EurUsd- Buy dips for 1.12 retestIn my last EUR/USD commentary, I mentioned that the pair could reach 1.11.
That target was not only met but exceeded, with a top at 1.12.
The pair is currently in a normal corrective phase, and once this correction ends, EUR/USD could resume its upward movement.
My strategy is to buy on dips near the 1.10 level, with the potential for a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio depending on the stop-loss placement.
Shorter-term traders could also consider the 1.11 level as a point to take profits.
Signalprovider
Gold possible up correctionXAUUSD continues its downward movement, closing below the 2500 level and confirming a break out of the consolidation zone. With this momentum, the market is likely to head to lower levels. Although the major trend remains bullish, this correction might find support around the 2450 level. If the market retests this area and shows rejection signs, like a bullish long-tailed bar, it could offer a good buying opportunity. A strong rebound from the 2450 support could pave the way for a continuation of the bullish trend toward the all-time highs. The target is the resistance zone at 2505
Gold- Stuck in a newly established range. Will support give awayYesterday, Gold once again touched the critical support zone between 2470-2475, and, as before, bulls managed to defend it, causing a price rebound.
While at first glance this support appears solid, I believe it will eventually give way, with the price likely dropping to at least 2450.
Of course, I could be wrong, which is why I’ve set my invalidation level in the 2515-2520 zone.
My swing trade strategy remains unchanged: sell into rallies.
AUDUSD potential Breakout and RetestAUDCAD has broken and closed below its consolidation zone and is currently testing the resistance level around 0.91200. It seems to be pulling back for a retest at this level. The market is showing lower lows and lower closes, signalling bearish dominance. A break-and-retest scenario is expected, where the price might pull back to test the resistance before potentially continuing downward. This is a key level to monitor, as holding here could confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. The target is the support level at 0.90775
Gold - What to expect in September?XAUUSD spent the week in a consolidation zone, trading back and forth without notable progress. The price tested resistance several times, but we didn't see higher highs or closes. On the weekly chart, two doji candles in a row suggest a breakout—above or below last week's range—could be near.
Based on price action alone, the market appears overextended, excluding fundamentals. Since March, only bullish months have been observed, with June neutral. A strong divergence on the weekly timeframe signals a possible pullback.
Reviewing September trends from the last five years shows a bearish tendency, even amid a broader bullish trend. This pattern hints at a deeper pullback toward the 50% retracement of the previous month’s range. Still, caution is needed after two neutral weekly candlesticks to avoid chasing the market.
Nas100- Lower top in place?In early August, the NAS100 broke below the support line of a channel that had kept the tech-heavy index elevated for nearly a year.
However, after reaching the horizontal support zone around the 17,000 level, the price quickly rebounded and returned to the key 20,000 area. Despite this recovery, the bulls couldn’t maintain momentum, and two days ago, the index once again dropped below the trendline.
These movements suggest signs of weakness, and a further correction may be on the horizon.
I’m looking to sell into rallies around the 19,200-19,300 zone, with a target at the recent low above 17,000.
TRXUSDT CorrectionTRXUSDT is currently pulling back after forming a double top at a resistance zone. The price is now testing a previous support level, and there is a chance it could dip below this support, given the liquidity below this level and near the February highs. The market has already seen a pullback of around 12%, with the potential to extend to a 15% pullback. This price action might develop into a trend continuation pattern, possibly forming a triangle as it consolidates. If the market finds sufficient buying pressure at these lower levels, it could set the stage for a future upward move. The target is the resistance zone around 0.1618
Bulls Held Their Ground, But Will the Ground Hold Them?In the past two days, I've emphasized the importance of the 2480 support zone, suggesting that the price was likely to test this level before potentially reversing.
This prediction played out as expected, with XAU/USD indeed dropping to that specific zone.
However, my bullish outlook has shifted, and here’s why:
Failure to Break 2500:
Most importantly, yesterday the price attempted twice to stay above the 2500 level but failed both times. The second attempt was met with aggressive selling, and that time support zone was hit.
Signs of Distribution:
Over the past three weeks, price action has been sluggish, resembling a distribution phase rather than accumulation. The lack of momentum in making a new all-time high is concerning.
