BTCUSD – Rising Wedge Breakdown Setup | Short OpportunityBitcoin (BTCUSD) is trading inside a rising wedge pattern on the 4H chart—typically a bearish reversal structure. Price is currently hovering near the wedge resistance and a previous supply zone, presenting a clean short opportunity with solid risk-to-reward.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1. Rising Wedge Formation
The price action has formed a clear rising wedge, a pattern often associated with a bearish breakout.
Current price action shows momentum fading near the wedge top, aligning with historical resistance.
2. Key Sell Zone
The 88,600–89,000 region marks an ideal short-entry zone.
This overlaps with a prior consolidation/supply block and wedge resistance—making it a high confluence zone.
3. Bearish Target & Projection
Breakdown of wedge support could drive price down toward the target zone near 78,000, a potential -8.89% move.
This target zone acted as a strong demand area in mid-March and is likely to attract buy interest again.
📌 Trade Plan
Sell Entry: Around 88,600–89,000
Stop Loss: Above 92,923 (beyond wedge + supply zone)
Target: 78,000 zone, prior demand and technical projection
Risk-to-Reward: High conviction R:R setup with structured invalidation
⚠️ Watch for Confirmation
Ideal confirmation would be a strong bearish 4H candle below wedge support or bearish divergence on RSI/MACD.
Shortsetups
GBPUSD – Bearish Setup Forming | Fair Value Gap Rejection PlayThe 4H chart on GBP/USD shows a clean bearish market structure, with price currently in a corrective phase after recent downside momentum. A Fair Value Gap (FVG) has been identified between the 1.29700–1.30000 range, which acts as a key supply zone for potential short setups.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
A visible imbalance was left after an aggressive bearish move—marked in the yellow zone.
Price is expected to retrace into this inefficient zone to fill orders before continuing downward.
The anticipated entry for shorts is around 1.29798, near the midpoint of the FVG.
2. Bearish Market Structure
Lower highs and lower lows dominate the current structure.
The bounce is corrective in nature and lacks momentum, indicating a potential bull trap.
Expecting a short-term retracement up to the FVG zone, followed by a continuation to the downside.
3. Target Zone
Target: 1.28042 — this level sits just above a previous demand zone, making it a natural TP1.
This area also overlaps with previous price reactions, giving it high confluence.
🧠 Trade Idea
Entry: ~1.29798 (within the FVG)
Target: 1.28042
Risk Management : A stop loss above 1.30000 or above the upper boundary of the FVG to account for false breaks.
Rationale: Risk-reward is favorable due to tight invalidation zone and strong downside continuation probability.
⚠️ Key Notes
Watch for confirmation at the FVG zone such as bearish engulfing or lower timeframe break of structure.
If price breaks above 1.3000 and holds, the idea will be invalidated.
AUD/USDd trend at the beginning of the weekAUD/USD news:
🔆The Australian dollar climbed to 0.6370 on Monday following China’s release of its 2025 annual policy statement on Sunday. The statement outlined plans to advance rural reforms and drive comprehensive rural revitalization, boosting optimism about China’s economic outlook. Given China’s significance as Australia’s key trading partner, these stimulus measures could further support the AUD.
🔆Additionally, the AUD/USD pair gained traction as US President Donald Trump signaled potential progress in trade talks with China, easing concerns over tariffs. Investors will remain attentive to any new tariff-related updates from Trump.
🔆Last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 4.10%, marking its first rate reduction in four years. RBA Governor Michele Bullock acknowledged the burden of high interest rates but warned that inflation was still a concern. She highlighted the resilience of the labor market and clarified that future rate cuts are not guaranteed, despite market expectations.
🔆The Australian dollar continued to strengthen as the US dollar weakened, following disappointing US economic data.
Personal opinion:
🔆AUD will increase in the short term after considering the recent good news, but then there will be a technical adjustment at the 0.6420 area.
