Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Market AnalysisOANDA:XAUUSD markets are navigating through a technical consolidation phase following the recent rally, maintaining underlying bullish momentum despite current volatility. The precious metal is trading between critical levels that will determine the next major directional move.
4H chart reveals a complex structure with a retest of the resistance zone around $3,440, gold has initiated a corrective move along the descending channel. The current setup suggests a healthy pullback toward the support zone near $3,330. Breaking above the downward trendline will constitute an important technical signal for bullish continuation.
The higher timeframe provides a broader perspective with an A-B pattern currently forming. Equal tests at resistance levels indicate significant institutional accumulation. The rising trendline (HL) continues to support prices, confirming the long-term bullish structure. The target zone above $3,600 remains viable if gold can successfully break through the current resistance cluster.
Key levels to monitor include the $3,330 support and $3,440 resistance. A decisive break above previous week high could trigger the next leg toward $3,400-$3,450, while failure to hold support might see a deeper correction toward $3,250. The overall technical picture suggests this consolidation represents a continuation pattern within the broader uptrend. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Signals
Gold Bulls Are Back – Eyes on 3450 GOLD – Bulls Regain Control After Defending 3280
🟡 Last week was a dynamic one for Gold traders.
The week began with signs of an upside reversal, followed by a drop to test the 3280 support. That dip held—and from there, we saw a strong push higher, ending the week right at the top of the range.
📌 Friday’s close left behind a continuation Pin Bar on the weekly chart – a strong signal in favor of the bulls.
- This week started with a new local high at 3375,but we’re now seeing a pullback in the 3355 area at the time of writing.
What’s next?
Given last week’s price action, bulls seem to have won the battle and appear ready to challenge the 3400 level.
My plan for this week:
I’m looking to buy dips, and as long as nothing changes, my target is the 3450 zone.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Lingrid | GOLD potential Bullish Move From Confluence ZoneOANDA:XAUUSD is forming a higher low above trend support, following a breakout from the consolidation zone and a bullish continuation leg. Price is currently pulling back toward the 3345–3350 region, which aligns with the previous breakout and key structure support. A successful retest of this area would provide confirmation for a renewed push toward the 3400 resistance zone. Momentum favors further upside if bulls defend the support and reclaim bullish control.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: bullish bounce from 3345 with reclaim above 3360
Buy zone: 3345–3360 (trend support and previous breakout)
Target: 3400
Invalidation: drop below 3345 with sustained pressure cancels bullish thesis
💡 Risks
Weak volume on bounce could lead to range-bound price action
Global macro shifts may interfere with expected trend continuation
Another fake breakout near 3400 could trigger sharp rejection
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Lingrid | EURUSD Pulled Back to Key Support levelFX:EURUSD is approaching a major confluence zone at 1.16422 where the downward channel meets the upward trendline and horizontal support. The structure remains bullish with a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, and the current pullback fits within a healthy correction phase. A strong bounce from this triple-support region could trigger a reversal toward 1.18320, validating the continuation of the broader uptrend. All eyes are now on the 1.16450 reaction point for early momentum signs.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: bullish reaction from 1.16422 support zone
Buy zone: 1.16200–1.16500 (channel base + trendline + demand)
Target: 1.18320
Invalidation: confirmed 4H close below 1.1600 breaks upward structure
💡 Risks
Deeper push below the trendline may trap early buyers
Low liquidity during the bounce can cause fakeouts
Unexpected USD strength could stall recovery momentum
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
BITCOIN High after High going for the Cycle Top!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a new All Time High (ATH) today, just north of $123000 and shows absolutely no signs of stopping there!
The brilliantly structured 2.5-year Channel Up (blue) that has been dominating the entirety of the current Bull Cycle since the November 2022 market bottom, has been on its latest Bullish Leg since the April 07 2025 rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
The 1W MA50 has been the Cycle's natural Support level since the March 13 2023 bullish break-out, never broken after, just like it has been for the 2019 - 2021 Bull Cycle (excluding of course the Black Swan event of the March 2020 COVID crash).
In fact the similarities of the whole 2022 - 2025 Cycle are strong with the 2018 - 2021 Cycle. Similar Bear Cycles of -80% on average, followed by strong Lower Highs break-outs and subsequent consolidations within the 0.786 - 0.618 Fibonacci range, takes us to today with the April 2025 1W MA50 bounce resembling the July 2021 one.
Eventually, that Bullish Leg led to the Cycle's Top a little above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. The market seems to be only one step away of completing that past pattern and if it does, BTC may hit $170000 before the Cycle peaks.
Do you think that is a likely scenario after today's new fresh ATH? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Gold Pullback in Play – Still Aiming for 3450 📌 In yesterday’s analysis, I argued that bulls likely won the battle and that a new leg up toward 3450 could be next from a swing trade perspective. I also mentioned that buying dips remains the preferred strategy.
