SILVER: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 32.755 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Signals
GOLD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,422.40 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,375.96..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NASDAQ Decision making becomes easy after seeing this chart.NASDAQ (NDX) is currently on the 3rd straight red month (1M candle), following the February High and subsequent sell-off due to the Trade War. This has been analyzed extensively in previous analyses and how the fundamental scene is only now starting to show some positive progress but still has a long way to go.
Technically though, the picture is very clear and favors long-term investing. The market has been trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up since the U.S. Housing Crisis in 2008 and along with the 2022 Inflation Crisis, those have been the only real Bear Cycle events in the past 18 years.
In between those there have been another 5 shorter term corrections, that offered great buying opportunities for the long-term and the recent 3-month one classifies as one.
There reasons are three. First it has come very close to the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), which only broke during the Major Corrections. Second, the 1M RSI hit the 50.50 Symmetrical Support, which has held during all those 5 prior Minor Corrections. Third, those corrections only range between two Fibonacci levels.
The current correction fulfills all those conditions. And since the 'weakest' rally we've have on this 5 event sample has been +37.57% and the strongest +96.77%, we have a medium-term Target on Nasdaq at 22800 and a long-term one at 32500.
Do you still reserve doubts at investing long-term after seeing this macro chart?
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GOLD at its peak, Trump and Powell in focusSpot OANDA:XAUUSD surged, with gold just hitting a new record high of $3,384.62 an ounce. Gold is now up more than $60 on the day. Trump's comments and the Powell "conspiracy" have combined to trigger market activity.
Earlier, US President Donald Trump released his insights into the negotiations on his social media platform Truth Social, saying that "the golden rule of negotiation and success is that he who has the gold makes the rules," meaning he who has the gold will have the upper hand. This post on gold is quite interesting, considering the market volatility caused by Trump's previous comments on stocks on social media.
Gold prices have surged to a record high as the U.S.-led trade war fuels safe-haven demand and the dollar weakens, Bloomberg reported, and data in the coming days could highlight early signs of damage to the global economy.
The International Monetary Fund is expected to cut its economic growth forecast on Tuesday, while the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) the following day will provide a snapshot of economic activity since U.S. President Donald Trump imposed tariffs.
Gold prices have hit record highs this year as trade conflicts have roiled global markets, denting demand for riskier assets while spurring a rush to safe havens among investors.
Gold ETF holdings have risen for a 12-week streak, the longest such streak since 2022. Central banks have also increased their holdings of gold, supporting strong global demand.
Bloomberg notes that the sell-off in the US dollar intensified on Monday as US President Trump weighs whether to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.
Powell's possible removal could undermine investor confidence as the Fed's independence is seen as a key factor in investing in US assets. However, given that Trump has previously said he welcomes a weaker currency because it makes US products more competitive, he may welcome a weaker US dollar.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the technical chart, the short correction last Friday ended quickly as gold continued to rise along the short-term price channel.
The increase broke the 0.618% Fibonacci extension, giving gold the conditions to continue to rise with the target of the 3,400 USD price point in the short term, more than the 3,420 USD price point of the 0.786% Fibonacci extension.
It is difficult to expect a significant correction in the current context, but the RSI down through 80 can be considered a good signal for the expectation of a short-term correction.
However, with the current position, the main technical outlook for gold is still bullish with notable positions listed as follows.
Support: 3,372 – 3,357 USD
Resistance: 3,400 – 3,420 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3414 - 3412⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3418
→Take Profit 1 3406
↨
→Take Profit 2 3400
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3316 - 3318⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3312
→Take Profit 1 3324
↨
→Take Profit 2 3330
SILVER Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is already making
A local bearish pullback
From the horizontal resistance
Level of 33.20$ which is happening
After a strong bullish move up
Which temporarily took Silver into the
Overbought territory so we are locally
Bearish biased and we will be
Expecting a local bearish correction
Sell!
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USOIL Will Move Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 63.114.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 68.050 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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XAUUSD It's most important week in 5 years.Gold (XAUUSD) hit last week the multi-year Higher Highs trend-line that has been in effect since the July 04 2016 High. Last time it had a rejection on it was on August 03 2020 when the market started the last 2-year Bear Cycle.
