AUDCHF ShortReason:
Liquidity grab
Break of structure
FVG (imbalance)
1 Fundamentally CHF is stronger than the AUD
2. COT Data showed me that over the past week CHF has been bought by smart money and the AUD been sold
3. Retail sentiment are majority long on this pair
Keep in note that price might drop further so if that happens adjust your fibonacci retracement tool. this is just an idea
Shortsetup
NAS100 Short idea 💡 We see a perfect stoploss hunting at premarket that means profit taking is most likley to happen. Logically not so many retail/institution traders are going to hold their positions over weekend. We have divergence on several timeframes and this market is overbought through the top. I'm already 10 Contracts on a short position. Good luck, safe trading.
Short-term DOWN adjustment rhythm!! XAU ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) is experiencing a slight downward trend during the early European session on Thursday. However, it remains within a familiar range that has been maintained since the beginning of this week. The potential for an increase in interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed) for an extended period of time is limiting any significant upward movement. This is due to the resulting higher yields on US Treasury bonds, which undermines the appeal of gold as a non-yielding asset. Additionally, the positive sentiment surrounding equity markets is also contributing to the decline in demand for the safe-haven commodity.
On the other hand, the US Dollar (USD) is facing challenges in attracting significant buyers due to uncertainty regarding the timing and pace of Fed rate cuts in 2024. Furthermore, market expectations currently include five rate cuts over the remaining seven FOMC policy meetings this year. These factors are keeping USD bulls on the defensive and should mitigate any significant decline in gold prices. Traders are now focusing on the release of US Weekly Jobless Claims data and speeches by Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin for potential market catalysts.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is in a sideway cycle again after the FED decided not to reduce interest rates in March 2024, unemployment news on Thursday today is also supporting the price to DOWN.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2015 - $2017 SL $2010
TP1: $2022
TP2: $2030
TP3: $2040
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2048 - $2050 SL $2056
TP1: $2042
TP2: $2036
TP3: $2030
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Short Scralp Trade for GBP USD Success rate 85%Opportunity for Short scalp trade with a success rate of over 85%
The price is likely to hit TP 1 with a 85% chance, You can manage your position
Please note that all the information provided is based on personal opinion, and no responsibility is assumed for any outcomes."
NIO - more downside soon? Target 5.50I am following NIO with one eye, now switching to two eye. Even though NIO could have a bright future for the long run (years), I see more downside incoming.
The formed head and shoulder within the symmetrical triangle broke to the downside (breaking also the triangle), and as expected retested the HOS neckline (and the triangle). As expected, it got rejected, also bumping into the 200 SMA (4hr)with a huge rejection, confirming it is still in a strong bear-trend now. We are also way below on the 200day SMA, and also the 200week SMA.
On the weekly, we are loosing momentum, but some upside is expected on the short-term.
I assume (but price actions will tell), this short term uptrend will help to finish the smaller formation on the new Head and Shoulders, which I highlighted with paintbrush in white.
Currently, we are in the consolidation zone, chances are, we are going up a bit to create the top of the right sholder with the target of 9.40-9.60, then going back down to the consolidation zone.
Also, there is a possibility we have a very shallow right shoulder almost formed already, going down directly, I will wait for confirmation.
We are also below the 9day&15 day MA, and also below the 21day EMA. All theese will possibly be huge resistance.
Very short-term : uptrend target - ~9.40
Short-term: downtrend target: ~8.80
Low Mid-term: downtrend target: ~8.00-7.70
High Mid-term: downtrend target: ~7.10
Long-term: downtrend target: ~5.50
Something to Watch!Traders,
Per usual, I am a little ahead of the crowd here. But I feel it's better to have all perspectives in mind and to be prepared for multiple scenarios than to have never seen it coming. With that being said, here's is a potential future pattern on the BTC daily that may be developing and is something we should all be watching carefully because if it plays out, Bitcoin will go to 31,600 (Yes, I am almost that confident).
Here's what we have to watch:
First of all, watch where our daily candle closes. It appears to be forming a bearish shooting star. Where the price closes today will be critical and is our first big clue as to what might occur next.
But also, if we fail to break above that RED descending TL, more selling may still ensue.
Thirdly, if we sell back down to our neckline, it could spell trouble as a small H&S pattern will have completed. The probability of the pattern playing out and further selling to continue will now be around 85 percent.
But, fourthly, we will have to break that neckline (PURPLE descending TL). If that neckline is broken and price confirms with another candle open and close below it, we are most likely going back down to that 31,600 price level I have referenced so many time in past posts.
