EURUSD DROPPING ?? OR THIS IS JUST RETESTING EUR/USD has recently experienced a bearish rising wedge breakout, a pattern that typically signals a potential downtrend reversal. Currently, the pair is undergoing a retest phase, a common occurrence where the price revisits the broken support level before resuming its downward trajectory. This phase is crucial for traders as it often determines whether the breakout was genuine or if price action will invalidate the move.
As of March 20, 2025, the EUR/USD is trading around 1.085, with a target price set at 1.070. The retest phase offers traders an opportunity to enter short positions, anticipating further declines toward the target. It's essential to monitor key support levels during this period, particularly around 1.0767, where buyers have previously stepped in. A strong rejection from this level could accelerate bearish momentum, pushing the pair lower in alignment with the breakout pattern.
Fundamental factors are also shaping the current market sentiment. The recent FOMC decision to maintain interest rates has kept the U.S. dollar in a relatively strong position, while the European Central Bank has taken a more cautious approach regarding rate cuts. This divergence in monetary policy between the Fed and ECB may add further pressure on the euro, making the bearish setup more compelling. Additionally, any unexpected macroeconomic data releases, such as U.S. inflation numbers or Eurozone GDP data, could further influence price action.
Traders should closely watch for confirmation signals during the retest phase, such as bearish rejection candles or increased selling volume. Implementing proper risk management strategies, such as stop-loss placement above the broken support level, is crucial to navigating potential reversals. If the bearish momentum continues as expected, EUR/USD could hit the 1.070 target in the coming sessions, providing a profitable short trade opportunity.