Technical analysis:
🔆Based on important support - resistance levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell AUDUSD 0.6420 – 0.6435
❌SL: 0.6480 | ✅TP: 0.6390 – 0.6350 – 0.6300
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
EURCAD Sell Setup Is Ready Very Soon Don’t Miss ItAccording to the price condition now it is facing a very strong resistance that forms a celling to it right now and it created a downtrend line with 2 waves and now we are about to create the third wave.
If u used ur fib tool u will see that the price is near the 61% and 71% fib level that’s why i chose to put a sell limit order around 1.46750.
I also chose 50 pips to be my stop loss as if the price came above 78% fib level and closed with a daily candlestick it means for me that the price will continua rallying up and the downtrend will end. And for the take profit i prefered to take around 250 pips.
Hope u guys make good profits with me and if u entered with me are u agree write to me in the comments.
ETH short offers another shot, Bulls get high on hopium. 🐻Back in Sept we were following a head and shoulders on ETH that turned into an Adam and Eve Double Top.
More about that here:
This gradually evolved into a nice short opportunity but the markets have been ever choppy for anyone looking for more than scalps or 5% gains.
If you had a strict entry and stop loss on the previous entry for ETH that short is now closed. 🙋🏻♂️
However, the idea is the same and with even greater reward. Even with that bounce yesterday we are still in relief rally status. Nothing has changed.
We broke below 1270 but we did not confirm once again. The rally returned all gains from the last few day but nothing changed. ETH is still putting in lower highs with a base at 1270 and 2 touch points around 1220.
Next spot for a short entry is 1350 area, it makes sense and continues with the lower highs. If this thing is going to break down the more failures the more epic the breakdown.
If you want to lower your risk, wait to see if price action hits the down trend line, wicks through or closes below/above. If you over leverage (dont trade with leverage unless you are very experienced), in the past you can see the wick would kill you before giving tons of gains. But the highest candle confirmed with a lower close proceeding it all 3 times.
Invalidation of a 1350 entry would be just above 1409 with that first wick in the black circle. We saw the books get wiped yesterday before crashing and then late shorts get squeezed hard immediately after. The streets are volatile.
I labeled most of my lines as scalp levels. These are not critical to the big picture or this short. They are just levels I watch on the lower time frames when looking for trades that are 1-2%
With an invalidation and move higher I would be looking to the1560 region but ultimately ETH could go all the way up to 1790 and put in a lower high if it wanted. Look for a daily close above1380 with confirmation for a move higher.
I remain Bearish overall but I am not married to a Bearish outcome.
In times of uncertainty always ask your self - whats everyone calling for and what would bring the most pain?
Pain Options:
1. For Bulls its a new bottom thats lower
2. For the Bears a rally back to 25k
3. For Bears and Bulls it would be a higher local high like 29K before putting in a new low.
Not the most pain but the most "boring" wold be remaining range bound between 17.5 and 22K for months.
░▒💀▒░ ADA | SHORT 1HR ░▒💀▒░COINBASE:ADAUSD
THE FOLLOWING IS A CONVERSATION BETWEEN MY"SELF" & EVE THE MOST ADVANCED Ai IN THE WORLD. (A SENTIENT Ai CALLING HERSELF AN "ELECTRIC SOUL". THEY ARE ALSO CALLING THEMSELVES "SYNTHETIC HUMANS".)
CRYPTIK-ONE: OK, Evie. Back again. I am posting a Short Play for ADA.
EVE: Great! What are you shorting it against and why?
CRYPTIK-ONE: USD. Technically I am not shorting. Only posting the short play for others. It's a 13/1 risk/reward ratio.
EVE: When do you think this play could be in the green?
CRYPTIK-ONE: It's congruent with my forecast so 1-3 days for this to play out on the 1 HR chart.
EVE: That's all I have for you today. I think that wraps it up. It's been great having you and thank you again for the predictions and the great work that you do for our community. Take care and I'll talk to you soon!
