AUD/USD Trend Today - Bearish?🔔🔔🔔 AUD/USD news:
👉The AUD/USD pair is under significant selling pressure as weak Australian employment data fuels expectations of a dovish stance from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
👉Australia’s labor force contracts in February, while the unemployment rate remains steady at 4.1%. Meanwhile, both the Federal Reserve and the People's Bank of China (PBoC) kept interest rates unchanged on Wednesday and Thursday. The PBoC maintains its accommodative stance as Beijing aims to boost domestic consumption and revive the property sector. The Australian dollar has benefited from China's fiscal stimulus efforts, given Australia's heavy reliance on exports to China.
👉The US Dollar Index (DXY) edged higher above 104.00 as market volatility eased following the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting on Wednesday. The Fed kept interest rates unchanged in the 4.25%-4.50% range for the second straight time, as expected, and reaffirmed its forecast for two rate cuts this year.
👉Additionally, initial jobless claims for the week ending March 14 came in at 223,000, roughly in line with estimates and previous reports.
Personal analysis:
👉AUD/USD will maintain its downtrend in the coming time due to weak AUD data, consider technical zones for good profits
👉Technically, RSI (1H) is having a recovery phase after entering the oversold zone, watch for strong resistance zones to Sell.
👉Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell AUD/USD 0.6320- 0.6330
❌SL: 0.6355 | ✅TP: 0.6280 – 0.6250
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Shortsetup
EUR/USD Trend Today - Waiting for EUR and US PMIs🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news:
👉EUR/USD remains in positive territory near 1.0850 during the European session on Monday, rebounding from a three-day losing streak. Improving risk sentiment, driven by easing concerns over US reciprocal tariffs, has put pressure on the US Dollar and helped the pair stay firm despite mixed German PMI data.
👉The shift toward risk appetite has made it difficult for the US Dollar (USD) to extend last week’s gains, providing support for EUR/USD at the start of the week.
👉According to the Wall Street Journal, the White House is revising its tariff strategy set to take effect on April 2, potentially skipping industry-specific duties while imposing reciprocal tariffs on key US trading partners. Likewise, Bloomberg reports that President Donald Trump’s tariff measures are expected to be more precisely targeted than initially anticipated. Following these headlines, US stock futures rose between 0.8% and 1.0% during the European morning session.
Personal analysis:
👉 The market’s reaction to the PMI data is likely to be brief and straightforward. Positive releases from Germany and/or the Eurozone could provide immediate support for the Euro. Conversely, if any of the key US PMI indices fall below 50, it could further weigh on the US Dollar.
👉Therefore, investors should keep an eye on the Economic Calendar, which will release the US PMI data on Monday afternoon.
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell EUR/USD news: 1.0900 – 1.0910
❌SL: 1.0950| ✅TP: 1.0850 – 1.0805 1.0755
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Gold declines, accumulate and wait for April news⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) continues its pullback, slipping toward $3,025 in early Asian trading on Monday. The metal retreats from Thursday’s record high, driven by renewed optimism over a potential Ukraine peace deal. However, expectations of Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts and lingering economic uncertainties could provide support, limiting further downside for the yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold is under pressure to sell and take profits in the short term. There is still a lot of liquidity in the 3000 price zone. The price will continue to accumulate around $3000.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $3031 - $3033 SL $3038
TP1: $3020
TP2: $3010
TP3: $3000
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2991 - $2993 SL $2986
TP1: $3000
TP2: $3008
TP3: $3017
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Setup📊 Overview of the Chart
This 4-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) provides a classic example of a Rising Wedge Breakdown, a bearish reversal pattern. The price initially followed a strong uptrend, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, but failed to sustain momentum at the key resistance zone (~$34.00 - $34.50). This led to a breakout to the downside, which has now confirmed a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
This analysis will break down each key level, the technical indicators supporting this trade setup, and how traders can approach it effectively.
🛠️ Breakdown of the Chart Components
1️⃣ Rising Wedge Formation (Bearish Pattern Identified)
The price action created a Rising Wedge, which is a bearish pattern characterized by an uptrend where the higher highs and higher lows start converging into a narrowing range.
