SIGA Technologies Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SIGA Technologies prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $0.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Siga
SIGA a Biotech breakout last summer- then breakdown ? reversalAs shown on the daily chart dating back to last summer SIGA has been on a persistent decline since the cooling down from the parabolic
breakout last summer. Is there a repeat in the picture? Fundamentally, earnings continue to be weak. much of the stock is held by insiders and
the whole monkey pox thing is settled down although the main product may have use in malaria, leper's disease or whatever other orphan use
it has indications by the FDA and its foreign counterparts.
The technical picture is that it is sitting just above support shown by the Supply Demand Zone indicator of Luxalgo having double bottomed
and now a bit above it. The volume indicator shows a mild increase in buying volume in the past couple of weeks. Price is more than one
standard deviation below the long-term anchored VWAP in the undervalued over-sold zone.
With a weak biotechnology company where insiders have a fair portion of the shares, manipulation can occur. Once a price rise issues
short sellers will buy to cover, and retail traders will jump on board, insiders will "manufacture" a catalyst to prime the pump further.
At some point, the run-up will stall, and the implode itself. I will get on the ride early, a biotechnology speculative trades are
in my playbook. The stop loss here is below the demand zone while the target is the 50% retracement of the downtrend drawn onto
the chart by the Fibonacci Retracement tool.
$SIGA perfect example of Bump and Run bearish pattern$SIGA followed my chart very precisely and hit my short target💪
I just noticed that $SIGA actually forming a Bump and Run bearish pattern and it could dip even lower to $8-8.60
If it holds above the trendline and volume increases, this pattern may be invalid...
SIGA IMPULSE DOWN INTO BIG BIG LEVELVery interesting level here for SIGA.
Not rushing into anything but if we can get this yellow level to hold as support and push higher. Could be a great long term entry.
Massive move down with no relief on the way down at all. With a massive level like this it could be a great opportunity for a swing
$CBIO potential to make a large move 🔥$CBIO looks like it has potential to make a large move soon, Also it's #4 in list of top Fintel Gamma Squeeze list📈
SIGA trading at a ridiculous premium - time to be bearishHype and sentiment regarding a monkeypox outbreak has been the only driver in SIGAs price, apart from minor PR.
Volume will slowly wither away, and investors will begin to take profits. It will not remain at this price range for much longer.
Looks to be an easy short/put. Will be opening 10$ Puts with a June 17th expiry.
Pharma firm SIGA cashes in on monkeypox scareNew York-based pharmaceutical firm SIGA Technologies (NASDAQ:SIGA) is among the companies to benefit from the growing threat of monkeypox, recently pushing its shares to an almost decade-high after the company obtained approval in Europe to use its TPOXX antiviral drug for the treatment of monkeypox.
Smallpox jabs vs monkeypox
On May 19, the World Health Organization declared that vaccines used against smallpox — before the virus was eradicated in 1980 — can be used to fight monkeypox. SIGA already won approval from the US Food and Drug Administration in 2018 to distribute its oral TPOXX capsules as a treatment against smallpox even when there were no reports of confirmed or possible cases of smallpox at the time.
US advances in vaccine orders
Most recently, SIGA on Thursday secured another approval from the FDA for the intravenous (IV) formulation of TPOXX for patients who are unable to swallow the drug’s oral variant. SIGA said the IV formulation of TPOXX has already been cited in the recent US president’s budget request to treat a patient with monkeypox in the US.
The company's shares surged 43% on Friday before paring gains to close 13% lower on the Nasdaq on Monday, and another 15.5% on Tuesday. SIGA stock remains up 26.5% over the past 5 days of trading.
SIGA also stands to benefit from TPOXX’s use in Canada and Europe, where cases of moneypox were detected in recent weeks. Europe has already approved the use of TPOXX against monkeypox, cowpox, and complications from immunization with vaccinia, the company said.
Growing monkeypox threat
Monkeypox, first discovered in 1958, is a viral illness that first occurred in colonies of monkeys. The first human case of the virus was recorded in the Democratic Republic of Congo in 1970, according to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The virus can cause symptoms like fever, body aches, swollen lymph nodes and bumpy rashes.
Cases of monkeypox have so far been reported in at least 17 countries including the US, Canada, the UK, Spain, Portugal, France, Italy and Australia.
Big pharma steps in
SIGA and another vaccine maker in Denmark, Bavarian Nordic (CPH:BAVA), have kept samples of smallpox virus for research purposes in case of biological warfare. The emergence of monkeypox this year prompted both companies to start mass producing vaccines against smallpox to offer protection against monkeypox.
CDC officials on Monday said the US is in the process of releasing Bavarian Nordic’s Jynneos vaccine doses to fight against monkeypox. The US has stockpiled more than 1,000 doses of the vaccine and CDC officials expect to boost their purchases in the coming weeks.
Bavarian Nordic’s shares on the Nasdaq Copenhagen surged to a four-month high on Monday.
The Danish company on May 18 said the US government has already placed a $119 million order for the production of freeze-dried Jynneos vaccines, although deliveries are not expected until 2023 and 2024.
Meanwhile, Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), which succeeded in developing vaccines against COVID-19, also started testing vaccines against monkeypox. The company on Tuesday said it is investigating potential vaccines against monkeypox in pre-clinical trials.
No urgent need for mass vaccinations
Although vaccines against monkeypox are already within reach just weeks into reports of an outbreak emerged, some experts and WHO officials say inoculations against monkeypox will not likely involve a mass campaign as the virus, unlike COVID-19, is not as contagious. Vaccinations would likely be focused only on people with close contact with infected individuals.
"If a case is reported in the country, a public health SWAT team goes out, finds out who the close contacts are of that first case, and vaccinates just those close contacts, and not the entire city or suburb,” Dr. David Freedman, professor emeritus of infectious diseases at the University of Alabama, was quoted by Time magazine as saying.