Nas100- Lower top in place?In early August, the NAS100 broke below the support line of a channel that had kept the tech-heavy index elevated for nearly a year.
However, after reaching the horizontal support zone around the 17,000 level, the price quickly rebounded and returned to the key 20,000 area. Despite this recovery, the bulls couldn’t maintain momentum, and two days ago, the index once again dropped below the trendline.
These movements suggest signs of weakness, and a further correction may be on the horizon.
I’m looking to sell into rallies around the 19,200-19,300 zone, with a target at the recent low above 17,000.
Signalprovider
TRXUSDT CorrectionTRXUSDT is currently pulling back after forming a double top at a resistance zone. The price is now testing a previous support level, and there is a chance it could dip below this support, given the liquidity below this level and near the February highs. The market has already seen a pullback of around 12%, with the potential to extend to a 15% pullback. This price action might develop into a trend continuation pattern, possibly forming a triangle as it consolidates. If the market finds sufficient buying pressure at these lower levels, it could set the stage for a future upward move. The target is the resistance zone around 0.1618
Bulls Held Their Ground, But Will the Ground Hold Them?In the past two days, I've emphasized the importance of the 2480 support zone, suggesting that the price was likely to test this level before potentially reversing.
This prediction played out as expected, with XAU/USD indeed dropping to that specific zone.
However, my bullish outlook has shifted, and here’s why:
Failure to Break 2500:
Most importantly, yesterday the price attempted twice to stay above the 2500 level but failed both times. The second attempt was met with aggressive selling, and that time support zone was hit.
Signs of Distribution:
Over the past three weeks, price action has been sluggish, resembling a distribution phase rather than accumulation. The lack of momentum in making a new all-time high is concerning.
On the daily chart, while there is a Pin Bar that typically signals a reversal, it's of poor quality—featuring a red body and a large upper shadow ("nose").
In conclusion, I am now looking to sell above 2500, but I plan to keep a tight stop.
Best of Luck!
Mihai Iacob
FLUXUSDT(FLUX) Updated till 03-09-24FLUXUSDT(FLUX) Daily timeframe range. while many alts created new lows compare to that its holding off well for now. for some time its been trying to get a close over 0.6643 but lack of volume not helping here. if PA stay consistent surely it gonna have its breakout.
DXY- Where to?After forming a double top above the 106 level, with the second top occurring at the beginning of July, the DXY (US Dollar Index) began to decline.
After breaking the 104 neckline of this pattern, the index tumbled to the key support level at 100.50, which coincides with the price level from the start of the year.
As expected, the price started to recover, and at the time of writing, it is trading at 101.66. Although there has been a rebound from support, it's too early to consider the trend reversed. For a confirmed reversal, the price needs to break back above the 102.50 zone.
If this happens, the price could continue upward, with a longer-term target around the 106 level and an interim resistance at 104.
Conversely, if the index fails to break above 102.50 and drops back to 100.50, there is a high probability of a further decline, with 98 as the next target.
VICUSDT(Viction) Updated till 02-09-24VICUSDT(Viction) Daily timeframe range. PA still in price discovery level. so a valid retrace or reject can be profitable. its trying to claim over 0.4130. thats a good thing cause not much hold up till 0.5563,depends on bag holders. recent support and low at 0.2779.
EURUSD Buy from the confluence zoneEURUSD closed bullish on the monthly timeframe but faced resistance and pulled back from that zone. The price is now retracing toward the psychological level at 1.1000, which acts as a key support area. On the daily chart, the market remains in a bullish trend, suggesting that this pullback could offer a chance for a rebound. The market may bounce off a confluence zone created by the lower channel boundary, a trendline, and the psychological level at 1.1000. This combination of support factors could provide a strong base for the market to continue its upward momentum. The target is the resistance zone at 1.11350
EURUSD - correction from the Resistance zoneEURUSD is currently approaching a weekly resistance level that was last tested in December 2023. Since this resistance level previously triggered a bearish reversal, we could see a potential short-term pullback or choppy price action in this area. The price might attempt a false breakout above both the channel border and the resistance level, which could lead to a short-term correction in the market. The target is the support level around 1.10500
MRVL Marvell Technology Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MRVL Marvell Technology prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 70usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $9.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 240usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $24.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Gold- ready for up break and new ATH?Gold has experienced a very quiet week, with prices fluctuating between approximately 2500 and 2520.
