Lingrid | GOLD possible CONSOLIDATION Following a Fake BreakThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the take profit level. OANDA:XAUUSD appears to have made a false break of Tuesday and Wednesday's highs before reversing. Currently, the market is forming a bearish long-tailed bar on the daily timeframe, which may indicate a deeper correction or a consolidation zone between the 3100 and 3140 levels. If the price pulls back toward the support level, I believe it may rebound from there. Given the upward trendline and channel border, this area could serve as an optimal entry point in anticipation of further upward movement. However, with high-impact news scheduled for today, we should remain vigilant, as the market may experience increased volatility. My goal is resistance zone around 3160
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Signals
Lingrid | GOLD Pre-NFP Price ACTION in the MarketOANDA:XAUUSD market has spiked down, dipping below the 3100 level. The previous daily candle is a large doji, indicating that the market is consolidating. I think the price may continue to move sideways until the NFP data is released. It’s possible that the price will create a triangle pattern, with the current weekly candle closing near the previous week’s high. The price has almost tested the 3050 level and subsequently bounced off that level, suggesting that there may be potential for a continued upward movement. Overall, we should watch for developments around these key levels, especially as we approach the NFP release. My goal is resistance zone around 3129
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Gold’s Wild Ride: Is the Correction Over?Yesterday was an insane day for Gold—while I expected a strong drop to at least 3,080, I didn’t anticipate such a sharp reversal after the sell-off.
Now, the big question is: Has Gold finished correcting, or is more downside coming?
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Why I Expect Another Wave of Selling
📉 Gold Still Looks Vulnerable – Despite the rebound, I don’t believe the correction is over.
📉 Key Resistance Established – The 3,135–3,140 zone has now formed a strong ceiling, limiting upside potential.
📉 Selling Rallies Remains the Plan – Even with yesterday’s bounce back above 3,100, my outlook remains unchanged.
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Trading Plan: Selling Spikes During NFP
🔻 Looking for price spikes during the NFP report as opportunities to sell into strength.
🔻 Targeting a new leg down toward the 3,030 support zone.
The correction is likely not done yet—let’s see if the market confirms it. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
BITCOIN is exactly where it's supposed to be.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under heavy pressure lately due to the trade tariffs but as long-term investors, we shouldn't let this volatility affect us.
The MVRV has been one of the most consistent cyclical Top (sell high) and Bottom (buy low) indicators giving only a maximum of two optimal signals in each Cycle and it shows that the market is nowhere near a Top.
On the contrary the MVRV has spend the first 3 months of the year correcting from the 0.382 Fibonacci level to the 0.236. This is the exact same score it had i March 2017. Even in the other two Cycles that wasn't this low on Fibonacci levels, it still made a correction, flashing a red signal.
As the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) continues to support, there are far more greater probabilities that the market will recover, turning the recent trade volatility into the best buy opportunity of 2025.
As far as a Cycle Top is concerned, it has always been an excellent exit signal when the MVRV hit the 0.786 Fib.
So do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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S&P500 down -4.84%, worst day since 2020 COVID crash! GAME OVER?The S&P500 (SPX) had yesterday its worst 1D closing (-4.84%) in exactly 5 years since the COVID flash crash started on March 11 2020 (-4.89%). Not even during the 2022 Inflation Crisis did the index post such strong losses in a day.
Obviously amidst the market panic, the question inside everyone's minds is this: 'Are we in a Bear Market?'. The only way to view this is by looking at SPX's historic price action and on this analysis we are doing so by examining the price action on he 1W time-frame since the 2008 Housing Crisis.
As you can see, starting from the Inflation Crisis bottom in March 2009, we've had 4 major market corrections (excluding the March 2020 COVID flash crash which was a Black Swan event). All of them made contact with the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and immediately rebounded to start a new Bull Cycle. Those Bull Cycles typically lasted for around 3 years and peaked at (or a little after) the red vertical lines, which is the distance measured from the October 15 2007 High to the May 07 2011 High, the first two Cycle Highs of the dataset that we use as the basis to time the Cycles on this model.
The Sine Waves (dotted) are used to illustrate the Cycle Tops (not bottoms), so are the Time Cycles (dashed). This helps at giving a sense of the whole Cycle trend and more importantly when the time to sell may be coming ahead of a potential Cycle Top.
This model shows that the earliest that the current Cycle should peak is the week of August 11 2025. If it comes a little later (as with the cases of October 01 2018 and June 01 2015), then it could be within November - December 2025.