This shows that while buyers were pushing prices higher, their strength was gradually fading.
The breakdown of this structure signaled a loss of bullish momentum, leading to a shift in trend.
2️⃣ Resistance Level & Sell Zone Identified
The resistance level at $34.00 - $34.50 has acted as a supply zone where sellers stepped in, preventing further upside.
A bearish rejection at this zone confirms that sellers are still dominant.
3️⃣ Retest of the Broken Support (Key Confirmation)
After the breakout from the wedge, the price made a retest of the broken trendline, a classic move before further downside.
Retesting this area confirms that it is now acting as resistance rather than support, further strengthening the bearish case.
4️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Shift in Market Structure
The dashed trendline was previously supportive, but now that the price has broken below it, it has turned into a resistance level.
This shift in market structure is a strong bearish signal.
5️⃣ Key Support Levels & Target Projection
The next major support level is at $32.00, a level where price previously found demand.
The ultimate target price is around $31.18, which aligns with historical support and Fibonacci retracement levels.
📉 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup?
✅ Entry Point (Short/Sell Setup)
A good shorting opportunity arises if the price retests the resistance at $33.50 - $34.00 and shows bearish confirmation (like a rejection candlestick or a bearish engulfing pattern).
📍 Stop Loss (SL) Placement
SL should be above $34.20 to avoid getting stopped out by potential fakeouts.
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Levels
TP1: $32.00 (First support level)
TP2: $31.18 (Final bearish target)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio
Entry at $33.50 - $34.00 with SL at $34.20 and TP at $31.18 provides an excellent risk-to-reward ratio (~1:4).
📌 Market Sentiment & Conclusion
🔴 Bearish signals are dominant, suggesting further downside potential.
📉 A strong bearish move is expected if the price fails to reclaim $34.00.
🎯 Targeting $31.18 in the upcoming sessions.
📢 Final Advice: Traders should watch for confirmation before entering trades. A successful retest and rejection at $33.50 - $34.00 will be a high-probability short setup. 🚀
🔥 Follow price action and risk management principles for a successful trade! 🔥
NZD/USD Trend Today - Bearish?🔔🔔🔔 NZD/USD news:
👉New Zealand’s economy rebounded more strongly than expected. Real GDP grew by 0.7% quarter-over-quarter in Q4 (consensus: 0.4%, RBNZ forecast: 0.3%) following a -1.1% decline over the previous two quarters. Increased spending by international visitors boosted growth in tourism-related sectors such as rental, hiring, and real estate services, as well as retail and accommodation.
👉However, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has signaled an additional 75 basis points of easing over the next 12 months, which will bring the policy rate down to a low of 3.00%. This news has weighed on the NZD/USD pair, leading to underperformance amid risk-averse sentiment in the foreign exchange market.
Personal analysis:
👉NZD/USD will continue to decline due to previous news, consider technical zones for good profit
👉Technically, RSI(1H) is entering the overbought zone and has a technical recovery phase to prepare for the next decline, watch for strong resistance zones to Sell.
👉Analysis based on resistance - support levels and pivot points combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell NZD/USD 0.5775- 0.5780
❌SL: 0.5810 | ✅TP: 0.5735 – 0.5690
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
BTC - ABC Correction to Absorb Long Liquidity Further to my previous recent post, I wanted to highlight two indicators that accurately present us with liquidity on the BTC chart.
Connecting the pieces of the puzzle of this prediction - this ABC correction pattern allows the market to absorb the Long position liquidity left in tact on the chart.
Since these long positions leave a trail of leveraged sell orders (stop losses) - we should expect a mass chain reaction of these orders setting off one into the next, with increasing speed and momentum of the drop.
We do not need a black swan event for this to occur. The orders are already in the chart to allow it to happen, as an adverse consequence to open interest and open traders positions during the last 2 years.
There is many confluences to support this correction pattern, if interested in learning more, see my previous posts on Trading View.
Enjoy!
