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XAU recovers - returns to downtrend retest zone⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates at its December meeting as anticipated but signaled a slower pace of future reductions. The updated dot plot, which outlines projected rate trends, now suggests a half-percentage-point cut in 2025, down from the full percentage-point reduction forecasted in September. This shift continues to strengthen the US Dollar (USD) and weigh on USD-denominated Gold, as rising real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. On the other hand, weaker-than-expected US inflation data may help limit gold’s downside. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose to 2.4% year-over-year in November, up from 2.3% in October but slightly below the 2.5% market estimate. Meanwhile, Core PCE remained steady at 2.8% but fell short of the expected 2.9%. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold H1 frame recovered and retested the break zone in the downtrend, mainly sideways price below 2650 zone ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2643 - $2645 SL $2651 TP1: $2635 TP2: $2620 TP3: $2610 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2606 - $2604 SL $2599 TP1: $2615 TP2: $2628 TP3: $2640 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
BTC ( Bitcoin ) will first need a correctionBitcoin will first need a correction and then continue its upward trajectory. Given the current situation, it should correct to the highlighted area to evacuate sellers and bring in new buyers. This support area is quite strong and has the intersection of two strong technical supports. After that, it will either grow rapidly or, after a little bit of suffering and attracting liquidity from new buyers, it will start to grow incrementally. If you have followed my ideas, you will see that they always point to the desired point and have a correct prediction trend.
Short
by KingOfTheLord
$SBUX Starbucks Corporation Daily Chart AnalysisThe chart depicts Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) on the daily timeframe, showing a recent breakdown from a rising wedge pattern. The price has sharply fallen below key support levels and moving averages, suggesting a shift in momentum to the downside. Here's a detailed walkthrough of the analysis: Key Observations: 1. Trend Analysis: Rising Wedge Breakdown: The chart highlights a breakdown from a rising wedge, a bearish reversal pattern, indicating potential for further downside. The price has decisively broken below the lower boundary of the wedge, confirming the bearish momentum. Bearish Momentum: SBUX is now trading below the 200-day moving average (red line) and other short-term EMAs (8 EMA, 21 EMA), which aligns with a bearish trend. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance Levels: 92.28-93.01: A key resistance zone aligned with prior dark pool activity and broken support, likely to act as a ceiling for any short-term rebounds. 95.79: Previous support turned resistance, near the 200-day moving average. 98.60: A strong resistance area near recent highs. Support Levels: 87.00: Immediate support zone, tested recently with increased volume. 80.24-79.15: Major support area, aligning with historical levels and dark pool prints. Below 79.15, the next significant level is 75.00, a psychological support area. 3. Volume Analysis: A volume spike accompanies the recent sell-off, indicating strong selling pressure. However, this could also signal capitulation if buyers step in near support levels. 4. Moving Averages: The price is trading significantly below the 200-day moving average, confirming bearish sentiment. Short-term moving averages (8 EMA, 21 EMA) are sloping downward, suggesting that bearish momentum may persist. 5. Dark Pool Activity: Recent dark pool levels around 93.01 and 92.28 may act as resistance if the price attempts a rebound. Additional dark pool levels at 80.24 and 79.15 suggest institutional interest, making this area a critical support zone. Trade Setup: Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation Trigger: If the price fails to reclaim the 92.28 resistance level and continues lower, the bearish trend is likely to persist. Profit Targets: 87.00: Immediate short-term target. 80.24-79.15: Strong support zone with significant institutional interest. 75.00: Longer-term bearish target. Stop-Loss: Above 93.50, as a break above this level would signal potential bullish recovery. Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal Trigger: A breakout above 92.28, accompanied by strong volume, would signal a potential reversal or relief rally. Profit Targets: 95.79: Resistance near the 200-day moving average. 98.60: Strong resistance zone near recent highs. Stop-Loss: Below 87.00, as a failure to hold this level would invalidate the bullish setup. Scenario 3: Range-Bound Consolidation If the price consolidates between 87.00 and 92.28, consider: Long positions near 87.00, targeting 92.28. Short positions near 92.28, targeting 87.00. Volume and candlestick patterns will help confirm the direction of the breakout. Final Thoughts: Short-Term Outlook: Bearish momentum is strong, with the immediate downside target at 87.00. If this level breaks, watch for a move toward 80.24-79.15. Long-Term Outlook: The dark pool levels near 80.24-79.15 suggest strong institutional support. If the price reaches this zone, it could provide a significant buying opportunity for long-term investors.