The shortest correction to the 1W MA200 has been in 2011, which only lasted 22 weeks (154 days). The longest is the whole 2008 Housing Crisis (73 weeks, 511 days). All other three 1W MA200 corrections have lasted for less than a year.
On another note, the 1W RSI just hit the 34.50 level. Since the 2009 bottom, the market has only hit that level 5 times. All produces immediate sharp rebounds. The December 17 2018, March 16 2020 and August 15 2011 RSI tests have been bottoms while May 09 2022 and August 24 2015 bottomed later but still produced sharp bear market rallies before the eventual bottom.
Uncertainty is obviously high but these are the facts and the hard technical data. Game over for stocks or this is a wonderful long-term buy opportunity? The conclusions are yours.
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Gold new ATH at 3,168: A Final Push Before the Drop?Yesterday was a high-volatility day, and we all know why.
Gold surged to yet another all-time high at 3,168, and luckily, I had already closed my sell trade around break-even—otherwise, my stop loss would have been triggered.
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Gold Still Set for a Hard Drop?
Despite the rally, my outlook remains unchanged—I still believe Gold is due for a significant correction.
📉 3,100 Held as Support – But buyers are struggling to hold onto gains around 3150
📉 Every New High is a Selling Opportunity – So far, Gold has failed to sustain its breakouts, reinforcing a potential distribution phase.
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Trading Plan: Selling the Rallies
🔻 Target: At least 3,080
🔻 Preferred Strategy: Continue selling into rallies
For now, I remain bearish and will keep looking for opportunities to short the market. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Nasdaq's Drop: A Temporary Rebound Before More Downside?I've been calling for a strong correction in the Nasdaq (and all major U.S. indices) since the start of the year—long before the tax war even began. I warned that a break below 20,000 was likely, with my final target set around 17,500.
And indeed, the index has fallen—regardless of what the so-called "cause" might be. Right now, Nasdaq is trading at 18,400, sitting right at a minor horizontal support zone.
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A Short-Term Rebound Before More Downside?
📉 Overall Bias Remains Bearish – The broader trend still points lower.
📈 Rebound Likely – A push above 19,000 in the coming days wouldn’t be surprising.
⚠️ High-Risk Setup – Going long here is risky, given the current macroeconomic backdrop.
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Trading Strategy: Short-Term vs. Long-Term
✅ For Short-Term Traders & Speculators – A temporary upside correction could offer a buying opportunity.
❌ For Swing & Long-Term Traders – It's better to wait for this rebound to fade and position short for the next leg down.
While a bounce could be on the cards, the bigger picture still points lower—I remain bearish in the long run. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
DAX Ultimate buy signal on the 1D MA200 approaching.DAX is having a brutal sell-off, which wasn't technically unexpected as the index made a Higher High on March 06 at the top of its 2.5-year Channel Up. The 1D RSI is already oversold (below 30.00), which is the initial long-term buy signal. Out of the last 3 times the 1D RSI was oversold only on September 26 2023 it extended the downtrend. The other 2 times, it was an immediate buy signal.
The ultimate buy signal, if you want to wait for it, was last time (August 05 2024 Low) when the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) broke. The minimum rally DAX had following such a bottom was +11.73%, which gives us a short-term Target of 21900 and the maximum (but still the bad case scenario of the 3 Bullish Legs) +29.48%, which gives a long-term Target of 25400.
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Lingrid | SOLUSDT testing MARCH low. Short OpportunityBINANCE:SOLUSDT market is making lower lows and lower closes, indicating a bearish trend. It is slowly approaching the key psychological level at 100.00 while currently testing the previous month's low. The price broke and closed below the upward trendline that had been holding for a couple of weeks. I think the price may continue to move lower toward the key support level, and there is a possibility it could push even lower. Furthermore, the price has been consolidating around the 120.00 level, demonstrating significant bearish sentiment in the market. I expect the price to move lower, possibly breaking below the March low. My goal is support zone around 102.00
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Lingrid | CADJPY channel BREAKOUT. Potential Bearish MoveFX:CADJPY market recently broke and closed below the upward channel and following the channel breakout, the price has formed a range zone around 130.500. On the 1H timeframe, the market is making lower lows, while the daily timeframe shows a large engulfing candle, suggesting that the correction may be coming to an end. Given that today we have high-impact news, we can expect increased volatility in the market. I think that the price may move lower if it remains below the 104.000 resistance zone. My goal is support zone around 102.500
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Crypto Sell-Off: Is Solana Headed for $80?Without a doubt, Solana was the hottest topic in the crypto market last year and at the start of this one—especially with the meme coin craze.