And indeed – we got that dip.
📉 Price pulled back to 3340 and bounced,
but it hasn’t yet touched my key area of interest: 3330–3335.
What now?
My view stays the same –I still expect a move toward the 3450 zone,but I also believe a deeper dip toward support is still on the table – likely a liquidity grab before the next leg up.
Trading Plan:
✅ Buying dips remains the core strategy
🚫 Invalidation only comes on a break below 3305–3310
🎯 Upside target remains well above 3400, aiming for 1000+ pips
Let’s stay focused and let price come to us.
🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Lingrid | BTCUSDT strong Bullish Trend Continues The price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . BINANCE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:BTC broke out of a long consolidation range and confirmed a higher low at 98,200, initiating a new impulsive rally inside the upward channel. The price is now trading well above the 116,643 breakout level and holding near the mid-range of the next resistance zone. As long as the bullish structure holds, price is expected to target the upper resistance band near 130,000 in the coming sessions. Momentum and structure remain in favor of the bulls, supported by trendline and volume strength.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: breakout and sustained move above 116,643
Buy zone: 116,643–120,000 (retest of structure and upper trendline)
Target: 130,000
Invalidation: drop below 116,000 breaks upward trend bias
💡 Risks
False breakouts around resistance zone may delay continuation
Macro uncertainty or ETF-related news can shift sentiment
Failure to hold above 116,643 would expose the trend to deeper correction
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
BITCOIN Will it go lower?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) pulled back rather aggressively yesterday after marginally breaking above $123000 and making a new All Time High (ATH).
We've mentioned before the similarities of this Bullish Leg to the April - May structure and so far the current pull-back having already touched the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, resembles the late April pull-back.
However, besides the 0.236 Fib, that pull-back also hit its 4H MA50 and rebounded, so that's a condition that hasn't been fulfilled. If it does, we are potentially looking for a Low around the $115k mark. Notice also how both fractals are supported by a Higher Lows trend-line exactly on their respective 4H MA100 (green trend-line) levels.
If BTC continues to replicate this pattern, we expect to see $140000 (+43.05% from the bottom) by early August.
Will the Support levels hold and push it that high? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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NASDAQ Is looking for a massive break-out to 24000!Nasdaq (NDX) is most likely taking advantage of the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Support and after hitting it, it appears that the price will look for a way above the Parabola.
This might be similar to what took place after the May 07 test of the 4H MA50. The price broke above that parabolic pattern and peaked on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we are looking for 24000 as a potential Target in the next 2 weeks.
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Silver Update (XAGUSD): Eyeing the Next Move After the $39 SurgeAs mentioned in my Friday analysis, Silver ( TRADENATION:EURUSD XAGUSD) was preparing for an important breakout — and indeed, the market delivered. The clean break through resistance triggered a strong acceleration, pushing the metal up to $39, pretty close to the psychological $40 level.
Now, we’re seeing a healthy correction after this steep rise, and this could turn into a buying opportunity for the bulls.
📌 Key support zone:
The ideal area to watch is between $37.20 and $37.50 — this is the sweet spot where bulls might step back in.
But be aware:
👉 After strong breakouts, the broken resistance doesn’t always get retested — sometimes the price rebounds from higher levels.
🎯 Plan of Action:
• Monitor price action under $38
• Watch for reaction patterns and structure shifts
• Don’t force entries — let the market confirm
Silver remains strong as long as the structure holds, and this pullback might just be the market catching its breath before another leg up. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD Triangle about to break upwards aggressively.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Triangle pattern since the April 22 High. It is now above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been turned into its Pivot and technically it is about to break upwards as it is running out of space.
As long as the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) holds, the market technically targets the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, which is what the last two Bullish Legs hit, which currently sits at 3770. A 1D RSI break above its own Lower Highs trend-line, could be an early buy signal.
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US30: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 44,420.7 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 44,379.6..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Back above $3,300, GOLD may remain neutral, tax focusOANDA:XAUUSD reclaimed the psychologically important level of $3,300/ounce last week, but while gold is still receiving some support as a safe haven amid economic and geopolitical risks, its upside momentum may be limited as the market shifts its attention to other commodities.
Gold prices ended last week on a generally bullish note, rising back above $3,300 an ounce after US President Trump unexpectedly announced a series of new trade policies. Spot gold prices rose about 0.5% last week on Friday.
Although the market initially doubted Trump’s self-imposed July 9 deadline, the overall market reaction remained steady and the renewed risk appetite helped the S&P 500 hit a new record high, somewhat undermining gold’s safe-haven appeal. The July deadline has been pushed back to August 1, but the global trade conflict is far from over. Gold has regained support after initial pressure after Trump announced a new trade policy on copper imports, along with a series of news stories about the relationship between Trump and the FED sent to readers throughout the past week.