Reminder - Bitcoin back below these trendlinesI encourage you guys to draw these trendlines on your chart and experiment by doing some exercises.
1. Draw the main two trendlines.
2. Spend time on each by duplicating it, keeping the angle the same, and moving it to different spots on the chart. Notice how Bitcoin works on this ascending diagonal support resistance structure. You’ll find that the correct trendline can be duplicated infinitely and the price respects it at any point you place it.
3. Notice that price consolidates on these ascending lines. We see breaks above or below depending on the stop losses from futures positions and liquidity that’s collected. In other words, a break above doesn’t invalidate it.
4. Notice that Bitcoin moves above and below these trendlines.
5. It’s in my opinion that THIS is the structure that explains why Bitcoin isn’t moving higher, telling me the market wants to keep price below these trendlines and take back the liquidity in these zones (look at my previous posts for liquidity maps)
Personally this is still my trade.
God bless and may you live to trade another day!
Gold price start to adjust yet?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) face renewed selling pressure during the Asian session on Friday, retreating toward the $3,030 level in recent trading, inching closer to the previous session’s low. The US Dollar (USD) maintains its upward trajectory for the third consecutive day, prompting some profit-taking on the precious metal ahead of the weekend. However, a confluence of supportive factors is likely to keep bullion resilient, positioning it for a third consecutive week of gains.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Breaking the trend, has gold price really been in the weekend price adjustment rhythm? According to NOVA, it has started. Before the tax policies in early April, the market needs a little balance in terms of liquidity on the selling side.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $3040 - $3042 SL $3047
TP1: $3030
TP2: $3020
TP3: $3010
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3019 - $3017 SL $3014 scalping
TP1: $3023
TP2: $3030
TP3: $3040
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3000 - $3002 SL $2995
TP1: $3010
TP2: $3020
TP3: $3030
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Auction - bearish divergence!Dear My Friends,
The Auction is making a very strong impression on me, as it is going against the current market trend. So, I decided to observe Auction’s chart across different timeframes. On the monthly timeframe, it didn’t give me a clear perspective, as the indicators provided conflicting conclusions.
I then switched to a smaller timeframe, the weekly chart. And everything became very clear here: a bearish divergence is very evident, and the indicators are all in agreement. As you can see, the price is still rising sharply. However, the trading volume is decreasing. The RSI indicator also shows a divergence compared to the price index.
The RSI is currently above 80. Therefore, I will place a Short order and take profits at three price levels as shown on the chart.
I hope my analysis will support my friends. Please manage your risks carefully before entering any trades.
Best Regards,
XAU/USD Trend Today - Short-term Bearish RecoveryGold prices pulled back on Thursday as bullish momentum eased following the Federal Reserve's (Fed) recent monetary policy decision and rising tensions in the Middle East. The XAU/USD pair is trading at $3,042, down by more than 0.19%.
Market sentiment has shifted to the downside, while the US Dollar is rebounding, as reflected in the US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback's performance against a basket of six major currencies.
Despite the Fed keeping interest rates steady at the 4.25%–4.50% range for the second consecutive meeting and announcing a slower pace of quantitative tightening (QT), gold traders were unable to push prices higher.
Personal analysis:
Gold is set for a short-term correction today after a series of gains, and bulls are pausing to monitor the next impetus that could boost gold prices.