The current 1W candle has opened above this Higher Highs trend-line, so the week is of utmost importance as a closing below it maintains the pattern and the bearish Cycle Top bias, while above it jeopardizes invalidating it.
If as a result, the market closes the week below it and remains within the Fibonacci Channel Up, we may indeed be on Leg (4) peak and our Target will be near the 0.382 horizontal Fibonacci level at 2700 towards the end of the year. If not, we will see what new pattern is created and adapt accordingly (updates will follow).
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EURUSD 3 TARGETS for selling 3 TOPS. The 5 year cheat-sheet!The EURUSD pair opened the week with a strong rally already due to the fundamentals surrounding the recent Tariff news. The 1W RSI is overbought at 74.00 and it hasn't been that high since January 22 2018. That was a long-term Top for EURUSD that initiated a 2-year downtrend until the March 2020 COVID crash and the start of massive rate hiking.
Even the last two times that the RSI came close to such overbought levels, the pair started a 6-month peak formation pattern with 3 Highs that offered solid short entries before the eventual larger downtrend. Those periods were January 30 2023 - July 17 2023 and August 31 2020 - May 24 2021.
Given that EURUSD is now trading within a long-term Channel Up (blue) and just formed a 1D MA50/ 1W MA50 Bullish Cross, we are closer to High (1) than not, since every time that is formed close to the standard +16.19% rise from the bottom.
For those successive Highs, our long-term sell targets will be 1.12500, 1.13250 and 1.12000 on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level respectively.
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GOLD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 3,327.58.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 3,360.10 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Lingrid | GOLD Weekly OUTLOOK: strong UPTREND with RetracementsOANDA:XAUUSD continues its bullish momentum, closing another week up approximately 3.5%, primarily driven by Wednesday's breakout candle that pushed above the previous week's high. Following this strong upward movement, we've observed a period of retracement that manifested as a pinbar formation on the 4H timeframe. While this candlestick pattern typically signals continuation, the market's hesitation to move higher suggests a deeper pullback may be ahead. At current price levels, we're likely to see the formation of a continuation pattern, potentially a triangle that could provide an excellent entry opportunity.
Looking lower timeframes reveals the potential development of an ABC pullback, which would strongly indicate another bullish move upon completion. On the daily timeframe, this retracement will likely take the form of an inside bar candlestick pattern—a formation traditionally associated with trend continuation when traded in the direction of the prevailing trend. Despite these short-term fluctuations, the bullish trend remains firmly intact, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions, uncertainty surrounding central bank policies, and sustained physical demand from Asian markets.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [April 21 - April 25]Earlier this week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD fell from $3,245/oz to $3,193/oz after US President Donald Trump exempted tariffs on 20 goods, including smartphones, laptops, hard drives, computer monitors and machinery used to produce semiconductors and chips. However, the US-China trade war became increasingly tense when Mr. Trump announced a tax of up to 245% on Chinese goods imported into the US, pushing the gold price to skyrocket to $3,357/oz, then adjusted down to $3,283/oz and closed the week at $3,327/oz.
Many experts believe that the unpredictable policy changes of the US President, as well as the risk of a global economic recession, especially Mr. Trump's threat to remove FED Chairman Powell...
May continue to support gold prices in the short term. In addition, the weakening of the USD has also been actively supporting the upward momentum of gold prices.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES THIS WEEK:
There won’t be many important economic reports coming up next week, especially since markets will be closed on Monday for the Easter holiday.
On Wednesday, markets will get the preliminary S&P Global Composite PMI for April and new home sales data for March. On Thursday, a slew of important data will be released, including durable goods orders, weekly jobless claims and existing home sales. The weekend will close with the final report on the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index.
Markets will also be closely watching speeches from Neel Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee, Adriana Kugler and Patrick Harker, especially after notable comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday.
