Signals
Lingrid | ARBUSDT buying OPPORTUNITY in Consolidation ZONEBINANCE:ARBUSDT market is currently consolidating around the 0.7000 price level. Trading below the downward trendline, and break above this may signal a potential end of pullback in the market. A similar pattern has been observed in other markets, where the markets made fake breakout of the December low saw. In this scenario, I anticipate the market may dip below the formed range before rebounding from the support level and channel border. Notably, the market has already made a significant 60% retracement since its bullish trend witnessed in November 2024. My goal is resistance zone around 0.8000
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GBP_JPY RISKY SHORT|
✅GBP_JPY is retesting a resistance level of 195.000
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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DOGE about to rally on Double Bottom Bullish Cross signalDogecoin (DOGEUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 20 2024 bottom. A very distinct buy signal emerges every time the price makes a Double Bottom near the Higher Lows trend-line of the pattern and the 4H MACD forms two Bullish Crosses in a row.
As you can see, this has already happened two times, with the price reaching at least the 2.618 Fibonacci extension for a Higher High and this is the 3rd time within the Channel Up that we see this indicator combo.
As a result, we turn bullish short-term, targeting 0.43250 (Fib 2.618 ext).
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Dear Bitcoin, is't about time...For over a month, Bitcoin's price action has been rather frustrating, as it has remained stuck in a range. The key support level is clearly at 90k, while resistance is around 108k.
Recently, the price tested the resistance level again and has since entered another consolidation phase.
On the positive side, this consolidation appears to be a buildup, potentially signaling an imminent breakout above 110k.
As long as the price holds above 100k, we can reasonably expect this breakout to happen sooner rather than later.
As I’ve mentioned before, the target level for this move is around 130k.
The Psychology Of Markets: A Deep Dive Into Sentiment IndicatorsMarket dynamics are mainly driven by the interaction between available assets and market demand. These forces are shaped by both retail participants and professional market makers. Public sentiment reacts strongly to media coverage and market news. When negative speculation (FUD) spreads, it tends to cause selling pressure, while positive news stimulates buying activity. This can be seen now for example in the world of crypto markets when prices react sharply to world events. And while mathematical indicators track price patterns, there are specific metrics that measure collective market psychology. Let's take a look at the key indicators that measure crowd behavior.
📍 Key Market Psychology Metrics
1. Volatility Assessment (VIX)
The Volatility Index, commonly referred to as TVC:VIX or the market's "pulse of fear," quantifies market turbulence expectations. Developed at CBOE, this tool projects anticipated market fluctuations for a 30-day window by analyzing S&P 500 options data.
📍 VIX Calculation Method:
◾️ Evaluates SP:SPX derivative contracts expiring within 30 days
◾️ Implements sophisticated mathematical modeling, including weighted calculations and interpolative methods
◾️ Synthesizes individual volatility projections into a comprehensive market volatility forecast
📍 Practical Applications
VIX serves as a psychological barometer where:
Readings below 15 indicate market stability
15-25 suggests mild uncertainty
25-30 reflects growing market anxiety
Readings above 30 signal significant turbulence potential
The index also functions as a risk management instrument, enabling portfolio protection strategies through VIX-based derivatives.
2. Market Sentiment Gauge
CNN's proprietary sentiment measurement combines seven distinct market variables to assess whether fear or optimism dominates trading activity. This metric operates on the principle that extreme fear can trigger unnecessary sell-offs, while excessive optimism might inflate valuations unsustainably.
📍 Core Components:
◾️ Price Momentum . Compares current market prices to recent average prices. Helps understand if stocks are trending up or down
◾️ New High/Low Stock Ratios. Measures how many stocks are hitting their highest/lowest points. Indicates overall market health and investor confidence
◾️ Market-Wide Directional Trends. Tracks which stocks are rising or falling. Shows general market movement and investor sentiment
◾️ Options Trading Patterns. Analyzes buying and selling of market protection options. Reveals how investors are preparing for potential market changes
◾️ Market Volatility Metrics. Measures market price fluctuations. Higher volatility suggests more investor uncertainty
◾️ High-Yield Bond Spread Analysis . Compares returns on risky versus safe bonds. Indicates investors' willingness to take financial risks
◾️ Comparative Yield Assessment . Compares returns from stocks versus government bonds. Helps understand where investors prefer to put their money
The measurement spans 0-100:
0-24: Pervasive fear
25-49: Cautious sentiment
50-74: Optimistic outlook
75-100: Excessive optimism
3. Individual Investor Sentiment Analysis (AAII Survey)
The American Association of Individual Investors conducts systematic polling to capture retail market participants' outlook. This weekly assessment provides insights into non-institutional investors' expectations for market direction over a six-month horizon. The methodology offers valuable perspective on collective retail sentiment trends.
