Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Technical AnalysisOANDA:XAUUSD market closed February with a significant pullback, creating a wick on the monthly timeframe that retraced over 50% of the recent bullish gains. On the weekly chart, price broke and closed below the lows of the previous two weeks, signaling bearish momentum after an impressive run of eight consecutive bullish weeks. This pattern suggests we may be entering a correction phase with potential for prices to test and possibly break below February's low.
A critical development is the breakout of the upward trendline that had provided support for the past two months. Additionally, the market has dropped below the psychologically important 2900 level. Daily timeframe analysis shows that bearish moves are demonstrating greater strength compared to bullish rebounds.
The current price action might form an ABC correction pattern from resistance, with the A leg already in place. Should the market reject the resistance zone above Friday's high, we could see continued downward pressure and lower prices in the near term.
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Signals
Lingrid | SUIUSDT continues to CONSOLIDATE after SELL OFFBINANCE:SUIUSDT is currently consolidating below the round number of 3.00, and it may continue to move sideways following the recent fake breakout of the support level. The price is still trading within the weekly range, indicating a lack of strong directional momentum. There is a possibility that the price may retest the 2.00 support area, which corresponds to the highs from October, especially since the market has broken below the 3.00 level. Given the sideways movement, I expect the market to retest the recent support level from the psychological level at 3.00 before potentially making further moves downward. My goal is support zone around 2.6630
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Ethereum’s Dip: A Golden Buying Opportunity?Ethereum has been a disappointment for traders.
Many were expecting a new all-time high, but so far, Ethereum has failed to deliver.
However, for speculators like me, this type of market movement presents an ideal trading opportunity.
Recently, ETH reached a key confluence support zone around the psychologically significant $2,000 level, reinforced by multiple technical factors. This setup suggests a strong potential for a reversal.
What’s Next?
✅ The $2,000 support zone remains critical, and I expect it to hold, leading to an upside move.
✅ While not aiming for extreme highs, I’m looking to buy dips near $2,200 with a target around $2,800.
XAU/USD Weekly Analysis XAU/USD Weekly Analysis with support and resistance levels tailored between $2,800 and $3,000:
XAU/USD Weekly Analysis: March 3–7, 2025
🔹 Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) has entered a critical consolidation phase, trading between $2,800 and $3,000. The market remains sensitive to macroeconomic developments, including U.S. jobs data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical events.
🔹 Key Support Levels:
Immediate Support:
$2,835–$2,850: Critical support zone, aligned with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally.
$2,800: Psychological support and a key structural level, reinforced by the 50-day SMA.
Major Support (Downside Breach Scenario):
$2,765–$2,780: Long-term trendline support from the 2024 lows.
$2,735: Key swing low; a break below here could signal a deeper bearish trend.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance:
$2,900–$2,920: Key consolidation range high and near-term target for bullish momentum.
$2,950: Previous week’s high and a critical barrier to further gains.
Major Resistance (Upside Breakout Scenario):
$2,975–$3,000: Psychological resistance and the upper bound of the bullish channel.
$3,075: Fibonacci 127.2% extension and a potential breakout target.
🔹 Technical Scenario Breakdown:
Bullish Case (Breakout):
Trigger: Fed dovishness or USD weakness.
Action: Break above $2,950 confirms bullish momentum.
Targets: $2,975 (psychological level), then $3,075 (breakout extension).
Bearish Case (Reversal):
Trigger: Strong USD or risk-on sentiment.
Action: Breakdown below $2,835 signals bearish shift.
Targets: $2,800 (key support), then $2,765–$2,735 (trendline and swing low).
Neutral/Range-Bound:
Range: $2,835–$2,950.
Action: Fade extremes (buy dips near $2,835, sell rallies near $2,950).
🔹 Price Action Drivers During the Week:
U.S. Jobs Data (March 7):
Weak NFP (<150k jobs) → USD sell-off → Gold rallies toward $2,950–$3,000.
Strong NFP (>250k jobs) → USD strength → Gold tests $2,835–$2,800.
