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The Great Exit Liquidity Trap: Double Top + Low Volume DumpTL;DR: This isn't just any dump—this is a textbook exit liquidity trap dressed up with a strategic crypto reserve announcement and a conveniently timed crypto summit sell-the-news event. The setup? An inevitable double top, weaker and weaker volume, and a sell-news-event trapping retail. Breakdown: 1️⃣ The Double Top Trap → Price fakes a breakout, luring in breakout traders while whales were already offloading bags onto retail. 2️⃣ The "Strategic Crypto Reserve" Announcement → Big words, vague details, and just enough hopium to keep liquidity in the market. But let’s be real—this was just fuel for smart money to distribute. 3️⃣ Low Volume Exit Scam → Volume failed to confirm the pump, and the second peak barely had any buying pressure. That’s your first clue—when volume dies, so does the trend. 4️⃣ Crypto Summit = Sell-the-News Event → Market makers front-ran retail, using the summit hype to sell at a premium before nuking price. Target Zone: $80K-$79K is where liquidity pools sit, making it the next logical stop. If liquidity sweeps don’t trigger new buyers, sub $78K isn’t off the table. Additional Confluence : S1 Pivot Rejection → A failed reclaim of key levels. EMA Pressure → Bearish rejection off moving averages. Weak Low on the Chart → A magnet for liquidity. Final Take: Retail is the exit liquidity in this setup, as always. The market will pump just enough to distribute before dumping into the real target zone. If you aren’t paying attention, you will get played. The question is: who will be left holding cheaper bags?
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by KennyTheSensei
$TSLA worst 4 years are ahead us under president Trump? - What biden couldn't done would be done under $TRUMP. - NASDAQ:TSLA has always traded at a premium devoid of any fundamentals. - NASDAQ:TSLA cars are ugly looking cars as compared to NYSE:BYD and $RIVN. It's technology is great but you are basically buying a cheap build quality cars. - Everyone thought that Trumpn <-> Elon parternship will be great for $TSLA. But my hunch is it will be bad for NASDAQ:TSLA shareholders. Elon's association with Trump will drag the NASDAQ:TSLA shares down and always in the limelight. - Most elite investors are often leftist and might want to distance with trump and elon. Fundamentally, Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 EPS | 2.90 | 3.85 | 4.96. | 6.40 EPS growth% | 18.02% | 32.82% | 28.87% | 29.12% Fair forward p/e for a company growing EPS 20%+ with a moat is ~ 30 Fair stock value: Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 Stock price ( base case p/e = 30) | $87 | $115 | $148 | $192 | Stock price (bear case p/e = 20 ) | $58 | $77 | $99 | $128 | Stock Price ( bull case p/e = 50 ) | $150 | $192 | $248 | $320 | - Bulltard + Elon musk premium p/e if ELON divorces with Trump = 100 Stock price ( p/e = 100 ) | $290 | $385 | $496 | $640
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bigbull037
1
SIDEWAY waiting for news this week⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: As a result, investors turned to bullion for safety, driving prices toward the $2,900 mark. Meanwhile, the US 10-year Treasury yield dropped two basis points to 4.176%, its lowest level since December 2024. Commenting on the economy, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem acknowledged steady economic growth but cautioned that recent data indicate potential downside risks. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Continue in correction phase - gold price under selling pressure below 2900. Sideway and waiting for important news this week ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2851 - $2853 SL $2846 TP1: $2860 TP2: $2870 TP3: $2880 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2898 - $2900 SL $2905 TP1: $2890 TP2: $2880 TP3: $2870 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
bnb sell midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟 We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎 Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫 Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭 Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Short
by Golden_candle
THE ROAD TO 68K BTC.P/USDT 4 HOUR In this idea I expand upon my previous idea posted in December on the 8th. The previous idea showed the rudimentary course we would take according to the formation set of Ascending scallops. In this chart I outline the key supports, resistance, and the projected bottom point we will bounce from to head back up. Seems we have fallen from a large scale rising wedge and are now inside of descending broadening wedge. This is all in line with my previous idea and is moving as expected. We do not have long to go before we reach our bottom target if we do in fact move as projected. Only time will tell, Happy Hunting - TND
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by The_New_Disciple
