Shortsetup
Gold prices continue temporary downtrend⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) came under renewed selling pressure during Friday’s Asian session, dipping to their lowest level in over a week, near the $3,344–$3,345 range. The decline was largely driven by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone, which emphasized persistent inflation risks and suggested a more gradual path to interest rate cuts—dampening demand for the non-yielding precious metal. Nevertheless, fragile market sentiment and a cautious risk environment may continue to lend some support to gold, potentially cushioning it against steeper declines.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Selling pressure continues to maintain, pushing gold price down to 3304 today, the downtrend price line is maintaining well.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3418- 3420 SL 3425
TP1: $3400
TP2: $3382
TP3: $3370
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3306-$3304 SL $3299
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3328
TP3: $3340
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Bears under strong pressure, gold price adjusted⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) saw a modest rebound during Thursday’s Asian session, recovering part of the prior day’s decline and stabilizing around the $3,362–$3,363 zone, marking the weekly low. Lingering trade uncertainties and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to weigh on global risk sentiment, supporting demand for the safe-haven metal.
Meanwhile, the U.S. Federal Reserve concluded its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday by holding interest rates steady, while signaling a more cautious approach to future rate cuts. This shift, driven in part by concerns that President Donald Trump’s tariff policies could fuel inflation, boosted the U.S. Dollar to its highest level in over a week. The resulting Dollar strength is capping gold’s upside momentum, keeping the metal below the $3,400 threshold and prompting investors to remain cautious.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Bears continue to put selling pressure on gold prices. Accumulating below 3400.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3414- 3416 SL 3421
TP1: $3402
TP2: $3390
TP3: $3376
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3347-$3345 SL $3340
TP1: $3355
TP2: $3368
TP3: $3380
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
USD/JPY – Bearish Symmetrical Triangle Break Incoming?USD/JPY is currently consolidating within a well-defined symmetrical triangle, respecting both the ascending and descending trendlines with clean touches. This structure typically precedes a volatile breakout, and the technical confluence here favors a bearish resolution.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Price failed to hold above the 0.5 Fib level of the recent swing high at 145.377, getting rejected by both the 200 EMA and the triangle resistance zone.
Currently testing the 0.382 retracement (144.607) — a break here opens the door for a drop to the 0.236 level (143.653) and potentially deeper into previous demand.
Volume compression and EMA clustering further support an imminent breakout move.
📐 Bearish Confluences:
Rising wedge/symmetrical triangle pattern showing exhaustion.
Strong rejection at the equilibrium of the range.
EMAs acting as dynamic resistance.
Major fib cluster from previous bearish leg aligning with triangle apex.
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 143.653 (0.236 Fib)
TP2: 142.111 (local low)
TP3: 140.347 (-0.27 Fib extension, full measured move of triangle)
❌ Invalidation:
Clean break above 145.526 (mid-structure + fib zone) would neutralize the setup.
💬 Market Context: Watch closely for a breakout confirmation. Smart money may sweep short-term liquidity before a decisive drop. Stay nimble, and remember — structure always tells the story.
Rising Geopolitical Tension (Iran Conflict) Signals Market RiskMoving Partially to Cash (VEA, QQQ, TQQQ, SPY, TECL, SOXL)
The global market is entering a high-risk environment. Geopolitical escalation, particularly the growing threat of direct US involvement in a military conflict with Iran, is pushing global uncertainty to new highs. Tensions in the Middle East, rising oil and gold volatility, and increased friction between major world powers all point toward a potential market breakdown. On the chart, VEA ETF is showing signs of topping out within a rising wedge pattern. Meanwhile, institutional funds are starting to reduce exposure to high-risk assets. I'm taking partial profits and shifting to cash across VEA, QQQ, TQQQ, SPY, SOXL, and TECL to preserve gains. Buy-back zones are set around 53.00, 48.00, and 44.00. In an environment of global escalation and rapid risk-off sentiment, active portfolio defense is more important than passive hope.
GBPUSD consolidates resistance zone and declinesPlan GBPUSD day: 16 June 2025
Related Information: !!!
The Pound Sterling (GBP) ticks up to near 1.3590 against the US Dollar (USD) so far on Monday, remaining inside Friday’s trading range. The GBP/USD pair is expected to keep trading within a tight range as investors have sidelined ahead of monetary policy announcements by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE), due on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively.
At the start of the week, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, edges down to near 98.00.