A sharp rise in copper prices will also add to inflationary pressures, exacerbate economic uncertainty and raise concerns about recession and stagflation. In this context, gold is expected to continue to receive support from potential risks.
In addition to fierce competition in the commodity market, gold may remain fundamentally neutral in the short term, as economic data will support the Fed's neutral monetary policy. The key market focus next week will be the June Consumer Price Index (CPI). The Fed has made it clear that it is in no rush to raise interest rates while inflation risks remain high.
However, traders still need to be cautious and closely monitor the situation surrounding the tariff war initiated by Trump, which will directly affect the price of gold. In case of negative news, the gold price will receive support and vice versa if positive news appears in the market.
Over the weekend, US President Trump once again used the tariff tactic, announcing that he would impose a 30% tax on imports from the EU and Mexico, causing a strong reaction from the international community. This move not only casts a shadow over the relationship between Europe and the United States, as well as between the United States and Mexico, but also adds further uncertainty to the global trade model. EU politicians, businesses and academics were quick to respond, calling for unity to protect their interests, while Mexico stressed the need to maintain national sovereignty and pledged to respond calmly.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has a 3-day rally, and the upside momentum has reached the important target resistance at the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. Gold's upside momentum is also limited by this Fibonacci retracement level, specifically it has slightly dropped to $3,355/oz.
But overall, gold is still not in a position to form a specific trend, and the indicators and positions are mainly showing the possibility of continuing to accumulate sideways.
For gold to have the conditions for a new bullish cycle, it needs to bring price activity above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, then the target will be around $3,400 in the short term, more than $3,430.
Meanwhile, a pullback, which sees gold sell below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, would open the door to a bearish cycle, with a target of around $3,246 in the short term, rather than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement.
RSI hovering around 50 also suggests a hesitant market sentiment, so the short-term bias for gold is neutral.
Along with that, notable positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: $3,350 – $3,310 – $3,300
Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,430
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3406 - 3404⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3410
→Take Profit 1 3398
↨
→Take Profit 2 3392
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3340 - 3342⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3336
→Take Profit 1 3348
↨
→Take Profit 2 3354
USDJPY – Tactical Short in Weekly Supply or Bullish Breakout?COT & MACRO FLOW (Commitment of Traders)
USD INDEX
Non-commercials still biased short: Longs 16,208 vs Shorts 20,194 (slightly improved, but still negative).
Commercials remain net long, but the open interest is declining → no strong conviction from smart money.
JPY
Non-commercials added significantly to their short exposure (+6,751), while cutting longs (-4,432).
Commercials also cut long exposure heavily (-20,405).
The structure shows institutional bias is clearly bearish on JPY.
Conclusion: JPY weakness confirmed by both commercial and non-commercial flows. USD slightly weaker, but JPY is weaker → supports USDJPY bullish bias.
SEASONALITY (JULY)
USD/JPY tends to be weak in July across most historical averages (5y, 10y, 15y, 20y).
July is historically bearish for USDJPY, especially in the second half of the month.
This seasonality contrasts with COT flows → mixed bias.
RETAIL SENTIMENT
60% of retail traders are SHORT → supports contrarian long view.
Retail volume shows imbalance in positioning, another contrarian bullish signal.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (DAILY CHART)
Price is testing a key weekly FVG zone between 148.4 and 149.2.
RSI has re-entered the overbought region, suggesting potential exhaustion.
Price bounced from the monthly bullish order block (143.5–144.0).
A clear move above 149.50 could invalidate short setups.
🧩 TRADE IDEA (SETUP)
Watch for price to retest 148.4–149.50 zone and react.
RSI divergence + seasonality could offer a short opportunity with confirmation (e.g. engulfing on Daily/H4).
If price breaks above 149.5 with volume → look for continuation to 152.00.
✅ FINAL BIAS
Macro and institutional flows remain in favor of USDJPY longs, but:
Seasonality turns bearish in the second half of July
Price is reaching strong resistance
Retail sentiment supports the long thesis
→ Tactical Short from 149-150 only with confirmation. Otherwise, long continuation above 150.