Gold short term recovery - downtrend⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) start the week on a strong footing, rebounding further from Friday’s three-week low near $2,833–2,832. Despite US inflation data aligning with expectations, traders remain confident that the Federal Reserve will implement two quarter-point rate cuts by year-end. Additionally, renewed selling pressure on the US Dollar supports the appeal of the non-yielding yellow metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price recovers in short term, sellers are dominating, retesting liquidity zone 2883 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2832 - $2834 SL $2827 TP1: $2840 TP2: $2850 TP3: $2960 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2883 - $2885 SL $2890 TP1: $2875 TP2: $2868 TP3: $2860 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Gold📌 **Sell:** ✔ In short-term timeframes (M1, M5, M15), both MACD and Stochastic indicate overbought conditions and a potential downward correction. ✔ The M30 timeframe is still in an uptrend, but a pullback to the downside is possible. 🎯 **Conclusion:** Success rate for selling: ✅ **70%** (more reliable than buying in the short term). 📌 **Strategy:** Short-term selling with a tight stop-loss and a corrective target towards lower support levels. 📌 **Buy:** ✔ In H1 and H4 timeframes, signs of a trend reversal are emerging, but MACD has not yet given a solid confirmation. ✔ If MACD turns bullish on H1 and Stochastic exits oversold territory, buying will be a safer option. 🎯 **Conclusion:** Success rate for buying: ✅ **55%** (higher risk, requiring more confirmation). 📌 **Strategy:** Wait for MACD confirmation on H1, then enter a buy position upon resistance breakout. 🚀 **Final Recommendation:** 🔹 Enter short-term sell positions in lower timeframes with a tight stop-loss and proper risk management. 🔹 Wait for a confirmed buy signal on H1 and H4, as MACD has not yet turned fully bullish. 🚀 **Short-term selling (scalping) is more probable**, but additional confirmation is needed for a buy position. ### **Suggested Targets Based on Timeframes & MACD + Stochastic Analysis** 🔴 📉 **Sell Targets:** Considering overbought conditions in lower timeframes and a potential downward correction, the best sell targets based on different timeframes are: ✅ 📌 **First Target:** 2850 (Short-term support in M5 & M15) ✅ 📌 **Second Target:** 2842 (Key support in M30) ✅ 📌 **Third Target:** 2830 - 2825 (Strong support in H1, aligning with the moving average) 🛑 **Stop Loss for Sell Positions:** 🔹 **2862** (Breakout of the current resistance in M15 & M30) 🔹 **2868** (If the price reaches this level, the trend may reverse) --- 🟢 📈 **Buy Targets:** A **full confirmation from MACD in H1 and H4** is required for a buy setup. However, if the price rebounds from the **2830 support zone**, the following targets are expected: ✅ 📌 **First Target:** 2865 (Initial resistance in H1) ✅ 📌 **Second Target:** 2880 - 2890 (Strong resistance zone in H4) ✅ 📌 **Third Target:** 2915 (Long-term target if resistance levels are broken) 🛑 **Stop Loss for Buy Positions:** 🔹 **2825** (If this level is broken, the downtrend is likely to continue) 🚀 **Suggested Strategy:** 📌 **Short-term sell (scalping) from 2857**, targeting **2850 and 2842**, with a **stop loss at 2862**. 📌 **Buy if confirmed at 2830 - 2825**, targeting **2865 and 2880**, with a **stop loss at 2825**. 🔍 **Important:** Before entering positions, confirm with **trading volume and candlestick patterns in higher timeframes**. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by trade_planning
1
Downward momentum, downtrend next week, XAU ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 03/3/2025 - 03/07/2025 🔥 World situation: US President Donald Trump confirmed that 25% tariffs on Mexican and Canadian goods will take effect next week on March 4. Meanwhile, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the Core PCE Price Index, signaled continued progress toward the central bank’s 2% target. Following the data, expectations for further Fed policy easing grew. According to Prime Market Terminal, the Fed is anticipated to cut rates by 70 basis points this year, with investors betting on the first reduction in June. 🔥 Identify: Breaking the trend, gold continues to maintain a downtrend 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $2876, $2903, $2956 Support : $2810, $2773 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
BTC - Bigger Picture of Liquidity Collection RoadmapExpanding on my last idea focusing on the first move in this sequence, here is a bigger picture of this idea and I will explain in detail how I arrive to this. 1. The market is always going to absorb liquidity. We know this. We also know that since Dec 2022 Bitcoin has been on a steady climb up allowing for lots of long positions to open and stay open. What this creates is a lot of absorbable liquidity in the form of long position stop losses. Further more, the dominance of leverage is very high in crypto, therefor these stop loss orders are “leveraged sell orders”. This is the “fuel” that can be used to explain the possibility of a move of this magnitude. In other words, the orders are already in place in the chart; the adverse of traders decisions via leveraged position stop losses. 2. We can identify (2) main trendlines that explains why Bitcoin has been struggling so much around these zones. Price tends to break above and below these diagonal trendlines, trading sideways in a diagonal fashion - until there is enough “fear” or justification to allow the trendline to play itself out. The first trendline I design for you in my previous idea. This takes Bitcoin to a zone with several confluences. (1) A Volume Profile support, (2) The bottom of a bearish trendline, and (3) The absorption of a mass amount of liquidity located from the current price to that zone. The second trendline, which you can apply the same validation methods I pointed out in my previous idea (duplicating the trendline and placing it infinitely at different areas on the chart and observing price respecting the angle), has a bottom of $7,000. Now this Uber low may seem extraordinarily unrealistic, but there is again, a mass amount of liquidity located in those low zones that the market wants to absorb. 3. I lay out here a corrective wave sequence that would allow all of this liquidity to be absorbed. The US Dollar on the higher timeframes shows a bearish retest of a major breakdown. With all of the negative news and geopolitical tension with the US, both technically and fundamentally this points in the direction of a falling US dollar relative to other global currencies. 