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USD/JPY Trend Next Week - Continue Downtrend?🔔🔔🔔USD/JPY news: 🔆 Japan's largest labor union group, Rengo, secured an average wage increase of 5.46%, the highest since 1991, surpassing last year's initial figure of 5.28%. However, the raise fell short of expectations, as union members had sought a 6.09% increase. Given this outcome, the Bank of Japan is unlikely to tighten monetary policy beyond what the market has already priced in, which weighs on the yen. The swaps market continues to reflect expectations of less than 50 basis points of rate hikes over the next year. 🔆 On the other hand, the U.S. dollar remains under pressure following weak economic data, particularly the CPI and PPI reports, which have heightened concerns about a potential recession. This increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates sooner than previously expected at the end of the year. Additionally, growing uncertainty surrounding U.S. tax policies are adding further downside risks to the dollar. Personal opinion: 🔆USD/JPY will maintain a downtrend in the near future after the previous basic economic news. Unless there is good news for the Dollar, then we will consider the possibility of a bullish reversal 🔆 Technically, USD/JPY is hitting a strong resistance zone at SMA100 and Pivot points, so it is likely to continue to decline next week. 🔆Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy Resistance zone: 148.70 - 149.10 - 150.00 Support zone: 148.12 - 147.61 - 146.73 Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy USD/JPY 148.70 – 148.80 ❌SL: 149.15 | ✅TP: 148.20 – 147.70 – 146.80 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
6
BTC FOMC FLASH CRASH / LIQUIDATION IDEAThe FOMC data this week could be a conduit that sticks the price to play down these two trend lines. We can see the mass liquidity on the chart in these low zones. Bitcoins consistent rise since late 2022 has been leaving a train of long stop loss orders (leveraged sell orders) underneath - think of the mechanics of “why it’s possible” as a massive chain reaction of stop losses getting fired off and creating mania and hysteria for further fear based selling. If we see drops to these low zones, I’m presenting the TA evidence of it so that we know it’s not the bottom - but a liquidation move. The worst thing people could do is sell at massive losses thinking BTC is going to zero. I see this move occurring and following that over the next years, a BTC pushing upwards of those $140-$200k zones. The market is interested in reclaiming this liquidity - we are awaiting the conduit or event to justify it. This is my personal trading plan. Happy trading to all and be safe out there.
Short
by DickDandy
USD/JPY double top pattern appears - sharp decline?🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news: ➡️The USD/JPY pair reached a two-week high of around 149.93 during the Asian session on Tuesday as renewed geopolitical concerns in the Middle East boosted demand for the safe-haven US dollar. However, further gains appear uncertain due to diverging expectations between the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve, as well as rising trade tensions. ➡️On Wednesday, the BoJ is widely anticipated to maintain its current interest rates. Inflationary momentum in Japan remains strong, especially after major corporations agreed to meet their unions' substantial wage demands last week. The extent to which this trend extends to smaller businesses in the coming months will be crucial in determining the potential for future rate hikes. Personal opinion: ➡️This could be a corrective rally to gain momentum for a further strong downtrend. The BOJ's policy is expected to raise the policy rate while the Fed is expected to keep the federal funds rate unchanged. ➡️The double bottom pattern is gradually forming and so the downtrend is still there Analysis: ➡️Based on price action combined with resistance - support levels and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell USD/JPY 149.50 – 149.65 ❌SL: 150.00 | ✅TP: 149.00 – 148.60 – 148.10 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Is there a short-term pullback in EUR/USD?🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news: 👉EUR/USD traded below 1.090 in early Thursday morning in Europe. Escalating US-EU trade tensions weighed on risk sentiment and the pair, providing some support to the US dollar amid cooling US inflation 👉 Although EUR/USD has maintained its bullish momentum, the price chart in recent days has not been as strong as before, signaling that the market's buying power may weaken in the short term Personal opinion: 👉RSI (4H) clearly shows divergence and breaks the uptrend line, signaling a possible short-term downtrend for the pair. Check out the support resistance levels to buy at the best price Analysis: 👉Based on important support resistance and SMA levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy EUR/USD 1.0870 – 1.0885 ❌SL: 1.0920 | ✅TP: 1.0820 – 1.0780– 1.0720 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