Again, this post is very premature, but it is something that I think we need to keep on our radar. As you can see, quite a few indicators must trigger prior to this type of selling occurring but with each occurrence we can grow more confident in Bitcoin's future movement. Should any of the above fail, we would then have to re-evaluate the chart as it may invalidate the pattern or greatly decrease the likelihood of a 31,600 retest.
Stay tuned here and I'll keep you all up to date on this developing pattern.
Gold price has a slight recovery !!! XAU ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to take advantage of yesterday's positive movement and is trading with a slight negative bias as we head into the European session on Wednesday. The stronger economic data from the United States, coupled with the recent hawkish comments from several members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), including Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, have caused investors to lower their expectations for early and significant interest rate cuts in 2024. This has helped the US Dollar (USD) halt its overnight decline from its highest level in nearly three months, which in turn poses a challenge for the non-yielding yellow metal.
However, there remains a risk of further escalation of military actions in the Middle East, as well as ongoing concerns about slowing economic growth in China, which provides some support for the safe-haven appeal of gold. Moreover, traders appear to be hesitant to make aggressive bets on the direction of the market and instead prefer to wait for more signals regarding the likely timing of the first interest rate cut by the Fed, as this will have an impact on the precious metal. As a result, attention will be focused on the release of the latest US consumer inflation figures next week. In the meantime, traders on Wednesday may take guidance from speeches given by Fed officials.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price suddenly increased again above the $2030 area. However, there is not much motivation to increase the price so the price will soon adjust DOWN
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2010 - $2012 SL $2005
TP1: $2018
TP2: $2024
TP3: $2032
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2043 - $2045 SL $2051
TP1: $2035
TP2: $2028
TP3: $2018
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold price adjusted DOWN !! XAU⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
During the Asian trading session on Tuesday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) is observed to be fluctuating within a narrow range. It is consolidating after experiencing losses and reaching a one-week low around the $2,015 mark on the previous day. While there is a slight decrease in global risk sentiment, which provides some support to the safe-haven precious metal, the bullish US Dollar (USD) and expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may not reduce interest rates as much as initially anticipated act as obstacles.
The latest macroeconomic data from the United States continues to indicate a resilient economy, giving the Fed more room to maintain higher interest rates for a longer period. Furthermore, hawkish remarks made by several Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, have prompted investors to revise their expectations for a more aggressive policy easing in 2024. This shift in sentiment has contributed to the recent significant increase in US Treasury bond yields, which will likely bolster the US Dollar and limit any gains for the price of gold.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Adjustment cycle DOWN, sideway after the news that the FED will not lower interest rates in March 2024
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2000 - $2002 SL $1995
TP1: $2010
TP2: $2020
TP3: $2030
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2034 - $2036 SL $2042
TP1: $2025
TP2: $2016
TP3: $2010
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
NWS likely to miss earnings expectation on Feb 7th.Media companies have been getting the pants kicked off them lately, and NWS - News Corporation is at the top of an all time high on the charts, which may provide an incredible opportunity to capture a very sharp decline in the price.
Earnings will be released on Feb 7th (next week), and with price sitting at/near an all time high, if earnings are missed, it could present a very rare opportunity for short positions/short plays.
Good luck, and always use a stop.
EURGBP/EURJPY/EURAUD UPDATE! 2/6/2024Im going to attach my analysis from last night to this thread but mainly i was only anticipating these euro currency pairs to go short. they were all high probability set ups with multiple confulences. now ill be waiting for shorts to continue throughout the week holding these trades.
*eurgbp
* Eurjpy
* euraud
Gold price and PMI news today !! XAU ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) continues to experience selling pressure for the second consecutive day on Monday. It appears susceptible to extending the retracement slide from the $2,065 region, which marked a one-month peak. The strong US jobs report released on Friday confirmed market expectations of the Federal Reserve (Fed) maintaining higher interest rates for a longer period. This has supported the rise in US Treasury bond yields and boosted the US Dollar (USD) to its highest level since December 11. Consequently, this development is considered a significant factor that undermines the value of gold.
Furthermore, the overall bullish sentiment in global equity markets adds to the negative tone surrounding the price of gold. However, there is still a risk of further escalation of military action in the Middle East and ongoing concerns about a slowdown in China, which provide support for the safe-haven asset XAU/USD. As a result, bearish traders should exercise caution. Traders are now focusing on the release of the US ISM Services PMI, along with US bond yields, USD price movements, and overall market sentiment. These factors are expected to provide some momentum for gold.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price sideways in the 2030-2040 price range waiting for PMI news, the DOWN trend is supporting because the FED supports not reducing interest rates in March
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2021 - $2023 SL $2015
TP1: $2030
TP2: $2040
TP3: $2052
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2051 - $2053 SL $2060
TP1: $2044
TP2: $2037
TP3: $2030
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest