USDCHF Will Go Down From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.882.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.866.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Signals
GBPAUD Will Go Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 2.056.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 2.044 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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XAUUSD The 4H MA50 makes all the difference.Gold (XAUUSD) is so far maintaining its long-term bullish trend and will continues to do so even on the short-term, as long as it holds the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). There are three different Channel Up patterns involved and as long as the 4H MA50 holds, the (dotted) short-term Channel targets 3080 at least.
If the price breaks below the 4H MA50 and the dotted Channel Up, it would be best to close any buys and short instead, targeting the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) at 2960. It has to be said that every time the 4H RSI traded downwards as it has since Wednesday, a stronger pull-back to the bottom of the long-term Channel Up took place, so that has to favor 2960.
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NZDCAD - Buy Setup at Key Support LevelOANDA:NZDCAD is approaching a key demand zone, which has historically acted as strong support. The recent decline has brought the price back into this area, increasing the likelihood of a potential bullish reaction.
If buyers step in and confirm support within this zone, we could see a rebound toward the 0.8250 level, aligning with a corrective move after the recent drop. However, failure to hold this support could signal further downside continuation.
Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing patterns, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
Lingrid | EURUSD trading OPPORTUNITY in Sideways TrendFX:EURUSD market continues to consolidate below the November 2024 low. Recently, the price made a fake breakout of both the recent support level and last week's low. Following a strong bullish move, the price action is likely to move sideways for an extended period. Currently, the price is testing the previous day's high, and if upcoming news doesn't negatively impact the market, we may see a push to higher levels after multiple fake breakouts of the support levels. I expect the market to continue moving sideways until it breaks above or below last week's range. My goal is resistance zone around 1.08820
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Lingrid | BTCUSDT buy POTENTIAL on Short-Term ChartThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . BINANCE:BTCUSDT market is showing an upward trend on the 1H timeframe with higher highs and higher lows. Recently, it broke through the downward trendline and extended upwards, currently testing last week's high, where a potential pullback may form. However, when we zoom out, we can see that the price is forming an ABC pattern aimed at the psychological level of 90,000. It is possible that the price could range around this level before moving higher since the markets tend to consolidate around key level before breakout. Unless unexpected events drive the market lower, I think that with the current momentum, the price is likely to retest the area above the 90,000 mark. My goal is resistance zone around 89,000
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Watching for the same 90K area Part IIMorning folks,
Here is just minor update to our last idea. BTC mostly was flat in recent two sessions, so action is started only today.
So, the plan that we've prepared remains valid. Since an area around 90K is a strong resistance, we think that short entry attempt there is relatively safe, and at least should give us the chance to turn it to breakeven trade.
Now, on 1H chart we have two patterns that point on the same area.
Gold prices remain on the riseLast week, the world gold price surpassed the historical peak of over 3,057 USD/ounce but quickly decreased due to profit-taking pressure from investors. However, the price remained above the psychological support level of 3,000 USD/ounce - a level that many experts predicted would be an important support in the coming time.
The general sentiment in the market is still leaning towards optimism. Many central banks continue to increase their gold reserves as a way to diversify away from the USD. Meanwhile, individual investors and ETFs have also begun to return to the gold market.
Data from the SPDR Gold Shares fund shows that the amount of gold held has increased by more than 37 tons this year, to 910 tons. Although this figure is still lower than in 2020, the upward momentum is returning due to concerns about inflation and escalating trade tensions.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 24 - March 28]Last week, although the OANDA:XAUUSD had a sharp decrease in the last 2 sessions of the week, overall, the gold price this week continued to increase for the 3rd consecutive week. After opening at 2,985 USD/oz, the gold price increased to 3,057 USD/oz, but then dropped sharply to 2,999 USD/oz in the last session of the week, then recovered and closed the week at 3,023 USD/oz.
The reason why the gold price decreased sharply in the last session of last week was because the USD increased again after the FED meeting, when some US economic indicators, such as initial unemployment benefits, production index... were all at a positive level, showing that the US economy has not shown any signs of recession. In addition, some FED officials said that the FED is not in a hurry to continue cutting interest rates, although the FED's dot chart previously showed that the FED will still aim to cut interest rates twice this year.
This week, the US will release a number of important indicators, such as PMI, consumer confidence, revised Q4/2024 GDP, and personal consumption expenditures (PCE). Of these, PCE will receive special attention from the market, because this index is the inflation measure that the FED is most interested in. If PCE increases sharply, the FED will continue to cut interest rates. On the contrary, the FED will continue to keep interest rates unchanged in the upcoming meetings.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
Several key economic data releases this week, including the S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs on Monday and the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index on Tuesday, will give the market a clearer picture of where the U.S. economy is headed.
