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XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook Still BearishAs I explained in yesterday’s analysis, my medium-term bias for Gold turned bearish, and I expect the 3250 support zone to be reached. My current strategy remains to sell rallies. As shown in the chart, after reaching the 3285 support level — the same area where Gold reversed last week — price has once again reversed. This recent reversal can be seen as a new shorting opportunity, anticipating a drop toward 3250. 📌 As detailed in this morning's " Minds " post: • Sell zone: 3320–3330 • Invalidation: Above 3350 • Target: ~700+ pips potential depending on entry • Risk-to-Reward: Strong 1:3 setup possible Unless price breaks above 3350, selling rallies remains the plan. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
15
USDJPY Returns to Key Support – Another Bounce Ahead?At the end of April and beginning of May, I pointed out the importance of the 142 support zone and argued that USDJPY could reverse to the upside, targeting the 146 resistance. The pair did exactly that — not only hitting the 146 target, but also spiking as high as 148, reaching the next major resistance. 🔁 Now We're Back towards 142 Since mid-May, USDJPY has pulled back again and is now retesting the 142 area — the same zone that previously triggered a strong bounce. 📌 Outlook and Trading Plan I still consider the 142 level a solid support, and this recent drop could offer a new buying opportunity. Any dips under 142 that quickly reverse can be used to build long positions, with a target once more around 146. That offers a clear trade setup with a good risk-to-reward ratio. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
24
GBP/USD – Correction in Progress - Where to buy?A few days ago, I pointed out that GBP/USD broke above key resistance from above 1.34, and even cleared the psychological barrier at 1.35. That breakout opened the door for a potential move toward 1.4000, and I suggested that traders should look for buying opportunities on pullbacks. Well — we’re in that pullback now. So, where do we buy? 📍 The most obvious area is the old resistance around 1.3430. But here’s the catch: GBP/USD is notorious for fakeouts and spikes. If price tests that level, it could easily dip under 1.34, take out stops, and only then reverse to the upside. 🛡️ Bottom line: If you’re buying the dip, set your stop-loss wisely Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
Gold Update – Has the Downside Ended or Just Taking a Break?📉 What happened yesterday on Gold (XAUUSD) I started the day under a good omen – 🎯 my 3250 target being hit perfectly. However, what initially looked like a standard correction turned into a stronger bounce. Gold broke back above my re-selling zone and even pushed above 3310, triggering my stop loss, and worth nothing that we are now back under 3300- I take it like a man and move forward:). ❓ Has Gold finished with the downside, or is this just a pause before another drop? 🔍 Reasons to expect more downside: - Although Gold reversed strongly from the 3250 support, the confluence resistance around 3330 capped the move, and sellers stepped in, dragging the price back under 3300. - The fact that price returned to support so quickly signals weak bullish momentum – buyers couldn’t sustain the rally. - Gold failed to stabilize above the 3330 zone, which would’ve been a key bullish sign – instead, it got rejected. - And here’s the part that doesn’t sit right – Gold came back to the 3290 zone too easily, as if the market wanted to offer a second chance to buyers who missed the initial bounce. That usually doesn’t end well. 🧭 Trading Plan I’m currently out of the market after the stop loss hit, but my bearish bias remains unchanged. Watching the 3280–3290 area closely – if we drop back below, I’ll look to re-enter short trades. 🚀 Final thought Yesterday’s move reminded me who’s boss – the market . But unless bulls break key resistance and hold above, the bearish case still has more to say. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
2
