Euro makes corrections At the beginning of this week, the euro is rising, do we consider this to be a reversal of the trend?
The answer is no, the current market situation is selling, we should not fight the trend, but corrections can be in our favor.
On the EUR/CHF, the price reaches a resistance level and we record the rejection of the area. The overbought RSI indicator helps us to enter
Shortterm
DXY $119 target for short term Could we see the DXY target this curve metric all the way to $119? I am using a fractal as a visual for this possibility. This target has great resistance back in 2001 and 2002 as the DXY peaked several times. Interesting to see if we will respect this curved arch all the way through. This arch is parabolic till October 2022 if it respects the metrics.
EUR/USD correction or reversal ? New support was formed at the level of 1.000 last week, it cannot be taken as a major area, the upside trend in the short term is only a correction for the main bearish trend.
The resistance level of 1.020 and its intersection with the trend line 4h and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the moving average of 100 and 200 on the 4H timeframe is a good entry point in the short term
BTC Long Term And Short Term AnalysisBTC LONG TERM - On the 1D I think if it closes above 22500 then it could easily go and test 26000. The volatility indicator is extending on the 4H which means it has legs to go further.
BTC SHORT TERM - On the 1H it looks like it has retested the resistance it broke (22100) if it closes above 22500 on the 1H i can see it going further upwards of 23000 before we get a healthy pull back.
BTC OVERALL - I think BTC is going to have a rise upwards of 23000 before we get a pull back then after the pull back we could be looking at 26000 if it puts in a healthy higher low on the 4H.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments and like my idea!!
DHAMPUR SUGAR MILL - Short-term Trend analysisDHAMPUR SUGAR MILL - Short-term Trend analysis
1. V shape recovery, it falls more than 65% from the all-time high...
2. It May be in the over-bath zone.
3. If the stock opens and closes at more than 234 then it may have a short-term up rally.
4. Target is 317 if the market trend reversal.
5. Fundamentally good stock, maybe we can hold for the mid-term for a good profit.
Note:
1. I’m not a SEBI Registered advisor, my research is personal and for educational purposes only.
2. Always check with your financial advisor and take the trade as per your risk/reward ratio.
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Bitcoin in 1 Minute - Day 27Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
27 out of 500 days done.
I truly appreciate your continuous support everyone!
Let me know if you like the series, and if you would like me to change or add anything.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC Long Term And Short Term AnalysisBTC LONG TERM - On the 1D there is a red spot but now it is at support and could bounce back up to the topside of the range. There is a green spot on the 4H so if it close's above 19900 on the 4H I can see it testing 20500.
BTC SHORT TERM - On the 1H it has closed above the 21 ema for the first time since 4 days ago. What we don't want to see is rejection at this point because that will make another lower high, if it does that then it could come further down. On the 15M it could have a little pull back down towards 19700 and put in a higher low.
BTC OVERALL - Overall I think Bitcoin will bounce soon as long as it close's above 19900 on the 4H
Let me know your thughts in the comments and like my idea!!
BTC Long Term And Short Term AnalysisBTC LONG TERM - The bullish divergence looks like it's playing out on the 1D and close above the 21 EMA yesterday which means it could go and test the 55 ema at 25000, so I don't think this bounce is over just yet.
BTC SHORT TERM - On the 1H it looks like it wants to put in a temporary top and pull back a little bit. There is a tiny bit of bearish divergence too, so that could lead to a little pull back on the shorter time frames.
BTC OVERALL - I can see BTC having a pull back today and carry on it's bounce later on today or going into the weekend.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments and like my idea!!
Bitcoin's Multiple Descending Wedge Setups provoking Rally?Macroeconomic backdrop::
With sentiment in markets rising slightly from peak fear, due to recession fear provoked significant pull backs in commodity prices. Providing a likely reprieve in expected rising inflation concerns. This might in turn, influence central bank interest rate decision makers, too slow the rate in which they hike rates. Although we can only speculate on their desired intensity to crush demand, growth and inflation. We can assume that some decision makers, will look for the right opportunity to ensure slowing growth rates globally do not over extend downwards. Likely pausing or slowing the tightening measure as inflation falls. This could provide the macro set up for a bear market rally to occur.
