Lingrid | GOLD Pre-Election Weekly MARKET AnalysisOANDA:XAUUSD market recently bounced off a resistance zone, making a impulse move lower. The last time the market approached the psychological 2700 level, it reached 2685 and then bounced off the resistance zone, spending over three weeks in a sideways move before eventually hitting 2700. With the recent bounce off the resistance zone at 2787, it seems likely that the market could remain in a consolidation zone for now.
With the overall trend being bullish, any pullback could present an opportunity to enter long positions. However, it is important to consider that this upcoming week is an election week, which could lead to unexpected market reactions. Historically, the gold market has seen corrections after every election since 2012, and it is possible that we may see a similar pattern this time around, especially given that there has not been a red month since March. This scenario suggests that the market could spend another couple of weeks moving lower towards the October lows.
On the weekly chart, we also see a long-tailed bar, indicating a potential retest of the 2650 support zone if the price breaks and closes below the previous week's low. With the upcoming presidential election and federal funds rate announcements, it is important to remain vigilant and be prepared for increased volatility and potential market corrections.
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Lingrid | EURUSD pullback and Continuation BEARISH TrendThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It reaced the target zone. FX:EURUSD has gapped up and it's moving toward the resistance zone; however, the overall trend remains bearish. There is a possibility that the market move down if it rejects the resistance zone and the upper border of the channel. Historical price action indicates that the market has bounced off this level multiple times, reinforcing its significance as a resistance area. I expect that the market to initially push above the previous week's high, followed bearish move to fill the gap. My target is support zone around 1.08510
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Lingrid | TONUSDT bearish MOMENTUM. ShortOKX:TONUSDT is currently making lower lows and has closed below the psychological support level of 5.00. The bounce from the support was weak, lacking any bullish momentum. Additionally, the October monthly candle closed bearish, suggesting that the price could potentially move to even lower levels. On the daily timeframe, the market formed relatively equal lows, which include both the September and October lows. I believe the market may retest these levels to grab liquidity. After forming a range zone, the market eventually broke through it, pulled back for a retest, and continued its downward move. Therefore, I anticipate that the market to either move lower or enter a consolidation phase. My target is support zone around 4.530
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Lingrid | GBPNZD fake BREAKOUT of the Previous DAY highFX:GBPNZD has reached a strong resistance zone on the daily timeframe, pulling back from the 2.18000 level. As observed, the price has been creating impulse legs followed by weaker pullbacks. Recently, the market formed a compression channel or an ascending triangle pattern. I anticipate bearish momentum potentially forming ABV pullback toward the support level, especially since the market made a fake breakout above the previous day's high. My goal is support zone around 2.15610
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Lingrid | SUIUSDT continues to CONSOLIDATE after SURGEThe price perfectly fulfills my last idea. It hit the target level. BINANCE:SUIUSDT is currently consolidating around the round number of 2.00. It may continue moving sideways, particularly after the recent fake breakout of the all-time high level formed in March. If you zoom out, you can see that the price action is forming a triangle pattern. I believe there is a possibility that the price may retest the 1.50 support level, which would be a healthy pullback that could lead toa new higher highs. Given that the market is moving sideways, I expect it to retest the recent support level from the psychological level at 2.00. My goal is support zone around 1.7450
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Lingrid | BITCOIN retest of SUPPORT zone for BULLISH MomentumThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target zone. BINANCE:BTCUSDT has recently pulled back after aggressively retesting the ATH level. The long-tailed bar on the weekly timeframe suggests that the market may form a deeper pullback, indicating that buyers are hesitating to buy at higher levels. Despite the market breaking and closing above the highs from September, August, and July on the monthly chart, which is a bullish sign, there is a possibility that the price may retest the September high at the support level of 66,000. This could provide an opportunity for buyers to step back in before a potential continuation of the upward trend. A retest of the 66,000 level would not only serve as a confirmation of support but could also attract more bullish sentiment as the market gathers strength for another push upwards. My target is resistance zone around 72,700
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Lingrid | CHFJPY buying OPPORTUNITY from SUPPORT zoneFX:CHFJPY is currently in a bullish trend, and the price is pulling back towards the support level at the psychological level of 175.000. This pullback presents an opportunity for the market to test both this key support level and the upward trendline. I expect that the price will bounce off the psychological level, confirming the overall bullish trend and potentially leading to a continuation of upward movement. If the support holds, it could provide a solid entry point for bullish trades. My goal is resistance zone around 178.000
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Lingrid | EURUSD Hits DEMAND Zone with LONG PotentialFX:EURUSD has reached the demand zone from which the price surged in August. The market experienced a fake breakout at the 1.078000 level, which may suggest a potential pullback. I believe the market could retrace towards the resistance level because it is maybe overextended, and the TVC:DXY has also reached a key resistance zone. On the 4H timeframe, the market has formed a bullish divergence, indicating a possible correction in the market. My target is resistance zone around 1.09190
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Lingrid | GOLD takes a BREATHER before the next BULLISH MoveOANDA:XAUUSD dipped sharply following unfavorable news for gold. However, the market found support after testing both the support level and the upward trendline. Given the recent significant bearish move, we can anticipate some sideways movement in the near term. While the October candle closed bullish, suggesting potential for bullish trades, the daily timeframe has formed a "three-candle reversal" pattern, which is somewhat concerning. If this pattern plays out, the price could potentially drop to 2700. Nevertheless, given the prevailing bullish trend, I expect the market to consolidate below the psychological level of 2800 before breaking through it to retest that level. My target is resistance zone around 2785
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Gold- Where to sell for down continuationOver the past 10 days, I’ve consistently noted that OANDA:XAUUSD is primed for a significant drop, especially after its 2,000-pip gain over 20 days.
