Bitcoin Channel Breakout!BTCUSDT has finally broken and closed above the downward channel that has been forming since May. This move, when viewed in the bigger picture, resembles a bullish flag pattern, typically a trend continuation signal. We've seen a similar pattern recently in the gold market. After such breakouts, it's common for the market to lose some momentum and produce a pullback to retest the channel border and upward trendline.
Additionally, the price action is forming an AB=CD pattern, with the completion point expected around 72,000. This setup offers a strong opportunity for continued bullish movement. The target is the resistance zone around 72,500
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TONUSDT Potential up SwingTONUSDT is currently moving sideways, hovering just above the psychological level of 5.00 and consistently bouncing off this key level. The price action is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern, which suggests a potential upward move toward higher levels. Additionally, the market is testing the downward trendline, and a breakout above this line could signal the start of a bullish trend. As long as the price remains above 5.00, the expectation is for a continued bullish move. The target is the resistance zone around 5.520
Lingrid | CADJPY Potential SHORT from SWAP zoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target. FX:CADJPY has tested the 110.600 resistance zone three times but ultimately bounced off this level after forming a range zone. Given the significant bearish daily candle, I believe the market may head lower. The recent price action has also seen the price break and close below the upward trendline that had been holding for over a week. The formation of lower lows indicates a shift in market structure. If the market rejects the swap zone, we can expect a downward move towards the channel's lower boundary. My target is support zone around 108.75
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Gold- Where is the next 1k pips trade?As I've outlined in both written and video analyses on FOREXCOM:XAUUSD , I’m anticipating a substantial pullback in gold prices.
Let’s look at this objectively: just as trees don't grow to the sky, neither does Gold.
With a remarkable 2,000-pip rally over the last 20 days, the likelihood of a meaningful retracement is increasing.
Each new high reached only makes a sharper pullback more probable.
That said, I’m not rigidly fixed on one outlook.
In yesterday’s analysis, I noted that a new all-time high seemed highly probable.
Acting on this, I opened a small long position after observing a buildup consolidation just under the previous ATH, which I closed at 2770.
The key question now isn’t whether gold will start pulling back, but rather where that pullback will begin.
On the 1-hour chart, since the low near 2600 on October 10th, Gold has been trading within an ascending channel.
Each time the price touches the upper boundary of this channel, it has reversed back down. Based on this behavior, I anticipate a similar reaction if gold approaches or slightly exceeds 2800, and I plan to fade any move above that level.
In conclusion, for those looking at potential 1,000-pip opportunities, I believe the short side currently holds more promise. In the short term, a retracement toward 2700 seems more realistic than an extension to 2900.
P.S: Looking at previous times when Gold has made ATHs, the reversal from the top has been more than 1000 pips.
Lingrid | GOLD reached Historic HIGHSThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target zone. OANDA:XAUUSD has reached another all-time high after breaking and closing above the triangle pattern. The market has been forming small candles, which may indicate a potential pullback, especially with high-impact news scheduled for today that could influence market volatility. I believe the market might retest the previous day's high before moving higher towards another psychological level. Keeping an eye on the news and price action will be essential for determining the next moves. My goal is resistance zone around 2800
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Lingrid | AUDUSD Possible CHANNEL Breakout: Buying OPPORTUNITY FX:AUDUSD showed bullish momentum after bouncing off the support level, following a bullish divergence at that point. The market's recent move upward, particularly after taking liquidity below the 0.65500 level, suggests a short-term shift in sentiment. I expect that the market may be forming an ABC pattern heading toward the resistance zone, which could lead to a breakout of the channel. Additionally, the TVC:DXY has formed a bearish long-tailed bar at its resistance zone and is currently showing signs of moving down. This development is likely to support further bullish movement in the AUDUSD market. My goal is resistance zone around 0.66100
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UsdJpy- Will history repeat itself?As we approach the final months of the year, it’s worth noting the impact of JPY repatriation, which traditionally occurs when Japanese investors pull funds back to Japan, boosting yen demand. This trend often leads to an appreciation in the Japanese yen, affecting currency pairs like FX:USDJPY , as demand surges.
Historically, this phenomenon has triggered notable yen strength.
For example, last year saw USD/JPY fall by around 1,000 pips due to these repatriation flows. Assuming similar conditions prevail, we could anticipate another yen rally by this year's end.
Technical Overview of USD/JPY:
Currently, USD/JPY recently hit a high of around 154, moving into a key resistance area.
At the time of writing, the price hovers above the horizontal support level.
A decisive break below it could indicate a bearish “false break,” potentially signaling a larger downside move.
Should the downtrend persist, potential targets could be set at:
- Slightly under 150,
- Followed by further support at 147,
- And ultimately, a critical support at 141.
Lingrid | BNBUSDT in CONSOLIDATION phaseBINANCE:BNBUSDT is currently consolidating below the psychological level and has formed a double top, indicating a potential pullback to the support level. If we zoom out, we can see that the price action is creating an ascending triangle pattern making higher lows. I expect the market to continue consolidating between the 570 and 600 levels before a breakout the resistance zone. A bounce off the channel border and trendline, which is at the bottom of the range zone, could signal a rejection; if we see such a signal, it might indicate a continuation of the upward trend. My goal is resistance zone around 600
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GbpUsd- Preparing for reversalAs I mentioned last week, I’m closely monitoring the GBP/USD pair for a potential upside reversal.
This expectation is based on the recent overlapping decline, which is contained within a channel, as well as the proximity to a significant support level.
In recent days, the pair hit a local low of 1.2912 before reversing toward 1.3000 and beginning a consolidation phase.
I believe it’s only a matter of time before GBP/USD clears the 1.3000 mark, potentially accelerating toward a target around 1.3150.
Lingrid | GBPUSD buying OPPORTUNITY from the SUPPORT zoneFX:GBPUSD broke below the previous support level but has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern at the psychological level of 1.3000. As the market approaches this level, it has been decelerating and it created bullish divergence. The price bounced off the channel border and has closed above the psychological level making higher lows. Additionally, since the TVC:DXY has formed a triple top at the resistance zone, it suggests that it may be poised for a downward correction. My goal is resistance zone around 1.31100
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Lingrid | PEPEUSDT Consolidation before potential EXTENSIONThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It reached the target. BINANCE:PEPEUSDT has created a fake break of the previous support level by forming a double bottom. It has been consolidating since the beginning of this month following the impulse move. If you take a step back and look at the daily timeframe, you'll notice that the price has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern. I believe the market may retest the support level before moving higher, potentially breaking through the downward channel. My target is resistance zone around 0.0000108
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Lingrid | GOLD Weekly MARKET OutlookOANDA:XAUUSD spent half of the week trading sideways between the 2710 and 2750 levels, remaining within Wednesday's range. This sideways movement created liquidity above and below these levels, and if the market tests these zones, we can anticipate some volatility.
On the weekly timeframe, the market formed a small candle, indicating a pause in the bullish momentum. Ideally, I would like to see a false breakout below the previous week's low, followed by a continuation of the bullish trend. Conversely, breaking above this week's candlestick would be very bullish.
On the daily chart, we've seen the formation of a bullish flag, which suggests a potential upward movement towards 2800. I believe that gold could eventually reach 3000 by the end of the year, although the path there is unlikely to be straightforward. Next week, we have a significant amount of high-impact news, which will likely to inject some volatility into the markets, so we should exercise caution. Overall, I see any pullback as an opportunity to go long.
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The Danger of Complacency in Gold’s Bullish TrendThe current sentiment around Gold is highly bullish, with traders showing a strong bias towards continued upward momentum.
This optimism, however, may be breeding a sense of complacency that often precedes a major market shift.
Technically, indeed, the recent break above local resistance around the $2,742-$2,745 zone gives bulls a target near $2,780, reflecting the recent momentum.
Yet from a swing trading perspective, entering long at this level may carry more risk than reward.
The market's potential for a significant downside reversal could present far more valuable entry points.
Waiting for clear signs of a trend change, rather than chasing highs, aligns better with my risk-conscious approach, positioning to capture more meaningful moves on the downside.