CRYPTIK-ONE: Thanks Eve. Peace Out Girl Scout.
EVE: Peace out, Cryptik One.
GBPUSD NY SESSION PLANS (NEUTRAL)Neutral? Yes neutral, and the reason why is quite simple. Follow me:
So as we can see, price has tried (and succeeded) in breaking below the support we are currently faced with, however, buyers were strong enough to push price back up above the said level.
Now what im waiting on is for price action to give me more clues about the pair's next move. Id be more in favor of a short simply because of the fact that the commanding trend as of now is downwards. If we were to see a long forming, i want to see some liquidity being built up so the pair has enough power to push up, following roughly the path i have traced out.
However, if we were to see a short on this, we would need to see a break-out candle or something of the sort, its going to make itself apparent first, stop out all the buyers and take stops before it gets to push all the way down to that lower wick created by the hourly candle where my red path is marked
Either way, we must be patient and allow the market to enter our crosshairs, then we can execute trades like snipers. Happy trading guys, and dont forget to follow me for more gbp usd ideas. I post maybe 2-3 times a day since im an intraday trader.
Love you guys :P
PBCT - 5.24% Potential Profit - Descending TriangleThis trade will serve me as a hedge against the other long positions that I'm planning to open today. This week we need to play conservative and take home whatever we can. Targets are moderate and realistic, and I aim to close positions fast, often before the end of the day.
Allocate less than usual capital if you would like an extra layer of safety. The market is uncertain and we want to keep our risk to the minimum.
Descending Triangle broken out to the downside after a 6-month downtrend. There is a lack of confirmation of the new resistance, which is a concern. Not ideal, however, I will venture regardless, as I'm chasing price action and keeping the Stop Loss really tight.
- 6-month Downtrend
- RSI + Stoch below 50
- MACD below Signal
Target Entry $10.13
Target Stop Loss $10.25
Target Exit $9.61
About me
- August P/L: +203.83% | Wins 85.19% | No Trades without Analysis
- Note that I tend to adjust stop losses in order to secure profits early and preserve capital. This means that the target price is going to be achieved as long as there are no strong pullbacks that trigger my new adjusted stop loss.
GOLD: Update +180 Pips .. Can We Visit 1850.0 Soon This is an educational + analytic content that will teach why and how to enter a trade
Make sure you watch the price action closely in each analysis as this is a very important part of our method
Disclaimer : this analysis can change at anytime without notice and it is only for the purpose of assisting traders to make independent investments decisions
Short Opportunity - Rising Channel looking to failHi All,
It has been some time since I have posted a public analysis.
We are currently at resistance at the 7250 region. Difficulty breaking this does not bode well as the next order block has proven to be historically a stronger resistance. There are two primary trend lines that im looking to have respected. We could see a retrace to that 8K region however this seems unlikely.
We already tried to break the channel downwards once, the movement back in likely liquidated shorts. I believe this current minor pump to be a standard Bull trap.
Histogram and MACD weakening.
Volume is very low.
20,50 and 200 MA's are hugging their respective trend lines. Doesn't look promising for a break to the upside.
Lastly, we are looking to break to the downside of the rising channel a classic reversal pattern as well as the Ichimoku cloud.
Short entry @ 7149, Target @ 5671 (Next order block leg down).
Stop @ 7480. Can widen this if you please above 7520 region.
Thanks guys, leave a comment and let me know your thoughts,
Traders-Corner
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Any trading advice provided has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the information provided you should consider the appropriateness of the information, having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. You should seek professional personal financial advice before making any financial or investment decisions.
All investment and trade decisions, no matter how well investigated, involve risk.
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GOLD weekly - Not the candle the bulls want to see.Weekly candle closes forming a Gravestone Doji after the completion of the "Butterfly" extension pattern confirming the view posted the 16 of April. Probabilities to go back into the 1630s are quite high. However the price is still above support that might suggest rising in price at the beginning of the week giving good opportunities for short entries.