Switched to Bearish Bias After Failed Breakout 🟡 What happened yesterday? In my previous analysis, I mentioned that the drop from 3360 could be just a correction — and my strategy was to buy the dips. That’s exactly what I did, buying from the zone I highlighted in yesterday's analysis. ❗ This morning I updated the situation on “minds” I said we now have a clearer picture: A break above 3350 would confirm bullish continuation toward the 3400 zone But a break below yesterday’s low would shift the outlook to bearish and open the door for 3250 📉 What followed? I closed my long with a small 80 pip profit. More important than the gain itself is this: The picture is now clear — bears have taken control. - The ascending trendline is broken. - The recent touch of 3360 looks like a lower high in the bigger structure. 🧭 My strategy has now changed: ➡️ I'm shifting to selling the rallies ➡️ My target for this bearish leg: 3250 Let’s see if price confirms the scenario in the next sessions — but for now, the signal is clear. Bearish bias in play. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
11
Gold Pulls Back from 3360 – Is This Just a Correction?Last week, Gold closed right into the 3360 resistance zone — a level I’ve highlighted in multiple past analyses. This week, price has started to pull back. So far, the move looks like a normal correction, not a reversal. ________________________________________ 📊 Trend Intact – But Watch 3320 Closely As shown in the chart, the uptrend from the 3120 zone remains intact, and Gold is still trading above the psychological 3300 level. That means the bullish structure holds, and the strategy remains: 🟩 Buy the dips. ________________________________________ ⚠️ BUT — Key Support Must Hold The 3300–3320 area is crucial. Why? • A break below would mean a trendline break • It could mark a lower high (compared to 3430 and the ATH at 3500) • It would shift momentum in favor of the bears ________________________________________ 📉 Trading Plan: As long as 3360 is not clearly broken, I’ll keep buying dips, but with reduced position size and tight risk controls. The market still needs to prove the bulls are in full control. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Copper Nears Breakout–Fundamentals and Technicals Both Say “Buy"Copper, often called “the metal with a PhD in economics”, is sending a clear message: we’re entering a new bullish era. As of mid-May 2025, Copper is trading above $4.85 per pound, approaching the psychological $5.00 level — a key threshold that could trigger further upside momentum. ________________________________________ 🔎 Fundamentals: A Perfect Storm of Demand and Supply Pressure Copper is no longer just about cyclical demand — it's about structural shifts: • 🟩 Demand is exploding thanks to: - Accelerated electrification (EVs use up to 4x more copper than traditional cars) - Renewable energy infrastructure (cables, turbines, transformers) - China’s infrastructure push and global energy transition • 🟥 Supply remains constrained: - Inventories at multi-year lows (LME + SHFE down over 40% YoY) - Underinvestment in mining: new copper projects take 8–10 years to develop - Smelting disruptions in Peru and DRC - China controls ~70% of global refining capacity — a geopolitical risk amid trade tensions 📊 Big Banks Are Bullish: • Goldman Sachs sees $10,700/ton within 12 months • Morgan Stanley targets $9,500/ton by end of 2025 • J.P. Morgan: "Copper is at the heart of a multi-year base metals upcycle" ________________________________________ 📉 Technical Outlook: Higher Lows, Strong Rebounds, and a Breakout in Sight From a charting perspective, Copper’s structure confirms what the fundamentals are screaming: • After topping around $5.00 in March 2022, the price dropped sharply to just above $3.00 by mid-summer • That area marked a strong support zone, coinciding with old resistance from 2017–2018 • A higher low at $3.50 was made in October 2023, setting the tone for a new bullish phase • Since then, Copper has respected a clear ascending trendline 🚨 The drop in late March / early April (coinciding with the start of the Tariff Saga) brought high volatility, sending price briefly from above $5.00 to around $4.00 support. But bulls stepped in fast. Now, price is back near $5.00, threatening a major breakout. ________________________________________ 🎯 What’s Next? If Copper breaks above the $5.00 resistance zone, we could see acceleration toward the $7.00 level — a feasible medium-term target, supported by both supply/demand dynamics and price structure. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Plan: With fundamentals and technicals aligned, the strategy is straightforward: Buy dips, especially toward $4.60–$4.70, and look for confirmation of breakout above $5.00 for medium-term positioning. ________________________________________ 📌 Big moves need big reasons — and Copper has plenty. This may be just the beginning of a multi-year opportunity. 🚀
CAPITALCOM:COPPERLong
by Mihai_Iacob