Lingrid | NZDCAD bearish MOMENTUM in the MarketThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It reached the target zone. FX:NZDCAD is currently making lower lows and lower closes, indicating a strong bearish momentum. The price has been oscillating around the psychological level of 0.8300. Typically, markets tend to consolidate near key levels before a breakout, and given the overall bearish trend, it seems plausible that we could see a bearish impulse leg. I anticipate that the market may break below the previous day's low (PDL) and continue its movement downward, making further lower lows. If the price breaks convincingly below the PDL level, that could confirm the bearish sentiment and potentially lead to an acceleration in the downward trend. My goal is support zone around 0.82550
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Lingrid | ETHUSDT Continues to Show BULLISH sentimentThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target level. BINANCE:ETHUSDT has been consolidating on the daily timeframe since August, recently forming higher lows. However, it failed to break through the previous resistance zone, resulting in a fake breakout followed by a pullback. When zooming out, it appears there is accumulation occurring around the 2500 price level. Since the price has broken and closed above the range zone and the downward trendline, I believe the market may retest these levels before continuing to push higher. If the market holds above those key levels, we can expect a continuation of the upward movement. My goal is resistance zone around 2770
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Lingrid | DOGEUSDT channel BREAKOUT. Correction and CONTINUATIONThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target. On the daily timeframe, BINANCE:DOGEUSDT has broken and closed above the channel, which is a bullish sign. Additionally, it has moved above the previous high, indicating a potential shift in market structure. Last week, the market showed strong bullish momentum by breaking out of the consolidation zone. Given these factors, I believe the price may continue to move higher. My goal is resistance zone around 0.15860
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Lingrid | AUDCAD sideways Price ACTION. Potential SHORTThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target level. FX:AUDCAD created a lower high and formed a double bottom. Overall, the trend appears to be moving sideways on the 4H timeframe. I believe the market is forming a descending triangle pattern, which suggests that the double bottom may be retested. I expect the market to move higher toward the resistance zone that has been respected multiple times before, and potentially take liquidity above the psychological level at 0.92000 before moving downward. My goal is support zone around 0.91590
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Is the Gold Rally Over? Preparing for the Next Wave of SellingSince the beginning of the week, I've been making the case that Gold's recent move has become overextended, and that complacency in the market often precedes strong reversals.
This type of overconfidence, where traders believe the uptrend will continue indefinitely, can lead to sudden and sharp corrections when sentiment shifts.
Indeed, after reaching yet another all-time high at 2758, OANDA:XAUUSD began to pull back. Once it broke below the key support level of the rising channel, the downward momentum intensified, leading to an accelerated sell-off.
This drop culminated in an intraday low of 2708—an impressive 500-pip decline from top to bottom.
Looking ahead, in my view, this correction is not over yet.
I believe we are likely to see a new wave of selling pressure in the coming sessions. The market may experience brief rebounds or retracements, but these should be seen as opportunities to position for further downside.
My strategy moving forward is to sell into this rebound, with negation if we have a new ATH. Until that happens, the primary target for this move remains the 2680-2690 support zone, which could provide a more substantial floor for the price in the near term.
Lingrid | BITCOIN forming Trend Continuation PATTERNBINANCE:BTCUSDT is forming a triangle pattern after breaking through the downward channel on the daily chart. This pattern typically indicates a continuation of the current trend. It’s important to note that this pattern is developing just below the psychological level of 70,000, suggesting that the market may be preparing for a breakout. The previous weekly candle is a long-tailed bar, which also indicates a potential upward movement. This week, pay attention to the monthly candle closure, as it will give a hint into future price action; a close above the September high could be particularly significant. I expect a pullback and a potential fake breakout of the triangle pattern, followed by a retest of the ATH level. My goal is resistance zone around 72,000.
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EurCad could rise 200+ pipsSince late August 2022, EUR/CAD has been in a bullish trend, gaining approximately 1,000 pips. However, after reaching a local high in early August 2024, the pair began trading within a range, encountering clear resistance around the 1.5150–1.5200 zone.
Last Thursday, the pair rebounded from range support, forming a strong bullish engulfing candle on the daily chart, which suggests a promising outlook for continued upward movement. I am looking to buy on dips in EUR/CAD with a target around 1.5200, while the trade setup will be negated if the price falls below last week’s low.
A confirmed bullish signal would be a daily close above 1.5000.