However, the most important data for investors will be the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, due Friday morning.
Other notable data releases include new home sales on Tuesday, durable goods orders on Wednesday, and pending home sales, weekly unemployment figures, and U.S. fourth-quarter GDP on Thursday.
📌Technically, the key support level for gold this week is around $2,954/oz, while the resistance level is at $3,057/oz. If gold continues to break above $3,057/oz next week, it could open the door for a further rally towards the $3,100/oz resistance zone. On the contrary, gold could face profit-taking pressure, causing the price to fall to around $2,950/oz.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,021 – 3,000USD
Resistance: 3,051 – 3,057 – 3,065USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3101 - 3099⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3105
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2949 - 2951⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2945
NZD_JPY WILL GO UP|LONG|
✅NZD_JPY has retested a key support level of 85.200
And as the pair is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 86.400 is likely
LONG🚀
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GOLD at absolute fundamental support but RSI overboughtOANDA:XAUUSD have now fallen to around $3,048/ounce, down $9 from the historic high reached in early Asian trading today, March 20.
On Thursday, the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced its interest rate decision and summarized economic expectations; Federal Reserve Chairman Powell held a press conference on monetary policy.
The FOMC kept its policy rate unchanged at 4.25% - 4.50% after the Trump administration imposed tariffs, while officials raised their inflation forecasts for this year and lowered their economic growth forecasts.
After concluding a two-day monetary policy meeting, the Federal Reserve announced at 2 p.m. ET on Wednesday that it would maintain its benchmark interest rate at 4.25% to 4.5% and announced it would slow the pace of its balance sheet reduction starting in April.
The Fed also released its FOMC statement, predicting rising U.S. inflation and lowering its economic growth forecast.
Amid signs of stagflation, the Fed still announced that it would cut interest rates twice by 2025, similar to the dovish signal it gave when it cut interest rates sharply last September.
The statement noted that recent indicators show that economic activity continues to grow at a solid pace. In recent months, unemployment has remained low, labor market conditions have remained strong, and inflation has remained moderately elevated.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell first mentioned tariffs at a press conference after the meeting, acknowledging that Trump’s policies have affected the economy. Powell also indicated that the policies of the new Trump administration will affect the economy, but he will be careful to avoid making too clear assessments of this impact. Powell also used the word “uncertainty” several times. He reiterated that there is still uncertainty about the potential impact of tariffs on the U.S. economy and highlighted the risks to the Fed’s expectations for employment and inflation. – Bloomberg –
Last week, US President Trump raised tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 25% and said new reciprocal tariffs and industrial duties would take effect on April 2.
On the geopolitical front, hostilities between Russia and Ukraine continued despite a 30-day ceasefire aimed at halting attacks on energy facilities. Meanwhile, conflict in the Middle East escalated as Reuters reported that an Israeli airstrike on Tuesday killed 400 people.
Two UN staff were killed in an attack on the UN building in Deir el Balah, central Gaza Strip, a UN source told AFP on Wednesday.
Gold prices have risen more than 15% this year. Gold has long been seen as a safe investment in times of economic or geopolitical uncertainty, and since it does not yield interest, it is even more attractive in a low-interest-rate environment.
Technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold continues to refresh its all-time highs as it finds support from the 0.50% Fibonacci extension noted by readers in yesterday’s edition and currently has no technical barriers ahead, with the next upside target being the 0.618% Fibonacci extension.
While all technical conditions are in favor of the upside with the channel acting as short-term support and the RSI showing no signs of a significant downside correction, downside corrections when they do occur are typically strong after a long period of hot growth like the current one.
Traders can definitely prepare for a downside correction with a target of around $3,037 in the short term and the 0.618% Fibonacci extension is a position that can fit this expectation.
I will try to describe that if you try to sell around the 0.618% Fibonacci level is a counter-trend decision, but since the RSI has been operating in the overbought area and 6 consecutive bullish sessions have occurred, there is a possibility for a downside correction. However, the need to do for the expectation (Adjustment) means that the open short positions should be completed in the short term because it is counter-trend.
During the day, the uptrend in gold prices with the expectation of a downside correction will be noticed again by the following technical levels.