2
GBPUSD Breaks Out – Is 1.40 Next?In my previous analysis, I highlighted that GBPUSD was trading in a strong resistance zone and warned of a potential correction toward the sub-1.31 support area. While we did see a brief correction, bears lacked follow-through, and the pair reversed from 1.3136, never quite reaching the expected support zone. 🚀 Break Confirmed – Bulls in Control After bouncing from just above the support zone at 1.3136, GBPUSD began to consolidate and build pressure right under the key resistance area. That build-up acted as a launchpad, and now we have a clean breakout, with price trading well above 1.35, currently around 1.3577. This is a genuine breakout, following a textbook sequence: rejection above support, tight consolidation, and then a decisive push higher — all favoring continuation to the upside. 🎯 W hat’s Next? The next obvious target is the psychological level at 1.40, which aligns with previous key levels and the overall momentum. 📊 Trading Plan: The strategy remains simple: buying dips is preferred. The 1.3450 area is an ideal zone to look for long opportunities, especially if the breakout is retested and confirmed as support. 📌 Don’t chase — let the market pull back, then follow the strength. Momentum is clearly with the bulls. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
Silver Consolidates After Huge Drop – Breakout Ahead?At the beginning of April, XAGUSD experienced a dramatic decline, losing over 5,000 pips in just three trading days — a drop of more than 15% of its value. However, after bottoming out on Monday, April 7, the price staged a sharp rebound and, within a week, was back around the 33.00 level. 📉➡️📈 From Panic to Pause – What’s Next? For more than a month now, Silver has been trading in a tight range, between just under 32.00 and slightly above 33.00. This consolidation forms a rectangle pattern, which is typically a continuation structure in technical analysis. With this in mind, I expect further upside from Silver. A clean breakout above the current range could send the price toward the 35.00 zone — and possibly beyond this psychological level. 📊 Trading Plan: As long as the 32.00 support holds, I remain bullish and will look to buy dips, aiming for a positive risk-reward setup, ideally around 1:2. 🧠 Consolidation breeds momentum — don’t sleep on Silver. If the genuine breakout comes, it could be explosive. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
3
Critical Resistance Ahead–Will Gold Confirm the Bullish Reversal🔶 What happened last week on Gold (XAUUSD)? Last week was an excellent one for Gold bulls – the price surged by nearly 1500 pips, fully recovering the drop from the 12–16 May week. Looking at the chart, the decline from the last ATH at 3500 appears clearly corrective, forming a classic ABC 3-wave pattern which now seems complete. Gold is currently testing a major confluence resistance zone, aligned with: • The 17 April ATH • The end-of-April resistance • And the early May support Also worth noting: this week’s breakout above resistance followed the formation of an ascending triangle, which is typically bullish. ________________________________________ ❓ Key question – Will the bullish move continue, or will price reject from here? ________________________________________ 🔍 Why a bullish continuation is probable: 1. The ABC corrective structure seems to have ended. 2. Price broke out after an ascending triangle – a bullish signal. 3. The broader structure still leans bullish after the ATH at 3500. ________________________________________ ⚠️ But this resistance zone is critical: • Without a clear breakout above 3360 zone, bulls don’t have full control. • A drop below 3300 would shift momentum back to the bears, with 3360 becoming a potential lower high. ________________________________________ 🧭 My Trading Plan: ✅ I favor a bullish scenario, aiming for: • 3430 • 3500 (ATH retest) ❌ This outlook gets invalidated if price falls below 3300 – in that case, I’ll reassess for more downside. ________________________________________ 🚀 The market must confirm the direction. We’re just here to read the map. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
13