Bitcoin Long Trade::
In the short term we see a relatively small neutral wedge. The upside currently being tested at the time of this published idea. I believe that a breakout will occur to the upside, made viable by neutral to slightly rallying equity prices. The next significant resistance will be the bearish descending turquoise resistance line, that has been created from April and June significant rejections. This resistance line will be bolstered slightly by the falling 50 day moving average, which is lying close to this turquoise trend line.
Depending on the macro and equity set up at the time when/if BTC's price enters the orange circle area. Further progression to the upside or a strong rejection will occur. Although bear market sentiment might suggest the case for a rejection is more probable, a short squeeze could allow odd price action to occur.
This trade idea is enveloped in the larger descending orange wedge line. That might suggest a controlled further fall in this bear market. I believe that it will remain resistance if the global macro climate continuous to tighten, regardless of worries of over tightening and causing significant recessions.
Significant recessions might will naturally correlate with significant job losses. Further degrading global production levels and decreasing supply. It doesn't take a crystal ball or goats entrails, to forecast the enlarged social welfare programs that will arise to support the unfortunate of us that will lose our jobs, due to over vigorous tightening.
Best of Luck in your trading!
BIG SELL-OFF ON THE EURO The euro is descending to historical levels. Technically, all the euro pairs fall.
On EUR/AUD we see a break of the bullish channel and retest the support level
the weak support can't make a new higher high. It should turn into a resistance level.
more confirmation on indicators RSI divergence and triple EMA 50-100-200
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BTC Long Term And Short Term AnalysisBTC LONG TERM - I still think this bounce will carry on to about 21700, the 4H has printed a green spot and it's held the 55 EMA. On the 1D it still looks like it wants to test the 21 EMA at 21200, I think if the weekly closes above 22000 this week we could see a bounce up to higher 20000s.
BTC SHORT TERM - On the 1H it still looks bullish and looks like it wants to test higher with a green spot. It remains above the 21 and 55 EMA, if it stays above the EMAS I can see it testing 21000.
BTC OVERALL - I think because it looks bullish on all time frames from the 4H downwards I can see it going up to at least 21000.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments and like my idea!!
ETH PERSONAL ANALYSIS IN THE SHORT TERM (UPDATED)The total evaluation for the ETH asset is bearish. Please be reminded that the chart displayed is very similar to the BTC chart posted on June 26, 2022 -- You may visit my profile to further confirm the move I took for shorting it.
Here are several analyses explanation that could help you maintain your short or reconsider your bullish bias in the short term and maybe in the long term as well.
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Pattern Analysis
The price action/market structure on 1H-4H and 8H-1D timeframes actually confirm an initial inverse head-and-shoulders pattern which is a bullish structure, however it was proven in time that there is a very, very strong resistance in the 1300$ region which displays an immediate rejection on a minor short squeeze to 1280$. The projected pattern that is now created due to the invalidation of the previous one is a Standard Head and Shoulders pattern which is bearish and would target itself to near 1,000$ level where it could find temporary support.
The said price structure is also in a descending triangle pattern which is often seen as a continuation pattern to the downside or a bullish breakout at the latter of its tight consolidation, however since fundamentals strictly influence the price structure of bitcoin in a bearish sentiment, we will support the projection to further downside levels even in the case of a later breakout from the triangle.
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Fundamental Analysis
The FED meeting later in Wednesday (June 29, 2022) will probably end up on discussions on further rate-hikes, other economic concerns and continuous neutral statements by Jack Powell to mitigate panic among investors and companies, however this meeting will be more than likely a catalyst that could bring assets to the downside (or consolidate) as we will have to wait for the Consumer Price Index Reports from the month of June to really confirm if the 75-point rate hike is really effective. If in any case that the inflation rate still increased despite the increased rate-hike, further rate hikes would warrant a definite move to the downside. Any statement by Jack Powell to mitigate panic is not to be taken as anything bullish as results matter more than words.
