AERGO: Golden Pocket Hit – Crash Incoming?On April 3rd, AERGO hit a historic low of $0.04746—and just 13 days later, it's trading around $0.60, an astonishing +1500% surge in less than two weeks. The rapid rise begs the question: What are the bulls aiming for next, and how sustainable is this move?
Key Observations:
Explosive Rally:
AERGO’s meteoric move from $0.04746 to $0.70 in just 13 days has propelled the coin into uncharted territory. Such a dramatic spike is not only eye-catching but also raises concerns about overextension.
RSI Overbought:
The daily RSI sits at 98, indicating extreme overbought conditions. This level suggests that the current rally is unsustainable and may be ripe for a pullback.
Historical Resistance Levels:
Looking back at 2021, key highs were established around $0.60 to $0.62. These levels serve as critical resistance zones.
Fibonacci Confluence:
Taking the Fibonacci retracement from the low at $0.04746 to the previous rally's high at $1.0809 (April 13, 2024), the 0.618 level is projected at $0.68613. The bulls just tested that golden pocket.
Trade Strategy & Potential Setups:
For Longs:
With the market showing signs of being overbought (RSI at 98) and the explosive move possibly winding down, this may be the perfect opportunity to take profits rather than accumulate further.
Take Profit Consideration:
Target: Near the 0.618 fib retracement at $0.68613.
Observation: If bulls push beyond this level, the move might extend — however, the risk of a sharp pullback is high given current overbought conditions.
For Shorts:
A corrective move is very much on the table, and traders looking to short should focus on the key resistance zone between $0.60 and $0.70.
Short Setup:
Entry: Look to initiate shorts near the $0.60–$0.70 zone.
Target: $0.4 and $0.2 as take profit targets
The Big Question:
Will AERGO drop as sharply as it surged? Given the extreme overbought conditions and the rapid, unsustainable spike, a healthy—and perhaps brutal—correction seems very possible. Keep a close eye on volume and price action near the $0.60–$0.70 resistance zone and be ready to adjust positions accordingly.
Anyone riding this wave has experienced one of the wildest moves in recent memory. For those in long positions, consider taking profits now; for potential short traders, watch those key levels tightly. The market's rhythm will soon reveal its next chapter.
Shortsetup
XRP - Choppy Market, Will We See $1.5 Again?After finishing the 5-wave structure in early 2025, XRP had a rough patch, trading between $3 and $2 and offering some pretty neat swing trade opportunities. Now, two months later, the big question is: will this range continue, or is a breakout on the horizon? Let’s break down the key levels and high-probability setups.
Short Trade Setup
Resistance Zone:
The weekly level and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement are both around $2.5763 to $2.5792, aligning nicely with each other.
The anchored VWAP from the all-time high at $3.4 adds extra resistance at about $2.63.
Setup Details:
A low-risk short trade can be considered at the weekly level, with a stop-loss set above both the anchored VWAP and the swing high.
Target: The monthly open, aiming for an R:R of about 4:1.
Support Backup:
Additional support in this range comes from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (from a low at $1.9 to a high at $2.59), the weekly 21 SMA at $2.28, and a weekly level at $2.0942 just below the monthly open.
This support between the weekly level at $2.0942 and the monthly open is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. If it holds, the bearish short setup stands; if it breaks, things could get tricky.
Long Trade Setup
When to Consider a Long:
If the support zone mentioned above fails, look for a long trade opportunity at the swing low around $1.77.
Support Confluence:
Primary Support: The swing low at $1.77, with lots of liquidity around that area.
Additional Layers:
The monthly level at $1.5988.
The weekly level at $1.5605 sits just below the monthly.
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the 5-wave structure at $1.5351.
Anchored VWAP from the low at $0.3823, aligning with the weekly level.
And don’t forget the psychological level at $1.5.
Setup Details:
This long trade setup would offer an attractive R:R of roughly 6:1, targeting back to the monthly open for an approximate 33% gain, with a stop-loss placed below the $1.5 mark.