Fed Commentary (March 5):
Hawkish tone → Gold pressured below $2,835.
Dovish tone → Rally toward $2,950+.
Geopolitical Surprises:
Escalations → Safe-haven surge → Gold breaches $2,975–$3,000.
De-escalations → Profit-taking → Drop to $2,800.
🔹 Technical Tools to Monitor:
RSI (14-day): Overbought above 70 indicates pullback risk; oversold below 30 signals potential rebound.
MACD: Bullish crossover above the zero line strengthens upward bias.
Volume: Confirm breakouts above $2,950 with rising volume.
📈 Summary:
Support: $2,835–$2,850 (critical), $2,800 (structural), $2,765–$2,735 (trendline).
Resistance: $2,900–$2,920 (immediate), $2,950 (key breakout), $2,975–$3,000 (psychological).
Catalysts: U.S. data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical factors remain key drivers.
EURUSD Approaching Key Demand Zone – Potential Rebound?OANDA:EURUSD is approaching a key demand zone marked by previous price reactions. This area has historically acted as strong support, leading to bullish moves in the past. The current structure suggests that buyers may step in if the price confirms a rejection from this zone.
If we see bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection or a bullish engulfing candle, the market could push higher toward the 1.04020 level. However, a break below this demand zone would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines.
This setup reflects the potential for a rebound after an impulsive move, supported by past price behavior and market structure.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Gold📌 **Sell:**
✔ In short-term timeframes (M1, M5, M15), both MACD and Stochastic indicate overbought conditions and a potential downward correction.
✔ The M30 timeframe is still in an uptrend, but a pullback to the downside is possible.
🎯 **Conclusion:**
Success rate for selling: ✅ **70%** (more reliable than buying in the short term).
📌 **Strategy:** Short-term selling with a tight stop-loss and a corrective target towards lower support levels.
📌 **Buy:**
✔ In H1 and H4 timeframes, signs of a trend reversal are emerging, but MACD has not yet given a solid confirmation.
✔ If MACD turns bullish on H1 and Stochastic exits oversold territory, buying will be a safer option.
🎯 **Conclusion:**
Success rate for buying: ✅ **55%** (higher risk, requiring more confirmation).
📌 **Strategy:** Wait for MACD confirmation on H1, then enter a buy position upon resistance breakout.
🚀 **Final Recommendation:**
🔹 Enter short-term sell positions in lower timeframes with a tight stop-loss and proper risk management.
🔹 Wait for a confirmed buy signal on H1 and H4, as MACD has not yet turned fully bullish.
🚀 **Short-term selling (scalping) is more probable**, but additional confirmation is needed for a buy position.
### **Suggested Targets Based on Timeframes & MACD + Stochastic Analysis**
🔴 📉 **Sell Targets:**
Considering overbought conditions in lower timeframes and a potential downward correction, the best sell targets based on different timeframes are:
✅ 📌 **First Target:** 2850 (Short-term support in M5 & M15)
✅ 📌 **Second Target:** 2842 (Key support in M30)
✅ 📌 **Third Target:** 2830 - 2825 (Strong support in H1, aligning with the moving average)
🛑 **Stop Loss for Sell Positions:**
🔹 **2862** (Breakout of the current resistance in M15 & M30)
🔹 **2868** (If the price reaches this level, the trend may reverse)
---
🟢 📈 **Buy Targets:**
A **full confirmation from MACD in H1 and H4** is required for a buy setup. However, if the price rebounds from the **2830 support zone**, the following targets are expected:
✅ 📌 **First Target:** 2865 (Initial resistance in H1)
✅ 📌 **Second Target:** 2880 - 2890 (Strong resistance zone in H4)
✅ 📌 **Third Target:** 2915 (Long-term target if resistance levels are broken)
🛑 **Stop Loss for Buy Positions:**
🔹 **2825** (If this level is broken, the downtrend is likely to continue)
🚀 **Suggested Strategy:**
📌 **Short-term sell (scalping) from 2857**, targeting **2850 and 2842**, with a **stop loss at 2862**.