The Housing Market Crisi s is now at a very brink of a decline as overly inflated prices still linger and continuously rise at an unhealthy pace that could be worrisome. Latest data shows that the market growth of this sector is 15% above the fundamentals long term which is not, in any way, a good sign. However, this will not incur a 2008-Style Recession would happen as we now currently have tighter and safer standards to combat such event, but it does not mean that declines are impossible. This is a good buying opportunity for household investors, but they may have to wait for a greater price and time.
The COVID-19 Pandemic is still yet to be converted to an Epidemic-Endemic Status as people globally still have to deal with periodical vaccines to keep up. It is hard to pinpoint when and how will these vaccines remain constant in any economy given the fact that new variants (and new improved vaccines) are still being made due to uncontrollable spread of exposure (the term "uncontrollable" is linked to how businesses and gatherings cannot be fully stopped and will often happen both publicly and privately despite restrictions). There is no such thing as completely eradicating these viruses in the first place as their mechanism of replication is through living cells, this means that as long as there are people and animals around, they will always be around but this does not mean that they cannot be controlled proven by the fact on how we dealt with the previous pandemics "Spanish Flu" and the "Polio Virus".
The Ukrainian-Russian War is still active and would most likely not seek any end until Putin's goal is accomplished which is to demilitarize and de-Nazify Ukraine . Other possible goals of Vladimir Putin is to potentially get Ukraine rendered as neutral status and a friendly country within the Russian sphere of influence (no NATO involvement), for it and other countries to recognize the jurisdiction of Russia over Crimea and to remove some of the international sanctions imposed on them. However, these will prove more than challenging to do as Ukraine fully intends to involve itself in NATO affairs.
The Crypto Space has been incredibly bearish thanks to the most influential crash of 2022 regarding LUNA and its company Terra along with their CEO, Kwon Do-hyung (Do Kwon). This alone started a major catalyst of a complete breakdown of the multi-month support of BTC$ around 30,000$ followed by the increasing amounts of inflation which nailed the crypto coffin down below the monthly and yearly moving averages at around 17,800$. Due to these massive legs to the downside, retail investors are more cautious and anxious to even consider investing despite the massive amount of buying opportunities in a technical standpoint. The fear is also amplified by some crypto-exchanges suddenly withholding funds due to potential bankruptcies especially in the case of 3-Arrow and Celsius, Coinbase and Robinhood on the other hand, have already laid off a decent chunk of their employees as a sign of financial struggle to keep up with the market downturns.
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Technical Analysis
On a macro-time frame (1D) chart, we can see an incredible amount of low volume in the price action of ETH from 880$ to 1,280$ which is not a very good sign and deliberately shows weakness in maintaining the movement. A low volume price action are also prone to manipulation wicks, which in the case of a bear market, is ever more than terrifying to hold both ways due to intense volatility. The Volume Profile (if you can pull it out yourself) shows a tremendous amount of volume traffic expected around the 300-500$ region with little to no volume from 600-750$ which means that these are unreliable demand levels if we fail to uphold the 17,000-18,000$ region (This could be the catalyst case if the CPI reports next month show an increased amount of inflation despite the recent increase in rate hike). The Relative Strength Index shows that we are still oversold but due to the fact that this is a lagging indicator as well as in the case for MACD, it is still recommended that we use decently smaller timeframes (1H-8H) to further confirm the strength of any trend or volume that can ripple its way to larger timeframes (1D,1W,1M,1Y).
You can almost draw four solid patterns in the current chart: A reverse HnS (failed), a HnS (still yet to be finished), a descending triangle (still yet to be finished) and a rising wedge from 17,800-21,800$ (confirmed due to breakdown).
In all summary, we are heading down in the short term until further bullish bias is entering the macro-markets.
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-Wamses