HYPE — How to Combine Fibonacci, VWAP and Market StructureAfter an explosive +392% rally in just 70 days — from $9.298 to a peak of $45.8 — HYPE has entered a consolidation range as expected. Structurally, this appears to be a 5-wave impulse now transitioning into a corrective ABC pattern. Based on current structure, we may now be forming wave B.
What’s Unfolding Now?
A potential Head & Shoulders pattern is developing, with price currently working on the right shoulder. The $40 mark stands out as a key resistance — both technically and psychologically:
0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the down move sits at $40.108
Structural resistance from prior highs
Ideal area for a short rejection
🎯 Short Setup:
Entry: Laddered short between 0.618 ($40.108) and 0.786 ($42.611)
Stop-Loss: Above $44 (after rejection adjust to entry)
Target: $28–$27 zone
R:R potential: 1:3 up to 1:9 depending on entry quality
📍 Why $28–$27 Is Key Support:
0.5 Fibonacci retracement of entire +392% rally sits at $27.549
Anchored VWAP from the rally origin ($9.298) aligns around this zone
Weekly & Monthly S/R convergence
VAH (Value Area High)
0.618 Fibonacci Speed Fan also aligns as dynamic support
Fair Value Gap (FVG) lies in this region
Weekly 21 EMA at $28.05/Weekly 21 SMA at $24.10 — both key moving averages providing layered support and trend structure
📐 Bonus Confluence Insight:
If this is indeed wave B, then projecting a 0.786/1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension from wave A aligns well with the 0.5 fib retracement at $27.5.
📚 Educational Insight:
Stacking confluences such as Fibonacci retracements, anchored VWAPs, volume zones, EMA/SMA levels, and harmonic structures helps identify high-probability zones where smart money is likely to act. These levels become even more powerful when they align across multiple tools and timeframes. Always confirm with price action.
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Shortsetup
Watching for Pullback Below $84 in Citigroup (C)Over the past month, Citigroup shares have appreciated 8.58%, outperforming both the Finance sector's 1.91% gain and the S&P 500's 3.92% increase. This relative outperformance may signal strength, but short-term positioning and market structure suggest a potential shift.
Expecting a Sharp Move Below $84 – Option Flow Insight
Despite the recent strength, I anticipate a significant downward move below the $84 level in the upcoming week. This expectation is based on notable option activity detected in the Times & Sales feed, specifically large put orders suggesting bearish positioning.
In response to this setup, I plan to execute a bearish vertical spread, specifically:
Buying the $84 puts
Selling the $80 puts
This strategy limits downside risk while still profiting from a potential retracement.
Fundamental Picture Ahead of Earnings
Citigroup's next earnings release is scheduled for July 15, 2025. The company is expected to report:
EPS of $1.70 (+11.84% YoY)
Revenue of $20.85B (+3.51% YoY)
For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimate forecasts:
EPS of $7.38 (+24.03%)
Revenue of $83.84B (+3.33%)
While these figures suggest healthy growth, it's important to note that recent analyst estimate revisions have been modestly negative, with the EPS estimate decreasing 0.27% over the last 30 days. Citigroup currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), reflecting a neutral sentiment from analysts.
Valuation Metrics
From a valuation standpoint:
Forward P/E: 10.75, notably below the industry average of 15.02
PEG ratio: 0.61, versus the industry average of 1.26
This indicates that Citigroup is undervalued relative to its peers, especially when considering growth prospects, which could provide some support. However, short-term bearish flows may dominate price action heading into earnings.
Industry Outlook
The Financial - Investment Bank industry, which includes Citigroup, currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 96, placing it in the top 40% of over 250 industry groups. Historically, industries in the top half outperform those in the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
BITCOIN - SHORT OPPORTUNITY AND LACK OF MOMENTUMBINANCE:BTCUSDT has been lacking momentum in the last few days. It looks to me that "Good News" is almost "No News" in regards to the Iran war or any crypto legislation. Summer is looking a lot like sideways movement, and due to the previous explosion in momentum and volume, I think the lack of it will bring the price down in the following days or weeks.