XRP's current trading range has provided some good short and long trade setups, a long opportunity at the swing low ($1.77-$1.5) could be the next big play. Whether you lean towards short or long, finding these confluence zones helps in making more informed, high-probability trade decisions.
If you found it helpful, please leave a like and a comment. Happy trading!
XRP/USDT I Reverse Short Squeeze Alert! Resistance at 2 USDTHey Traders after the success of my Previous trade this month on NASDAQ:HOOD hitting Target 1 & 2 in 2 days more than 16%+
With a Similar Trade setup But Crypto I bring you today
BINANCE:XRPUSDT
Short opportunity
- Market structure
- Head and shoulder pattern
- Currently will be trading at supply zone which was a recent support and now an ideal place for a reversal which is taking place as we speak- 4 Hour TF.
- Breakdown and retest
- Risk Aversion Dynamics in Cryptocurrency Markets
PROTIP/-
Entry on Bearish candle stick pattern on Current Levels
Stop Loss : 2.2292
Target 1 : 1.4707
Target 2 : 1.0507
Technical View
The orange circle marks a double top within the supply zone, acting as the shoulders of a larger head and shoulders pattern, suggesting strong resistance.
Bearish Trendline
breakdown + Retest
Risk Aversion Dynamics in Cryptocurrency Markets
Fundamental View - How Current Affairs can effect this pair!
The proposed imposition of significant tariffs, such as the 60% levy on Chinese imports suggested by former U.S. President Donald Trump, could trigger a chain reaction across global markets. This scenario would likely amplify risk aversion among investors, potentially catalyzing a sell-off in risk-sensitive assets like XRP (Ripple) in favor of perceived safe havens such as the U.S. dollar (and by extension, Tether/USDT). Below, we analyze the mechanics of this relationship and its implications for the XRP/USDT trading pair.
1. Tariff Escalation and Its Macroeconomic Consequences
1.1 Direct Impact on China’s Economy
A 60% tariff on Chinese exports to the U.S. would directly reduce China’s export competitiveness, potentially lowering its GDP growth by 1.5–2.5 percentage points annually, according to UBS economists. This slowdown would exacerbate existing vulnerabilities in China’s economy, including a property market crisis, weak domestic demand, and deflationary pressures (June 2024 CPI: 0.2% YoY). Reduced economic activity in China—the world’s second-largest economy—could dampen global trade volumes and commodity prices, indirectly affecting risk sentiment in financial markets.
1.2 Global Spillover Effects
The UBS analysis highlights that retaliatory measures by China or other nations could amplify trade fragmentation, further destabilizing supply chains and corporate earnings. For example, the April 2025 announcement of 25% U.S. tariffs on automotive imports triggered a 2.9% drop in the S&P 500 and a 5–7% decline in major Asian equity indices. Such volatility often precedes broader risk aversion, as investors reassess exposure to growth-dependent assets.
2. Risk Aversion Dynamics in Cryptocurrency Markets
2.1 Flight to Safety and USD Appreciation
During periods of economic uncertainty, capital typically flows into safe-haven assets like U.S. Treasuries and the dollar. Tether (USDT), a stable coin pegged 1:1 to the USD, often benefits from this dynamic as crypto traders seek stability. For instance, Bitcoin’s role as a “weak safe haven” for the USD in acute crises suggests that stable coins like USDT could see increased demand during tariff-induced turmoil, while altcoins like XRP face selling pressure.
2.2 XRP’s Sensitivity to Risk Sentiment
XRP, unlike Bitcoin, lacks established safe-haven credentials. Its price action in Q2 2025 exemplifies this vulnerability: a 7.5% decline over 30 days (peaking at 2.57 USDT on March 19 and bottoming at 1.64 USDT on April 7). This volatility aligns with broader patterns where altcoins underperform during risk-off periods. A global slowdown would likely intensify this trend, as retail and institutional investors reduce exposure to speculative crypto assets.
3. Mechanism: From Tariffs to XRP/USDT Price Decline
3.1 Investor Behavior in Risk-Off Environments
Tariff Announcements → Equity Market Sell-Off: The April 2025 auto tariffs caused a 6–7% drop in Asian equities, signaling growing risk aversion.
