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No Bullish Confirmation – Targeting 3250 on XAU/USDIn yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that due to Monday’s daily Pin Bar, I closed my short trade on Gold around break-even and decided to wait for more confirmation. Unfortunately, that wasn't the best decision. The price failed to break above resistance for a bullish continuation and instead dropped sharply, closing the day exactly at the 3300 figure. At the time of writing, Gold is trading even lower at 3293, after briefly rebounding from the 3285 support zone—a level I’ve highlighted in the past. Moving forward, after the failed bullish continuation and yesterday’s bearish move, it’s clear that bears are back in control. A drop toward the 3250 zone is now on the table. Conclusion: I’m looking to sell rallies, with my invalidation zone set above 3340, aiming for a good risk-to-reward setup. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
11
Gold Reverses with a Pin Bar – Is the Drop Over?📈 What happened yesterday on Gold (XAU/USD)? Gold had a tricky session – during the early hours it dipped just below 3300, testing support. But by the New York session, bulls stepped in strongly, pushing price back up and closing near the daily highs. The result? A strong daily Pin Bar with a long tail, signaling possible bullish reversal. ________________________________________ ❓ Is the drop over, or will the market fake out again? That's the big question now. Yesterday’s close definitely leans bullish, but we need to see confirmation. ________________________________________ 📌 Why a continuation to the upside is possible: • Price rejected sub-3300 levels pretty strongly. • A daily Pin Bar formed, signaling buyer strength. • A break above yesterday’s high would confirm bullish intent. • 3390–3400 is the next key resistance zone on the radar. ________________________________________ 🧠 My trading plan: I closed my short near break-even – no need to fight the price action. Now I'm patiently waiting for a clean break above yesterday’s high to enter long trades, aiming for the 3390–3400 resistance area. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
10
XAUUSD – Correction or Reversal? 1. What happened yesterday As expected, Gold started to rise after finding support at 3250. The move up played out perfectly, reaching the resistance area highlighted in yesterday’s analysis — around 3320–3340. ________________________________________ 2. The key question today Is this just a correction in a bearish trend, or the start of reversal? ________________________________________ 3. Why I remain bearish • On the weekly chart, structure still leans bearish • On lower time frames, the bounce looks corrective — not impulsive • No breakout above 3360 yet, which would be needed to shift the bias • A move back below 3320 would likely trigger renewed selling • If that happens, 3250 could be tested again quickly We need to respect the bounce — but not overreact to it. ________________________________________ 4. Trading plan My bias remains bearish as long as price stays under 3360. However, if we get a daily close above 3360, I’ll pause and re-evaluate the short bias. The market would then be signaling a potential trend shift. ________________________________________ 5. Final thoughts 🚀 This is a key moment for gold. We’re at resistance zone but not broken above yet. Until proven otherwise, the trend remains down — and rallies into 3340 zone should be considered selling opportunities. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
14
XAGUSD – Bullish Setup for a Move Toward 40 1. What happened recently After the massive selloff in early April, Silver (XAGUSD) reversed aggressively — gaining nearly 10,000 pips and breaking into multi-decade highs near 38. That kind of move is not noise. It’s power. The month of June brought consolidation, with price slowly correcting and stabilizing. But this doesn’t look like distribution — it looks like new accumulation. 2. The key question Is Silver building a base for the next breakout, or has the rally run out of steam? 3. Why I expect another leg up - 35.00 is now acting as a solid support — tested, respected - The correction has been shallow, typical for a bull rectangle structure - Momentum remains on the buyers’ side — no major breakdown signs - If buyers step in strongly, the next target is clearly the 40.00 psychological level - This is a textbook bullish continuation setup. 4. Trading plan Swing traders should watch the 35.00–35.20 zone for buying opportunities. The risk/reward is attractive — with a potential for +5000 pips on a move toward 40, while keeping stops under the base. Buy the dips — not the breakouts. 5. Final thoughts 🚀 Silver is shining again. The trend is up, the structure supports further gains, and the chart is offering a clean setup. Until 35 fails, the bias remains bullish. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAGUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
12