Why BTC hasn’t moved up recentlyBTC has been bobbing above and below this bearish triple crossover the past few months. What we see as consolidation is rather price getting stuck around these resistance levels.
The only reason why this would be occurring in my view, is due to the market makers having intention to allow this drop to play out.
The resistance is located at around 107,000 to 107,400 - watch this zone closely for a hold below / rejection and fast drop.
Scenario 1 marked with solid red line.
Scenario 2 marked with dotted red line.
Little update for y’all. Happy weekend trading.
Strong weekend selling pressure, below 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) came under renewed selling pressure during the Asian session on Friday, retreating below the $3,300 level after a lackluster performance the previous day. The precious metal is edging closer to the two-week low seen on Tuesday, as investors await the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. This key inflation gauge is expected to offer fresh insight into the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and could significantly influence US Dollar (USD) movements—ultimately shaping the near-term trajectory of the non-yielding yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Selling pressure at the end of the week caused gold prices to fall below 3300, maintaining selling pressure and falling today
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3326- 3328 SL 3333
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3302
TP3: $3290
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3248-$3250 SL $3243
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3280
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
BNBUSDTPersonally, I see BNB struggling to break above that key resistance zone near 648–649. The rejection from that level, especially with decreasing momentum, makes me lean bearish in the short term. We’ve seen this zone hold back price before, and unless there's a strong breakout with volume, I think there's a higher chance we see a pullback toward the 616–618 area. I’m just watching price action closely and waiting for a clean confirmation—no need to rush a position when the structure’s already signaling hesitation.
USD/CHF – Rejection at Key Fib Confluence, Bearish Continuation We’re seeing a beautiful textbook rejection off the 0.79Fib zone (0.8200), precisely where price tapped into a previous structure break and minor supply block. Price surged into the red zone, wicked just above the 200 EMA, and was instantly met with heavy sell-side pressure — a strong signal of institutional distribution.
📌 Technical Confluences at Play:
Price failed to break the 200 EMA cleanly — acting as dynamic resistance.
0.79 Fib levels aligning with prior supply.
Rising wedge structure broken to the downside.
Entry candle printing a solid engulfing rejection — institutional footprint.
📉 Target Zone:
Primary TP sits at the 0.236 Fib level (0.8101), but the full measured move of this wedge gives us a final downside target near 0.8038, with intermediate stops at key Fibs. Invalidation above 0.82294
🧠 Trader’s Insight:
“Patience is power. You don’t chase moves, you position for moments.”
Let the market come to your zone of interest, validate your thesis, and then strike with precision. The best trades come from areas where multiple confirmations stack in your favor.
📉 Trade Plan:
Entry: 0.81933 rejection zone
TP1: 0.8130
TP2: 0.8101
Final TP: 0.8038
SL: Above 0.82294 (tight invalidation)
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
EUR/CHF Channel Breakdown – Bearish MomentumThe EUR/CHF pair has broken down from a well-defined ascending parallel channel, indicating a shift in market structure and a possible continuation to the downside. The price had been consistently respecting the resistance zone near 0.9435–0.9440 (marked in red) and the support zone near 0.9375–0.9380 (marked in green), forming an upward-sloping consolidation channel.
After multiple rejections at the upper resistance, the price decisively broke below the support line with strong bearish momentum, confirming a bearish breakout from the channel.
🔻 Breakdown Implication
The height of the channel—measured from the support to the resistance—has been used to project the next potential downside target. The projected breakdown target is marked near 0.9309, which aligns with historical price reaction zones and provides a clean structure-based price objective.
This suggests the bearish move could extend further in the coming sessions unless the price quickly recovers and climbs back above the broken support, which would invalidate the breakdown structure.
