2535
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Short Bitcoin (BTC) (For Study Purpose Only)Short Recommendation
Entry Level: Below $94,000
Stop Loss (SL): $111,111
This surge has been largely attributed to President-elect Donald Trump's pro-cryptocurrency stance, including promises of deregulation and the establishment of a national strategic Bitcoin reserve.
However, concerns are emerging regarding Bitcoin's current valuation. Analysts warn that the market may be overheating, with some predicting a potential correction of up to 35%.
COINTELEGRAPH
Additionally, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has stated that the U.S. central bank cannot hold Bitcoin, which has introduced uncertainty into the market.
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Cryptocurrency trading involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Ensure to evaluate your risk tolerance and conduct thorough research.
SHORT AUDUSDKeeping in line with the current bear trend, I would anticipate price looking to reach for levels below 0.62672. Currently short in profit at 42 pips, total target would be for 150. Although we've been ranging for the past two weeks, price has slowly but steadily been shifting downwards. A key area of interest was taken out when we crossed below 0.63500, no real bullish pressure resulted after reaching below that level. Take note that bullish volume strength has been significantly lower compared to the bearish levels. My take is this market is going to keep trending downwards a bit more. Let's see what the next couple of weeks has in store!
$MRNA can’t find a bottomThis name has been on my watch the last 6 months. I continued to wait for a possible bottom for a position but every time it pops it just goes down some more. Another delisting here on the $NASDAQ. I expect this to reach newer lows below $36. NASDAQ:SMCI in the same boat. This chart actually looks prime for more downside with these candles. Short it.
WALLSTREETLOSER
$MRNA hasn't been here since APRIL 2020.. pt. 2Posted a quick chart via phone earlier but had to take a look on the desktop. A crucial point here at a supply that once took off 4 years ago.. interesting. Target is $35, leave runners once $36 hits. This could have been a bottom for NASDAQ:MRNA but after the rebalancing of the NASDAQ this may bottom out at $30.
WSL
VIRTUAL - Short Setup with 30% PotentialWe are currently observing a completed 5-wave structure and the emergence of wave A, which found support around $2.5. Now, price action is forming wave B, which aligns with a resistance area marked by the Fib 0.618 retracement and the daily level.
Trade Setup:
Short Entry: For a riskier entry, you can enter now and ladder your position up to the Fib 0.618 and 0.718 levels. A stop loss should be placed above the 0.786 Fib for protection.
Head and Shoulders Projection: Using the bar pattern and the length of the left shoulder, we estimate that wave C will form over the next 2-3 days, confirming the head and shoulders setup.
Take Profit Target:
Low at $2.3266 – First target for securing profits.
Overall Target: The 0.618 Fib retracement of the entire 5-wave structure at $2.1002.
Risk-Reward (R:R):
Potential for 3:1 and 5:1 trades, offering a gain of 20% - 30%.
Additional Notes:
If dOpen is lost with volume confirmation, this provides an opportunity to add to the short position.
With the holiday season approaching, this short setup allows for some time off the screen while still capitalizing on market movements.
This setup offers an excellent blend of risk and reward, with options for both aggressive and conservative short entries. Happy trading.
UXLINK - Is a Reversal Imminent? SHORT SETUPUXLINK has seen impressive gains over the past 7 days, rising +140% and approaching the swing high at $1.208. This price action suggests the possibility of a correction, providing an attractive short opportunity if it faces rejection at these levels.
Key Observations:
Recent Bullish Momentum: UXLINK has been on a 7-day bullish run, rising significantly, which increases the likelihood of a short-term pullback or correction.
Swing High at $1.208: As UXLINK nears the swing high at $1.208, this could act as a potential rejection point. A rejection here could provide an excellent shorting opportunity.
Riskier Trade: If you prefer a more aggressive position, a short could be taken now, targeting the swing high with a laddered approach towards that level.
Possible Correction Ahead: With 7 consecutive bullish days, a correction is likely in the near future. The dOpen at $1 serves as a strong support level to target for a short.
Break Below $1: If UXLINK breaks below the $1 level, the next target becomes the wOpen at $0.8645.
Reward-to-Risk Potential:
Target 1: $1 (dOpen) offers a 4:1 risk-to-reward, with a potential 16.45% gain.
Target 2: $0.8645 (wOpen) offers a 7:1 risk-to-reward, with a possible +28.5% gain.
Elliot Wave Count: According to Elliot wave theory, UXLINK is approaching the completion of its 5-wave structure, which may further indicate that the upward trend is nearing exhaustion.
Summary:
Bullish run over the past 7 days makes UXLINK susceptible to a correction.
Swing high at $1.208 could provide an ideal short opportunity, with strong targets at $1 and $0.8645.
Reward-to-risk ratios are favorable, offering 4:1 or even 7:1 if the trade is executed properly.
Elliot Wave suggests the end of the current upward movement, further supporting the case for a potential short.