While we haven't seen a decisive move in either direction, I believe the odds favor an upward breakout, potentially leading to new all-time highs.
I will maintain my bullish outlook as long as Gold remains above 2500.
AVAXUSDT gives Bullish indicationsAVAXUSDT has finally broken out of the consolidation zone that has been developing since early August. On the weekly timeframe, the market formed an inside bar pattern, and the price has now surged above it, signalling a bullish outlook. Like many altcoins, AVAXUSDT has tested historical lows, revisiting levels from November 2023, where a significant price surge previously occurred. On the 4H timeframe, the price action has also broken through a triangle pattern, marking the end of an accumulation phase around 20.00 and indicating a potential bullish move. The market may retest the channel border and upward trendline. The target is the resistance zone around 27.50
GOLD Analysis | Mines & World Events | OfficialKieranTrewick | Gold In Depth Weekly Analysis
Gold Mine Productions :
XAUUSD Surged last week reaching 2 new all time highs of $2,500 and $2,530 amidst ongoing tensions in the middle east, BTC reaching over 90% mined whilst Gold mine productions are struggling to reach the last few years production ratio as they declare it is getting harder to find the precious metal, although the first quarter of 2024 we saw production increase by 4% essentially we have not seen any growth since 2016/2018 with the annual production rate staying around 3,000 tons.
New deposits are becoming increasingly harder to find although we have seen some over the recent years such as the current most productive mine based in Uzbekistan and China still leading the race with Australia following closely behind but one thing they have in common is reports of increasingly difficult new metal deposits found.
Aside from the discovery process, government permits getting harder to secure and requiring more time to come through have made mining more difficult. Securing licenses and permits needed before mining companies can start operations can take several years.
USD News Correlations :
Moving onto recent USD events where we saw that the asian markets have remained cautious this Friday as investors closely watch for US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole, seeking new insights into the future direction of interest rates. Traders are anticipating significant rate cuts from the Fed due to indications of a weakening labor market.
This risk-averse sentiment has driven increased demand for safe-haven assets like US government bonds, leading to lower Treasury yields and a decline in the US Dollar. The Dollar's weakness is also compounded by a fresh round of selling against the Japanese Yen, following hawkish comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, who spoke to the parliament on Friday.
Governor Ueda reiterated his readiness to hike interest rates if inflation appears set to consistently reach the 2.0% target, though he expressed caution about potential instability in financial markets.
Gold, despite a recent recovery, seems poised for its second consecutive weekly decline, with a Fed rate cut in September widely expected. However, Powell's upcoming remarks will be key in determining the extent of future easing measures.
On Thursday, gold prices fell by about 1% as the US Dollar bounced back strongly from over a one-year low against other major currencies, amid deteriorating risk sentiment spurred by disappointing US S&P Global business PMI and Jobless Claims data. Additionally, traders have been adjusting their positions ahead of Powell's anticipated speech at Jackson Hole on Friday.
Gold prices rebounded on Friday after two days of losses, rising as the dollar and Treasury yields fell sharply. This came after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed expectations for upcoming interest rate cuts.
At the Jackson Hole conference, Powell stated that the Fed is prepared to lower interest rates from their current peak as the labor market shows signs of slowing. He emphasized that future rate cuts would depend on economic data and risks.
Following Powell's remarks, the dollar index dropped 0.83 points to 100.67, and Treasury yields also declined, with the two-year note at 3.926% and the ten-year note at 3.817%.
JPY News Correlation :
According to Market Analyst Konstantin Oldenburger from CMC Markets, the relationship between the Japanese Yen and gold prices has strengthened once again, and a stronger Yen could be a positive sign for gold.
Oldenburger noted that the Bank of Japan might have stepped in to stabilize the weakened Yen last Thursday. He suggested that such interventions could become more feasible if the Federal Reserve shifts its monetary policy stance.