5
USD/CHF falls after disappointing CPI news🔔🔔🔔 USD/CHF news: 👉USD/CHF is in a sustained downtrend after breaking below key dynamic support levels such as the 100- and 200-day SMA. In addition, the pair has been making a series of consecutive lower highs and lower lows, suggesting that sellers may be taking control. 👉Disappointing US CPI data and previous weak news have added to the weakness of the US Dollar. Personal opinion: 👉USD/CHF is likely to continue its bearish momentum in the near term. 👉However, DXY is recovering to the upside for the second consecutive day. RSI (1D) shows signs of increasing again after entering the oversold zone 👉Consider Sell at the retest zone of 0.8850 because this is a strong resistance area and safer Analysis: 👉Based on the resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell USD/CHF 0.8855 – 0.8870 ❌SL: 0.8900 | ✅TP: 0.8810 – 0.8765 – 0.8720 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Bitcoin’s Battlefield: Support, Resistance and Trade SetupsBitcoin’s price has been showing signs of a sustained downtrend after forming a double top pattern. The recent action, combined with low volume and failure to breach key resistance zones, points to a likely retest of lower levels. Over the weekend, the price couldn’t break past the 85K resistance, and the low trading volume around this level suggests that buyer interest is waning. 6H TF Chart: Big Picture vs. Short-Term Action On a higher timeframe (6H), my indicator neatly outlines the bear market of 2022 and the bull market that started in early 2023—when the “cloud” turned green, signaling a shift in momentum. The cloud's lower boundary is currently at $73,364, which is key. Imo, holding above 70K is critical for keeping that bullish vibe alive. 1H TF Chart: Switching over to the 1H chart, the picture shows a bearish structure. The upper resistance around 95K (which aligns with the yearly open near $93,455.85) is proving a solid resistance. The anchored VWAP from the all-time high also sits right at this level, adding more weight to the resistance. Bulls need to clear this yearly open to signal a true recovery. Key Levels & Confluence Zones 1.) Upper Resistance – 93K to 95K: The 95K zone aligns closely with the yearly open ($93,455.85) and the anchored VWAP from the all-time high, both acting as resistance. Daily moving averages (62 EMA at ~$91,316 and 62 SMA at ~$94,900) provide further confluence. Additional resistance between 85K-86K. 2.) Critical Support – 73K to 70K Zone: The lower edge of the cloud on the 6H timeframe sits around 73K. The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement (from the low at $15,473.78 to the all-time high at $109,354) is at $73,492, while the 0.618 retracement (from $49,217 to the all-time high) is around $72,205. Moving Averages on Weekly Chart: The weekly 62 EMA ($72,919) and 62 SMA ($71,590) align well with this support region. Additional Support: A bullish monthly order block at $71,320 adds another layer of confluence. Psychological Importance: A hold above 70K is critical to maintaining bullish momentum. 3.) Monthly Open – $83,385.74: This level serves as a pivot: price is currently hovering below it. A reclaim by bulls would be a positive sign for higher price action, while a rejection reinforces the bearish setup. Trade Setups Long Trade Setup: Entry: Consider laddering in between 75K and 70K as the price retests support. Take Profit: Aim for the monthly open (~84K) initially, and if support holds and flips, a move toward 90K could be considered. Stop Loss: Set below 70K to protect against a further downturn. Short Trade Setup: Entry: A short setup can start at the monthly open, using a laddering approach between 84K and about 86.9K. Take Profit: Target the previous low or 74K. Stop Loss: Place just above 87K to keep risk in check. Thank you for taking the time to read through this technical analysis. I hope it provides valuable insights for your trading decisions. Happy trading!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by SiDec
9
