BTCUSD - Ready for the storm? Trading in huge bear-flag! _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hello traders investors and community, there are some interesting things going on with BTCUSD which i want to explain today. We have seen BTCUSD con-
solidating the last days and weeks in the range between 9000 and 13700, this would not hold on forever! As momentum and volume decreases there will be
an shift in price movement, either up or down.
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As you can see in my chart, looking on the 4-hour chart, BTCUSD is moving in a huge channel. Which i detected as a bear-flag. After we had the top at 13700
supply entered the market and BTCUSD felt down to 9200, where its consolidating now and forming a bear-flag. Those patterns are known to break in the di-
rection its origin is, in this case to the downside.
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The RSI is forming some bearish divergence, i am expacting it to touch the oversold region before we go down, also you can see that the 200 and 50 EMA for-
med a bearish cross-over. The 200 EMA is important in this case because we hold it steady in the recent up-trend, you can see it was touched several times
before it felt down and formed the bearish cross-over.
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Also, you can see in my chart, the percentage price projection of the bear-flag that will be intact when we confirmed the bear-flag. Of course this pattern
can also confirm to the up-side (fake bear-flag), but normally it confirms in the direction where it came from, i give the bearish scenario a probability of
75 %. In my chart you can see also the blue trend-lines in which we are trading right now, i am expecting that we will stay in this range till the bear-flag
target has reached. From there we have to look and wait for more information, i would be cautios of opening LONG positions here! A possible scenario
after the bear-flag target has reached would be a second bear-flag!
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This pattern can be either traded aggressive with a immediate SHORT entry, an entry in the sell zone (neutral), or conservative with waiting on confirmation
of the bear-flag. I prefer the second and third scenario with waiting on confirmation of the bear-flag! I will look for a possible entry in the sell-zone and will
add to position in the conservative entry-zone when the bear-flag has confirmed.
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I hope everybody enjoyed my view! May all happiness and luck come to you! Feel free to give a follow or like to support my further analysis!
This information is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets!
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Shortsetup
BTCUSD - Is the bull-rally over or just the beginning? Hello traders, investors and community. Today i am analysing BTCUSD and what will probably happen next. In my chart we are looking on the daily price of BTCUSD. In my chart you can see the huge suppy zone right where we got rejected the last days on june 26th. This is a critical zone because we have supply there from the bear-market 2018, you see the BTCUSD price has just marked some upthrust over the 11800 - 14000 level and got rejected in the supply zone, this is because traders taking profit and more important investors who held BTC from old days leaving the market. In my chart you can see this dashed dark blue trend line, this is an important area for BTCUSD because we have temporary support here. When we cross the blue trend line in this are which you can see on my chart the next target will be the second large blue trendline and the support zone in green which you can see on my chart. We have also good support there provided from the high 9900, you can see it at the dashed light blue trend line.
My expectation is that BTCUSD gets some upthrust back in the supply area where it will be rejected by the huge supply lying in this area. When we come back to this area i will open a short position there at 13000 - 13700 with targets at 9500 - 9000. This is a good oportunity to trade the upcoming turbolences.
Also looking on the RSI provided in my chart you can see that the RSI reached a critical level at overbought conditions, there is also a bearish divergence which makes the probability higher we are facing pull-backs in the future.
Practically speaking the bull-rally can not be over, there are just some turbolences coming the next days! After the pull-back from the support zone we have to see if BTCUSD makes a comeback and is going to form new highs or if it fails. I am optimistic that we can easily reach new highs after the pull-back, but it is always better to keep the other possibilities in mind until then i will trade this market on the SHORT side.
Have a great day! I hope you enjoyed my analysis! This is only educational information and should not be used to take action in the markets!
Will be back analysing crypto, forex, stocks! Peace and love to everybody!
Cumulative Gold prices prepare for INFLATION data⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) continues to trade within a range as it enters the European session on Monday, currently sitting just above last week's monthly low. The prevailing belief that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain higher interest rates for a longer period of time in light of the resilient US economy is supporting elevated US Treasury bond yields. This, coupled with the positive sentiment surrounding the stock markets, is acting as a hindrance for the safe-haven precious metal.