NASDAQ:SBUXShort
by thedarkpooltrader
Technical Analysis of NIFTY Index - 30-Minute TimeframeDouble Top Pattern: The chart shows a double top pattern (marked as "Top 1" and "Top 2"), which is a bearish reversal pattern. The neckline for this pattern has been broken, confirming bearish momentum. The pattern suggests that the uptrend has reversed, leading to a downward move. Falling Wedge Pattern: After the double top, the index has formed a falling wedge, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern. The price has broken out of the falling wedge, signaling the potential for a short-term bounce. Targets: Immediate Upside Target: The breakout from the falling wedge suggests a potential recovery toward 24,200–24,300. Downside Target: If bearish momentum resumes, the index could move toward 23,500 as marked on the chart. Volume Analysis: The breakout from the falling wedge is accompanied by a slight increase in volume, which supports the bullish case. However, sustained volume is needed for the uptrend to continue. Support and Resistance Levels: Support: Immediate: 23,800 Stronger: 23,500 Resistance: Immediate: 24,200–24,300 Extended: 24,500 Moving Averages: The index is currently trading near its short-term moving averages, which could act as dynamic resistance. A breakout above these levels would confirm further bullish momentum. Fundamental Analysis of NIFTY Index Macroeconomic Environment: Global Factors: Uncertainty in global markets, including rising interest rates and geopolitical tensions, have added to the volatility in Indian markets. Domestic Growth: India's economy continues to grow steadily, supported by strong consumer demand, government infrastructure spending, and a robust services sector. Sectoral Performance: IT and Pharma: Defensive sectors like IT and Pharma have seen relative strength amid global uncertainties. Banking and Financials: Despite some recent corrections, banking and financial services continue to drive the index, supported by rising credit growth and strong results from private banks. Metals and Energy: Global commodity prices and demand from China remain key drivers for metals and energy stocks. Corporate Earnings: Indian corporates have shown resilience with steady earnings growth, particularly in the FMCG, banking, and auto sectors. However, margin pressures persist in some sectors due to higher input costs. Valuation: NIFTY's valuation remains slightly stretched compared to historical averages, suggesting room for further correction. However, strong long-term growth potential keeps the outlook positive. Key Risks: Rising interest rates globally could tighten liquidity. Any further escalation in geopolitical tensions or slower global growth could impact market sentiment. Conclusion: Technical Outlook: NIFTY has formed a double top, confirming bearish momentum, but a breakout from the falling wedge offers a short-term bullish opportunity. Upside Targets: 24,200–24,300 Downside Risk: 23,500 (if bearish momentum resumes) Fundamental Outlook: India’s economic fundamentals remain strong, supported by consumer demand and government spending. While the market faces short-term headwinds, the long-term outlook remains positive, making this an opportunity to accumulate quality stocks during corrections.
NSE:NIFTY
by TheWealthyInvestorbyDSAB
Will the interest rate cut in late 2024 happen? XAU UP OR DOWN ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 12/16 - 12/20/2024 🔥 World situation: Although gold posted some losses, it remains up nearly 1% for the week, supported by a mix of US economic data. While inflation figures were varied, the latest Initial Jobless Claims report strengthened investor confidence in a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Attention now shifts to the Fed’s December 17-18 policy meeting, with traders pricing in a 93% likelihood of a 25 basis point cut, according to CBOT data. Following the announcement, all eyes will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference for insights into the policy direction for 2025. 🔥 Identify: H4 is seeing price close to the bullish trendline - which will be validating the last rate cut of the year. There will be some upside but it will still be difficult to break above the 2723 price zone 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $2678, $2723 Support : $2613, $2590, $2535 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
SHORT AUDUSDKeeping in line with the current bear trend, I would anticipate price looking to reach for levels below 0.62672. Currently short in profit at 42 pips, total target would be for 150. Although we've been ranging for the past two weeks, price has slowly but steadily been shifting downwards. A key area of interest was taken out when we crossed below 0.63500, no real bullish pressure resulted after reaching below that level. Take note that bullish volume strength has been significantly lower compared to the bearish levels. My take is this market is going to keep trending downwards a bit more. Let's see what the next couple of weeks has in store!