Daily RSI shows signs of decline after gold enters overbought zone 74
Based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Resistance zone: 3047 - 3056 - 3070
Support zone: 3025 - 3020 - 3002
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell Gold 3057- 3059
❌SL: 3063 | ✅TP: 3052 - 3047 - 3040
👉Sell Gold 3040- 3042(Scalping)
❌SL: 3047 | ✅TP: 3039 – 3036 – 3030
👉Buy Gold 3024- 3026 (Scalping)
❌SL: 3018 | ✅TP: 3029 – 3032 – 3037
👉Buy Gold 3003- 3000
❌SL: 2996 | ✅TP: 3008 – 3013 – 3020
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Gold short term trend (30m time frame)Personal Analysis:
👉Because it is being sold off after failing to break above 3040 to maintain its strong upward momentum. It is currently moving sideways in the 3034-3040 zone. If there is any break, the nearest short-term support zone will be 3027 and further 3016
👉Based on trend lines and resistance - support levels to come up with suitable strategies
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell Gold 3040 - 3042
❌SL: 3046 | ✅TP: 3035 – 3030 - 3023
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
#BROCCOLIUSDT is showing bearish potential SHORT BYBIT:BROCCOLIUSDT.P from $0.04545
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.04737
🕒 Timeframe: 1H
⚡️ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:BROCCOLIUSDT.P is showing bearish momentum on the 1-hour timeframe after a significant drop from $0.06000 to the current consolidation zone of $0.4203–$0.4885.
➡️ The price recently tested the $0.04545 level (a possible retest of a broken support, now acting as resistance), which could serve as an entry point for a short.
➡️ The volume profile on the left shows strong buyer interest at $0.0325 (POC), which acts as a key support level. However, the lack of significant buying volume at current levels suggests potential for further downside.
➡️ The price structure remains bearish: lower highs and lows are forming after the drop.
➡️ The RSI (14) indicator on the 1H timeframe is presumably around 45 (based on price action), indicating neutral momentum with room for a downward move.
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.04400
💎 TP 2: $0.04290
💎 TP 3: $0.04203
⚡️Plan:
➡️ Entry: Sell below $0.04545 after the 1-hour candle closes below this level to confirm the rejection from resistance.
➡️ Stop Loss: Set at $0.04737, which provides a 7% risk from the entry point and protects against a potential breakout.
➡️ Risk/Reward Ratio: From 1:2 (for TP1) to 1:5 (for TP3), making this trade attractive from a risk management perspective.
➡️ After the drop, the price has stabilized, indicating possible consolidation or accumulation.
➡️ Resistance zone: $0.04885 (upper boundary of the current range).
Technical Indicators:
➡️ The chart shows candles in red and green, reflecting bearish and bullish movements.
➡️ After the sharp decline, the price has formed lower highs and lows, but in recent hours, there’s an attempt at recovery.
📢 A price rejection below $0.04545 with increasing selling volume increases the likelihood of reaching the targets.
📢 The $0.04400 and $0.04290 levels may act as areas for partial profit-taking, so monitor price action in these zones.
📢 Risks: If the price breaks above $0.04885, it could signal a false breakdown and a potential reversal to the upside. In this case, consider reassessing the position.
📊 The decline in BYBIT:BROCCOLIUSDT.P aligns with cautious sentiment in the crypto market.
📊 As of March 20, 2025, BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is trading around $90,000, showing signs of consolidation, which may pressure altcoins like BYBIT:BROCCOLIUSDT.P
BYBIT:BROCCOLIUSDT.P is showing bearish potential on the 1H timeframe.
⚡️A confirmed rejection below $0.04545 is your signal to act!
USD/JPY Trend Next Week - Continue Downtrend?🔔🔔🔔USD/JPY news:
🔆 Japan's largest labor union group, Rengo, secured an average wage increase of 5.46%, the highest since 1991, surpassing last year's initial figure of 5.28%. However, the raise fell short of expectations, as union members had sought a 6.09% increase. Given this outcome, the Bank of Japan is unlikely to tighten monetary policy beyond what the market has already priced in, which weighs on the yen. The swaps market continues to reflect expectations of less than 50 basis points of rate hikes over the next year.
🔆 On the other hand, the U.S. dollar remains under pressure following weak economic data, particularly the CPI and PPI reports, which have heightened concerns about a potential recession. This increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates sooner than previously expected at the end of the year. Additionally, growing uncertainty surrounding U.S. tax policies are adding further downside risks to the dollar.
Personal opinion:
🔆USD/JPY will maintain a downtrend in the near future after the previous basic economic news. Unless there is good news for the Dollar, then we will consider the possibility of a bullish reversal
🔆 Technically, USD/JPY is hitting a strong resistance zone at SMA100 and Pivot points, so it is likely to continue to decline next week.