Survey Structure : Participants respond to a focused query about market trajectory, selecting from three possible scenarios:
Optimistic outlook (Bullish) - anticipating market appreciation
Pessimistic view (Bearish) - expecting market decline
Neutral stance - projecting sideways movement
📍 Practical Applications
◾️ Contrarian Signal. Extreme readings often suggest potential market reversals. For instance, widespread pessimism might indicate oversold conditions, while excessive optimism could signal overbought markets.
◾️ Sentiment Tracking. The data helps contextualize retail investor psychology within current market conditions.
◾️ Historical Pattern Analysis. Current sentiment readings gain additional meaning when compared against historical trends.
Note: While informative, this metric specifically reflects retail sentiment and should be considered alongside institutional positioning and broader market indicators.
4. Market Participation Breadth
Market breadth analysis examines the distribution of price movements across securities to evaluate market health beyond headline index levels. This methodology assesses whether market moves reflect broad participation or concentrated activity in specific securities.
📍 Key Breadth Metrics
◾️ Advancing vs. Declining Issues . Tracks the numerical comparison between appreciating and depreciating securities
◾️ Net Advance-Decline . Calculates the cumulative difference between rising and falling stocks to identify underlying momentum
◾️ Participation Ratio . Establishes the proportion of advancing to declining securities
◾️ Moving Average Analysis . Monitors the percentage of stocks trading above key technical levels (20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages)
📍 Practical Applications
◾️ Trend Validation. Strong market breadth confirms price trends, while deteriorating breadth may signal potential reversals
◾️ Early Warning System . Divergences between price action and breadth often precede significant market shifts
◾️ Trend Strength Assessment. Broad participation in market moves typically indicates more sustainable trends
This analytical framework provides deeper insight into market dynamics beyond surface-level price movements, helping investors and traders better understand the underlying strength or weakness of current market conditions.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Traders MindsetLet’s talk about mindset! You hear everyone saying; mindset is the most important in trading. But what is having “the right mindset” ?
Now here is a little secret. Mindset is not just being focused on the money. “I must be profitable”. No. Having the right mindset is having a set of attitudes. Quite literally the definition..
Mindset /ˈmʌɪn(d)sɛt/
noun (usually in singular) the established set of attitudes held by someone.
How you approach the market is very important.
Have a set of rules for yourself.
- Do I have a trading plan? Having a trading plan is important. It helps you follow something day in and day out.
- Do I have good market conditions? Having good market conditions is important as it helps you make more clear decisions. Trading in sideways markets usually ends badly. It forces the trader to become impatient and entering too soon, expecting a breakout to either side usually leads to loses.
- Do I know the risk? Understanding the risk before you enter the trade is important. Majority of traders over-leverage, meaning they use high leverage thus being able to open higher lot size positions. That usually leads to blown accounts. Knowing what you are risking, eliminates a lot of the emotions.
- Do I have any confirmations? Whether that’s a break, a pullback, fundamentals supporting your view that’s great! Having confirmations on your analysis or trade is important.
- Is this trade forced? Am I being nervous before entering? Am I not sure? Am I gambling on this trade? Understanding your emotions is important. Ever felt like this when you opened a trade, knowing you shouldn’t and it instantly went against you? Avoid these trades.
One more thing I would like to add. Ever been stuck to your screen 24/7? Lost sleep over a trade. Here is a fact. You watching the chart, won’t change its path. Sad truth. There is nothing wrong with following your trade, but if you are watching your losing trade, then I already know where it leads. You do too. Avoid this. Going back to the #1 rule. Know your risk before entering. Eliminate emotions.
