Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Geopolitical Safe-Haven RallyOANDA:XAUUSD demonstrated exceptional strength this week as geopolitical tensions from Israeli-Iranian conflicts drove massive safe-haven demand. The metal successfully broke above the critical 3,360 resistance level, confirming the completion of an inverse head and shoulders pattern that has been forming since April.
The 4H chart reveals the market appears to be forming an ascending triangle pattern within a broader upward trendline, suggesting continued bullish momentum. The recent breakout above the monthly high resistance zone indicates strong institutional buying pressure.
The daily chart presents an even more compelling picture with the completion of an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal formation. This technical setup, combined with the massive flag pattern completion, projects potential targets toward $3,650-$3,700 levels. The right shoulder formation confirms the pattern's validity, while sustained buying above previous resistance zones validates the upward trajectory.
We should monitor the $3,430-$3,450 resistance area closely, as a decisive break could accelerate momentum toward the projected targets. The combination of geopolitical risk premiums and technically sound chart patterns creates a favorable environment for continued gold appreciation in the mid-term.
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Signals
107.6-107.8 and 109-110KMorning folks,
So, position taking stage is done, now let's take a look at targets. In general we have a sequence of a few targets, starting from 107.6-107.8, 109-110, 113 and 116K. But in current situation I would watch for only first two.
Daily overbought is around 114, so 116K target seems too far. 113K is possible, but with rather extended downside action last week, it seems as very optimistic. That's why, more or less base case seems around 109-110K, while the easiest target is 107.6-107.8K.
So, once the first target will be reached - think about partial profit booking, if you want to continue trading. Say, take off 30-40% and move stops to the breakeven on the rest.
Lingrid | BTCUSDT potential Bullish Continuation After PullbackThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . BINANCE:BTCUSDT has formed a higher low after rebounding from the trendline near $104K and is attempting to stabilize within a minor range just above $105.5K. The broader structure shows a clean breakout from the downward trendline, followed by consolidation, suggesting accumulation. A bounce from the $105K–$105.5K support area would favor a continuation toward the $109K resistance level.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 105,000–105,500
Sell trigger: break below 104,800
Target: 109,000
Buy trigger: close above 106,800 with strong volume
💡 Risks
Breakdown of support could retest the $100K region
False breakout may trap bulls above $106K
External macro news could trigger short-term volatility
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GOLD's room for growth is still wide, new all-time peakThe Israel-Iran conflict has increased the safe-haven role of gold, while pushing up oil prices, putting further pressure on inflation alongside the tariff pressure from the Trump administration.
Although the Israel-Iran conflict may continue to push gold prices higher this week, investors should be cautious and avoid chasing the development of this conflict. Because, gold price increases due to geopolitical events are usually short-lived.
In addition to the Israel-Iran conflict, markets will witness a speech by Fed Chairman Powell this week. With the Trump administration’s tariff policy still complicated and the Israel-Iran conflict escalating, the Fed Chairman may continue to signal that interest rates will remain unchanged at the July FOMC meeting. However, there is growing speculation that the Fed may begin laying the groundwork for a rate cut later this year.
In the short term, gold prices may be less affected by the Fed's monetary policy. Investors will pay more attention to the Trump administration's tariff policy, especially when the 90-day tariff suspension is about to end.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Technical analysis still shows an upward trend in gold prices in the medium and long term, although gold prices will inevitably have periods of adjustment and accumulation, especially when the Israel-Iran conflict subsides.
Accordingly, if the gold price surpasses 3,446 USD/oz, it may continue to increase to the 3,500 USD/oz area. Conversely, if the gold price trades below 3,446 USD/oz, it may adjust to around 3,344 - 3,373 USD/oz, or even lower.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,400 – 3,371 USD
Resistance: 3,435 – 3,500 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3485 - 3483⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3489
→Take Profit 1 3477
↨
→Take Profit 2 3471
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3417 - 3419⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3413
→Take Profit 1 3425
↨
→Take Profit 2 3431
CAD-CHF Potential Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Of 0.5990 and pullback is
Already happening so we are
Locally bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
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AUD_JPY MOVE DOWN AHEAD|SHORT|
✅AUD_JPY made a retest of
The strong horizontal resistance of 93.900
Level of 106.083 and as you
Can see the pair is already
Making a local pullback from
The level which sends a clear
Bearish signal to us therefore
We will be expecting a
Further bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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CHF-JPY Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CHF-JPY made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 177.327 and the
Breakout is confirmed so
We are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish continuation
Buy!
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The OB is set. The move just hasn’t been claimed yetThis is structure, not speculation. XRP tapped the 1H Order Block, held its low, and began building compression. Price is coiling — not failing. That matters.