He further explained that U.S. stocks generally perform well when interest rates are high because liquidity flows back into the USD. However, when rates decrease, this liquidity tends to exit the dollar and seek alternative investments globally. "The Yen could gain from this reallocation," he remarked.
After the U.S. released its June CPI data last Thursday, the USD/JPY pair dropped over 2%, sparking speculation that Japan’s Ministry of Finance had intervened.
It is noted that hedge funds currently have limited long positions in the Yen and mainly hold short positions, which could need to be covered if a short squeeze occurs. If the Yen continues to strengthen, hedge funds may be under more pressure to reduce these short positions. Historically, a stronger Yen has been positively correlated with gold prices, suggesting that gold could also see gains.
Gold prices continued to climb on Tuesday due to increased safe-haven demand from China. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) issued new import quotas for gold to banks, sparking speculation about a surge in demand, according to broker SP Angel. The demand for gold as a safe haven in China rose after Chinese 10-year government bond yields hit record lows last week, leading Chinese investors to look for alternative safe-haven assets, with gold being a prime choice and as we know the chinese yuan is heavily correlated with the japanese yen.
Conclusion
With gold currently priced at $2,511.36, the outlook remains bullish in the short to medium term, especially if current economic uncertainties persist or worsen. Monitoring central bank policies, inflation data, and geopolitical events will be crucial for assessing how high gold prices could go from here. The potential for reaching $2,600 or even higher is present, particularly if market conditions align favorably for gold.
What are your thoughts on Gold and its future outlook, let me know in the comments below!
ULTA Beauty Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the Double Top on ULTA:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ULTA Beauty prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 380usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-8-30,
for a premium of approximately $14.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
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Gold Trading Strategy: Resistance at 2520 Reinforces Bearish OutIn my analysis yesterday, I mentioned that Gold could start correcting, and that rallies should be sold. This prediction played out as expected: after attempting to rise above the 2520 mark, the price began to decline, reaching an intraday low just below the critical 2500 level.
Although the bulls tried to regain control, they faltered again around the 2520 level, indicating a strong resistance at this point.
This suggests that a solid ceiling has formed at 2520, and further declines in Gold's price are likely.
As of now, the price is hovering just above 2500, and my strategy remains unchanged: sell during rallies.
The first target for the bears could be the support zone around 2485.
However, in my opinion, if the price decisively breaks below 2500, a more appropriate target would be 2460. This bearish outlook would be negated by a daily close above 2520.
Bitcoin- back to channels resistance?Since March, Bitcoin has been trading within a clear downward channel, making lower highs and lower lows. While this suggests a downtrend, it should be viewed as a correction within the broader uptrend that began in early 2023.
From a long-term perspective, Bitcoin needs to clear the 68k level to aim for new all-time highs. In the short term, the sharp reversal from just below 50k has been significant, and it’s possible that a higher low has formed around 56k.
However, for the next upward move to gain traction, bulls must break through the local resistance at 61.5k.
If this resistance is cleared, the price could once again test the falling trend line, which currently lies around 68k.
XAUUSD Retracement and Trend ContinuationXAUUSD is currently undergoing a pullback following a strong bullish move. The support area between 2485 and 2500 offers an opportunity to consider a long trade, especially if the price shows bullish signs, such as a false breakout. From this support zone, the price could retest the resistance area, as the price action seems to be forming a complex pullback. However, it's crucial to remain cautious, as there is still a chance the price could dip lower, particularly since the daily timeframe shows a bullish candle with a long wick. The target is the resistance zone at 2529
Gold- Correction or continuation?Yesterday, gold corrected Friday's strong upward move and dropped precisely into my buy zone. A recovery followed, with the uptrend resuming; however, the price was unable to surpass the recent all-time high (ATH) and began to decline again.
While there is a possibility that a double-top pattern could be forming, this has not been confirmed, and the overall trend remains strongly bullish.
In my opinion, bulls have little to worry about as long as the price stays above the 2480-2485 zone.
Buying on dips should continue to be the strategy.