However, the uncertainty surrounding the timing and pace of interest rate cuts by the Fed is not helping the US Dollar (USD) gain significant traction, which in turn is offering some support to gold prices. Traders are also hesitant to take aggressive positions and are waiting for the release of the latest US consumer inflation data on Tuesday, as it will provide clues about the Fed's future policy decisions. This data will play a crucial role in influencing the short-term price dynamics of the USD and will impact the direction of movement for the non-yielding commodity.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
In the first trading session of the week, Gold prices continued sideways in the $2020 - $2035 price range waiting for important CPI data this week.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2015 - $2017 SL $2010
TP1: $2022
TP2: $2026
TP3: $2031
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2029 - $2031 SL $2035
TP1: $2024
TP2: $2020
TP3: $2015
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
More Pressure on GBPUSDHi Traders!
GBPUSD has a bearish outlook on the 4H chart, and we could have a breakout soon as further pressure is quickly mounting on the pound.
Here are the details:
Looking at the price action, it looks bearish due to the market swings; the market has tested the support trendline multiple times and has had a recent price rejection at 1.26548. Additionally, the market has broken below the 20 EMA.
We also have BoE Governor Bailey speaking later, and the traders will be very nervous about the worse-than-expected results from the MPC vote earlier this month.
As long as the market is still below the 20 EMA, our view will remain bearish. The confirmation signal will be either a break and close below the support trendline or an opening candle below the support trendline.
Preferred Direction: Sell
Technical Indicators: 20 EMA
Resistance: 1.26548
Support: 1.26000
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
EURUSD Short Position idea 2.5RR / ICT / 12th February 2024New York Session:
- I believe the price will continue to the downside.
- I want to see the price trade to a premium in the London session before going lower and taking out a short-term high.
- I will be targeting the equilibrium of the PWR.
- Wait for the price to reach 50% of the London session range.
Gold Time for a downtrend? ( Trade Ideas ) After a week of a downtrend, gold now is on the verge of breaking another support near the 2020 price area, there is a lot of opportunity for the short traders to make a massive profit from the bearish trend. However, these are one of the following criteria that short traders need to wait for before making a decision :
1. Gold needs to break below the 2020 price at least or make a bearish candle formation below the support to convince the short position and less risk.
2. A failure to break below the price will only make the pair test the resistance area of 2025-2027 and a solid bullish formation can send the pair flying towards 2037.
Disclaimer: Please follow at your own risk, and make sure you are following your own SOP before entering the forex market.
EURAUD potential sellon the higher time frame EURAUD had been in a overall correction stage and im looking to get into sell after i see a good opportunity. On the lower time frames EURAUD market behavior is moving to the upside in a very slow and consilidating manner like a bearish flag so this is making me feel seller will take control later on during the week for sells.
The NWS double top is looking even more bearish than yesterday.This chart looks even more bearish than it did a few days ago. Not only does it have a double top pattern and a bearish divergence, but it now has a candle wick that has dropped below the bottom trend line. Certainly not all, but many times, this can be the 'nail in the coffin' that tips off traders that price is about to break out of the wedge pattern to the downside.
At this point, I'm extremely bearish, but will be running a tight stop 1.5% above the upper trend line.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
King Bitcoin is going to be ready for next falling down !!!Dear All,
Hope you have a good day!
According to chart, you can see that I understand bitcoin is going to complete last upward moving for grabbing enough liquidity for its next falling down wedge if price could not break the 52K - 55K.
Anyway, I just want to warn you that maybe it is not so that fancy and good time now to have long positions for long term or holding purposes, It is better to wait until price straggling around 55K and see if buyers are the winners or sellers take their position back.
It is just a financial advice BUT the risks of your trades are on your own and upon your decisions.
Take care and have nice day !
RIVN a short entry on the rejection by VWAP SHORTPIVN on the 15-minute chart was trading up against the dominant supertrend from last
Thursday. Mid-morning price hit the resistance of the intermediate term mean anchored VWAP
and reversed as suggested yesterday by the bearish divergence on the zero-lag MACD.
