OPENING: ROKU SEPTEMBER 18TH 130/225 SHORT STRANGLE... for a 7.71 credit.
Notes: Earnings, high implied. There is some call side skew here that I occasionally try to accommodate in some fashion, but just went plain Jane delta neutral at around the 17 delta.
Defined Risk Alternatives:
September 18th 130/140/215/225, paying 3.63 at the mid as of the writing of this post, delta/theta 2.98/4.49.
September 18th 130/135/220/225, paying 1.65 at the mid as of the writing of this post, delta/theta 1.41/2.41.
Shortstrangle
OPENING: BYND AUGUST 21ST 110/185 SHORT STRANGLE... for a 4.18 credit.
Notes: Defined in the smaller, naked in the bigger.
Defined risk alternatives:
September 18th 105/115/180/190 iron condor, paying 3.51 (i.e., > 1/3rd the width of the wings) at the mid price as of the writing of this post. Some price discovery may be required on the four-legged, as it's bid 3.16/mid 3.51/ask 3.91, which isn't the tightest thing in the world.
OPENING: TWTR AUGUST 21ST 32.5/45 SHORT STRANGLE... for a 1.74/contract credit.
Notes: High rank/implied with earnings in 1. Looking to take profit at 50% or otherwise manage on side approaching worthless.
Defined Risk Alternatives: The August 21st 26/31/45/50 iron condor, paying .98. Generally, I like to get one-third the width of the widest wing out of these, but the call side is pesky with strike granularity (i.e., strikes widen to 5-wides at >45). The only weekly with one wides above 45 is the July 31st, where the directionally neutral 30/34/41/45 is paying 1.38.
OPENING: SNAP AUGUST 21ST 21/30.5 SHORT STRANGLE... for a 1.26/contract credit.
Notes: High rank/implied running into earnings. Looking to take profit at 50% max or otherwise manage on side approaching worthless or side test ... .
Defined Risk Alternatives: August 21st 17/25/25/33 iron fly, paying 4.00 (1.00 at 25% max) (a "stays within expected move" play) or an 18/21/28/31 iron condor, paying 1.05 (.52 at 50% max).
OPENING: BBBY AUGUST 21ST 10/11 SKINNY SHORT STRANGLE... for a 2.68 credit.
Notes: Earnings in 1; high rank/implied at 55/128. Went with a skinny short strangle over a short straddle, since price is blooping around 10.50, which is in between strikes. Will still look to manage at 25% max, since it's very nearly a short straddle.
OPENING: IWM AUGUST 21ST 122/161 SHORT STRANGLE... for a 4.22 credit.
Notes: With rank/implied still at 50/43 (the highest broad market exchange-traded fund on the board), re-upping an IWM directionally neutral short strangle out in the August cycle (59 days). Looking to take profit at 50% max or otherwise manage on side approaching worthless.
THE WEEK AHEAD: MU, FDX EARNINGS; XOP, IWM, EWZEARNINGS:
MU (36/64/11.7%) announces earnings on Monday after the close. Pictured here is a 19 delta short strangle in the July expiry, paying 1.55.
FDX (46/59/11.4%) announces Tuesday after the close, with the 20 delta July 17th 115/147 paying 4.56.
EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS ORDERED BY RANK AND SCREENED FOR 30-DAY >35%:
EWW (59/44/12.6%)
EWZ (47/63/17.7%)
XLE (45/52/16.0%)
GDXJ (43/60/17.7%)
SMH (37/42/12.0%)
GDX (36/45/14.5%)
XOP (32/70/20.2%)
USO (13/67/16.7%)
Would probably go out to August here (54 days) ... . Looked at through the lens of what the short straddle is paying as a function of share price, it looks like I should be selling premium in XOP (20.2%), followed by EWZ (17.7%) and/or GDXJ (17.7%).
BROAD MARKET ORDERED BY RANK:
IWM (57/45/12.7%)
QQQ (38/32/<10%)
EFA (37/29/<10%)
SPY (37/34/<10%)
Small caps continue to be where the juice is at.
IRA DIVIDEND-GENERATORS
IYR (53/40/11.7%)
XLU (50/33/<10%)
EWZ (47/63/17.7%)
EWA (46/40/11.2%)
EFA (37/29/<10%)
SPY (37/34/<10%)
HYG (35/20/<10%)
EMB (20/18/<10%)
TLT (20/19/<10%)
EWZ offers both better better premium as a function of stock price than IYR at the moment, as well as slightly higher yield (3.66% for the former; 3.50% for the latter). Since I've already laddered out IYR, I may dip at the EWZ well with the 16 delta short put paying .70 in August at the 22 strike, .84 in September at the 21 ... .
OPENING: GDXJ JULY 17TH 39/55 SHORT STRANGLE... for a 2.18/contract credit.
Notes: 30-day at 62% with the at-the-money short straddle paying 16.3% of where the stock is trading. Adjusted the strikes slightly over my "Week Ahead" post ... .
You know the drill: (a) Take profit at 50% max; (b) Look to adjust on side approaching worthless.
OPENING: ROKU MARCH 20TH 110/190 SHORT STRANGLE... for a 6.21 credit.
Metrics:
Max Profit: $621
Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: Undefined/14.17
Credit Received/Buying Power Effect: 43.8%
Delta/Theta: -1.70/23.14
Notes: Earnings in 2 with high implied volatility rank/implied volatility at 76/88. There is call side skew here, which you may want to accommodate via ratio'd strangle or double double if you go defined risk (e.g., the 2 x 105/2 x 110/170/180 for 3.50-ish).
CLOSING: SPY CORE POSITION... for 100.68 versus 102.50 scratch, a 1.82/$182 winner.
Notes: A lot of shenanigans and buying power to get out for 1.82. However, this started out as a troubled short straddle that was more than 5.00 underwater and that I fiddled with way too long, so I'll take it and redeploy anew with the same basic strategy: start out delta neutral, delta under hedge to flatten net delta to allow theta to do its thing ... .