📌 **Buy if confirmed at 2830 - 2825**, targeting **2865 and 2880**, with a **stop loss at 2825**.
🔍 **Important:** Before entering positions, confirm with **trading volume and candlestick patterns in higher timeframes**. 🚀
Btcusd weekly chart (btcusd)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis
1. Potential Continuation Above Resistance (95,300)
The current analysis assumes rejection at 95,300 and a drop toward 78,118. However, a strong breakout above 95,300 could trigger a rally toward 100,000 or higher.
If Bitcoin consolidates above 95,300, it may act as a new support, rather than a rejection zone.
2. Volume Confirmation on the Breakout
The price surged significantly (+9.09%), suggesting strong bullish momentum.
Instead of expecting an immediate rejection, watch for high volume confirming a potential continuation upward.
3. Higher Low Formation Instead of a Drop
The chart expects a fall back to 78,118, but the price may form a higher low around 85,000 – 88,000 before resuming the uptrend.
A retracement to this range (not all the way down to 78,118) would still be healthy in a bull market.
4. Market Sentiment Shift
The sharp upward movement suggests buying pressure rather than an exhaustion move.
If 95,300 is tested again and breaks, it could lead to a parabolic move instead of a reversal
Solana’s 60% Correction: Time to Buy the Dip?After reaching an all-time high around the $300 zone, Solana experienced a sharp decline of approximately 60%, dropping to a key support level above $120.
This pullback could present a strong buying opportunity for speculators anticipating a reversal toward $200.
Conclusion:
✅ Dips below $140 should be considered potential entry points.
✅ The setup becomes invalid if the price closes below $120 on a daily basis.
✅ A move toward $200 remains a reasonable and achievable target.
Xauusd weekly charts gold big fall soon opportunity (XAUUSD) Alternative (Bullish) Analysis
1. Support Strength at 2820
The chart suggests that price may drop to 2820, but this area has shown strong support historically
Instead of further breakdown, a strong bounce from this level could lead to a bullish reversal.
2. Potential False Breakdown
The resistance at 2864 is marked as a selling zone, but if price breaks above it, it could trigger stop-losses for short positions, fueling a rally.
If price consolidates above 2864, it could invalidate the bearish projection.
3. Trend Line Reversal
The chart shows a downtrend, but if price breaks above the descending trend line, it would signal a trend reversal rather than continuation.
A bullish breakout above 2864 could target 2900+ levels.
4. Economic Events Impact
The economic events marked (likely U.S. data releases) could trigger volatility.
If these reports are weaker than expected, gold could rally as investors seek safe-haven assets.
Conclusion
While the original chart suggests a bearish move, there's a strong case for a bullish reversal if the support at 2820 holds and price breaches the 2864 resistance. Instead of shorting aggressively, traders should watch for confirmation signals before committing to a bearish or bullish bias
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 03 - March 07]OANDA:XAUUSD this week were under pressure to take profits. After opening this week at 2,934 USD/oz, gold prices rose to 2,956 USD/oz, but then continuously dropped to 2,832 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,858 USD/oz. Thus, gold prices this week dropped sharply after 8 consecutive weeks of increases.
The reason why gold prices dropped sharply this week is because the USD continued to increase strongly compared to many other major currencies. Market sentiment changed slightly after the US announced the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) for January 2025. Accordingly, PCE increased by 2.5% over the same period last year, thus down from 2.6% in December 2024 and in line with market expectations. Meanwhile, core PCE, excluding fluctuating food and energy prices, also increased 2.6% year-on-year, but down from 2.9% in December 2024 and in line with forecasts.
Notably, in the recent meeting, US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had many disagreements and could not reach any agreement to contribute to an early end to the war between Russia and Ukraine. This is a factor that may increase gold's role as a haven, but it is unlikely to push gold prices up sharply next week, perhaps just a slight recovery before adjusting again.