USDJPY Setup: SHORT on 200 EMA Rejection📉 Best Risk/Reward Setup: SHORT on 200 EMA Rejection 🔻 Entry: Sell in the 148.50 - 148.80 zone after rejecting the 200 EMA (⚪) 🎯 Take-Profit (TP1): 146.50 (RRR: 5:1) 🎯 Take-Profit (TP2): 145.00 (RRR: 9:1) 🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): 149.20 📊 Market Overview & Bias 🟥 Bearish Outlook (Macro Trend - Daily & 4H) ✅ USD/JPY remains in a clear downtrend, trading below the 200 EMA (⚪). ✅ Price has consistently rejected the 100 EMA (🟡) as resistance. ✅ Lower highs and lower lows are forming on the daily & 4H charts. ✅ If 146.50 breaks, next downside targets are 145.00 and 143.50. 🟩 Short-Term Bullish Retracement (1H & 30M) 🔹 USD/JPY has found temporary support at 146.50. 🔹 RSI shows bullish divergence, suggesting a possible short-term bounce. 🔹 If price breaks 148.00, we could see a move toward 149.00 – but this remains a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. 📉 Why This Trade? 🔻 Major resistance at the 200 EMA (⚪) and previous swing highs. 🔻 The macro trend is bearish, so selling rallies is safer than counter-trend longs. 🔻 RSI may enter the overbought zone, signaling a sell opportunity. 🔻 If price struggles at 148.50, expect another bearish impulse. ⚠️ Trading carries a high level of risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always manage your risk carefully and never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. 💬 Do you think USD/JPY will respect the 200 EMA or break through? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
Short
by VidaDeTraderPT
1
XAUUSD - Short Trade after Resistance Test ($3,005 - $3,010)Short after Resistance Test ($3,005 - $3,010) 📌 Entry: Sell within the $3,005 - $3,010 range if there is a clear rejection and price weakness. 🎯 Take-Profit 1: $2,985 (immediate support) 🎯 Take-Profit 2: $2,970 (recent lows) 🛑 Stop-Loss: $3,015 (above resistance) 🔹 Probability: High – Confirmed by weak volume on rallies and strong resistance. Trade Rationale: Key Resistance Zone ($3,005 - $3,010): This level has historically acted as a supply zone, where sellers step in to push prices lower. If price action shows rejection (e.g., wicks or bearish engulfing candles), it confirms a high-probability short setup. Weak Volume on Rallies: Volume analysis suggests that bullish momentum lacks strong participation. A rising price with decreasing volume often signals an exhaustion of buyers, increasing the probability of a reversal. Technical Indicators Align: RSI (Relative Strength Index): Overbought or showing bearish divergence, signaling potential downside pressure. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Losing bullish momentum or forming a bearish crossover, indicating potential for a pullback. Donchian Trend & Moving Averages : Price is testing upper Donchian bands and key moving averages are suggesting overextension. Risk-Reward Ratio: > The stop-loss at $3,015 ensures protection against false breakouts. > The first take-profit ($2,985) targets the nearest support, locking in quick profits. > The second take-profit ($2,970) aligns with recent swing lows, maximizing the downside potential. Final RRR (TP2) is 1 : 3,4 Conclusion: A rejection from the $3,005 - $3,010 resistance zone presents a solid short opportunity, backed by weak bullish momentum, technical confluence, and favorable risk-reward. If the price fails to break higher and shows signs of rejection, this trade setup has a strong probability of success. ⚠️ Final Warning: Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management and never trade with money you can't afford to lose. This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. What do you think about this setup? Would you take this trade? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VidaDeTraderPT
SOL Trading Plan: Stacking Entries Like a ProSolana (SOL) has been in a slow uptrend over the past five days, after hitting the low at $112. The current price action looks like an ABC corrective pattern, which could mean we’re setting up for lower prices. To get the best trade execution, we'll use a laddered entry approach, meaning we’ll scale into positions gradually instead of going all in at once. This helps us get a better average entry price while managing risk effectively. By placing orders at key levels, we increase our chances of catching the right move without overcommitting too early. Resistance Zone ($136 - $143.80) A major resistance zone has formed between $136 - $143.80, where price is likely to struggle. This area contains multiple technical confluences that suggest a potential reversal or strong reaction: $136 – 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement $140.09 – 1:1 Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension $141.40 – Anchored VWAP from the $179.85 swing high $143.80 – Point of Control (POC) from the 19-day Fixed Range Volume Profile This makes $136 - $143.80 a prime area to consider short positions, especially if price starts showing weakness. Support Zone ($102.1 - $98.50) On the downside, a major demand zone is forming between $102.1 - $98.50, where buyers are likely to step in aggressively. This zone has multiple technical confluences, making it a high-probability long entry area: $102.1 – 2024 Yearly Open & Monthly Support $100 – Bullish Monthly Order Block & Anchored VWAP Support $98.50 – Final key demand zone This zone presents a solid long opportunity, allowing for gradual scaling into positions