Gold Rebounds from 3250 – But Bears Still in Control1. What happened last week As you know, I’ve been bearish on Gold all last week long. Even though the geopolitical situation in the Middle East escalated over the weekend, the fact that price couldn’t reclaim the 3400 resistance was a major red flag. It showed us that the bullish sentiment was fragile, and that downside pressure is just around the corner. And indeed — Gold sold off. The weekly close below the 3300 level confirmed the weakness. 2. The key question now Has Gold found a bottom at 3250, or is this just a temporary rebound before another leg down? 3. Why I expect a continuation lower - The weekly close was under 3300, breaking key support - 3250 is being tested again — a level touched multiple times since the mid-April ATH - The current rebound looks corrective, not impulsive - Resistance levels at 3320 and 3340 are likely to hold as ceilings - No major catalyst yet to justify a reversal - This looks like a classic “sell the rally” setup in a weakening trend. 4. Trading plan The idea is simple: sell the spikes. If price bounces into 3320–3340, I will look to short again, anticipating a renewed test of the 3250 support zone. If 3250 breaks — we could see acceleration toward 3200 or lower. 5. Final thoughts 🚀 No need to complicate things. Gold remains vulnerable unless it clears 3340. Until then, the trend is your friend — and that trend points down. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Geopolitical Spike Fades Fast – Gold Eyes 3300As highlighted in Friday’s analysis, the daily and short-term charts remain messy, but the weekly chart is leaning clearly bearish – with a potential Dark Cloud Cover candlestick formation now confirmed. 🌍 Geopolitical Gap Up... and Quick Rejection Monday’s Asian open brought a gap up, triggered by renewed tensions in the Middle East. But price failed to break above 3400 and quickly reversed – a textbook sign of weakness, not strength. 🧭 Technical View: - The weekly candle closed as a Dark Cloud Cover, a strong bearish reversal signal - The lack of follow-through after the gap up further confirms sellers are still in control - Price remains below the key 3400 level, showing no bullish momentum behind recent spikes 📌 Trading Plan: I continue to sell rallies, with an initial target near 3300. If bearish momentum builds, lower levels are in play. Let the chart lead – don’t get distracted by the noise. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
13
Choppy Gold Action Hides a Bigger Drop on Weekly Chart?After Monday’s correction, Gold continued lower – but the drop has been extremely choppy, making swing trading nearly impossible in this environment. 🔄 Short-term vs. Weekly Picture On the 1H chart, price action is messy and directionless. However, the weekly chart tells a clearer story – which is not bullish at this moment. ❗ Let’s not rush into the “new ATH” narrative Last week, I pointed out around the 3360 zone that we may get a rise above 3400. That move happened – but it seems more driven by Middle East tensions than by any structural strength in Gold itself. 📉 Why I’m leaning bearish on higher timeframes at this moment: • This week’s price action almost fully negates last week’s strong green candle • A close near the bottom of the range could form a Dark Cloud Cover pattern – a strong bearish signal • Unless we see a reversal above 3400, downside remains the higher probability 📌 Next Target? If the weekly close confirms this bearish setup, a drop to 3150 is not only possible – it’s becoming likely. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Fakeout or Takeoff? Gold Retakes 3350 Before NY Close1. Recap of Yesterday's Move Yesterday was a volatile day for Gold. Price initially broke above the key 3340–3350 resistance zone, only to drop back below it—but intriguingly, it closed above it on the New York session. That close is the detail that changes everything. 2. Key Question: Will Gold Stay Above 3400 and Push Toward New ATHs? Let’s split this into two scenarios: ________________________________________ 🟢 Bullish Scenario – Buy the Dip? • The short-term structure is undeniably bullish. • The reclaim of 3340–3350 is not a fakeout, but a clean signal of strength. • If momentum holds, we can expect price to push toward 3405 and then 3435. • As such, the strategy remains: buy dips, targeting those key levels. ________________________________________ 🟡 Long-Term Breakout? Not So Fast • Yes, the higher lows at 3120, 3250, and 3295 suggest that the correction from 3500 may be over. • A clean breakout and stabilization above 3400, ideally near 3430, could signal a path toward a new all-time high. • ❗ However, volatility remains wild, and if geopolitical tensions de-escalate or trade tariffs get resolved, Gold could see a sharp drop of 1500–2000 pips, as part of a broader risk-off unwind. Peace and stability could hurt safe-haven demand. ________________________________________ 📌 Trading Plan • Short-term: Buy dips while above 3340-3350 (ideally on a re-test), aiming for 3405 and 3435. • Long-term: Stay flexible. Wait for confirmation above 3430 before going for the ATH narrative. ________________________________________ 💡 Conclusion Technically, Gold is bullish in both the short and long term. But with global uncertainty in play, don't ignore the fundamentals. Trade the chart, but respect the world around it. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
15