Short
by CollectCap
2
VIRTUAL - Short Setup with 30% PotentialWe are currently observing a completed 5-wave structure and the emergence of wave A, which found support around $2.5. Now, price action is forming wave B, which aligns with a resistance area marked by the Fib 0.618 retracement and the daily level. Trade Setup: Short Entry: For a riskier entry, you can enter now and ladder your position up to the Fib 0.618 and 0.718 levels. A stop loss should be placed above the 0.786 Fib for protection. Head and Shoulders Projection: Using the bar pattern and the length of the left shoulder, we estimate that wave C will form over the next 2-3 days, confirming the head and shoulders setup. Take Profit Target: Low at $2.3266 – First target for securing profits. Overall Target: The 0.618 Fib retracement of the entire 5-wave structure at $2.1002. Risk-Reward (R:R): Potential for 3:1 and 5:1 trades, offering a gain of 20% - 30%. Additional Notes: If dOpen is lost with volume confirmation, this provides an opportunity to add to the short position. With the holiday season approaching, this short setup allows for some time off the screen while still capitalizing on market movements. This setup offers an excellent blend of risk and reward, with options for both aggressive and conservative short entries. Happy trading.
Short
by SiDec
7
UXLINK - Is a Reversal Imminent? SHORT SETUPUXLINK has seen impressive gains over the past 7 days, rising +140% and approaching the swing high at $1.208. This price action suggests the possibility of a correction, providing an attractive short opportunity if it faces rejection at these levels. Key Observations: Recent Bullish Momentum: UXLINK has been on a 7-day bullish run, rising significantly, which increases the likelihood of a short-term pullback or correction. Swing High at $1.208: As UXLINK nears the swing high at $1.208, this could act as a potential rejection point. A rejection here could provide an excellent shorting opportunity. Riskier Trade: If you prefer a more aggressive position, a short could be taken now, targeting the swing high with a laddered approach towards that level. Possible Correction Ahead: With 7 consecutive bullish days, a correction is likely in the near future. The dOpen at $1 serves as a strong support level to target for a short. Break Below $1: If UXLINK breaks below the $1 level, the next target becomes the wOpen at $0.8645. Reward-to-Risk Potential: Target 1: $1 (dOpen) offers a 4:1 risk-to-reward, with a potential 16.45% gain. Target 2: $0.8645 (wOpen) offers a 7:1 risk-to-reward, with a possible +28.5% gain. Elliot Wave Count: According to Elliot wave theory, UXLINK is approaching the completion of its 5-wave structure, which may further indicate that the upward trend is nearing exhaustion. Summary: Bullish run over the past 7 days makes UXLINK susceptible to a correction. Swing high at $1.208 could provide an ideal short opportunity, with strong targets at $1 and $0.8645. Reward-to-risk ratios are favorable, offering 4:1 or even 7:1 if the trade is executed properly. Elliot Wave suggests the end of the current upward movement, further supporting the case for a potential short.
Short
by SiDec
2
Weakness Prevails Below Key LevelsChainlink continues to show bearish momentum after losing key support levels. Key Observations: dVAL and pdVAL Lost – LINK has dropped below the daily value area low (dVAL) and remains weak with no significant new volume coming in, indicating a lack of buying interest. Swing Low Taken Out – LINK has taken out the swing low at $28, but the volume remains low, showing weak follow-through and limited buying activity. pdVAL and pdPoC Resistance – The previous daily value area low (pdVAL) and the previous daily point of control (pdPoC) are both situated at $29, now acting as a strong resistance level. Bulls must reclaim this area to regain strength. Lack of Bullish Defense – Bulls are failing to defend key levels, further signaling weakness. Below Key Levels – LINK remains below the weekly open (wOpen) and the daily open (dOpen), confirming a bearish bias. Target Levels: Bearish Targets: pwOpen (previous weekly open) coincides with the daily level at 26.09, making this a significant confluence area for potential support. The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at 25.61 strengthens this zone as a next key downside target. Next Major Zone: The green support area below 26.09 remains a potential demand zone if selling pressure persists. Summary: With LINK taking out the swing low at $28 on low volume, remaining below dVAL, pdVAL, dOpen, and wOpen, the bearish momentum remains intact. The pdVAL and pdPoC at $29 now serve as strong resistance. The next major downside target lies at 26.09, where confluence with the pwOpen and daily level strengthens the support zone.