as price moves deeper into support. Short Trade Setup – Laddered Entry Approach Instead of entering all at once, we’ll ladder into the short position gradually, starting small and increasing size as price moves deeper into resistance. Short Entry Levels & Position Sizing Trade Details Average Entry Price: $140.12 Take Profit Target: slightly above $102.10 (Monthly Level) Stop Loss: slightly above $146.70 (Above POC) Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R): ~6:1 Long Trade Setup – Laddered Entry Approach For the long setup, we start with small entries at higher prices and increase size as price moves deeper into support, ensuring a better average entry in a key demand zone. Long Entry Levels & Position Sizing Trade Details Average Entry Price: $102.72 Take Profit Target: slightly below $120.00 Stop Loss: slightly below $95.00 Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R): ~2.45:1 Market Outlook Short Bias: Until price reclaims $143.80, this remains a strong resistance zone for potential short trades. Short Setup: Laddering into resistance ensures better risk management and higher average entry efficiency. Long Setup: Starting small at $112 and increasing position size down to $98.50 ensures strong positioning in a high-confluence demand zone. By scaling into trades rather than committing at a single price, we increase flexibility, improve trade execution, and adapt better to price movements. 🚀 Weekly Timeframe - 200 EMA Support $100 coincides with the 200 EMA on the weekly timeframe, adding confluence to this area as strong support. If Solana decisively breaks above $144, it would invalidate the short thesis and suggest a potential move higher toward $150. Conversely, a strong rejection from the resistance zone would likely accelerate the move toward $112 to test demand at swing low.
Short
by SiDec
14
USD/JPY Trend in Upcoming Trading Session - Bearish?🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news: 👉The latest US CPI report shows that headline inflation rose by 2.8%, slightly below the expected 2.9% and slower than January’s 3% increase. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, eased to 3.1% from the previous 3.3%, while economists had anticipated a moderate slowdown to 3.2%. On a monthly basis, both headline and core inflation rose by 0.2%, falling short of the forecasted 0.3% increase. 👉With inflationary pressures cooling, traders are expected to increase their bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in May. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated on Friday that the central bank's restrictive policy stance will not persist for long if the labor market weakens unexpectedly or inflation declines more than anticipated. 👉The US Dollar has remained weak in recent weeks, as investors believe that former President Donald Trump’s tariff policies could slow economic growth, with higher import duties potentially reducing household purchasing power. 👉Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen has been underperforming its counterparts despite major Japanese companies agreeing to significant wage increases for the third consecutive year, according to a Reuters report. This could strengthen inflation expectations and raise the likelihood of the Bank of Japan implementing another rate hike this year. Personal opinion: 👉Based on economic information, it can be seen that USD/JPY will maintain its downward momentum in the coming time. Technical analysis: 👉Shows signs of price breaking the trend line and touching the pivot point of the Pivot points RSI (1H) shows signs of reversing down after entering the overbought zone Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy USD/JPY 148.40 – 148.60 ❌SL: 1.4340 | ✅TP: 148.00 – 147.60 – 147.00 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
2
EUR/USDd Trend This Week – Bearish?🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news: 👉The US Dollar (Greenback) strengthens as President Donald Trump's steel and aluminum tariffs take effect on Wednesday. The White House confirmed that a 25% tariff on all imported steel and aluminum will be implemented as planned, affecting key US allies and top suppliers, including Canada and Mexico. 👉Additionally, increasing speculation that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates twice more by summer could put pressure on the Euro against the USD. Traders have already factored in two additional rate cuts, driven by strong confidence that Eurozone inflation will steadily return to the 2% target this year. Personal opinion: 👉DXY bounces sharply after falling to a multi-week low 👉EUR/USD RSI (4H) shows signs of divergence 👉Europe is caught in a trade war with the US despite the two sides being trade allies, which will weaken the EUR more than the USD ➡️➡️➡️Indicating the possibility that EUR/USD will decline in the near future Analysis: 👉Based on important resistance - support levels combined with pivot points standard and SMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell EUR/USD 1.1000 - 1.1010 ❌SL: 1.1050 | ✅TP: 1.0940 - 1.0880 - 1.0800 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