XAUUSD Builds Higher Floors – 3350 Under Pressure1. Recap of Yesterday’s View In yesterday’s analysis, I noted that Gold appeared to have built a strong floor around 3300, and while the 3340–3350 resistance zone was still capping the upside, the structure hinted at a potential breakout. 2. What Happened Since? ✅ Price once again rallied into resistance and was rejected. But here’s the key shift: 🔹 This time, the drop only reached 3315, and it was quickly bought back. 🔹 A new higher base around 3320 is now visible. 🔹 Gold is already back into the resistance zone. 3. Technical Implication This evolving structure signals bullish pressure is building. Every dip is being bought higher than the last — a classic sign of demand stepping in. We are now closer than ever to a confirmed breakout. 4. Trading Strategy 📌 A clear break and close above 3350 = breakout confirmed 🎯 Target: 3400 and above 📉 Until then, buying dips into 3315–3320 remains my preferred strategy. 5. Final Thoughts The yellow metal is coiling tightly under resistance. The higher floors are shouting one thing: buyers are in control. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
11
Gold is vulnerable under 3340-3350 zone1. What happened last week? As expected, Gold broke below the key 3340–3350 support zone and even slipped under 3300 during the Asian session this Monday, briefly reaching new short-term lows. The bearish pressure continues to dominate. 2. Key question now: Is the drop over? 3. Why I expect the correction to end soon: - The recent decline totaled nearly 1100 pips – a strong impulse move. - Price is now undergoing a typical retracement after a steep sell-off. - The previous support zone at 3340–3350 is now acting as resistance – a textbook role reversal. - I expect this zone to attract sellers again. 4. My trading plan: I remain bearish and plan to sell rallies, especially if the price shows rejection signs in the 3340–3350 area. This correction could offer an ideal re-entry for shorts at better risk/reward levels. 5. Final thoughts 🚀 The trend is still bearish. I’m waiting for the market to confirm resistance around 3340–3350 before executing my next move.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
9
Gold Update – The Reversal Is Still in PlayYesterday’s price action confirmed what we’ve been discussing in recent updates: the upside is vulnerable, and the real move could be lower. Gold did push toward the 3400 zone, as expected — but that test was short-lived. Sellers stepped in aggressively, and price dropped back toward the 3350 support zone, closing the day with a bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart. Will we have a new leg down? That’s the big question now. While bulls are hoping for continuation, the current rebound is weak and seems to be shaping into a bear flag. Why I Expect More Downside: - Strong rejection from 3400 key level - Daily chart printed a bearish engulfing - Rebound structure looks corrective, not impulsive Trading Plan: I continue to look for selling opportunities on spikes, especially near resistance levels like 3375–3385. If the 3340-3350 zone falls, I expect down acceleration and a drop even to 3200 zone. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
10
Gold- Short-Term Bull, Medium-Term BearIn my previous analysis, I pointed out the possibility of Gold correcting back to retest the broken descending trendline. That zone is now acting as a key confluence area, and as long as the price holds above it, bulls maintain the advantage. However, beyond the technicals, I also shared my personal view: while we could see some upside in the short term (next few days), I believe that Gold is setting up for another leg down in the medium term. From a strictly technical perspective, the current price action reinforces the likelihood of a short-term bounce. We're seeing a clean retest of previous resistance turned support, which often leads to continuation moves. 📉 But if you're aiming for 1,000+ pip swings (like me), it's wiser to wait for clear bearish confirmation. The real opportunity may come after this short-term rise, at least in my opinion. In conclusion: - Short term is bullish as long as it stays above 3340-3350 in terms of daily close - In the medium term, my opinion is unchanged, drop to 3200 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
14
UsdJpy could break 142 and fall 500 pipsSince early May, I’ve been highlighting the 142 support zone on USDJPY as a potential reversal area — with a suggested upside target at 146. The market respected this level twice, reversing from 142 and rallying past 146 both times. However, last week’s move into 146 was sharply rejected, forming a strong daily Pin Bar exactly at resistance — a classic sign of exhaustion. Now, price is rolling back toward support, and after multiple tests of the 142 zone, we may be very close to a downside break. 🧩 Add to this the fact that DXY also looks ready to break lower, and the probability of a USDJPY fall increases even more. 📉 Trading Plan: Sell rallies, with invalidation above 146, and a target at 137, aiming for a 1:2 risk-reward setup. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
19
XAUUSD – After the Surge, Is the Down Correction Really Over?🟡 What Happened Yesterday Gold surged strongly yesterday due to escalating geopolitical tensions and a new chapter in the global tariff saga. From top to bottom, the range counted over 1200 pips, marking one of the most volatile sessions in recent weeks. ❓ Is the Down Correction Finished or Will It Continue? Technically, the chart looks bullish at this moment. The descending trendline has been broken, and the 3350 horizontal zone is now forming a confluence support area. However, I remain cautious. Despite the bullish signal, this yo-yo price action could continue. The idea that Gold has not yet finished correcting the broader uptrend still persists in my mind and the 3200 level remains a strong candidate for retesting in the appropriate future. 📊 Why I Expect Further Down Correction The recent spike might be reactionary, not structural 3340–3350 could provide short-term support, but it may not hold long-term The overall macro structure still leaves room for another leg down 📉 Trading Plan While the market holds 3340–3350 support, we might see a bounce toward 3400. But I prefer to stay out for now and I would buy in that zone only with low volume and clear confirmation If the 3340 zone fails, I’ll start watching for a new drop to 3280 zone and eventually 3200. 🚀 Wait for Confirmation In both cases, bullish or bearish The key right now is confirmation. Volatility is high, and the narrative shifts fast. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