Gold Bounces Back – Is the Road to a New ATH Open Again?📈 Gold Back Above 3300 – Is the Correction Over? In yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that Gold could start a correction from the strong confluence resistance zone and drop toward the 3260 area. While price briefly dipped below 3300, it quickly reversed above that level, showing that bulls remain in control. At the time of writing, Gold is trading at 3306, and the ascending trendline from 3120 is still intact. 📌 Key Zone Holding – Bullish Structure Intact The 3270–3280 area is now acting as a strong support, and yesterday’s price action could signal that the correction is already complete. If Gold breaks above the 3350–3360 resistance, it would not only confirm a short-term continuation, but could also mean that the entire one-month correction from 3500 is over — opening the door for a new all-time high in the medium term. 📊 Trading Plan: As long as 3260 holds, the bias remains bullish both in the short and medium term. Buying dips below 3300 could be a viable strategy while targeting a break above resistance. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
16
Big Picture Shift: EURUSD Bulls Eye 1.23–1.25 Zone📊 EURUSD – Has the Long-Term Trend Finally Reversed? Since the 2008 all-time high at 1.60, EURUSD has been in a persistent downtrend, dropping all the way below parity in September 2022. Following the recovery back above parity, the pair has been range-bound in a 700-pip channel for nearly two years. And while early 2025 brought a sharp decline toward the 1.02 zone, this move was quickly reversed, forming what now looks like a higher low relative to the sub-parity bottom. ❓ The big question: Is the long-term trend now bullish? There are several signs supporting this idea: ✅ From 2008 to 2014, the pair formed a massive descending triangle, which eventually broke to the downside. ✅ The area around 1.05 held as a long-term support, and price began trading in a broader range with 1.22–1.23 resistance. ✅ The break below parity could now be interpreted as a false breakdown, with the strong reversal from 1.02 this year confirming the historical support zones from 2015 and 2017. ✅ Most importantly, the recent push to 1.1550 could be the first higher high on the long-term chart — a potential signal that the downtrend of nearly two decades is ending. 🎯 Conclusion and Long-Term Target In my view, the long-term trend has shifted. The structure now favors bullish continuation, and my primary target on the long term is the 1.23–1.25 zone. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
6
Gold Hits 3360 Resistance After Breakout – Reversal Ahead?📈 Gold Breaks Out – Now Approaching Key Resistance Two days ago, I highlighted the ascending triangle forming on Gold and warned that a breakout could lead to strong acceleration in the direction of the move. As expected, price broke to the upside and rallied 1,000 pips, confirming the bullish breakout. 🧱 B ut now, Gold faces a major test... Price is now approaching a critical confluence resistance zone around 3360, where I expect a possible reversal. Given the recent pattern of strong two-way volatility, a pullback from here could send Gold back down to retest the broken 3250 zone — now acting as support. 📊 Trading Plan: I’m watching closely for signs of weakness near 3360 to open short trades. This level is key for both bulls and bears, and price action here could define the next move. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
14
Gold Stuck Between 3250 and 3200 – Watch the Breakout!After another week filled with violent price swings, Gold started this week on a much calmer note. Yesterday, after filling the Asia open gap, price pushed up to test the 3250 resistance, only to reverse and fall back toward the 3210 support zone. 🔺 A triangle is forming… but which way will it break? Since last Thursday, price action has been forming an ascending triangle — a pattern that typically favors upside breakouts. But for this to play out, we need a clean break above 3250. If that happens, we could see a fresh 1,000 pips move up in the short term. 📉 What if 3200 fails again? A break back below 3200 would cancel the bullish structure and likely send price toward the 3160 support, or even further down to the 3100 zone. 📊 Trading Plan: For now, I remain on the sidelines, waiting for a clear breakout in either direction. No need to rush — the breakout should bring strong momentum either way. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
3
Gold Update – Bearish Structure Intact, 3165 in SightIn my Monday analysis, I mentioned the possibility of Gold retesting the 3200 zone, and that scenario played out as expected. After breaking back below the 3270 support, price accelerated to the downside, reaching a low around 3208. A rebound followed, with XAUUSD retesting the 3270 zone, which now acts as resistance after the breakdown. Looking ahead, I expect a break below the 3200 level, with the next bearish target set around the 3165 support zone. The plan remains unchanged: As long as Gold stays below 3270, I’m looking to sell rallies into that resistance area. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
