Yellow Metal Gold Weaken After China Cancels Trade MeetingXAUUSD Technical Overview:
Pivot: $1200.20
Key Resistance: $1199.85 - $1204.28 - $1207.47 - $1211.89
Key Support: $1194.33- $1191.56 - $1188.00 - $1186.66
Day Trading Range: $1204 - $1186
Technical Indicator:
RSI: The indicator lacks upside momentum, moving below 50 level.
Moving Average: SMA 100 ($1199.65), SMA 200 ($1198.45), SMA 50 ($1201.50) strong resistance for Gold today.
Technical Trade Idea:
Most Likely Scenario: short positions below 1200.20 with targets at 1193.25 & 1189.85 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 1200.20 look for further upside with 1204.55 & 1207.10 as targets.
Overall,Driving the price action in gold last week was the U.S. Dollar. For most of the week, gold was underpinned by a weaker U.S. Dollar. On Friday, however, gold managed to give back all of its weekly gains when the dollar rebounded to the upside. Driving the U.S. Dollar’s price action was the investor response to fresh tariffs by the U.S. and China.
The trade dispute and the dollar will continue to drive the price action in gold this week. However, this week, the dollar could strengthen and gold could weaken. This is because China called off the trade talks with the United States and said it wouldn’t meet with high level negotiators until after the November mid-term elections.
Also contributing to the movement in gold will be the outcome of this week’s two-day Federal Open Market Committee meeting which culminates with the Fed’s interest rate and monetary policy decision on Wednesday, September 26.
Although the Fed is widely expected to raise its benchmark interest rate during the meeting, gold traders will be primarily focused on the direction the Fed will chart ahead. Traders essentially want to know how aggressive the Fed will be in increasing rates in the future.
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YoCryptoManic
Shortxauusd
European Session Gold keen observing "sensitive US dollar"XAUUSD Technical Overview:
Pivot: $1197.10
Day Trading Range: $1194 - $1214
Key Resistance: $1204.45 - $1207.29 - $1212.66 - $1218.89
Key Support: $1197.10 - $1194.22 - $1191.45 - $1189.56
Technical Indicator:
RSI: RSI lacks downside momentum, trading above 50 level.
Moving Average: SMA200($1198.94) & SMA100($1200.48) strong support for xauusd today.
Technical Trade Idea:
Most Likely Scenario: long positions above 1197.10 with targets at 1205.50 & 1207.56 in extension.
Alternative scenario: below 1197.10 look for further downside with 1194.50 & 1189.45 as targets.
Overall, Gold remains in a sideways consolidation between 1214 and 1182 but is making the case for a break higher according to the bullish symmetrical triangle. For bulls to get back control, whereby the market is heavily short of gold and to reconsider its positioning, (net speculative short positions, or bets an asset’s price will fall, in gold, are up 275% year to date), then they need to get and hold above the 50-D SMA at 1211 first, then 1214 which is resistance and then the 200-W SMA at 1233 will need to be challenged. A retry of the downside now should target 1146/20 monthly levels.
Fundamentally, the intensifying U.S.-China trade dispute is the driver ahead of next week's FOMC meeting. However, we have only seen modest moves in the greenback so far and markets, in fact, took the trade headlines in their stride. Even with President Donald Trump announcing $200 billion tariffs against China on Monday that provoked an expected and swift retaliation from the nation, fear has yet to really show up in the market and the US benchmarks were higher with the DJIA making another all-time record high.
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YoCryptoManic
European Session "Golden Eye" on WarXAUUSD Technical Overview:
Day Trading Range: $1188.85 - $1207.27
Pivot: $1202
Key Resistance: $1202 - $1205.35 - $1207.89 - $1212.33
Key Support: $1196.28 - $1194.69 - $1191.89 - $1189.21
Technical Indicators:
RSI: Indicator is confusing where to go, moving around 50 level, trend downward (See chart RSI).
MACD: MacD is having negative volume for xauusd.
Moving Avg: SMA55 ($1198.74) strong support & SMA200 ($1199.78) which is CMP (time of writing).
Technical Idea:
Most Likely Scenario: short positions below 1202.00 with targets at 1196.28 & 1192.20 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 1202.00 look for further upside with 1205.85 & 1208.65 as targets.
Overall Review:
Trade war fears continue to be a major issue as well, which almost certainly looks likely to pick up a bit. We think that the Gold markets will continue to be very range bound, with the $1195 level underneath the be supportive, and the $1215 level above should be resistive. Overall, this is a market that we think should continue to see volatility, but we also recognize that we are more than likely going to move with the US dollar, as we have seen for some time now. we think at this point though, it’s probably easier to short this market at higher levels than anything else, because the move has been extended so rapidly during the day on Monday.
Thanks
YoCryptoManic
European Session XAUUSD fear from $XAUUSD Technical Overview:
Pivot: $1197.20
Day Trading Range: $1200 - $1186
Key Resistance: $1196.44 - $1200.00 - $1205.89
Key Support: $1193.35 - $1189.56 - $1186.78
Technical Indicators:
Moving Avg: SMA100 ($1198.33) & SMA200($1200.12) strong resistance for the day.
MACD: MacD is having low buyer volume and try to get seller volume soon.
Most Likely Scenario: short positions below 1197.25 with targets at 1192.00 & 1187.50 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 1197.25 look for further upside with 1200.00 & 1202.00 as targets.
Fundamental:
Yellow Metal continue to be held hostage to the US dollar which can’t seem to get its direction Set. This has a lot to do with emerging markets and of course the global trade issues, and as a result the gaining US dollar continues to weigh upon the Gold markets overall. If that’s going to be the case, I think that the market will probably continue to offer selling opportunities on rallies, and that’s probably how you should play this market.
Thanks
YoCryptoManic
Yellow Metal Struggling After US Job DataXAUUSD
Pivot: 1198.00
Day Trading Range : $1186.45 - $ 1198.89
Key Resistance: $1196.45 - $1198.89 - $1204.00
Key Support: $1189.56 - $1186.45 - $1182.27
Technical Indicator:
Moving Avg: SMA1100($1196.60) & SMA200($1204.16) both are strong resistance for yellow metal for the day.
MACD: MacD having negative volume for Gold.
Most Likely Scenario: short positions below 1198.00 with targets at 1193.25 & 1190.00 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 1198.00 look for further upside with 1203.00 & 1207.00 as targets.
Fundamental:
Gold futures closed lower last week with the selling pressure attributed to safe-haven buying of the U.S. Dollar and a jump in Treasury yields fueled by stronger-than-expected U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls data. The selling could have been worse, however.
Bullish speculators seem to believe that the Fed is moving closer to neutrality, which means the dollar is not likely to strengthen very much. Additionally, safe haven buyers are also taking positions in the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc. If you trade the relationship between gold and the Dollar Index and your bullish gold, all you’re hoping for is a rally in the Euro.
Thanks
YoCryptoManic
Gold : Bearish Flag Formation, Breakout Nearing ?!As usual, our style of Trading : Downside Breakout only if bearish flag works in XAUUSD
But its bearish flag, so prefer downside Breakout
We Enter Breakout direction with proper stops
On False Break , Reverse the trade
During volatile times there will be single directional breakouts only