4. Ultimately this is good for Bitcoin. I present this idea for several reasons, most importantly, what I can see happening (assuming this does occur) is that many holders and investors will sell at very low prices in extreme fear that Bitcoin will go to zero, when in fact it would just be a liquidity grab prior to a true 3-5 year bull run on Bitcoin as the US Dollar loses strength. Of course being ill prepared and selling at those extreme lows would be catastrophic for investors and traders. So if anything, I hope this serves you with the possibility explained in detail, and in the event you see this occur, to not panic and not sell. To do the exact opposite of what the majority would do and BUY into those extreme fear zones. Happy trading and stay safe. For anyone wanting to argue that it’s not possible or showing their confidence that it would never happen; please understand there is no harm is looking at potential scenarios and this isn’t an ego contest about who is right or wrong. It’s ideally about looking out for each other and sharing our work, knowledge, and experience to collectively succeed in understanding this challenging market. People may also like to point out that I’ve been speaking about this occurring for roughly a year, and have been wrong - however the timing of such events doesn’t mean it’s “wrong”. If the chart demonstrates a possibility, it remains.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by DickDandy
EURUSD Potential Short Setup - 1HR Swing TradeThis trading idea proposes a short position in EURUSD on the 1-hour timeframe, based on the expectation of a continued downward move. The entry point is strategically located at a resistance level, with a stop-loss order to manage risk and a take-profit target set at a potential support zone. Disclaimer : This analysis is based on the provided image and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risks, and it is essential to conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
by APFXpro
BTC - Watch this Trendline - Potential Short to 36,000I’ve drawn the main trendline and marked the contact points in red circles if you’d like to replicate this on your own chart I’ve also demonstrated that when the correct trendline is identified, it can be duplicated and placed at different points on the chart that price seems to follow - IE support / resistance works on a diagonal grid I’ve marked my personal entry in green, stop loss in red - minor targets in grey dashed lines and major targets in black solid lines Fundamentally this drop makes sense as there is a mass amount of liquidity in these below zones. Not financial advice, do your own research and experimentations. God speed!
Short
by DickDandy
GBPJPY trend continuation?Next week, we can expect the continuation of the trend. The technical analysis is fully explained in the chart, but what needs to be watched are the fundamental reports: Manufacturing PMI on Monday, (impulsive move) Tuesday nothing (correction move) Services PMI on Wednesday, (impulsive move) Jobless Claims on Thursday, (impulsive move) and NFP along with Fed Chair Powell's speech on Friday. (impulsive move) We expecting high volatility during news events. Trade what you see, not what you think.
Short
by Monesta
trend towards 2845, trend continues to strengthen! gold ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold price (XAU/USD) declines for the second consecutive day, hitting a two-week low around $2,860 during Friday's Asian session. The US Dollar (USD) continues its recovery for the third straight day, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain its hawkish stance due to persistent inflation. This strengthens the USD and weighs on the non-yielding gold. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: The gold price adjustment is mandatory, along with the influence of the world financial sectors, selling off at the same time. The trade war is very close, gold is also negatively affected by investors. ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2891 - $2893 SL $2898 TP1: $2885 TP2: $2878 TP3: $2870 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2846 - $2844 SL $2839 TP1: $2852 TP2: $2860 TP3: $2870 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE : Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
#TRUMPUSDT – Bearish Scenario, Breakout Down📉 SHORT BYBIT:TRUMPUSDT.P from $12.278 🛡 Stop Loss: $12.599 ⏱ 1H Timeframe ⚡ Trade Plan: ✅ The BYBIT:TRUMPUSDT.P price has formed a Bearish Flag and broke its lower boundary, confirming a bearish scenario. ✅ The asset is trading below POC (Point of Control) at $12.978, indicating strong seller dominance. ✅ Increasing volume on the breakdown further confirms the strength of the downward move. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $12.100 🔥 TP 2: $11.900 ⚡ TP 3: $11.785 📢 A close below $12.278 would confirm further downside movement. 📢 POC at $12.978 is a strong resistance level that the price failed to break. 📢 Increasing volume on the drop supports the bearish outlook. 📢 Securing partial profits at TP1 ($12.100) is a smart risk-management strategy. 🚨 BYBIT:TRUMPUSDT.P remains in a downtrend – monitoring for continuation and securing profits at TP levels!
Short
by MoriartyTrading
3
EUR/USD Bearish Trigger: 1.0400 Break Targets 1.0323 & 1.0270 EUR/USD is hovering around the 1.0400 support—a key level also marking the lower boundary of its recent flat zone. A definitive break below this threshold could trigger a downside continuation, exposing Expect Level 1 (1.0323) and potentially Expect Level 2 (1.0270). Strong resistance near 1.0530 remains intact, reinforcing the bearish bias. As long as price remains below the broken trendline and fails to reclaim the flat-zone highs, sellers appear poised to drive the pair toward these lower Fibonacci-based targets.
Short
by ClearTradingMind