Having the right mindset is following your own rules and having a set of habits. Habits that help you to grow as a trader. Eliminate bad habits. Review your past trades. You all know why you lost a trade. But will you look for an excuse? “Ah the market did a liquidity sweep” or “market is manipulated”. The market is never wrong. You as a trader are.
Don’t celebrate wins or mourn loses on your account. Treat it as your full time job. You have some good days, you have some bad days. You win, you move on. You lose, you move on. As long as you are following the trading plan, you will succeed.
Understanding this, combined with experience will grow you as a trader. And guess what the by product of this is? Money.
So don’t focus on money. Focus on self-growth, mindset, experience and upgrading your skillset of trading. Money will be the byproduct of your journey.
Create your mindset plan. A set of rules for yourself. Try doing it for 30 days. Come back to this post and tell us if you have improved.
Nothing or no one is stopping you from being a successful trader but yourself. It’s not the market and no it’s not the broker.
Majority of traders quit after blowing a few accounts. The rest stick around for years but make no progress. Only a few % of them actually find the meaning behind it and succeed.
What’s the secret? Signals? Prop Firms? Account managers? EA’s? No. Sure all these things can benefit you slightly. But what truly is the secret to being successful in trading?
You! You are the secret. Understanding yourself, your emotions, your reactions to certain events. Trading is a mirror of you. An amplified picture of you. Are you impatient? Scared? Nervous? Greedy? Forex will amplify those emotions.
The biggest battle you have to win is the battle with yourself. Not the market.
Trading is easy, you have a trading plan, you stick to it. Sometimes you may have a loosing week, happens right? But as long as you are sticking to your strategy, understanding the market, using a positive R:R and understanding the importance of consistency you should be fine. But here is the hard part. Your reactions. Your emotions.
Let’s take for example NFP Data release. Weeks or even months of progress can be wiped out due to irrational decisions during news. Don’t be that trader. Suppress your emotions, don’t get greedy. Take a jab at the market, but only after the data is out.
Remember, no one is stopping you from being a successful trader, but yourself.
A key element added to a traders mindset is PATIENCE .
patience /ˈpeɪʃns/
(noun) - the capacity to accept or tolerate delay, problems, or suffering without becoming annoyed or anxious.
That’s the definition of patience. Trading is a stressful field. Not only does your analysis have to be on point, you have to be focused, have a trading plan, use proper risk to reward ratio… so many factors and then comes the patience. We already know that the market always provides unexpected problems. It plays with our emotions, ranges, does not move, goes against us etc.
How many times have you entered in a position and the price started to range, while you float in loss? You start doubting, you get scared and you close the position. Or even worse, you get stopped out. Later in the day you check the chart and you see your Take Profit (TP) would have been hit, but only if you were more patient?
Or how many times have you had an A+ setup, everything was going to plan but you closed it early because you wanted to secure the profit?
Being a good trader is hard, but it’s not impossible. Discipline is everything as well as patience. Without patience you are bound to lose.
From talking to many people, you would be surprised at how many of them want to “flip” their account. “Do you think I can make 2000$ this week” with 1000$ in their account.
We will always advocate for patience. Playing the long game. Consistency + patience will get you far.
Check some of the last trades you did. Were you patient? Ask yourself. Majority can find themselves in these stories.
Work on your patience, and you will get far.
For example, check out this long-term analysis on XAUUSD (Gold) posted on January 9th. Now we did close it earlier, but we still managed to secure +500 pips (50$ price action) in 3 days of holding. Patience.
This post was made due to a high request of people liking our minds, so it has all been posted in a single educational post.