Liquidity Reallocation: Investors exit equities and crypto (including XRP) to hold cash or cash equivalents like USDT.
USD/USDT Demand Surge: Increased demand for USD lifts USDT’s relative value, pressuring XRP/USDT downward.
3.2 Technical and Fundamental Pressure on XRP
Supply-Demand Imbalance: As sellers dominate XRP markets, the token’s price in USDT terms declines. The 14.56% 90-day volatility in XRP/USDT suggests heightened sensitivity to macroeconomic shocks.
Liquidity Crunch: A broader crypto market downturn could reduce trading volumes, exacerbating price swings.
4. Historical Precedents and Limitations
4.1 Bitcoin’s Mixed Performance as a Hedge
While Bitcoin has shown limited safe-haven properties for the USD in short-term crises, its decoupling from altcoins like XRP during stress periods is well-documented. For example, Bitcoin’s 40% rebound post-COVID crash contrasted with XRP’s prolonged slump in 2020–2021.
4.2 Mitigating Factors
Stimulus Measures: If China implements aggressive fiscal stimulus, as UBS posits, a partial recovery in risk appetite could cushion XRP’s decline.
Crypto-Specific Catalysts: Regulatory clarity or Ripple-related developments (e.g., SEC case resolutions) could counteract macro-driven selling.
5. Conclusion: Bearish Outlook for XRP/USDT in Tariff Scenario
In a tariff-driven slowdown, the XRP/USDT pair faces downward pressure due to:
Risk Aversion: Capital rotation from crypto to stable coins.
USD Strength: USDT demand surges as a proxy for dollar safety.
Altcoin Underperformance: Historical precedent of XRP lagging during macro stress.
People interested should monitor China’s policy response and U.S. tariff implementation timelines, as these factors will determine the severity of XRP/USDT’s downside. A breach below the April 7 low of 1.64 USDT could signal prolonged bearish momentum.
This analysis synthesizes macroeconomic triggers, market psychology, and cryptocurrency-specific dynamics to outline a plausible pathway for XRP/USDT depreciation amid escalating trade tensions.
Not An Investment Advise
SOL Bulls Strike Back — But Is It Sustainable?Solana continues to respect technicals with precision — after a +42.9% move from the $95 low, we're now at a pivotal moment in price structure. Let’s break down what’s happening and where the high-probability setups lie.
📍 Key Bounce Zone – Golden Pocket Confluence
Local Low: $95.26
Golden Pocket Zone (0.618–0.666): $97.09–$94.82
This area acted as a major demand zone, with price sharply rebounding.
First Volume Spike: Followed by retracement into Golden Pocket Zone at $102.
Second Volume Spike: Occurred right after touching Anchored VWAP ($108.21) from the $95.26 low, which added beautiful confluence with the Golden Pocket Zone – a secondary high-conviction long entry.
📈 Rally to Resistance – Short-Term Climax
After the anchored VWAP retest, SOL rallied into the key resistance zone aligned with the 0.786 Fib retracement from the previous down move — a historically reactive level and a prime profit-taking zone.
Monthly 21 EMA ($135.83) and the monthly 21 SMA ($133) — both key dynamic resistance zones.
Low-volume retest of that key high suggests buyer exhaustion, not continuation — a classic setup for a short-term reversal.
🧭 Current Market Structure
Current Price Action: Trading above both the weekly open ($128.38) and the monthly open ($124.54).
This forms a critical S/R zone between $124–$128, now acting as a potential battleground for bulls and bears.
As long as price stays above this zone, momentum remains with the bulls.
🔍 What to Watch Next – Reclaim or Reject?
Key Support to Watch:
$125 (psychological level) and monthly open at $124.54 – This zone is likely to be liquidity-hunted. Expect a sweep of this low, look for the reaction.
Daily Support Confluence: currently at 21 EMA: $123.77 & 21 SMA: $123.27
1.) 📈 Scenario A – Bullish Reclaim:
If SOL sweeps the low and shows strong buying reaction (bullish engulfing candle, volume spike), it sets up a potential long opportunity towards the weekly open, to watch for the next reaction.