🧠 Trading Outlook
Bias: Bearish after confirmed breakdown from channel
Entry (if not in already): Consider selling on retest of broken support (~0.9375)
Target: 0.9309 (based on channel height)
Stop Loss: Above 0.9390–0.9400 (above breakdown point)
This setup is ideal for momentum traders looking to capitalize on trend continuation after a failed bullish structure.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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F 5M Long Daytrade Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- long impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ resistance level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar below close entry
Calculated affordable stop market
T2 5M take profit
1H CounterTrend
"- long impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ resistance level"
1D CounterTrend
"- long impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ resistance level"
1M CounterTrend
"+ short impulse
- exhaustion volume
+ T2 level
+ resistance level
- unvolumed interaction bar
- reaction bar looks to close bullish in 6 days"
1Y CounterTrend
"+ long impulse
+ volumed T2 level
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ 1/2 correction
+ weak test"
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly Order Block Identified
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅15' Order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
INJ Breakdown in Play Eyeing the Neckline for Precision ShortsINJ/USDT Analysis
〽️ The Head and Shoulders pattern has broken down successfully, confirming a bearish structure.
💠We anticipate a potential relief bounce towards the $11 region which aligns closely with the neckline retest zone. This area is likely to act as a liquidity trap, where institutional sellers may re-enter aggressively 👀.
🎯 Key downside targets remain at
1. $8.98
2. $8.03
3. $6.92
Strategic Plan 🎖️
Look to initiate short positions around the neckline retest near $11, as the risk-reward becomes increasingly favorable from that level.
Trade with discipline. Let the structure lead the execution. 🫡🧠
USDCAD H4 AnalysisUSDCAD Showing a Bearish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 1.37836 and higher to 1.38654. If no, Can rally between 1.36359, 1.35415 or even lower. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
NASDAQ Short-Term Outlook (Study Purpose Only)The NASDAQ index is showing signs of short-term weakness following a rejection near the 22,000–22,200 resistance zone. The recent breakdown from the consolidation range suggests bearish sentiment is building.
🔻 Key Observations:
Stop Loss Zone: 22,192
Price should ideally remain below this level for a bearish setup to remain valid. A move above this zone may invalidate the downside scenario.
Immediate Support Level: 21,010
If selling pressure continues, this is the first potential bounce zone. Watch price behavior closely here.
Deeper Support Target: 20,223
A break below 21,000 could open the door for a drop toward the 20,200 area — a previous accumulation/support level.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Traders may consider this type of setup if looking for short positions, but only with tight risk controls and clear confirmation of trend continuation.
📝 Disclaimer:
This analysis is strictly for study and educational purposes. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to take a trading position. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BTC Loses Key Level — Will 100K Hold or Fold?Bitcoin has been locked in a range for the past 45 days, clinging above the critical psychological support at $100K. But cracks are starting to show…
Every bounce from the key level at $102,430 has been weakening — and now, for the first time, we’re breaking cleanly below it. Things are starting to tilt bearish.
So the question is…
⛏️ Will 100K be tested next?
🔍 Key Support Zone: $97.7K–$96.9K
Using the Fibonacci retracement from the swing low at $74.5K to the recent ATH, the 0.382 retracement lands at $97,655 — just below the $100K mark.
But there’s more…
Here’s why the zone between $97.7K and $96.9K is crucial:
0.382 Fibonacci retracement: A common pullback level in strong uptrends.
Anchored VWAP from $74.5K: Currently sitting around $96.9K, tracking cumulative volume-weighted average price — a key level.
Daily Order Block: Sits right at $96,887, aligning with the VWAP and reinforcing the area as demand-rich.
1.272 Fibonacci extension: From the previous move — providing another layer of confluence.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): The imbalance lies right in this zone. Price often fills these before continuing trend.
All of this stacks up to a high-probability long setup.
🕵️♂️ What to Do Now?
Set alerts at $100K and watch for a reaction. If price slices through, shift focus to the 0.382 Fib — monitor price action closely for signs of a reversal.
The first clean test of this zone could present a solid long — but as usual don’t trade blindly. Wait for confirmation.