A strong correction is both healthy and expected.
Yesterday, after a brief new all-time high, Gold dropped sharply, declining roughly 600 pips from top to bottom.
Despite this correction, I believe there’s more downside potential ahead.
I’m planning to sell rallies, especially around the broken confluence support zone, where I’m watching for entry signals.
My overall target remains a drop below 2700, with 2690 as a strong support level to test.
Bitcoin Channel Breakout!BTCUSDT has finally broken and closed above the downward channel that has been forming since May. This move, when viewed in the bigger picture, resembles a bullish flag pattern, typically a trend continuation signal. We've seen a similar pattern recently in the gold market. After such breakouts, it's common for the market to lose some momentum and produce a pullback to retest the channel border and upward trendline.
Additionally, the price action is forming an AB=CD pattern, with the completion point expected around 72,000. This setup offers a strong opportunity for continued bullish movement. The target is the resistance zone around 72,500
TONUSDT Potential up SwingTONUSDT is currently moving sideways, hovering just above the psychological level of 5.00 and consistently bouncing off this key level. The price action is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern, which suggests a potential upward move toward higher levels. Additionally, the market is testing the downward trendline, and a breakout above this line could signal the start of a bullish trend. As long as the price remains above 5.00, the expectation is for a continued bullish move. The target is the resistance zone around 5.520
Lingrid | CADJPY Potential SHORT from SWAP zoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target. FX:CADJPY has tested the 110.600 resistance zone three times but ultimately bounced off this level after forming a range zone. Given the significant bearish daily candle, I believe the market may head lower. The recent price action has also seen the price break and close below the upward trendline that had been holding for over a week. The formation of lower lows indicates a shift in market structure. If the market rejects the swap zone, we can expect a downward move towards the channel's lower boundary. My target is support zone around 108.75
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Gold- Where is the next 1k pips trade?As I've outlined in both written and video analyses on FOREXCOM:XAUUSD , I’m anticipating a substantial pullback in gold prices.
Let’s look at this objectively: just as trees don't grow to the sky, neither does Gold.
With a remarkable 2,000-pip rally over the last 20 days, the likelihood of a meaningful retracement is increasing.
Each new high reached only makes a sharper pullback more probable.
That said, I’m not rigidly fixed on one outlook.
In yesterday’s analysis, I noted that a new all-time high seemed highly probable.
Acting on this, I opened a small long position after observing a buildup consolidation just under the previous ATH, which I closed at 2770.
The key question now isn’t whether gold will start pulling back, but rather where that pullback will begin.
On the 1-hour chart, since the low near 2600 on October 10th, Gold has been trading within an ascending channel.
Each time the price touches the upper boundary of this channel, it has reversed back down. Based on this behavior, I anticipate a similar reaction if gold approaches or slightly exceeds 2800, and I plan to fade any move above that level.
In conclusion, for those looking at potential 1,000-pip opportunities, I believe the short side currently holds more promise. In the short term, a retracement toward 2700 seems more realistic than an extension to 2900.
P.S: Looking at previous times when Gold has made ATHs, the reversal from the top has been more than 1000 pips.