FxPocket
GBPUSD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.247.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.240.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GOLD Is Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 2,770.874.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 2,759.181 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Lingrid | GOLD expecting Short-Term RETRACEMENT from ATH zoneAs I mentioned yesterday, the OANDA:XAUUSD moved higher, resulting in a bearish divergence on the 4H timeframe. On the weekly timeframe, we observe even more significant bearish divergence. Given that we have high-impact news today, we should exercise caution, as the price may experience spikes. Currently, the price is testing the channel border, and I expect a pullback that might close below the November high. If the market fails to close below the November high, then next week, the price may continue to move to higher levels. My goal is support zone around 2725
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
EUR-USD Strong Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading in a
Local uptrend and the pair
Made a bullish breakout of
The key horizontal level
Of 1.0458 which reinforces
Our bullish bias and will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Lingrid | EURJPY test of the MAJOR Resistance ZONE. LongFX:EURJPY market has broken through the resistance zone and is now moving toward the main resistance level. Overall, the market is currently in a range zone on the daily timeframe, with the price updating its swing highs at resistance and forming a distinct range. The market recently bounced off the support level and the trendline that had kept the price below for the week. I anticipate a price expansion from the support level, followed by a retest of the key resistance zone. My goal is resistance zone around 164.000
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
US100 Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for US100.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 21,855.7.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 21,446.9 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPCAD Approaching Resistance – Anticipating a PullbackOANDA:GBPCAD is approaching a key resistance zone. The current market structure shows a sharp rally into this zone, suggesting potential for pullback if sellers step in.
I anticipate that if the price confirms rejection within this resistance zone, marked by bearish candlestick patterns or clear wicks, the market may move downward toward the 1.78455 level.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!"
GBPJPY at Key Support – Bullish Bounce ExpectedOANDA:GBPJPY is approaching a significant support zone. The current market structure suggests the potential for a bullish reaction if price action confirms rejection through signals such as bullish engulfing candles, long lower wicks, or increased buying volume.
If the support holds, I anticipate a move upward toward the 193.300 level, aligning with the expectation of a short-term reversal. However, if the price breaches this zone and sustains below it, the bullish outlook may be invalidated, potentially opening the door for further downside.
Traders should remain cautious and wait for confirmation before entering long positions. Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical support zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities. Proper risk management is advised to navigate potential volatility.
SILVER at Key Resistance: Bearish Bounce ExpectedOANDA:XAGUSD has reached a critical resistance zone, marked by price rejections and strong selling interest. Recently, this area has consistently led to bearish reversals.
If sellers regain control and rejection signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or strong upper wicks, appear, I anticipate a move toward 30.54973. If the price breaks above this resistance, however, it could invalidate the bearish scenario.
Traders should monitor this level closely and wait for confirmation before entering short positions. If this analysis resonates with you or you have a different perspective, feel free to discuss in the comments!
US30 Bullish Setup: Bounce from Channel SupportThe US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is trading within a rising channel, indicating a bullish market structure. The price has recently bounced off the channel's lower boundary, which aligns with a key support zone around 42,000. This area has acted as a strong level where buyers regained control.
The overall trend remains bullish, as seen in the series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) within the channel. If the price forms bullish confirmation patterns, I anticipate an upward move targeting the 44,500 level.
Traders should watch for confirmation signals, such as strong bullish candlesticks or higher lows on lower time frames, before entering long positions.
XAU/USD Analysis: Strong Bullish Outlook and Key Trading LevelsAs you know, my overall outlook on Gold (XAU/USD) is bullish, and I anticipate a new all-time high in the near future.
However, yesterday, I highlighted the potential for a short-term correction, identifying the 2725-2730 zone as possible support.
While the price did experience a pullback, it didn’t quite reach this level, but my pending sell order wasn’t activated either. As a result, I stayed out of the market.
Looking at price action since the start of the year, it’s evident that every dip has been aggressively bought.
This was especially clear yesterday, as after a significant rally and the test of a key resistance level, the price didn’t even manage to drop to the median line of the ascending channel.
The conclusion is simple: XAU/USD is strongly bullish.
Key Levels and Strategy:
In this context, the only viable strategy is to buy dips. The key levels of interest are:
• 2760 – a critical level to watch for potential entries.
• 2735 – yesterday’s low and another area of potential support.
The next target for a potential high could be set around 2840, based on the current market structure.
Final Thoughts
Given the strong bullish momentum, patience and precise entries will be essential for achieving good risk:reward. Look for pullbacks to the key levels mentioned above as opportunities to join the trend.
Happy trading, and let’s aim for that new all-time high!