6
DXY Update – Bullish Correction in PlayAt the beginning of the month, I mentioned that the USD Index (DXY) could start a corrective move to the upside, with the 100 level being the critical line in the sand. Indeed, the index managed to break and hold above this psychological and technical level, currently trading around 100.70, well above the former resistance now turned support. My bullish outlook remains intact, and I expect the upside continuation to target the 102 zone in the coming sessions. Conclusion: For pairs like EURUSD and GBPUSD, rallies should be sold as long as this bullish momentum holds. 🚀
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Gold Bears Aim for 3200 – Selling Rallies Remains the PlayIn my Friday analysis, I highlighted the potential for Gold to retest the 3270 support zone, and indeed, the Asian session and the opening of the new trading week confirmed this move, pushing Gold down to a low of 3255. The overall chart structure remains strongly bearish following the false breakout above the 3370 resistance and the spike above 3400. This suggests that sellers are firmly in control, with a high probability of further downside. I expect a break below 3270 support in the coming sessions, targeting the 3200 zone as the next major level for bears. For now, the strategy remains clear: Sell rallies as long as 3350 resistance remains intact. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
12
Gold Bears Back in Control – Targeting 3270 AgainIn my analysis yesterday, I noted that after the false break above 3370 resistance, there was a high likelihood of a reversal, potentially driving Gold back down to the 3270 support zone. Market Reaction: • As expected, Gold turned lower after retesting the broken 3370 support, now acting as resistance. • The price dropped nearly 1000 pips, which has become the new norm for daily Gold fluctuations lately. W hat’s Next? • With the current rebound, the 3370 zone should once again act as a barrier. • The strategy remains to sell rallies, targeting a fresh test of the 3270 support zone. Until this support is broken, expect very volatile moves, but the broader trend remains bearish Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Gold – False Break Signals More DownsideIn my commentary yesterday, I highlighted the importance of the 3360 support zone. While Gold initially found a bid around this level, the sharp reversal from the 3415 Asian session high suggests a failed breakout. Key Observations: • The quick rejection above 3360 now looks like a false break, reinforcing the bearish outlook. • The recent high around 3415 appears to be a lower high following the 3500 ATH, confirming potential trend weakness. • Given this structure, a drop back to at least the 3270 support zone seems highly probable. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
3
EURUSD – Quiet but Building for a Break?Unlike the wild volatility in Gold, EURUSD has been relatively calm over the past two weeks. After a sharp spike above 1.1500, reaching a high near 1.1570, the pair corrected and settled into a tight consolidation, fluctuating within just 1%. Current Setup: • Price recently reversed from the 1.1280 support and is now pushing towards the 1.1420 resistance. • Bulls can watch for a breakout above this resistance, which could open the door for a retest of the 1.1570 high. • As long as 1.1280 holds, the strategy is to buy the dips. For now, the range is tight, but a breakout could offer some opportunities. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
1
Gold – Bulls in Control, but Watch Key Support Gold remains extremely volatile. After finding support around 3200 at the beginning of the month, the price surged nearly 2500 pips within just three trading days, reaching above 3400. Currently, the price has pulled back and has tested the 3360 zone over night– a former resistance turned support. Two Scenarios to Watch: - Bullish Case: If 3360 holds, bulls could push for a retest of the 3500 zone. - Bearish Case: A clear break below 3360 would confirm a lower high, potentially opening the door for a deeper correction back to 3270. For now, I’m on the sidelines, waiting for more clarity around this critical support. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
1