The logic:
After the initial drop, price swept local lows into an untouched OB, then printed higher lows into a tighter range. That’s not weakness — that’s staging. Smart Money builds quietly. This is the echo of their positioning.
Above us sits a single, untested draw:
TP: 2.2540 — inefficiency fill, paired with external liquidity resting above last week's mid-range
Expecting one more dip into the OB is not only possible — it’s ideal. That’s where they’ll trap the impatient.
Execution:
Entry: 2.11–2.13 retest (into OB)
SL: Below 2.08
TP: 2.2540
No noise. No chasing. This is a campaign move — the kind that rewards precision, not emotion.
Final thought:
“I don’t trade the bounce. I trade the buildup before it’s even visible.”
AUD-CHF Pullback Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF made a retest
Of the strong wide horizontal
Resistance around 0.5289
And we are already seeing a
Local pullback so we are
Locally bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
On Monday
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
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The FVG was the invitation. The OB was the entryBTC delivered exactly where it needed to. It didn’t break down. It rebalanced. The chart isn’t noisy — it’s speaking. And it’s pointing to 108.3k.
The logic:
Price printed clean displacement, returned to mitigate a 1H FVG stacked on top of a refined Order Block, then paused. That pause is structure — not indecision. Volume compression confirms it: absorption, not rejection.
A deeper OB sits below at 102.5k. If we tap it, it’s not invalidation — it’s refinement. But the primary play is already in motion.
The path:
Reclaim 105.7k range high
Break above intraday liquidity
Deliver to 108.3k inefficiency fill
Execution:
Entry: 104.8k–105.1k (current OB zone)
SL: Below 103.9k
TP: 108.3k
Don’t react to the candles. React to what they represent — engineered displacement followed by precision mitigation.
Final thought:
“This isn’t a trade setup. It’s a delivery route — and I’m already onboard.”
Vitalik didn’t draw this box. I did — and I’m trading itPrice delivered the sweep. Now it’s coiling inside my range, hovering just above the 1H OB like it’s waiting for permission. I don’t need permission. I need structure — and I’ve got it.
The logic:
ETH dropped into a clear demand zone — not a guess, a confirmed 1H Order Block. Since then, it’s printed compression just above the OB. Every wick into the range was absorbed — no expansion, just preparation.
Above us? Two objectives:
TP1: 2650 — inefficiency fill and previous high-volume rejection
TP2: 2770 — full reprice and external liquidity sweep
If price dips into the OB again? That’s not invalidation — that’s refinement.
Execution:
Entry: 2480–2500 (or on OB retest)
SL: Below 2434
TP1: 2650
TP2: 2770
You don’t chase this. You wait for it — then load it without hesitation.
Final thought:
“Smart Money doesn’t buy the candle. It buys the context.”
NZD_CAD REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅NZD_CAD is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 0.8160
After trading in a local downtrend for some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 0.8182
LONG🚀
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WIF 4H. Make or Break ZoneBINANCE:WIFUSDT The asset is still moving within a defined range and is now brushing against the lower boundary of its structure. This area has historically triggered buyer interest — and if that repeats, we could be looking at a recovery toward $0.97+ in the short term.
However, failure to defend this support could send price cascading down to the $0.58–$0.60 zone.
Given the ongoing uncertainty in global markets, especially due to rising geopolitical tension, any long positions should be executed with tight risk management and a hard stop-loss.
Entry range (EP):
• Market
• $0.8120
• $0.7790
Take-Profit targets (TP):
• $0.8880
• $0.9425
• $0.9765
I’m managing risk carefully and limiting exposure per trade to no more than 2% of my portfolio. This is my personal trading log and not financial advice — always DYOR and trade responsibly.
Let the market decide — I'm prepared either way.
Stay sharp. Stay safe. 🧠📊
They saw a crash. I saw where the next rally beginsThis isn’t chaos. It’s sequence. SOL sold off into a well-defined 1H OB, paired with a high-volume low. Price didn’t break. It anchored.
The setup:
After an aggressive dump, price settled into an Order Block between 140–143. This isn’t weakness. It’s rebalancing. Right above? A perfect FVG at 149 and inefficiency zones that align with liquidity draws at 152 and 160.
Volume is telling — it spiked into the OB, not on exit. That’s how Smart Money positions.
Expectation:
Accumulation near the OB → quick reversal → reclaim 145
From there, watch price reprice through:
TP1: 149 (FVG reclaim)
TP2: 152 (full inefficiency fill)
TP3: 160 (external liquidity sweep)
Any deeper dip below 140 becomes a deviation — not a breakdown — unless structure is violated with follow-through.