2.) 📉 Scenario B – Failed Hold:
If there's no bullish reaction at $124–$125, expect further downside.
First target = $122
Second target = $120.65
🎯 Tactical Game Plan
Bulls:
Watch for reaction at $124–$125 – potential scalp long with tight SL.
Confirmation on volume expansion and break of $128.38 for continuation.
Re-enter long after clean retest of weekly open from above.
Bears:
Short setup possible if weekly/monthly open is broken and retested as resistance.
First TP = $122, second TP = $120.65.
Pop and Flop in GOOGL?Google recently staged a sharp rebound, filling the gap perfectly after a major sell-off driven by tariff-related headlines. While I had personally expected a deeper move into the $137.36–$135.41 range, price found strong buying interest earlier than anticipated.
The area we bounced from is significant—it's essentially the origin of the move that led to Google’s all-time high in 2024. However, despite the bounce, GOOGL has lost support across all timeframes , which shifts my focus toward potential short opportunities.
I’m now watching for a reaction around the support-turned-resistance zone near $164 . There’s an untested monthly level at $161.72 , which could trigger a reaction, but the area I’m really eyeing is the weekly resistance zone from $164 to $165.87 . I believe this range could act as a strong reversal zone and spark a deeper pullback.
If that rejection plays out, here are the levels I’m watching for downside targets:
- Target 1: $157.04 (daily support zone)
- Target 2: $146.75 (leg end and major weekly swing low from September 2024)
- Target 3: $141.55 (previous leg low)
- Final Target: New lows below $140.00
This short setup was far more appealing before the recent bounce off the $140 zone, so I will remain cautious. However, if price starts reacting from this resistance zone and breaks back below the monthly at $161.72 —or even more convincingly, the local daily support at $160.67 —that would trigger confirmation for continuation to the downside.
Invalidation levels:
- A weekly close above $165.03
- A daily close above $170.60
Either of those would invalidate the short thesis.
SHORT ON GOLD (XAU/USD)Gold has found a ceiling and has given a bit of a double top with a change of market structure from up to down.
Its currently retesting the supply area that provided the choc (change of character)
I will be selling gold to the next support level looking to make a $50 move which is 500 pips.
Idea for Mon 14 Apr - Gold Short – Bear in a Bull OutfitOANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has been heavily influenced by recent developments in the trade war.
A 90-day pause on tariffs (excluding China) and the exemption of smartphones and computers from tariffs were announced on friday.
These headlines may temporarily calm markets and give stocks room to rise — which typically puts pressure on gold. If Dollar is rising again, could be a side effect too.
This could lead to a short-term pullback in gold prices.
A price gap was formed around $3175.51 during the opening session on Thursday, April 10th.
After a small bounce, i expect gold to move downward to fill that gap.
A potential support level is sitting near $3156, which could act as a bounce zone.
"Next week it’s a bear inside a bull outfit."
Despite a broader bullish structure, we could see the week start with a correction. A classic gap-fill setup for the short-term traders.
RSI and MacD are on top levels, but for how long?
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
$GLD - bullish momentum soon to stallHello, I was bullish on AMEX:GLD for a bit and now examining the charts, multiple frames, this may be setting up for a good short. If geopolitics and tariff talks deescalate then this should cool off. The Elliot wave placed indicates some time for a correction/pull back on this hot commodity and the candle on the Daily from Friday is a spinning stop doji which can indicate reversal in an uptrend. Also, we have so many gaps up that happened in 3 day span, crazy actually. I labeled areas of targets to fill these gaps. Expecting a retracement to $280.
WSL.
EUR/JPY Short🎯 Trade Setup Plan
👇 Aggressive Entry (Riskier)
Sell Limit: 164.90
SL: 165.90
TP1: 160.00
TP2: 157.00
TP3 (optional): 155.00
Use this only if you want to catch the wick, but recognize the higher chance of being swept.
✅ Conservative Entry (Recommended)
Wait for a daily candle close under 162.00 after touching 164. That confirms rejection.