There will be a lot of data released next week, but the US February non-farm payrolls (NFP) report will be of particular interest to investors. According to forecasts, NFP is expected to reach 156,000 jobs, compared to 143,000 jobs in January. If NFP reaches the forecast level, it will not affect the Fed's interest rate policy direction, unless NFP increases far beyond the threshold of 200,000 jobs. Therefore, NFP news is likely to have little impact on gold prices next week.
In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
Next week, the market will focus on jobs data, with the US February non-farm payrolls report released on Friday morning.
Other key economic events include the Eurozone FMCG and US ISM manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP jobs report and US ISM services PMI on Wednesday, and weekly unemployment data on Thursday.
The other big event of the week is the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision on Thursday, with many experts expecting the ECB to make another interest rate cut.
📌Technically, gold prices next week may continue to adjust, with the level of 2,790 USD/oz being an important support level. If next week's gold price stays above this level, it will increase slightly to 2,900 USD/oz. On the contrary, if gold prices fall below 2,790 USD/oz next week, there is a risk of a deeper correction.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,814 – 2,835USD
Resistance: 2,900 – 2,868USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2955
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2739 - 2741⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2735
DXY Is Going Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 107.566.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 108.420 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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ETHUSD WEEKLY CHARTS (ETHUSD)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis
1. Potential Breakout Above 2835 Resistance
The current analysis assumes Ethereum will reject from the 2835 resistance and drop back to 2146.
However, given the strong upward momentum (+13.46%), ETH could break above 2835 instead of reversing.
A daily close above 2835 could trigger a rally toward 3000+.
2. Support Holding at Higher Levels
Instead of expecting a drop to 2146, ETH may form a higher low around 2400 – 2500, which would confirm bullish continuation.
If it retests 2500 and holds, it could bounce back up toward the resistance and push higher.
3. Volume & Momentum Confirmation
The sharp breakout suggests strong buying pressure.
If volume remains high, ETH could invalidate the resistance level and start a new uptrend.
4. Market Sentiment & Macro Factors
If Bitcoin remains bullish, Ethereum will likely follow suit, pushing above resistance levels.
The broader crypto market’s strength could support a continuation rather than a rejection.
Conclusion
Instead of expecting a double-top rejection at 2835, traders should watch for a potential breakout. If ETH stabilizes above 2500, it could lead to a move toward 3000, rather than a drop to 2146
EUR/USD: Is History Repeating? Key Levels to Watch NowHey Realistic Traders, Will FX:EURUSD Repeat its Bearish Cycle? Let’s dive into the analysis...
On the H4 chart, EUR/USD is trading below the 200-day EMA once again, signaling that the bearish trend is still in play. This downward movement has been reinforced by a rising wedge breakout, a common pattern that often leads to further declines.
Just a few days ago, we spotted a similar bearish breakout in FX:EURUSD , which resulted in a continued drop. As traders, we follow the Dow Theory principle: "History Repeats Itself ." Based on this idea, we expect the price to follow the same pattern, keeping the bearish momentum intact.
Looking ahead, EUR/USD could move lower toward the first target at 1.02861 and, if selling pressure continues, potentially reach the second target at 1.02205. These targets are based on previous price movements and key historical support levels.
However, this bearish scenario depends on the price staying below the critical stop-loss level at Stop Loss 1.05039
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: “Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on FX:EURUSD ”.
DXY Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY is trading in an uptrend
And the index is already making
A bullish rebound from the
Rising support line so we are
Bullish biased and we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Reaction and move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
GBPCHF - Potential Buy Setup at Key Support LevelOANDA:GBPCHF is currently approaching the lower boundary of the ascending channel, aligning with a key support zone where buyers may step in.
This area has previously acted as a strong support level, suggesting that if the price confirms a bullish rejection, we could see a move higher toward the 1.13750 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. However, a break below this trendline would invalidate the bullish outlook and could lead to further downside.
This setup reflects a potential bounce from channel support, in line with the prevailing uptrend.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments! 🚀
GBPUSD Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.257.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.235 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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ETHUSD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for ETHUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 2,224.8.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 2,506.1 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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