Execution:
Entry: 141–143 zone
SL: Below 139.8
TP1: 149
TP2: 152
Final: 160
This is engineered — not emotional.
Final thought:
“You don’t need to predict the bottom. You just need to know where price is built to return.”
PTON Peloton Potential Buyout Interest from Amazon or NikeIf you haven`t bought the dip on PTON, before the rally:
Now Peloton Interactive PTON remains a compelling bullish candidate in 2025, supported not only by strategic buyout interest from major players like Amazon and Nike but also by significant unusual options activity signaling strong investor conviction in a near-term upside move. These factors combined create a powerful catalyst for a potential stock rally.
1. Confirmed Buyout Interest from Amazon and Nike
Since 2022, credible reports have indicated that Amazon and Nike are exploring acquisition opportunities for Peloton, recognizing its value as a leading connected fitness platform with over 2 million subscribers.
Amazon’s interest fits its broader health and smart home ambitions, while Nike sees Peloton as a strategic extension of its digital fitness ecosystem.
Such buyout interest implies a potential premium valuation, which could trigger a sharp upward re-rating of Peloton’s shares if a deal materializes or even if speculation intensifies.
2. Massive Unusual Call Option Activity for July 18, 2025 Expiry
A mystery trader recently purchased over 80,000 call options on Peloton with a $7 strike price expiring July 18, 2025, representing a $3.1 million bet on a price rise within the next few months.
On May 20, 2025, over 90,000 contracts of the $7 strike call expiring July 18, 2025 traded, equating to roughly 9 million underlying shares—well above Peloton’s average daily volume.
This unusually high call volume signals strong bullish sentiment and possible insider or institutional anticipation of a positive event, such as a buyout announcement or operational turnaround.
3. Strategic Fit and Synergies for Acquirers
Peloton’s subscription-based connected fitness platform offers Amazon and Nike a valuable recurring revenue stream and engaged user base.
Amazon could integrate Peloton’s offerings into its ecosystem of devices, health services, and e-commerce, while Nike could leverage Peloton’s content and hardware to deepen its digital fitness presence.
The potential for cross-selling, brand synergy, and data monetization enhances Peloton’s attractiveness as an acquisition target.
4. Attractive Valuation and Growth Potential
Peloton’s market cap has contracted significantly, making it an affordable target for large corporations with strategic interests in health and fitness.
Recent product launches, cost-cutting measures, and renewed marketing efforts aim to stabilize and grow Peloton’s subscriber base and revenue.
The connected fitness market continues to expand, driven by consumer demand for at-home and hybrid workout solutions.
5. Technical and Sentiment Indicators
The stock has shown signs of stabilizing after recent volatility, with support forming near $6–$6.50.
The surge in call options activity, especially at strikes above current prices, suggests growing investor confidence in a near-term breakout.
Historical patterns show Peloton’s stock reacts strongly to buyout rumors and unusual options volume, often resulting in rapid price appreciation.
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Bullish Thesis: Why Oscar Health OSCR Could Rally Strong in 2025Oscar Health, OSCR, a technology-driven health insurance company, is positioned for a significant stock price appreciation in 2025. Despite some mixed short-term sentiment, the long-term outlook and recent analyst forecasts suggest a potential rally that could more than double the current share price. Here’s why OSCR could be a compelling bullish opportunity this year:
1. Strong Analyst Price Targets Indicate Upside of Over 125%
According to recent forecasts, OSCR is expected to reach an average price of $31.40 in 2025, with some analysts projecting highs as much as $41.31—a potential upside exceeding 125% from the current price near $13.95.
Monthly forecasts show a steady upward trajectory, with July 2025 targets around $37.24 and December 2025 targets near $34.67, highlighting sustained bullish momentum throughout the year.
The average 12-month price target is around $34.40, representing a 146% upside, signaling strong confidence in OSCR’s growth prospects.
2. Innovative Business Model and Growth Potential
Oscar Health leverages technology and data analytics to offer user-friendly, transparent health insurance plans, differentiating itself in a traditionally complex industry.
Its focus on member engagement, telemedicine, and cost-effective care management positions it well to capture market share as healthcare consumers increasingly demand digital-first solutions.
The company’s expanding footprint in both individual and Medicare Advantage markets provides multiple growth avenues.
3. Long-Term Vision and Market Opportunity
Beyond 2025, forecasts remain highly bullish, with OSCR projected to reach $53.77 by 2027 and nearly $100 by 2030, reflecting strong secular growth potential in the health insurance and digital health sectors.
Analysts see Oscar as a disruptive force with the potential to reshape healthcare delivery, driving substantial long-term shareholder value.
4. Improving Financial Metrics and Operational Execution
Oscar has been improving its loss ratios and operating efficiencies, which are critical for sustainable profitability.