Support: $3,037 – $3,021 – $3,000
Resistance: $3,065
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3101 - 3099⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3105
→Take Profit 1 3093
↨
→Take Profit 2 3087
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2999 - 3001⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2995
→Take Profit 1 3007
↨
→Take Profit 2 3013
EURUSD Maintains Bearish Momentum - Is 1.07500 the Next Target?OANDA:EURUSD is trading within a well-defined descending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. Recently, the price rejected a key resistance zone, reinforcing bearish momentum and signaling a potential continuation toward lower levels.
The current price action suggests that if price continues to respect this resistance, we could see further downside toward 1.07500, aligning with the lower boundary of the channel. However, if price breaks above the channel and sustains above it, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially signaling a shift in momentum. Monitoring price action and volume at this level will be essential for confirmation.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
NZD_CHF RISKY LONG|
✅NZD_CHF is going down to retest a horizontal support of 0.5050
Which makes me locally bullish biased
And I think that we will see a rebound
And a move up from the level
Towards the target above at 0.5073
LONG🚀
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GOLD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a rebound
From the support and went
Up but will now retest a
Local horizontal level
Of 3030$ from where
We will be expecting
A local bearish reaction
Sell!
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AUD-CAD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CAD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.9022 which is now
A resistance and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further move down
Sell!
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USD_CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅USD_CHF is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 0.8866
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 0.8810
SHORT🔥
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NZD-USD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.5755 so we are
Bearish biased and we can
Enter a short trade with the
Target Level of 0.5695 and
The Stop Loss of 0.5775
Sell!
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WHY EURNZD IS BULLISH AGAING ?? DETAILED ANALYSISEUR/NZD is currently trading at approximately 1.886, having completed a retesting phase following a bullish breakout. This technical development suggests the potential for a renewed upward movement toward the target price of 1.9300. With strong bullish momentum building, traders are closely watching for confirmation signals to enter long positions.
Fundamentally, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) recently implemented a 50 basis point rate cut, reducing the benchmark rate to 3.75%, with indications of further easing to stimulate the economy. This dovish monetary policy stance tends to exert downward pressure on the New Zealand dollar, thereby supporting the EUR/NZD pair. Meanwhile, the Eurozone has maintained a more stable monetary policy, contributing to euro strength relative to the New Zealand dollar. This divergence in central bank policies enhances the bullish outlook for EUR/NZD.
Technical indicators further reinforce this perspective. The pair has been in a downward channel since mid-February; however, recent bullish candles indicate a potential short-term reversal or correction. The price has swiftly moved from the lower Bollinger Band to the upper band, breaking through the middle band in a strong bullish move. Additionally, EUR/NZD is currently testing the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, a key decision point for traders.
Considering these technical and fundamental factors, the EUR/NZD pair appears poised for a bullish wave toward the 1.9300 target. Traders should monitor key resistance levels and employ appropriate risk management strategies to capitalize on this potential upward movement. If momentum continues, this setup could present a profitable long trade opportunity in the coming sessions.
WHY AUDUSD IS BEARISH ?? DETAILED ANALYSIS AUD/USD is currently trading at approximately 0.6290 and is forming a bearish flag pattern—a technical indicator suggesting potential continuation of the prevailing downtrend. This pattern typically emerges after a sharp decline, followed by a brief consolidation phase resembling an upward-sloping channel or flag. A decisive break below the flag's support often signals the resumption of bearish momentum, potentially leading to a significant price drop.
Fundamental factors are reinforcing this bearish outlook. Australia's employment data for February 2025 revealed an unexpected decline of 53,000 jobs, contrary to forecasts predicting an increase of 30,000 positions. Despite this, the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.1%. This unexpected contraction in employment could prompt the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to consider interest rate cuts in upcoming meetings to stimulate economic activity.
Additionally, escalating global trade tensions, particularly due to increased U.S. tariffs under the new administration, are contributing to economic uncertainty. These developments have led to downgraded growth forecasts by organizations like the OECD and Fitch Ratings, further weighing on the Australian dollar.
Given these technical and fundamental factors, the AUD/USD pair appears poised for a bearish breakout from the flag pattern. Traders should monitor key support levels, such as the March low of 0.6186 and the 2025 trough at 0.6087. A sustained break below these levels could pave the way toward the psychologically significant 0.6000 mark, aligning with the anticipated 200-pip decline.
In this context, adopting a short position on AUD/USD may be advantageous. However, it's crucial to implement robust risk management strategies, including setting appropriate stop-loss orders, to mitigate potential market volatility.
EURUSD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.081.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.068 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EURJPY Is Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 161.513.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 160.742 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD-JPY Move Down Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY is trading in a
Downtrend below the falling
Resistance line and the pair
Will soon hit the resistance
From where we will be
Expecting a further move down
Sell!
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