However, after peaking near $300, the price began to decline in what initially appeared to be a normal correction. But once Solana broke below the $200 mark, things turned ugly, and the price quickly dropped to the key $120 support zone—a level that held strong over the past year.
Now, it looks like Solana is on the verge of breaking below this support, which could trigger an acceleration toward $80, with the $100 psychological level as an intermediate stop.
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Why the Downside is Likely to Continue
📉 Bulls Can’t Hold Gains – Short-term rallies are fading fast, showing a lack of real buying strength.
📉 Bearish Engulfing Candle – Yesterday’s price action printed a lower high, adding further pressure on support.
📉 $120 Breakdown Incoming? – If this level fails, expect a sharp decline toward $80.
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Trading Plan: Selling Under $130
🔻 Sell Rallies Below $130 – Targeting a move to $80 in the medium term.
🔻 Only a Sustained Move Above $130 – Would shift Solana to a neutral stance—not bullish by any means.
For now, the bearish pressure remains, and selling rallies is the strategy to follow. 🚀
BTCUSDT: Signs of discounts are still noticeableBINANCE:BTCUSDT breaking below the support of the local rising wedge on the basis of a downtrend (falling wedge) has been formed. And now there is no reason for Bitcoin to move higher or to be honest:
"Just focus on selling because the risk of buying at this moment is high due to the newly announced reciprocal tariffs by President Trump, highlighting the increasing risk of Bitcoin in relation to macroeconomic uncertainties. I think we will drop much lower than 76,000 USD, as you may know from my previous analysis."
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GBP_NZD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅GBP_NZD is trading along
The rising support
And as the pair will soon retest it
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels
Above at 2.2659
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold returns to a sharp decline?Dear friends!
Gold has a downward trend today, with the current price fluctuating around 3,097 dollars. The main reason is due to the tax measures of U.S. President Donald Trump, which help clarify the market trend but raise concerns about economic recession, thereby boosting the demand for USD, leading to an increase in its value, which affects gold.
From a technical perspective, it is not advisable to buy at this moment, as the risk is high, and for selling, we should wait for the price to establish a clear trend.
At present, it is most worth waiting for consolidation on the basis of a downward trend, as the market will sharply hit important milestones that you can build your trading strategy upon.
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DXY just broke below the 1W MA200 after 6 months!The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) broke today below its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 6 months (since the week of September 30 2024). By doing so, it has almost hit the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up.
The last contact with the 1W MA200 initiated a massive Bullish Leg two weeks after, so it would be an encouraging development if the candle holds here or better yet even close above the 1W MA200.
If it does, we expect a new strong Bullish Leg to start, targeting initially at least the 0.786 horizontal (blue) Fibonacci level at 108.000.
If not, the 2-year Support Zone is the last defense, with 99.600 as its lowest level (the July 10 2023 Low). Below that, a multi-year downtrend for DXY awaits.
Notice however, the incredible 1W RSI symmetry between selling sequences. Since January 2023, we've had two -54.50% declines. Right now, the current decline since January 2025 is exactly at -54.50%. If DXY rebounds here, it will confirm this amazing symmetry.
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JP MORGAN won't give a better buy opportunity in 2025.Last time we looked at JP Morgan Chase (JPM) on November 27 2024 (see chart below), it gave us a clear sell signal that went straight to our $236 Target:
Now that the price rebounded not only on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but also on the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up, we are switching back to buying a we even got the first pull-back on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Given that the 1D RSI also rebounded from oversold (<30.00) territory like the October 27 2023 Low did, we expect a similar Bullish Leg to follow and thus our Target is $330 at the top of the Channel Up.
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NAS100 Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 18,411.4.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 18,773.6.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BITCOIN Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 84,393.94.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 81,267.75 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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COPPER The 1D MA50 is the key.Last time we looked at Copper (HG1!) was on January 24 (see chart below) giving a buy signal that easily hit our 4.6550 Target:
This time the market is in front of a critical moment. The 2025 pattern has been a Channel Up, which last Wednesday reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Up. As long as the 2025 pattern holds, the recent pull-back is a buy opportunity targeting 5.3745.
If the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breaks however, we expect a quick dive, rebound re-test and rejection, similar to July 05 2024. In that case, we will target the bottom of the 1-year Channel Up at 4.150.
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