EURJPY CONSOLIDATION...HI GUYS EURJPY CREATE SIDEWAYS KEEP WATCH AND STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES
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Sideways
Trading Pumps in a Sideways MarketWe've been trending sideways a lot lately. We mostly have pumps and long consolidations, not a proper trend. So, here are some tips on how you can trade and survive in this market.
There are 2 basic ways of trading sideways trends. I'm using the M15 chart to illustrate.
1) Treat everything as a range. Trade breakouts from the range. Place Buy Stop orders above the new highs and Sell stop orders below the new lows and wait for the price to come to you and trigger one of your orders instead of going long/short inside the range to chase the price in either direction. Take profit immediately after the move ends.
This way:
- you don't have to pay interest for open positions inside the range (sometimes sideways trend can last for days and just maintaining the position becomes more expensive than the potential reward)
- you don't care much about direction and teases/fakeouts, you are ready to go either way when a breakout happens
- you don't have to manage opened positions and worry about breaking even if market changes direction and goes against your positions
On the chart:
Green Arrows - Stop Buy Orders
Red Arrows - Stop Sell Orders
Green dots - a Buy Stop order is triggered, a long position opened, Lime dots - Exit point to take profit
Red dots - a Sell Stop order is triggered, short position opened, Magenta dots - Exit point to take profit
When price is above EMAs and going up:
- look for long entry points, ignore shorts
- place a Buy stop above each new high/top
- place a Sell stop below 50% retracement of the entire swing or below EMA 100-200 or below key support level (such as 6000)
When price is below EMAs and going down:
- look for short entry points, ignore longs
- place a Sell stop below each new low/bottom
- place a Buy stop above 50% retracement of the entire swing or above EMA 100-200 or above key resistance level (such as 6000)
The idea behind is that in a strong trend/after pump we usually have 23.6-38.2 corrections, rarely 50%. So, going past 50% after pump usually results in fading and reversal.
EMA 200 roughly splits the bear/bull markets. When price is crossing the line far enough it usually means a reversal.
EMA 100 is a sort of median line and price tends to come back to it (just like bollinger and pitchfork median lines)
EMA 50 is a rough meandering path for the price
Don't place orders within the range because the market can always change direction, sudden moves inside the range and traps (yellow spots) can trigger your orders and then go in the opposite direction.
It's not perfect but it works.
2) Trade based on RSI overbought/oversold levels. RSI is very useful in ranges and during corrections and doesn't help much during trends, because it's an oscillator.
- note prev extreme RSI levels, is it mostly oversold or overbought?
- if RSI is mostly oversold (below 30) its curve may not reach the overbought 70 level, you need to adjust the RSI channel to 20-60, where 60 is the new overbought level.
Go Long at oversold level 30 or below, Exit/Go Short early at RSI 60 or at the overbought 70 if reached. RSI below 60 is considered a bearish market.
- if RSI is mostly overbought (above 70) its curve may not reach the oversold 30 level, you need to adjust the RSI channel to 40-80, where 40 is the new oversold level.
Go Short at overbought level 80 or above, Exit/Go Long early at RSI 40 or at the oversold 30 if reached. RSI above 40 is considered a bullish market.
- note that RSI does not include the wicks, only bodies (candle close price). Horiz movement cools off. RSI. Arrows on RSI show when to go long/short.
Nested Red/Green Rectangles on the chart illustrate the MTF RSI oversold and ovebought concepts.
When D1 and all other TFs are RSI oversold/overbought expect the strongest buy/sell reaction because of a colossal support/resistance due to price compression.
3) Don't trade, stay on the sidelines and wait for trend change confirmations
Good Luck!
This is not a financial advice. Use at your own risk!
Silver, Symmetrical Triangle AnalysisSilver has slowly created a long-term Symmetrical Triangle Pattern. There is also a Strong Support that already did his job many times, so there's no doubt that it will continue doing it even after the Triangle Breakout will arrive.
But now there's a even more important pattern doing very well ; the Rectangle is actually stronger than the Triangle and this pattern can be considered as a long-term Accumulation phase after the big downward trend finished at the beggining of 2016.
What do i think it's gonna happen now?
Well, i think that price is going to break the bearish resistance of the Triangle (the red line) and retest the resistance of the channel . In my opinion, the probability for it to break the long-term support (green area) is very low and just in the case it will, the area around 15 can be used as a new support level.
Sky is not the Limit
The informations and the strategies discussed are NOT recommendation to buy, sell or trade any securities. They are strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
BTC: Bulls Hesitant on Follow Through [MicroAnalysis]BTC Microanalysis: "Forest for the trees but the trees still make the forest."
After a good consolidation and pump, bulls are giving up the momentum a little too early by failing the 5th-wave breakout on smaller time frames, taking all 5 wave attempts just to reach the 141 extension. Normal follow through after a consolidation/pump will typically reach the 161 by the 5th wave at minimum, many times by the 3rd wave.