Investors will closely monitor the interest rate guidance from both central banks, while they are expected to leave those unchanged at their current levels
personal opinion:!!!
At the beginning of the week, there was not much important news. GBPUSD price was sideways and reacted to resistance and support zones.
Important price zone to consider :
SELL point: zone 1.35950
Sustainable trading to beat the market
BTC accumulates, back to 108,500Plan BTC today: 16 June 2025
Related Information:
The price of gold is nearing its all-time high as tensions in the Middle East escalate, but analysts say they’re doubtful Bitcoin will do the same as investors prioritize other safe-haven assets.
The price of gold rose to $3,450 per ounce on Monday, just $50 shy of its all-time high of just below $3,500 in April, according to TradingView.
The usually slow-to-move asset has gained a whopping 30% since the beginning of the year, catalyzed by US President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs and, more recently, an escalation of military action in the Middle East following an Israeli missile strike on Iran on June 13, which caused Bitcoin prices to fall.
Gold prices have also been linked with inflationary pressures, as it is considered a safe haven and an inflation hedge by investors.
personal opinion:
The crypto market recovered at the beginning of the week after being affected by war news. It will almost certainly continue to maintain the 4.5% interest rate, so it will be difficult to break ATH this week.
Important price zone to consider :
Sell point: zone 108.400 - 108.600 SL : 109.100
Take profit : 107.900 - 107.000 - 106.000
Sustainable trading to beat the market
$MSTR bear flag forming; Daily $350 targetHello, quick mobile chart posting here. Simple looking bear flagging forming. Bitcoin having some downside action, I imagine Saylor will be buying some Bitcoin soon again as well. This should see $350. Looking for a short. + geopolitical turmoil hits crypto/Bitcoin the hardest and most violent. The 20 and 50 EMA are aligned as well with the Supertrend Downtrend showing $350.
WSL.
XRP | SHORT CRIPPLE to $2XRP is currently trading BEARISH, since we're seeing a trade right on top of the current support level.
The more times a support level is testes, the weaker it becomes. Therefore, the current support may break and then it's a free-fall to $2.
Additionally, with the price trading UNDER the moving averages in the 4h, we can confirm a bearish sentiment from a technical indicator perspective.
With a fairly tight SL, and a modest TP, the risk is low with this short setup:
___________________
BINANCE:XRPUSDT
Compression, rejection, and the trap belowPEPE isn’t random here — it’s in a calculated drawdown. Not a dump — a design. What looks like weakness is really compression into a reactive pocket.
The logic:
Price is descending inside a compression channel. But the real interest lies lower — specifically around the FVG and the untouched demand range down to 0.0000089. That’s the key.
The 0.0000103 zone is a surface-level fib level (0.382), but the deeper intention is beneath it — where Smart Money will want to accumulate before running it back into inefficiency.
Above us? There’s a massive void sitting between 0.0000115 and 0.0000126. That’s the draw — but not before a deeper sweep to fuel it.
Two key paths:
Ideal: Full sweep of 0.0000089 demand → strong reversal → drive back into the .5/.618 fib cluster near 0.0000115–0.0000126
If front-run: Hold near current level (0.0000103) and deliver into the FVG gap above
Anything below 0.0000083? That’s your invalidation. Until then, compression is the setup.
Final thought:
“Smart Money doesn’t chase the wick. It sets the trap — then steps in with size.”
BTC - Update on Suspected Flash Crash ScenarioFor those of you who have been following my ideas, and I don’t think that would be many - understandably so, because these ideas seem so outrageous and out of the norm - I feel obligated to provide updated numbers per my own personal trade ideas.
I expect BTC to flash crash. In summary, here is why:
1. DXY is breaking down and retesting a major bearish trendline on the monthly. This alongside geopolitical events and sentiment, I expect the dollar to fall rapidly and store of value assets such as BTC to see a multi year bull run.
2. The market has been steadily bringing BTC up since late 2022. This leaves a trail of long position stop losses below the price, leaving a massive chain reaction of sell orders ready to set off one into the next. In other words, the orders required to make the drop are already in the chart.
3. It’s a question of when - BTC is under 3 intersecting bearish trendlines, and we can see how price breaks above and below these support / resistance levels historically. Eventually they will hold and play out, estimating when is tricky - that’s why I use DXY to predict it.