EURUSD continue decrease H1 🔔🔔🔔 EURUSD news: 👉The EUR/USD pair slips to around 1.0835 during Asian trading hours on Friday, as the Euro (EUR) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) amid rising trade tensions between the United States and the European Union. Later in the day, market participants will focus on Germany’s Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for February and the preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment report for March. Personal opinion: 👉Price is falling along the trendline, the main trend of H1, along with the increase of the dollar through tax policies. EURUSD continues to be under downward pressure (Trump administration threatens new tax rates for EU) Technical analysis: 👉trendline H1 + resistance ( news USD today ) Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉SELL EURUSD 1.08400 - 1.08500 ❌SL: 1.08800 ✅TP: 40 - 70 -120 PIPS FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
AUD/USD Upcoming Trend – Bearish🔔🔔 AUD/USD news: 👉The AUD/USD pair experienced a sharp decline to around 0.6280 during North American trading hours on Thursday. The Australian Dollar faced significant selling pressure as the US Dollar strengthened amid a cautious market atmosphere. Investors shifted towards safe-haven assets due to concerns that US President Donald Trump’s "America First" policies could lead to a global economic slowdown. 👉The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, surged to nearly 104.00, rebounding from a four-month low of 103.20 recorded on Tuesday. 👉 Meanwhile, weak market sentiment has reduced the appeal of the Australian Dollar. The outlook for the Aussie remains uncertain, particularly after the US imposed 20% tariffs on China. Given Australia’s heavy reliance on exports to China, the AUD often reflects the state of the Chinese economy. Personal opinion: 👉In the current risky environment, AUD is not a good choice for investors, so AUD/USD will decrease in the near future Analysis 👉Technically, RSI (1H) is still in the sell zone. The 3 SMA lines are showing signs of converging at 1 point, signaling a strong momentum is about to happen. The price has broken down from the trend line. All of this leads to the possibility that the price will decrease in the near future 🔆 Resistance level: 0.6330 0.6355 🔆 Support level: 0.6284 0.6200 Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell AUD/USD 0.6290 – 0.6300 ❌SL: 0.6340 | ✅TP: 0.6250 – 0.6205 – 0.6160 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
How to continue to short (2)As in my last analysis, currently XAUUSDXAUUSD is about to hit that 2945-2948 Operation policy reference： Short Position Strategy 1:XAUUSD sell@2945-2948 20%Transaction of funds ， tp:2930-2920-2910 2:XAUUSD Buy@2910-2915 20%Transaction of funds ， tp:2930-2945-2955 The Signals have timeliness , if you also need to get accurate signals every day，follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates If your account is still in the red, you need to pay attention to whether the resistance is valid. If the resistance is valid, there may be a decline. You can close your order on the decline and trade in the right direction again
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by BenGray9
How to continue to short After experiencing intraday volatility, XAUUSD rebounded from the bottom after the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data in the evening. The price dropped to the 0.382 support level of the upward retracement at the lowest. In terms of this retracement, the range is relatively small, which fully demonstrates that the bulls remain strong. The price level of 2930 has withstood market tests for many times, and there is a high probability of a subsequent breakout. Therefore, the main trading strategy should focus on going long and anticipating a breakout. Calculated based on the magnitude of the previous upward trend, the price of XAUUSD is expected to rise to 2940/2960. Operation policy reference： Short Position Strategy 1:XAUUSD sell@2945-2948 20%Transaction of funds ， tp:2930-2920-2910 2:XAUUSD Buy@2910-2915 20%Transaction of funds ， tp:2930-2945-2955 The Signals have timeliness , if you also need to get accurate signals every day，follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates If your account is still in the red, you need to pay attention to whether the resistance is valid. If the resistance is valid, there may be a decline. You can close your order on the decline and trade in the right direction again
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by BenGray9