Lingrid | GOLD reached Historic HIGHSThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target zone. OANDA:XAUUSD has reached another all-time high after breaking and closing above the triangle pattern. The market has been forming small candles, which may indicate a potential pullback, especially with high-impact news scheduled for today that could influence market volatility. I believe the market might retest the previous day's high before moving higher towards another psychological level. Keeping an eye on the news and price action will be essential for determining the next moves. My goal is resistance zone around 2800
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Lingrid | AUDUSD Possible CHANNEL Breakout: Buying OPPORTUNITY FX:AUDUSD showed bullish momentum after bouncing off the support level, following a bullish divergence at that point. The market's recent move upward, particularly after taking liquidity below the 0.65500 level, suggests a short-term shift in sentiment. I expect that the market may be forming an ABC pattern heading toward the resistance zone, which could lead to a breakout of the channel. Additionally, the TVC:DXY has formed a bearish long-tailed bar at its resistance zone and is currently showing signs of moving down. This development is likely to support further bullish movement in the AUDUSD market. My goal is resistance zone around 0.66100
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UsdJpy- Will history repeat itself?As we approach the final months of the year, it’s worth noting the impact of JPY repatriation, which traditionally occurs when Japanese investors pull funds back to Japan, boosting yen demand. This trend often leads to an appreciation in the Japanese yen, affecting currency pairs like FX:USDJPY , as demand surges.
Historically, this phenomenon has triggered notable yen strength.
For example, last year saw USD/JPY fall by around 1,000 pips due to these repatriation flows. Assuming similar conditions prevail, we could anticipate another yen rally by this year's end.
Technical Overview of USD/JPY:
Currently, USD/JPY recently hit a high of around 154, moving into a key resistance area.
At the time of writing, the price hovers above the horizontal support level.
A decisive break below it could indicate a bearish “false break,” potentially signaling a larger downside move.
Should the downtrend persist, potential targets could be set at:
- Slightly under 150,
- Followed by further support at 147,
- And ultimately, a critical support at 141.
Lingrid | BNBUSDT in CONSOLIDATION phaseBINANCE:BNBUSDT is currently consolidating below the psychological level and has formed a double top, indicating a potential pullback to the support level. If we zoom out, we can see that the price action is creating an ascending triangle pattern making higher lows. I expect the market to continue consolidating between the 570 and 600 levels before a breakout the resistance zone. A bounce off the channel border and trendline, which is at the bottom of the range zone, could signal a rejection; if we see such a signal, it might indicate a continuation of the upward trend. My goal is resistance zone around 600
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GbpUsd- Preparing for reversalAs I mentioned last week, I’m closely monitoring the GBP/USD pair for a potential upside reversal.
This expectation is based on the recent overlapping decline, which is contained within a channel, as well as the proximity to a significant support level.
In recent days, the pair hit a local low of 1.2912 before reversing toward 1.3000 and beginning a consolidation phase.
I believe it’s only a matter of time before GBP/USD clears the 1.3000 mark, potentially accelerating toward a target around 1.3150.
Lingrid | GBPUSD buying OPPORTUNITY from the SUPPORT zoneFX:GBPUSD broke below the previous support level but has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern at the psychological level of 1.3000. As the market approaches this level, it has been decelerating and it created bullish divergence. The price bounced off the channel border and has closed above the psychological level making higher lows. Additionally, since the TVC:DXY has formed a triple top at the resistance zone, it suggests that it may be poised for a downward correction. My goal is resistance zone around 1.31100
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Lingrid | PEPEUSDT Consolidation before potential EXTENSIONThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It reached the target. BINANCE:PEPEUSDT has created a fake break of the previous support level by forming a double bottom. It has been consolidating since the beginning of this month following the impulse move. If you take a step back and look at the daily timeframe, you'll notice that the price has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern. I believe the market may retest the support level before moving higher, potentially breaking through the downward channel. My target is resistance zone around 0.0000108
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Lingrid | GOLD Weekly MARKET OutlookOANDA:XAUUSD spent half of the week trading sideways between the 2710 and 2750 levels, remaining within Wednesday's range. This sideways movement created liquidity above and below these levels, and if the market tests these zones, we can anticipate some volatility.
On the weekly timeframe, the market formed a small candle, indicating a pause in the bullish momentum. Ideally, I would like to see a false breakout below the previous week's low, followed by a continuation of the bullish trend. Conversely, breaking above this week's candlestick would be very bullish.
On the daily chart, we've seen the formation of a bullish flag, which suggests a potential upward movement towards 2800. I believe that gold could eventually reach 3000 by the end of the year, although the path there is unlikely to be straightforward. Next week, we have a significant amount of high-impact news, which will likely to inject some volatility into the markets, so we should exercise caution. Overall, I see any pullback as an opportunity to go long.
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The Danger of Complacency in Gold’s Bullish TrendThe current sentiment around Gold is highly bullish, with traders showing a strong bias towards continued upward momentum.
This optimism, however, may be breeding a sense of complacency that often precedes a major market shift.
Technically, indeed, the recent break above local resistance around the $2,742-$2,745 zone gives bulls a target near $2,780, reflecting the recent momentum.
Yet from a swing trading perspective, entering long at this level may carry more risk than reward.
The market's potential for a significant downside reversal could present far more valuable entry points.
Waiting for clear signs of a trend change, rather than chasing highs, aligns better with my risk-conscious approach, positioning to capture more meaningful moves on the downside.