The company’s investments in technology infrastructure and data-driven care management are expected to translate into better margins and revenue growth over time.
5. Market Sentiment and Analyst Ratings
While some platforms show mixed short-term sentiment, the dominant analyst consensus is a "Buy" or "Moderate Buy," supported by strong price targets and growth forecasts.
The stock’s current undervaluation relative to its growth potential creates a favorable risk-reward profile for investors.
BTCUSD: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 105,670.43 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 106,057.41 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
ETHUSD: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse ETHUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 2,545.9 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 2,529.4..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
AAOI Applied Optoelectronics potential rally by EOYApplied Optoelectronics AAOI is well-positioned for a strong rally toward $24 per share by the end of 2025, supported by multiple operational and strategic catalysts. A key recent development—the warrant agreement with Amazon—adds a powerful endorsement and financial backing that enhances the bullish case.
1. Amazon’s Strategic Warrant Agreement: A Major Vote of Confidence
On March 13, 2025, AAOI issued a warrant to Amazon.com NV Investment Holdings LLC, granting Amazon the right to purchase up to approximately 7.95 million shares at an exercise price of $23.70 per share.
About 1.3 million shares vested immediately, with the remainder vesting based on Amazon’s discretionary purchases, potentially up to $4 billion in total purchases over time.
This agreement signals Amazon’s strong confidence in AAOI’s technology and its critical role as a supplier of high-speed optical transceivers for Amazon Web Services and AI data center infrastructure.
The warrant price near $24 effectively sets a floor and a valuation benchmark, supporting the thesis that AAOI’s stock could reach or exceed this level by year-end.
2. Major Data Center Wins and Hyperscale Customer Re-Engagement
AAOI recently resumed shipments to a major hyperscale customer, with volume shipments of high-speed data center transceivers expected to ramp significantly in the second half of 2025.
This re-engagement with a key customer aligns with the surging demand for AI-driven data center infrastructure, providing a strong revenue growth catalyst.
3. Robust Revenue Growth and Margin Expansion
Q1 2025 revenue doubled year-over-year to nearly $100 million, with gross margins expanding to over 30%, reflecting operational efficiencies and favorable product mix.
The company expects to sustain strong quarterly revenue ($100–$110 million) and ramp production capacity to over 100,000 units of 800G transceivers per month by year-end, with 40% manufactured in the U.S.
4. Manufacturing Expansion and Supply Chain Resilience
AAOI is scaling manufacturing in the U.S. and Taiwan, enhancing supply chain robustness and positioning itself to benefit from potential government incentives for domestic production.
Its automated, largely in-house manufacturing capabilities provide a competitive edge in meeting hyperscale and AI data center demand.
In conclusion:
Amazon’s warrant agreement at a $23.70 strike price not only provides a direct valuation anchor near $24 but also serves as a powerful strategic endorsement of AAOI’s technology and growth prospects. Combined with robust revenue growth, expanding manufacturing capacity, and key customer re-engagement, AAOI has a compelling case to reach or exceed $24 per share by the end of 2025.
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGold (XAUUSD) continues to maintain strong bullish momentum, with current price action sitting around 3,430. We have been holding a bullish outlook since the key accumulation zone between 3,150 and 3,200. Price has consistently formed higher highs and higher lows, and recent consolidation has broken out with conviction. Based on technical structure, my immediate upside target is 3,500, where I expect price to react before potentially extending even higher depending on upcoming macro drivers.
Fundamentally, gold is being fueled by a combination of sticky inflation data and a cautious Fed stance. Even though the FOMC held rates steady in June, market expectations are shifting towards policy easing later in the year due to softening labor data and a cooling economic outlook. Additionally, geopolitical uncertainties and continued central bank gold buying remain strong tailwinds for the metal. The U.S. dollar index has shown minor weakness post-CPI, offering further support to gold bulls.
Technically, the daily chart shows a clean bullish flag breakout that aligns with the trendline support and impulsive wave structure. Price broke above 3,400 with strong volume and minimal resistance, indicating clear bullish dominance. As long as price holds above the 3,380–3,400 zone, continuation toward 3,500 remains highly probable. There is also confluence from previous structure highs and minor Fibonacci extension levels around that mark.
Overall, I remain confidently long on XAUUSD. I’ve been tracking this bullish cycle since the 3,150–3,200 region and continue to favor upside moves backed by macroeconomic and technical alignment. I’ll be watching key reaction zones near 3,500 for potential profit-taking, while holding swing positions with dynamic risk management in place.
US500 Will Fall! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for US500.
Time Frame: 10h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 5,979.56.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 5,838.14 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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