📌Technically, gold is already deep in overbought territory, and a technical correction could be imminent before gold can move higher. Depending on the strength of the correction, gold could fall to $3,250/oz next week, followed by $3,150/oz, and then the psychological support of $3,000/oz. However, if $3,300/oz proves to be a solid support level, gold could soon break above $3,400/oz next week. It could even go as high as $3,500/oz if US-China trade tensions continue to escalate.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,304 – 3,300 – 3,261USD
Resistance: 3,338 – 3,372USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3394 - 3392⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3398
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3243 - 3245⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3239
BITCOIN Most POWERFUL Signal Activated—Former ATH IS NOW SUPPORTBitcoin (BTCUSD) completed two straight green 1W candles and has started off this week equally impressive, approaching 4-week Highs! This is a direct consequence of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holding as a Support, similar to what happened on the last two Higher Lows of the 3-year Channel Up on August 05 2024 and September 11 2023.
The hidden catalyst perhaps behind this strong move may be the fact that the April 07 2025 Low, besides the 1W MA50, it also rebounded on the former All Time High (ATH) Resistance Zone (red), which now turned into Support (green). This is the Zone that started with the November 08 2021 Cycle High and rejected BT on March 11 2024, April 08 2024, June 03 2024 and July 29 2024.
As long as this critical Support cluster (1W MA50, 2021 ATH Zone) holds, we are expecting the 1W MACD to form a new Bullish Cross, the first since October 14 2024, which technically confirmed the new Bullish Leg of the 3-year Channel Up.
In fact all previous 3 Bullish Legs got confirmed by a 1W MACD Bullish Leg and the minimum the rose by was +105.30%. As a result, after the Bullish Cross is confirmed, we will be expecting to see at least $150000 on this current bull run.
But what do you think? Can this hugely important Support cluster lead Bitcoin to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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EURJPY --- bullish or bearish detailed analysis EURJPY is currently offering a high-conviction long opportunity as the pair completes a classic falling wedge breakout pattern on the daily timeframe. Price is now trading around 162.45 and has just broken out of a well-defined descending trendline, validating the bullish momentum shift. With the recent higher low formation and the wedge breakout confirming bullish market structure, the next leg toward the 167.36 zone is on the table, aligning with a clean resistance level and historical price reaction zone.
Fundamentally, the Euro is underpinned by the ECB’s cautious stance on rate cuts, as inflation in the Eurozone remains above the 2% target. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen continues to weaken amid growing divergence between the Bank of Japan’s ultra-loose monetary policy and other global central banks maintaining relatively tight conditions. BoJ’s reluctance to tighten, combined with consistent intervention threats, hasn’t been enough to halt the Yen’s decline, making EURJPY an attractive long in the current macro backdrop.
Technicals align perfectly here—after a solid rally from the wedge bottom, EURJPY consolidated in a descending channel and has now broken out for a second time, repeating a bullish continuation pattern. The structure remains clean with clear invalidation below 161.26, offering a strong reward-to-risk ratio on continuation toward 167+. The multiple confluences of trendline breakouts, bullish market structure, and macro divergence make this a premium swing setup.
Highly searched keywords like “EURJPY breakout,” “falling wedge pattern,” and “JPY weakness” will drive additional traffic to this idea. With both price action and fundamentals in sync, this trade idea is structured to maximize upside potential while keeping risk controlled. A clean, strategic long setup that reflects disciplined execution and market awareness.
88.5KHappy Easter,
So, our bullish trade is started well. But for now we wouldn't consider too extended targets. Based on AB=CD that we have on 4H chart , next extension is around 93K.
But here is a tricky moment exists and it relates to the H&S shape and strong 87-89K daily resistance. The point is that the right arm is yet to be formed, and it could be started right around 88.5K 1H chart targets.
That's why we're focused on just near standing targets. If Somehow, BTC will jump above 90K, then, the different scenario could appear. But for now we think it would be better to not take more risk and try to extract as much as good result from current positive position.
NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation After FVG RebalanceGreetings Traders!
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the institutional order flow remains bearish, continuing the momentum established during last week’s trading sessions. In alignment with this directional bias, we are strategically focused on identifying high-probability bearish opportunities.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
Sustained Bearish Order Flow:
Institutional behavior continues to reflect a bearish narrative, suggesting that smart money remains committed to driving price lower.
Rebalancing a Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Price is currently rebalancing a notable fair value gap—an internal range inefficiency—providing the perfect confluence zone for bearish setups. This rebalancing typically precedes a draw on external liquidity.