Entry: On next day’s minor retest (e.g., 162.50–163.00)
SL: 165.50 (above recent highs)
TP1: 160.00
TP2: 157.00
TP3: 155.00
Risk: 1–2% depending on confirmation strength
📌 Optional Breakout Plan (In case resistance breaks cleanly)
Buy Stop: 165.60
SL: 164.30
TP: 170.00 (weekly resistance)
Use only if a strong daily close above 165 confirms breakout.
SPY Trade Review – Potential Pop and Flop SetupI’m tracking a potential pop and flop scenario forming on SPY. There’s a setup for a possible 5.5% move higher, followed by the opportunity for a larger short of up to 15% toward final downside targets.
SPY and its key influencers, including the Magnificent Seven , are currently rebounding off significant support levels. This could allow for continued upside before running into major resistance.
As highlighted in the chart, we may see a further push higher of approximately 5.5% , taking us into the weekly/daily high support lost zone at $564 . If this level acts as firm resistance and price reverses, a break below $549.83 (our trigger for adding short exposure) could lead to a significant selloff.
Downside targets include:
- Target 1: $502
- Target 2: $476.30 (a potential new local low)
A daily or weekly close above $564.52 would invalidate this short setup.
This is a high time frame setup , but I’ve shown it on the 4-hour chart for greater clarity. Now we wait and see!
NVIDIA Update 3 Rangebound with new Low for longsIn this video I bring to your attention what we could possibly expect if we lose the current level and if we do then where is the next crucial zone to look for Longs.
If you have read this then pls do Boost my work and any questions then leave them below
Trade the range until it breaks Nvidia updateThis video is a quick recap on the previous video after the levels I gave produced 30% move to the upside after patiently waiting for the move down to 90$.
So what now is the big question after the unprecedented move we had yesterday .
I outline the next best Short/Long setup and define why I think we stay inside of the range until Earnings Data .
#NEIROETHUSDT maintains bearish momentum❗️Keep an eye on the BYBIT:NEIROETHUSDT.P — the structure suggests a possible local rebound or a breakout of the wedge to the upside. Opening a short here goes against the structure and lacks confirmation
📉 SHORT BYBIT:NEIROETHUSDT.P from $0.01612
🛡 Stop loss $0.01693
🕒 Timeframe: 1H
✅ Overview:
➡️ The chart shows BYBIT:NEIROETHUSDT.P forming a bearish continuation move after breaking out of a consolidation range.
➡️ Entry at $0.01612 corresponds to a retest of former support turned resistance.
➡️ Selling volume is increasing, supporting bearish pressure.
➡️ The POC level at $0.02084 remains far above the current price, highlighting downward imbalance.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.01586
💎 TP 2: $0.01535
💎 TP 3: $0.01500
📢 Additional scenario notes:
📢 A false breakout above the entry zone is possible — wait for confirmation of the $0.01620 break.
📢 Watch for volume spikes near TP1 and TP2 — could signal partial take profits.
📢 If price reclaims $0.01693, the setup becomes invalid.
🚀 BYBIT:NEIROETHUSDT.P maintains bearish momentum — downside move expected!
$AMD $75 support targetHi, NASDAQ:AMD short may be activated here looking at the daily and weekly. I personally think we are in a bearish trend market wide with the uncertainty and unknowing's of global economics and policies. I believe NASDAQ:AMD will tap into my support zone, in my opinion we have a local resistance of $88-$90.
WSL.
Gold begins to stabilize, trading around 2990⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) finds renewed upward momentum during Tuesday’s Asian session, appearing to end a three-day losing streak after dipping to a nearly four-week low around the $2,957–2,956 region on Monday. Investor sentiment remains fragile amid lingering concerns over a potential global trade war, triggered by US President Donald Trump’s sweeping reciprocal tariffs announced last week. Fears of a recession and heightened uncertainty continue to fuel safe-haven demand, helping bullion stabilize after its sharp pullback from last Thursday’s all-time high.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is in a correction downtrend, will continue sideways around 2950 - 3040
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3036 - 3038 SL 3043
TP1: $3020
TP2: $3005
TP3: $2990
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2962 - $2964 SL $2957
TP1: $2975
TP2: $2990
TP3: $3010
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account