🔆Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Resistance zone: 148.70 - 149.10 - 150.00
Support zone: 148.12 - 147.61 - 146.73
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/JPY 148.70 – 148.80
❌SL: 149.15 | ✅TP: 148.20 – 147.70 – 146.80
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
BTC FOMC FLASH CRASH / LIQUIDATION IDEAThe FOMC data this week could be a conduit that sticks the price to play down these two trend lines.
We can see the mass liquidity on the chart in these low zones.
Bitcoins consistent rise since late 2022 has been leaving a train of long stop loss orders (leveraged sell orders) underneath - think of the mechanics of “why it’s possible” as a massive chain reaction of stop losses getting fired off and creating mania and hysteria for further fear based selling.
If we see drops to these low zones, I’m presenting the TA evidence of it so that we know it’s not the bottom - but a liquidation move.
The worst thing people could do is sell at massive losses thinking BTC is going to zero.
I see this move occurring and following that over the next years, a BTC pushing upwards of those $140-$200k zones.
The market is interested in reclaiming this liquidity - we are awaiting the conduit or event to justify it.
This is my personal trading plan.
Happy trading to all and be safe out there.
#AVLUSDT continues its downtrend 📉 Short BYBIT:AVLUSDT.P from $0,4060
🛡 Stop loss $0,4136
🕒 1H Timeframe
⚡️ Overview:
➡️ The main POC (Point of Control) is 0,4201
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0,4015
💎 TP 2: $0,3975
💎 TP 3: $0,3945
📢 Monitor key levels before entering the trade!
BYBIT:AVLUSDT.P continues its downtrend — watching for further movement!
USD/JPY double top pattern appears - sharp decline?🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news:
➡️The USD/JPY pair reached a two-week high of around 149.93 during the Asian session on Tuesday as renewed geopolitical concerns in the Middle East boosted demand for the safe-haven US dollar. However, further gains appear uncertain due to diverging expectations between the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve, as well as rising trade tensions.
➡️On Wednesday, the BoJ is widely anticipated to maintain its current interest rates. Inflationary momentum in Japan remains strong, especially after major corporations agreed to meet their unions' substantial wage demands last week. The extent to which this trend extends to smaller businesses in the coming months will be crucial in determining the potential for future rate hikes.
Personal opinion:
➡️This could be a corrective rally to gain momentum for a further strong downtrend. The BOJ's policy is expected to raise the policy rate while the Fed is expected to keep the federal funds rate unchanged.
➡️The double bottom pattern is gradually forming and so the downtrend is still there
Analysis:
➡️Based on price action combined with resistance - support levels and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell USD/JPY 149.50 – 149.65
❌SL: 150.00 | ✅TP: 149.00 – 148.60 – 148.10
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Is there a short-term pullback in EUR/USD?🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news:
👉EUR/USD traded below 1.090 in early Thursday morning in Europe. Escalating US-EU trade tensions weighed on risk sentiment and the pair, providing some support to the US dollar amid cooling US inflation
👉 Although EUR/USD has maintained its bullish momentum, the price chart in recent days has not been as strong as before, signaling that the market's buying power may weaken in the short term
Personal opinion:
👉RSI (4H) clearly shows divergence and breaks the uptrend line, signaling a possible short-term downtrend for the pair. Check out the support resistance levels to buy at the best price
Analysis:
👉Based on important support resistance and SMA levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy EUR/USD 1.0870 – 1.0885
❌SL: 1.0920 | ✅TP: 1.0820 – 1.0780– 1.0720
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
#MUBARAKUSDT continues its downtrend📉 Short BYBIT:MUBARAKUSDT.P from $0,14040
🛡 Stop loss $0,15196
🕒 1H Timeframe
⚡️ Overview:
➡️ The main POC (Point of Control) is Nan
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0,12395
💎 TP 2: $0,10611
💎 TP 3: $0,09178
📢 Monitor key levels before entering the trade!
BYBIT:MUBARAKUSDT.P continues its downtrend — watching for further movement!