8
Will Gold drop to 3200 zone next week?🟡 1. What happened last week with Gold (XAUUSD) Gold began last week by testing the 3350 resistance zone, hinting the end of the correction and the potential for an upside breakout. However, in the following days, the market reversed aggressively, reaching as low as 3250 on Thursday — a drop of nearly 1000 pips from the local top and resistance zone. After this sharp fall, Gold bounced back above 3300, retested the 3325–3330 area, but failed once again — closing the week below 3300. ❓ 2. Key question: Has the rebound ended or is it just a deeper trap? The market has shown a fake-out followed by compression under resistance. So the real question becomes: Will the 3280–3290 support finally give in, or will bulls defend it again? ________________________________________ 🔻 3. Why I expect a continuation to the downside Here’s what the chart structure tells us: • Clear lower highs and lower lows — the trend remains bearish • 3330 has turned into major confluence resistance • Every bounce is sold, showing fading bullish momentum • The support at 3280–3290 is being squeezed repeatedly If 3280 breaks cleanly, price action will likely accelerate downward. ________________________________________ 🧭 4. Trading Plan for Next Week Focus remains on selling rallies, especially if price rises above 3300. 📉 Invalidation: any clean break and hold above 3330 🎯 Target Zones: • 3250 = Soft target (first reaction zone) • 3200 = Real target (bearish continuation zone if structure unfolds as expected) Use structure, not emotion. Let the breakout confirm the plan. ________________________________________ 🚀 5. Final thoughts The price action around 3280 will likely set the tone for next week. A breakdown here confirms the bearish structure and opens the door to 3250, then 3200. Until then: sell rallies, manage risk, and wait for the chart to validate your edge. Stay sharp. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
19
GBPUSD Holds Above 1.34 – Is 1.35 the Launch Pad?In last week’s GBPUSD outlook, I pointed to the 1.34 zone as a potential buy area and likely end of the correction. The market reacted as expected, reversing from 1.34 and rallying to 1.35. Toward the end of the week, a brief correction followed — but price held above 1.34 and has now returned to 1.35, printing a higher low in the process. 📌 From both a technical and psychological standpoint, 1.35 remains a key level. A confirmed break above could lead to a retest of the recent high — or even push for a new high. ✅ My bias stays bullish as long as 1.34 support remains intact. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
DXY Under Pressure: Breakdown Incoming Below 99.00?After testing the 102 resistance zone in mid-May, the TVC:DXY resumed its downward move, dropping back into the 98.50–99.00 support zone. The brief spike above the psychological 100 was quickly rejected, and price has since rolled over — currently trading around 99.27 at the time of posting. 🔻 The downside pressure is strong, and a break below support looks imminent. If that break occurs: 🎯 Short-term target: 98 (approx. 1% drop) 📉 Medium-term potential: A deeper decline toward 95
TVC:DXYShort
by Mihai_Iacob
Gold Update – Has the Downside Ended or Just Taking a Break?📉 What happened yesterday on Gold (XAUUSD) I started the day under a good omen – 🎯 my 3250 target being hit perfectly. However, what initially looked like a standard correction turned into a stronger bounce. Gold broke back above my re-selling zone and even pushed above 3310, triggering my stop loss, and worth nothing that we are now back under 3300- I take it like a man and move forward:). ❓ Has Gold finished with the downside, or is this just a pause before another drop? 🔍 Reasons to expect more downside: - Although Gold reversed strongly from the 3250 support, the confluence resistance around 3330 capped the move, and sellers stepped in, dragging the price back under 3300. - The fact that price returned to support so quickly signals weak bullish momentum – buyers couldn’t sustain the rally. - Gold failed to stabilize above the 3330 zone, which would’ve been a key bullish sign – instead, it got rejected. - And here’s the part that doesn’t sit right – Gold came back to the 3290 zone too easily, as if the market wanted to offer a second chance to buyers who missed the initial bounce. That usually doesn’t end well. 🧭 Trading Plan I’m currently out of the market after the stop loss hit, but my bearish bias remains unchanged. Watching the 3280–3290 area closely – if we drop back below, I’ll look to re-enter short trades. 🚀 Final thought Yesterday’s move reminded me who’s boss – the market . But unless bulls break key resistance and hold above, the bearish case still has more to say. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
30