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BTC MACRO PLAY - SHORT TRADE SETUP📉 BTC/USDT SHORT TRADE SETUP – WEEKLY TIMEFRAME
🔍 Trade Idea Overview:
We are seeing a bearish divergence between price and volume on the weekly chart — while price makes higher highs, volume is decreasing, signaling a potential reversal or weakening trend.
Further confluence is seen with the VMC Cipher indicator. If a red dot prints, it will confirm the short entry. If not, the trade idea should be abandoned.
📊 Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: Around $106,300–$107,000 (wait for confirmation)
TP 1 🎯: $102,000
TP 2 🎯: $97,500
TP 3 🎯: $93,000
🛑 Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: Above recent highs at $111,800 (or adjusted based on your entry)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Once TP 1 is reached, move stop-loss to breakeven to protect capital and eliminate risk.
TP 3 may never be reached, but it remains part of the plan to capture extended downside if momentum continues.
If no red dot prints, there is no confirmation — be ready to abandon the trade.
ONDO — Reversal or more Pain ahead? After a strong rally back in 2024, ONDO topped at $2.15 — completing a clear 5-wave impulsive move. Since then, price has entered a prolonged downtrend, dropping over -70%, with no confirmed reversal signs yet.
We’re now trading around a critical zone near $0.70. So the question is: where’s the next potential bottom?
🔎 Technical Breakdown:
📍 VWAP Breakdown:
The yellow anchored VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) has been lost — a clear sign of market weakness. This VWAP was previously acting as support but has now flipped to resistance, which often precedes continued downside.
📌 Key Support Zone:
$0.80–$0.70 was a structural support area that has now been broken — another bearish sign.
📉 Fibonacci Confluence:
Taking the structure and applying a Fibonacci retracement, the 0.786 retracement lies at $0.4828 — let’s round that to a critical $0.50 zone. This level is important for several reasons:
Liquidity rests at a previous key low at $0.50128
Anchored VWAP Band (0.618 multiplier) aligns with the same area
The 8/1 Gann Fan also intersects around this zone
All roads lead to the $0.50 level as a potential high-probability reversal zone. A bounce from here — especially with volume confirmation or reversal candlesticks etc. — would be a signal worth watching.
💡 Educational Insight: Importance of 0.786–0.886 Fibonacci Zone + VWAP
While many focus on the 0.618 retracement, bear markets often go deeper.
The 0.786–0.886 zone is where emotional exhaustion kicks in — traders give up, liquidity pools build, and smart money steps in.
Combining this with Anchored VWAP adds precision:
VWAP reflects where the “average buyer” is positioned. When price reaches confluence with both deep fibs and VWAP fib bands, you have a statistically powerful setup for reversals.
🚨 Note: These zones are not automatic buy levels — watch for confirmation signs before entering.
🛎️ Set your alerts, stay patient, and as always let the trade come to you.
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AMAZON TROUBLENASDAQ:AMZN Is currently trading Just 11% below its all time high and currently Facing exhaustion.
Amazon is currently trading 217$ range which was previous support now turned resistance (Daily Timeframe) , making a double top pattern and a negative divergence on the RSI.
The best Trades are the ones with multiple confirmations
- Trading at a resistance (1D chart)✅
- Negative Price Action at the resistance (Double Top Pattern)✅
- RSI negative divergence✅
- Market Structure ✅
Entry Criteria
- A Red candle at the entry Line Marked
- Stoploss Above the Entry Candle
Target 1- 211$
Target 2- 208$
Keep Your Risk Reward Intact! Not An investment Advice
CRCL LOOKS OVERBOUGHTAs you can see after a good ride from 102 to 234 now the stock looks overbought. and on shorter time frames the price action shows a classic pattern of double top and breaking the previous support. simply if the stock closes 15 m candle below the support you might see a short retest to the support from downside that is a good point to short.
SHORT ON EUR/GPBWe have a rising channel (bearish reversal chart pattern) at a major level of resistance (confluence)
Price has given us a breakout of the channel to the downside and is currently respecting resistance.
I will be selling EUR/GBP to the next support level looking to catch over 120 pips.