On the daily chart, while there is a Pin Bar that typically signals a reversal, it's of poor quality—featuring a red body and a large upper shadow ("nose").
In conclusion, I am now looking to sell above 2500, but I plan to keep a tight stop.
Best of Luck!
Mihai Iacob
FLUXUSDT(FLUX) Updated till 03-09-24FLUXUSDT(FLUX) Daily timeframe range. while many alts created new lows compare to that its holding off well for now. for some time its been trying to get a close over 0.6643 but lack of volume not helping here. if PA stay consistent surely it gonna have its breakout.
DXY- Where to?After forming a double top above the 106 level, with the second top occurring at the beginning of July, the DXY (US Dollar Index) began to decline.
After breaking the 104 neckline of this pattern, the index tumbled to the key support level at 100.50, which coincides with the price level from the start of the year.
As expected, the price started to recover, and at the time of writing, it is trading at 101.66. Although there has been a rebound from support, it's too early to consider the trend reversed. For a confirmed reversal, the price needs to break back above the 102.50 zone.
If this happens, the price could continue upward, with a longer-term target around the 106 level and an interim resistance at 104.
Conversely, if the index fails to break above 102.50 and drops back to 100.50, there is a high probability of a further decline, with 98 as the next target.
VICUSDT(Viction) Updated till 02-09-24VICUSDT(Viction) Daily timeframe range. PA still in price discovery level. so a valid retrace or reject can be profitable. its trying to claim over 0.4130. thats a good thing cause not much hold up till 0.5563,depends on bag holders. recent support and low at 0.2779.
EURUSD Buy from the confluence zoneEURUSD closed bullish on the monthly timeframe but faced resistance and pulled back from that zone. The price is now retracing toward the psychological level at 1.1000, which acts as a key support area. On the daily chart, the market remains in a bullish trend, suggesting that this pullback could offer a chance for a rebound. The market may bounce off a confluence zone created by the lower channel boundary, a trendline, and the psychological level at 1.1000. This combination of support factors could provide a strong base for the market to continue its upward momentum. The target is the resistance zone at 1.11350
EURUSD - correction from the Resistance zoneEURUSD is currently approaching a weekly resistance level that was last tested in December 2023. Since this resistance level previously triggered a bearish reversal, we could see a potential short-term pullback or choppy price action in this area. The price might attempt a false breakout above both the channel border and the resistance level, which could lead to a short-term correction in the market. The target is the support level around 1.10500
MRVL Marvell Technology Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MRVL Marvell Technology prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 70usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $9.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 240usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $24.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Gold- ready for up break and new ATH?Gold has experienced a very quiet week, with prices fluctuating between approximately 2500 and 2520.
While we haven't seen a decisive move in either direction, I believe the odds favor an upward breakout, potentially leading to new all-time highs.
I will maintain my bullish outlook as long as Gold remains above 2500.
AVAXUSDT gives Bullish indicationsAVAXUSDT has finally broken out of the consolidation zone that has been developing since early August. On the weekly timeframe, the market formed an inside bar pattern, and the price has now surged above it, signalling a bullish outlook. Like many altcoins, AVAXUSDT has tested historical lows, revisiting levels from November 2023, where a significant price surge previously occurred. On the 4H timeframe, the price action has also broken through a triangle pattern, marking the end of an accumulation phase around 20.00 and indicating a potential bullish move. The market may retest the channel border and upward trendline. The target is the resistance zone around 27.50
GOLD Analysis | Mines & World Events | OfficialKieranTrewick | Gold In Depth Weekly Analysis
Gold Mine Productions :
XAUUSD Surged last week reaching 2 new all time highs of $2,500 and $2,530 amidst ongoing tensions in the middle east, BTC reaching over 90% mined whilst Gold mine productions are struggling to reach the last few years production ratio as they declare it is getting harder to find the precious metal, although the first quarter of 2024 we saw production increase by 4% essentially we have not seen any growth since 2016/2018 with the annual production rate staying around 3,000 tons.