As long as BTC holds above 9k, the Adam & Eve scenario is still looking good, but this does point to some sideways action and raises the potential risk of downside for the time being.
BTC USD - Who will win? Bulls or bears?Morning traders! Here we are with the bitcoin! Easy setup for it , is moving sideways between 7.8k and 8.4k , a lot of people are waiting for a breakout of this rectangle to understand the next move of the BTC , meanwhile in daily timeframe the price is going to reach EMA 200 and 100 , It could act as resistance zone. Be patient!
Intraday OpportunityHello buddies,
Last prediction is reached.
Let's see today forecast.
Today my algo shows the daily target is within 6,855-6,858 level,
which is already reached by today's transactions.
Market may be in sideways mood.
The activity range could be between 6660-ish level to 6890-ish level.
There is a possibility that market could reach 6,916-ish level.
Hit:Miss ratio is 48:52, which is not promising.
However, the accuracy for being higher then the opening price is around 80%.
The market is in temporal long.
Have a nice day.
BTC -INVERSE BART SIMPSON HEAD AT PLAYOn my last chart i gave you that Pennant, that i commented meant nothing. It broke down in the beginning but bounced upwards after, manipulation is at play. So TA is incredibly hard to get accurate at the moment...
As for now, Inverse Bart head on the 2h
Will we create his neck line?
Doesn't seem likely , 6900 has been a resistance for BTC as of recently. Bulls tried several times, and volume is low.
Maybe while i sleep some new Bulls will break it. If not we shouldn't have much of a drop so not to worry. Sorry about the bland chart btw, i don't feel comfortable making a call on BTC recently because it isn't following most TA rules. If you see the top authors they are mostly wrong, a few times being right.
long term closing triangleRemoved many in-analysis parameters & indicators for provide clear vision to readers.
Here is the long term lines on both ways. Blue line comes from 25 May 2017 . it is on 7500 $ level. strong support level.
If down more, have red line comes from July 2017. it is on 7000 $ level currently. buying around support levels and sell at orange level can be useful. If it will down below red line, stop loss can save life.
this triangle will be close latest at 17 April and will have new trend.
Watch and see.
EURGBP trend analysisThis post (comment) is for educational purposes only. Past trading results
DO NOT guarantee future performance.
Hi everyone i was doing analysis for EUR/GBP currency pair, now i see somekind of consolidation of this pair, the market is in balance. If the balance is going to be broken, we can have a continuation bearish trend.
ALT SEASON OR BTC BULL RUN?They say people only see what they want to believe, that markets exist to make fools of the overly hopeful...
Well, half of the crowd is calling for an alt season, and the other half for a new BTC all time high. IMO both groups are jumping the gun as we are still in a downtrend! In order for either to occur BTC needs to enter a sideways accumulation phase first.
On the log 1D I see a clear uptrend & downtrend, based on which I can assume we will narrowly escape this downward spiral in mid-April and have ourselves an alt-season. Why not a BTC bull run? Simple - we can't start another BTC run-up until we consolidate, and historically we see that when BTC consolidates, alts flourish! BTC has yet to move sideways whereas many alts have been bottomed out for months already.
Of course, neither alt nor BTC can flourish with the low volume we're having lately - we need a newfound public optimism in the cryptosphere to proceed. Furthermore, for 2018 to be the biggest year for crypto yet, we will need institutional money to enter as well, which we all know is waiting for the green light from regulators. With most of the FUD from this past quarter exhausted, & though its contradictory to my opening sentence, I feel HOPEFUL for the remainder of 2018 :).
Just my thoughts, happy trading!
EurGbp cypher Bullish on the daily, with the "sideway trend" "Hello! Hope u all have a great weekend.
Here we are looking on the EurGbp, and the daily time frame, we got a sideway trend, it doesen't know wich way the want to move.
And behind the lines, we got a cypher pattern.
We will just wait for the D leg to complete.
D complete on : 0.87511.
Targets 1: 0.88320
Targets 2: 0.88842
Stop loss: 0.86667
1:1 trade.
RSI: close to oversold.
Possible sideways for GVT pre alpha release... then ATHGVT has shown prolonged periods of sideways movement after every correction with erratic peaks and dips between the start and end of each wave.
note: the lowest dip of that third curve (crossover between wave 4 and wave 5, aka bearish to bullish) is right on 31st March... alpha release :-)
Will BTCUSD break out of the sideways trend today?We will see another test of the red dashed upper borderline of the down channel and the support line S1 at 8486. The sideways trend remains intact until the support level S1 will be broken.
There is a target of the double top formation at 6852. The overall sentiment remains bearish as long as BTCUSD is below Pivot point.
cold weather on Bitcoin.Yesterday stormed all indicators with panic sells after loosing trust on a exchange platform. we are already below of 50 days MA. we are at edge of line.
If BTC can not move above channel in today close, it may down to 200 days MA ( orange line ) or more lower edges ( blue and red ) of triange.
if recover in daily close, still have hope to see sun.
both options are still on table. watch closely
educational purposes only. take your own risk