Targeting External Range Liquidity:
As the market rebalances internal inefficiencies (FVGs, order blocks), it subsequently seeks external range liquidity such as sell stops, liquidity pools, and engineered lows. This is a fundamental principle of institutional price delivery.
TRADING PLAN:
Entry Consideration:
Monitor price action within the fair value gap for confirmation of bearish intent. This zone serves as an internal liquidity area, optimal for institutional order execution.
Profit Targets:
Focus on external liquidity resting below previous lows—particularly sell stops and liquidity pools. These levels represent the logical draw where institutions aim to finalize order pairing and take profit.
By following the institutional flow, we align ourselves with smart money practices, improving our precision and probability of success. Stay patient and disciplined—confirmation is key!
Its good to be back,
The_Architect
GBPCAD IS BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPCAD is currently presenting a high-probability bullish setup after a textbook inverse head and shoulders formation on the 12H chart. Price is now hovering around 1.8457 and has just broken out above the descending trendline acting as neckline resistance. This structural shift, combined with clean bullish price action, signals the potential beginning of a fresh upward leg toward the 1.8976 region, a prior key supply zone and the projected target based on the measured move technique from the pattern.
From a fundamental standpoint, the British Pound is supported by hawkish BoE rhetoric and stronger-than-expected UK inflation data. Sticky core CPI and a robust labor market are keeping interest rate expectations elevated, which strengthens GBP across the board. In contrast, the Canadian Dollar remains under pressure due to softer oil prices and the Bank of Canada's dovish stance as it flirts with rate cuts in upcoming meetings. This macro divergence is fueling the momentum in GBPCAD’s favor, making it a favored pair for swing longs.
Technically, the pair is forming higher lows with increasing volume, which adds confidence to the breakout. The risk is well defined below 1.8198, making this an attractive trade with a solid 1:2+ reward-to-risk profile. As price continues to respect bullish market structure, any pullback toward the neckline could offer a prime re-entry zone for continuation traders.
This setup aligns with highly searched price action strategies such as “inverse head and shoulders breakout,” “neckline retest,” and “GBP strength vs CAD weakness.” With both technical and fundamental confluence pointing in the same direction, GBPCAD is set up for a potentially profitable swing opportunity heading into May.
GBP/USD in terminal phase? This zone could flip everything!📊 Technical Analysis
Price is currently trading in a strong weekly/monthly resistance zone around 1.3390–1.3400, marked by a dense multi-layer supply area. Historically, this level has caused sharp rejections.
From the lows, price completed a steep bullish leg, breaking through several structures. However:
Momentum seems overstretched.
RSI shows potential overbought signals.
There's a likely bearish target zone between 1.2950 and 1.2850, which is a key demand area.
📌 Trade Setup:
I’m watching for exhaustion signals or bearish confirmations on H1 to short from the current resistance, targeting the grey and turquoise zones below 1.30.
🧾 COT Report – GBP
Large Speculators (Asset Managers) still hold a net short position, although they've reduced exposure in recent months.
Leverage Funds remain slightly long, but without strong conviction.
💵 COT Report – USD
Leverage Funds have turned significantly net long on the dollar (strong green line upward since March).
This supports a bearish view on GBP/USD, as USD strength returns.
📉 Summary:
Price is at a key decision zone. A technical correction is possible. COT data supports this view:
GBP remains weak on the institutional side.
USD is regaining strength.
Gold Hits New ATH Again: Is the Bull Run Unstoppable?After printing a new All-Time High on April 17, Gold entered a brief correction that ended on April 18 at 3285. However, the daily candle closed strong at 3327, right before the long Easter weekend.
Fast forward to Monday's ASIA session open, Gold showed no hesitation and pushed into yet another ATH at 3384.
The bullish momentum is so aggressive that it feels like nothing can stop this trend. While I do expect heavy volatility going forward, the core strategy remains clear:
👉 Buy the dips.
Key Level to Watch:
📍 First support zone = 3350
At this level, I will actively look for long entries, targeting a potential new ATH later this week.
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GBP_NZD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅GBP_NZD is trading along the rising support line
And as the pair is going up now
After the retest of the line
I am expecting the price to keep growing
To retest the supply levels above around 2.2532
LONG🚀
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