It’s difficult to pinpoint where the upper resistance is - but a pretty solid pick is around 105,200. I’ve used various numbers in the past for this idea, but it’s always refining and evolving based on what I see price doing.
I’m proposing two movements for a massive liquidation sweep of the lows prior to a 3-5 year bull run where BTC sees those quarter million dollar prices.
Scenario 1:
105,200 to 35,000
35,000 retrace to 77,000 ( although this doesn’t have to happen, I just anticipate a 3 wave corrective move)
77,000 to 10,000 (could be as low as 7,000)
7,000 and upwards of 200,000 (after all liquidity is absorbed and reclaimed)
Scenario 2:
105,200 straight down (for the most part) to 17,000 to 20,000
17-20,000 and upwards to 200,000 plus
Personally I feel scenario one is most likely. I’ve been trading this market since 2017 and the newfound “ stability “ of Bitcoin during the last 2 years cannot be trusted. This upwards move IS NOT a bull run. It’s a BEARISH RETEST.
Bearish retests typically move straight up, exactly as what’s been happening - following by a drop roughly 10 times as fast.
Same ideas on the larger time frames as smaller time frames.
WHEN DO I EXPECT THIS TO HAPPEN?
Starting any minute and spanning over the next several days to week.
Anyway - that’s my update for those of you who are interested.
Understand this stuff gets laughed at - but I experienced the same treatment when I told my group to long BTC at 16,500 in Jan 2023 to a target of 90,000. It’s not new to me and I expect it.
Doing my best to help advise and open your minds to alternative ideas.
ETH - Another Take - When in Doubt, Zoom OutETH on the multi day time frame appears to have been respecting this ascending series of support / resistances since its inception.
If this resistance holds, this is a major breakdown of ETH’s last support - assuming the chart does work best on these ascending channels (certainly has historically).
Due to this I am shorting ETH at 2550 appx - and my targets are marked on the chart (3 purple levels).
I don’t see why any formation on the chart should be dismissed if it has a strong interaction historically.
Let’s see what happens.
Happy trading
SUI — Trading with Geometry: Why Harmonics Work So WellSUI has been respecting technical levels with remarkable consistency. After bouncing from the $2.8467 low, it surged sharply — completing a clean Cypher Harmonic Pattern. This led to a high-probability short setup at the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement (Point D) around $3.5573.
🎯 Trade Setup Breakdown
Pattern: Cypher Harmonic
Entry (Point D): $3.5573 (0.786 retracement of XC)
Target: $3.1191 (0.618 retracement of CD)
Stop-Loss: Above Point X
The 0.618 fib retracement of the CD leg coincides with a significant key low from May 6, 2025, adding structural confluence. This is an ideal level to monitor for absorption, reaction, or potential reversal behaviour.
🧠 Educational Insight: How to Trade Harmonic Patterns Like a Pro
Harmonic patterns aren't just visually appealing — they represent high-probability setups based on market structure, Fibonacci geometry, and behavioural cycles. The most critical part of every harmonic pattern?
You enter at Point D.
Whether the pattern is bullish or bearish, Point D is your trigger:
In bearish patterns (like this Cypher), you short from Point D.
In bullish patterns, you long from Point D.
This works because Point D marks the exhaustion of the corrective leg, where trapped traders and liquidity often sit. The structure often aligns with supply or demand zones, order blocks, or FVGs (Fair Value Gaps).
💡 Important: Harmonic patterns are most effective on higher timeframes — 4H and above. On lower timeframes, noise increases and reliability drops significantly. For clean execution and meaningful structure, stay with mid to high timeframes.
Here’s how to trade it effectively:
✅ Wait for the full pattern to form — don’t front-run
✅ Use fib levels and structure confluence to validate Point D
✅ Use order flow tools (like Exocharts) to confirm absorption or volume shift
✅ Enter on Point D with your stop-loss just beyond X
✅ Take profits at common retracement levels like the 0.382 or 0.618 of the CD leg
Patience is key. Harmonic traders wait for the market to complete the cycle — then strike with a plan.
📌 Final Thoughts
SUI is delivering clean harmonic respect, and this setup is no exception. Whether you're already short or waiting for further confirmation, keep an eye on volume, liquidity zones, and reaction levels around $3.1191. If this zone holds, it may serve as a pivot for the next move.
Pattern. Precision. Patience. That's how you catch high-probability trades like this.
_________________________________
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D13 Y25AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D13 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation breaks of structure.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block identification
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X