New deposits are becoming increasingly harder to find although we have seen some over the recent years such as the current most productive mine based in Uzbekistan and China still leading the race with Australia following closely behind but one thing they have in common is reports of increasingly difficult new metal deposits found.
Aside from the discovery process, government permits getting harder to secure and requiring more time to come through have made mining more difficult. Securing licenses and permits needed before mining companies can start operations can take several years.
USD News Correlations :
Moving onto recent USD events where we saw that the asian markets have remained cautious this Friday as investors closely watch for US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole, seeking new insights into the future direction of interest rates. Traders are anticipating significant rate cuts from the Fed due to indications of a weakening labor market.
This risk-averse sentiment has driven increased demand for safe-haven assets like US government bonds, leading to lower Treasury yields and a decline in the US Dollar. The Dollar's weakness is also compounded by a fresh round of selling against the Japanese Yen, following hawkish comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, who spoke to the parliament on Friday.
Governor Ueda reiterated his readiness to hike interest rates if inflation appears set to consistently reach the 2.0% target, though he expressed caution about potential instability in financial markets.
Gold, despite a recent recovery, seems poised for its second consecutive weekly decline, with a Fed rate cut in September widely expected. However, Powell's upcoming remarks will be key in determining the extent of future easing measures.
On Thursday, gold prices fell by about 1% as the US Dollar bounced back strongly from over a one-year low against other major currencies, amid deteriorating risk sentiment spurred by disappointing US S&P Global business PMI and Jobless Claims data. Additionally, traders have been adjusting their positions ahead of Powell's anticipated speech at Jackson Hole on Friday.
Gold prices rebounded on Friday after two days of losses, rising as the dollar and Treasury yields fell sharply. This came after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed expectations for upcoming interest rate cuts.
At the Jackson Hole conference, Powell stated that the Fed is prepared to lower interest rates from their current peak as the labor market shows signs of slowing. He emphasized that future rate cuts would depend on economic data and risks.
Following Powell's remarks, the dollar index dropped 0.83 points to 100.67, and Treasury yields also declined, with the two-year note at 3.926% and the ten-year note at 3.817%.
JPY News Correlation :
According to Market Analyst Konstantin Oldenburger from CMC Markets, the relationship between the Japanese Yen and gold prices has strengthened once again, and a stronger Yen could be a positive sign for gold.
Oldenburger noted that the Bank of Japan might have stepped in to stabilize the weakened Yen last Thursday. He suggested that such interventions could become more feasible if the Federal Reserve shifts its monetary policy stance.
He further explained that U.S. stocks generally perform well when interest rates are high because liquidity flows back into the USD. However, when rates decrease, this liquidity tends to exit the dollar and seek alternative investments globally. "The Yen could gain from this reallocation," he remarked.
After the U.S. released its June CPI data last Thursday, the USD/JPY pair dropped over 2%, sparking speculation that Japan’s Ministry of Finance had intervened.
It is noted that hedge funds currently have limited long positions in the Yen and mainly hold short positions, which could need to be covered if a short squeeze occurs. If the Yen continues to strengthen, hedge funds may be under more pressure to reduce these short positions. Historically, a stronger Yen has been positively correlated with gold prices, suggesting that gold could also see gains.
Gold prices continued to climb on Tuesday due to increased safe-haven demand from China. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) issued new import quotas for gold to banks, sparking speculation about a surge in demand, according to broker SP Angel. The demand for gold as a safe haven in China rose after Chinese 10-year government bond yields hit record lows last week, leading Chinese investors to look for alternative safe-haven assets, with gold being a prime choice and as we know the chinese yuan is heavily correlated with the japanese yen.
Conclusion
With gold currently priced at $2,511.36, the outlook remains bullish in the short to medium term, especially if current economic uncertainties persist or worsen. Monitoring central bank policies, inflation data, and geopolitical events will be crucial for assessing how high gold prices could go from here. The potential for reaching $2,600 or even higher is present, particularly if market conditions align favorably for gold.
What are your thoughts on Gold and its future outlook, let me know in the comments below!
ULTA Beauty Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the Double Top on ULTA:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ULTA Beauty prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 380usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-8-30,
for a premium of approximately $14.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.