EURUSD: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 1.16802 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 1.16684.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NAS100 Is Very Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 23,006.9.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 23,667.5 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Lingrid | GBPUSD buying Opportunity from the Demand ZoneFX:GBPUSD is rebounding from the 1.3390 support level after completing a triangle breakdown and retesting the lower support zone. A potential double-bottom pattern is forming near the key support area, signaling a short-term bullish reversal. If bulls reclaim the descending blue trendline, momentum could drive price back toward the 1.3550 resistance level. This retracement would mark a corrective phase within the larger structure, offering an upside opportunity.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: bullish rejection from 1.3390 with recovery above 1.3440
Buy zone: 1.3390–1.3440 (demand and bounce structure)
Target: 1.3550
Invalidation: 4H candle close below 1.3390 support breaks bullish setup
💡 Risks
Failure to break above trendline could result in further consolidation
Macroeconomic news may override technical rebound
Downtrend pressure remains unless higher lows are confirmed
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
EURUSD The 4H MA200 distinguishes bullish from bearish.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a (blue) 2-month Channel Up since the May 12 Low and it just broke below its 4H MA100 (green trend-line). The previous two Bearish Legs of this pattern bottomed (made a Higher Low) on or just above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, the price is very close to the most optimal buy level of this pattern and as long as it holds, we expect to start the new Bullish Leg and target the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (1.20000 our Target just below), which is in line with the previous two Bullish Legs.
If however the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) breaks, we will take the loss on that long and go short as technically the price should seek the bottom of the (dotted) wider Channel Up. Our Target on that occasion will be 1.14000, right at the top of the High Volatility Zone.
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GBP-CAD Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CAD keeps falling down
But a strong horizontal support
Level of 1.8322 is ahead so after
The retest we will be expecting
A local bullish rebound
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Lingrid | SOLUSDT trend Continuation TradeThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . BINANCE:SOLUSDT found strong support around the 155.7 level after a brief pullback and continues to respect the ascending blue trendline. The previous bullish impulse followed by a healthy consolidation suggests a classic trend continuation structure. If buyers defend the current demand zone and reclaim upward momentum, a move toward the 180 resistance zone is likely. This setup aligns with broader bullish market structure and rising channel dynamics.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: confirmed bounce from 155.7 trendline support
Buy zone: 155.7–158.0 (range floor and trendline confluence)
Target: 180.0
Invalidation: breakdown below 155.0 signals structure shift
💡 Risks
Volatility around trendline retest could trigger stop hunts
Failure to reclaim momentum above 165 may lead to ranging
Sudden market-wide weakness could pressure altcoins broadly
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
XAU/USD : Gold at a Turning Point – Rejection or Breakout Ahead?By analyzing the TVC:GOLD (XAUUSD) chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that price climbed to $3330 today, entering a key supply zone, which triggered a pullback down to $3310. Gold is now trading around $3317, and I’m watching several potential setups closely.
Scenario 1:
If gold stabilizes below $3320, we could see a bearish move toward $3296.
Scenario 2:
If price breaks above the $3333 resistance, it may enter the next supply zone between $3341 and $3351, which could trigger a strong rejection—potentially offering a 100 to 400 pip move.
Now let’s break down the key levels to watch:
Supply zones: $3320, $3333, $3342, $3358
Demand zones: $3303, $3296, $3289, $3278
Monitor how price reacts to each of these zones — they may provide excellent opportunities.
ALUMINIUM: Selling opportunity following trendline breakALUMINIUM climbed a steep uptrend but it might meets its end with this recent break through this rising trendline. When price respects a trendline repeatedly, it becomes significant, its break indicating either a potential reversal or major pause in the trend. The candlestick that broke the trendline signals the first hint of structural change.
After breaking, price traced backward to retest the trendline. The retest manifested as a cluster of candles with wicks testing the former trendline but failing to reclaim it. That failure to reclaim, might signal seller conviction and transformation of market structure. But it would need additional confirmation to confirm the signal.
Ideally, what I look for in retests is to be met with a confirming candle, typically a bearish engulfing or marubozu closing below the trendline. This would confirm the sellers have taken over and validate the change from uptrend to potential downtrend or consolidation phase.
If I were to take a side here, I would choose more downside, but again only price action should determine next move.
However, if price breaks back above the trendline with conviction, especially engulfing the retest, it would invalidate the bearish scenario, suggesting that the uptrend may resume with fresh momentum.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Lingrid | PEPEUSDT Corrective Channel BreakoutThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . BINANCE:PEPEUSDT rebounded powerfully from the 0.00000843 support and broke out of the long-standing downward channel, marking the start of a bullish impulse leg. Price is now holding above the breakout point and consolidating above the 0.00001159 structure, setting the stage for continuation. As long as buyers defend this reclaimed level, price could attempt another leg toward the upper resistance zone at 0.00001500. Structure and volume suggest that accumulation is complete and bulls are in control.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: sustained support above 0.00001159 and breakout follow-through
Buy zone: 0.00001100–0.00001159 (former resistance turned support)
Target: 0.00001500
Invalidation: breakdown below 0.00001100 risks trapping longs
💡 Risks
Volatility around breakout retests may shake weak hands
Failure to reclaim momentum at 0.00001250 could stall the push
Re-entry into the old consolidation range may delay upside momentum
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!