Tomorrow is federal news which could increase general market volatility.
I see a short trade targeting 15.25 in the area of the bottom of two-volume profiles
anchored back 2 weeks. The stop loss is 15.9 at the highs of nearby candle wicks. Once the
the move gets underway, those already in long positions may close to take profit and add
into any short selling underway.
BINANCE:SNXUSDT - Watch out for rising wedge------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Description
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+ A clear rising wedge pattern formed in SNX
+ Current price is at the resistance level trying to breakout the resistance, which is less likely to happen
+ Our entry plan is around 3.8 when price breaks down the support line.
+ We can expect the reversal of the price in next 2days.
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Signal
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 3.8
Stop Loss: 4.149
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Targets 1: 3.776
Targets 2: 3.555
Targets 3: 3.285
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Timeframe:
Capital: 1-2% of trading capital
Leverage: 5-10x
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Note: This is a short trade in the bull market, so it's a high risk trade.
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Agree or Disagree with the ideas ? lets discuss in the comments.
Like and follow us for more ideas.
Regards
LCID SHORT on VWAP rejecting price rise.In my previous idea of January 29, I bought LCID as it broke out of a falling wedge on news from
Saudi Arabia fixing supply chain and production issues for body parts. LCID ascended the
following day to fall down on rejection from the mean VWAP band line anchored in mid-
December. On the 4H chart, another smaller and more condensed falling wedge is found
and price is moving down toward the one standard deviation line below the mean VWAP ( the
jagged blue line ) which is now horizontal. The last candle is red and narrow bodied. It is near
the top of the channel. Trade plan- I will short LCID here and add to the position each time
price returns to the top of the channel as monitored on a lower time frame such as 15-45
minutes. I will watch for a reversal of the down-trending lines of the zero-lag MACD
and a cross at the bottom. Similarly for the RSI indicator and its green fast and red slow line
in the range of RSI value of 20-35. Likewise, if price rises above the channel in an early
breakout, the trade is over as the downtrend is correcting again. If the price were to break
resistance of the mean VWAP zone, this would represent a break of the down supertrend and
could cause a bit of a short squeeze to get underway. If I see that, I will get into a long
position with more position size as it could become lucrative.
Expect a slight decrease at the end of the week!! XAU ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) is consolidating within a narrow range around the $2035 region per troy ounce during the early trading hours in Asia on Friday. At the same time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the USD against a basket of six major currencies, is recovering and surpassing the 104.00 mark. The yields on US Treasury bonds are also rising, with the 10-year yield currently at 4.16%.
A decrease in the number of initial jobless claims in the US highlights the resilience of the economy and could potentially lead the Federal Reserve (Fed) to hold off on cutting interest rates in the near future. According to data released by the US Department of Labor on Thursday, the number of weekly initial jobless claims dropped to 218K for the week ending February 3, down from 227K in the previous week. This figure was slightly higher than the market consensus of 220K. Additionally, continuing claims decreased by 23K to 1.891M for the week ending January 27.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices continue to show stability, buyers and sellers have great competition at this price range. Continued sideways large range $2010-$2040
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2015 - $2017 SL 2010
TP1: $2025
TP2: $2032
TP3: $2040
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2048 - $2050 SL $2055
TP1: $2040
TP2: $2030
TP3: $2020
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
AUDCHF ShortReason:
Liquidity grab
Break of structure
FVG (imbalance)
1 Fundamentally CHF is stronger than the AUD
2. COT Data showed me that over the past week CHF has been bought by smart money and the AUD been sold
3. Retail sentiment are majority long on this pair
Keep in note that price might drop further so if that happens adjust your fibonacci retracement tool. this is just an idea
NAS100 Short idea 💡 We see a perfect stoploss hunting at premarket that means profit taking is most likley to happen. Logically not so many retail/institution traders are going to hold their positions over weekend. We have divergence on several timeframes and this market is overbought through the top. I'm already 10 Contracts on a short position. Good luck, safe trading.