Short
by SiDec
ADA – Is the $1 Support Zone the Next Target?ADA is currently trading within a well established range-bound structure. Here’s the breakdown of this setup: 1. Key Levels to Watch $1.00 This is the most critical support zone and psychological level. The Golden Pocket (0.618 Fibonacci retracement) lies perfectly at this level, adding strong confluence for buyers to step in. Resistance: Around the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (~$1.107), where price could be rejecting. The 0.786 Fibonacci level coincides with the Point of Control (POC) of the trading range. The anchored VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) aligns with this resistance, creating a high-probability short opportunity! 2. Trade Setup: Low-Risk Short Opportunity Given the confluence of the following: 0.786 Fibonacci level (~$1.107): Resistance zone. Anchored VWAP: Adding overhead selling pressure. Order Block & Golden Pocket at $1: Strong support target. This creates a low-risk short setup: Entry: Near $1.107 Take-Profit: $1.015 Stop-Loss: Above $1.113 to limit risk exposure. 3. Risk-to-Reward Ratio Risk: ~1% loss (tight stop above resistance). Reward: ~8% gain (targeting the $1.00 support). This gives us an 8:1 risk-to-reward ratio, making it a highly favorable trade setup. 4. Supporting Indicators Volume Profile: Price has significant volume accumulation near the current range, indicating strong resistance around $1.10-$1.12. Bearish Structure: Price remains below the anchored vwap (yellow line), indicating bearish momentum. Conclusion ADA is showing strong confluence for a potential short opportunity with minimal risk and significant upside reward. A retest of the $1 support is likely, given the combination of the Fibonacci Golden Pocket, order block and anchored VWAP resistance.
Short
by SiDec
XAU - monday sideway! Scalping follows the downtrendSCALPING XAU / USD ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Last week's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will ease its rate cuts at a slower pace next year. On Friday, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield climbed to a three-week high, reflecting market bets on a less dovish Fed stance, which could limit gains for the non-yielding gold. Looking ahead, Monday's release of global flash PMI data may shape broader market sentiment and potentially impact demand for the safe-haven precious metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price is slow on the first trading day of the new week, around the 2650 area. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2662 - $2664 SL $2667 scalping TP1: $2657 TP2: $2650 TP3: $2640 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
5
GBPJPY Analysis - SellGBPJPY Analysis Overview 1. Seasonality: GBP: Bearish — Historical data for this time period shows GBP typically weakens. JPY: Bullish — Seasonal trends favor JPY strength, aligning with a sell bias for GBPJPY. --- 2. COT Report (Commitment of Traders): GBP: 4-week flip indicates a Sell bias. JPY: 4-week flip indicates a Buy bias. Non-commercial long positions are increasing, indicating strong demand for JPY. --- 3. Fundamental Analysis: LEI (Leading Economic Indicator): GBP: Decreasing — Suggests economic slowdown and bearish momentum for GBP. JPY: Range — Neutral economic outlook, but overall supportive of its safe-haven appeal. Endogenous Factors: GBP: Decreasing — Internal economic conditions are weakening, favoring a sell bias. JPY: Increasing — Positive domestic factors support JPY strength. --- 4. Exogenous Factors: GBPJPY: Classified as a Strong Sell due to broader external influences such as global risk aversion and JPY's safe-haven demand. --- 5. Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour chart: There is a visible order block and a fair value gap (FVG) in the price structure. The price has retraced to 50% of the order block, presenting a favorable opportunity to enter a short position. Confluence from bearish market structure and resistance zone further validates the sell setup. --- Bias: Strong Sell Based on seasonality, COT data, fundamentals, exogenous influences, and technical analysis, GBPJPY is poised for a significant downside move. Look for selling opportunities at or near the current resistance levels within the order block.
Short
by asadamalik
4
SUPERUSDT Long Setup / 2x-3x LeverageBINANCE:SUPERUSDT 📈Which side you pick? Bull or Bear Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage (For beginners, I suggest low risk status) 👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate. ➡️Entry Area: Yellow zone 1.98-1.91 ⚡️TP: 2.12 2.23 2.36 2.49 🔴SL: 1.72 🧐The Alternate scenario: If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
Long
by CrazyS