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Shortsqueeze

SPY in a downtrend? Where's Top? THE ANSWERS!Chart: SPY 2 week TF. The answers are both in the chart and below. SPOILER: If SPY rallies to $800, the downtrend is still valid. Interesting: A downtrend is defined as LOWER lows (LL) and LOWER highs (LH). Uptrend? as HL's and HH's. ** A single HIGHER high (HH) invalidates a downtrend trend in that TF. Trend is relative to TF and can be valid in one TF but invalid in another. A HH is established when the previous HH is superseded by a new candle's _____________ (fill in the blank). Answer: It's the new candles **close** that takes out a previous high, **not** its own high. Once that condition has been met the new High is promoted to the status of HH. Important: SPY's 1 week down trend was invalidated when the HH of $393.16 established on the 28th of June, 2022 was taken out by the close of $395.09 on Friday, July 18th, 2022. Chart: 2 week downtrend is still valid and the current 2W candle closes in 5 days. (8/12/22) The trend remains valid if that close is below the previous HH of $417.44 established on June 2nd 2022. Very important: *** The high of (this) week is not relevant to the 2W downtrend. Only the candle Close on Friday (8/12/22). Implication (not opinion): If SPY rallies to $420, the downtrend is still valid. If SPY rallies to $500, the downtrend is still valid. If SPY rallies to $600, the downtrend is still valid. If SPY rallies to $800, the downtrend is still valid. ... *as long as* price falls back to $417.44 by EOW. The point: ... idk. Ask me in 2 weeks. Where is "top"?: It's the price where the last bear goes long (aka covers). In other words when there is not a single buyer left. ** Starting with Homma Munehisa, (1755) The Fountain of Gold—The Three Monkey Record of Money. to the more contemporary: Al Brooks, (2009) "Trading Price Action Trends" .. and everyone in between.
AMEX:SPY
by gb50k
1
History always repeats!Back when I posted the 'accumulation on AMC' I though the fractal between January 2021 and June 2021 was just slanted. This would mean a clockwise rotation of the fractal. basically a skewed version of the fractal. Downward moves would be more extreme and sharp. Upwards move would look more like a consolidation. Consolidation would look like a slight down trend, following the angle at which the fractal is rotated. I was early when I thought August 3rd 2022 was may 26th 2021 on the fractal. It seems to me that today August 5th 2022 was May 13th 2021 on the fractal.
NYSE:AMCLong
by GuiltBeCrowned
8
SPY Rejection: FOMC in the next hourDespite being positive on the day, we saw earlier price get rejected on the upper resistance trend line of our longer term downward channel. The gap up today was interesting, but I am curious to see how this plays out following the Fed decision. Since we have been declining from ATH's, this upper resistance trend line has shown multiple instances of rapid downward movement because of the trendlines significance. Fed decision may fill the gap up we created this morning. See related links to see the fuller picture and downward channel on a daily time frame.
SP:SPXShort
by chartxzy
3
SPLIT DONE! Still Waiting for a clean break of the Doom DoritoBull Case remains, I am hopeful the Doom Dorito will finally break up First full week after the split next week. Multiple brokers from around the world have yet to deliver all shares saying that shares could take up to another 4-5 days to be delivered. FTDs have been increasing from June that are coming due now, will be interesting in seeing the next release on the 30th Borrow rate remains steady this weekend at 129% to over 300% according to Ortex. Technically it still seems like a massive 1.5 year spring is about to be sprung. If there is any other real world game changing announcement this week then it it can only add further pressure to breaking the Doom Dorito.
NYSE:GMELong
by testmuffin13
3
🔃✅💲Short term reversal for $ETH confirmed! #Ethereum 🚀🔜✅This chart is meant to show the confirmation of the reversal in the $ETH price. This is shown on the BYBIT:ETHUSDT chart, because of the higher (more speculation based) trading volume. It is currently showing strong confidence in traders for #Ethereum. As shown, during the downtrend that $ETH has been in, there were multiple closes below the lower Bollinger band. These each signaled further $ETH price suppression at the time. After finding a possible bottom, then ranging sideways in what is now the current range of support, $ETH price finally broke out above the top of the range. This is very likely due to a short squeeze, however I believe that it being in conjunction with the recent bounce in $BTC and other cryptos, has allowed for confidence to be restored in $ETH price growth(at least for the short-term). Breaking above the range, with very tightened Bollinger bands, $ETH price managed to close above the upper Bollinger band multiple times. This is the first time this has happened on the daily chart since we had one (very brief) close above it, in October last year. To me this signals a (possibly very strong) reversal for #Etherem. Going forward, I would personally expect a move up to the current strong resistance level around $2,100-$2,200, then a retest of the previous range-high/resistance, flipped to support. After that would be when I would assess everything to see if this confirmation truly has the merit that I personally believe it has. Any strong close above $2,500 would be a very strong confirmation of this theory, and a close below $1,100 would possibly invalidate this whole theory. **This is all my opinion, based on chart data. This is not financial advice.**
Long
by DoozerInvest