BTC Bitcoin Bear Market If you haven`t bought BTC before the recent rally:
Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to retrace in December before starting a recovery around March. This pattern could repeat this season, with BTC facing selling pressure as year-end portfolio rebalancing and macro uncertainties weigh on the market.
While a brief Santa Claus rally might provide temporary relief, the bearish trend is expected to dominate until March. By then, BTC could trade below $84K before regaining momentum, aligning with its historical recovery trend as market conditions stabilize in spring.
Signals
MU Micron Technology Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought MU before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MU Micron Technology prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 105usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $4.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
LEN Lennar Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold LEN before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LEN Lennar Corporation prior to the earnings report next week,
I would consider purchasing the 170usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $3.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ADBE Adobe Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on ADBE:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ADBE Adobe prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 560usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $24.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Gold price clings to gain around $2,670/two-week topDear friends, let's explore the gold price after yesterday's big move!
Gold prices rebounded near a two-week high and received support from a combination of factors. Geopolitical risks continue to favor the safe-haven XAU/USD amid the Fed's December rate cut. The current technical setup looks bullish and supports the outlook for further gains...
This rally is expected to reach $2700, which is in line with the resistance channel limits.
GOLD RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅GOLD is approaching a supply level of 2,720$
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bearish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
SHORT🔥
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Gold- Towards target after confirmation?In yesterday's post, I highlighted the high probability of an upward breakout above the 2655–2660 resistance zone. As anticipated, XAU/USD successfully broke through this key level, confirming its importance.
Following the breakout, the price reached a high near 2675 before undergoing a normal correction. This pullback was healthy for the trend, as it retested and confirmed the previously broken resistance zone (2655–2660) as new support. This successful retest reinforces the strength of the bullish momentum.
Looking ahead, my outlook remains optimistic. I anticipate a new leg higher, with the price likely targeting the 2685 resistance zone. I will maintain my bullish stance as long as the 2660 area holds firm as support. My preferred strategy is to "buy the dips," taking advantage of pullbacks within the broader uptrend.
Very Suitable For Hold Baskethello friends
This coin faced a price drop after being listed as expected.
Now, by holding his own and making a reliable floor, he proved that he can calculate the method...
We have specified the entry steps for you and don't forget capital management.
Be successful and profitable.
Gold- 2655-2660 zone remains key for bulls on medium-termLast week's price action was mostly range-bound, characterized by sharp spikes in both directions but lacking a clear trend—challenging conditions for medium-term swing traders.
In my last two posts, I shared a moderately bullish bias and even managed a sniper entry at the NFP low. However, Gold failed to sustain upward momentum, so I opted to close the trade with a modest 100-pip profit.
Looking at the bigger picture, bulls have shown resilience around the 2620 level. Even last night’s losses were quickly reversed after the market opened, which is another encouraging sign for bullish momentum.
That said, a critical resistance level around 2655 continues to cap any medium-term uptrend. For a more substantial move—potentially 400-500 pips—this resistance must be decisively broken .
I maintain my bullish outlook and will look to enter on dips. If and when the price breaks above the 2655 resistance level, I plan to double my position to capitalize on the potential upside.
However, a daily close below 2620 would invalidate this scenario and prompt me to reassess my strategy.
S&P500 What will happen in 2025 and 2026 based on this pattern?The S&P500 index (SPX) has had an excellent run since the time (August 28, see chart below) we introduced the following piece of analysis on the similarities between the 2015 - 2017 fractal and today's 2022 - 2024:
As you see, the index rose by around +8.50% from 5625 to 6100 in only 3.5 months. We are still expecting a local top just below the 3.0 Fibonacci extension, with our Target in tact at 6500.
If it continues to replicate the past pattern into the 2018 fractal as well, then we may experience the last correction of the Bull Cycle around March 2025 towards the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as it happened in February - March 2018 and then the final rally to a new All Time High (ATH) towards the end of the year (October - December 2025).
What this pattern shows, and what we've presented to you as a possible scenario on previous analyses, is for a new Bear Cycle to begin in 2026, four years after the Inflation Crisis of 2022, that will once more test the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the market's long-term Support.
As a side-note to investors, it is important to understand that corrections are cyclical and crises systemic. Long-term, multi-year patterns like this, help us understand with a certain degree of efficiency, when to enter and when to exit. Timing is at times (especially on such long-term horizons), more important than pricing.
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Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
GALAUSD This pull-back is a great buy opportunity.Gala (GALAUSD) gave us an excellent buy signal on our previous call (August 23, see chart below) as after some consolidation, it rebounded aggressively to its 0.786 Fibonacci and hit our 0.0600 Target:
This week's pull-back may be aggressive but so far is only a technical correction towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Its recent Golden Cross with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on November 30, is the first such formation in 1 whole year (last one on December 05 2023).
As you can see, the two fractals are not identical but share certain symmetric similarities (also on CCI terms), so it is possible for this pull-back to reach as low as the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and then rebound.
Even though the March 10 2024 High was priced on the 1.786 Fibonacci extension, our next Target should be within the 1-year Channel Up (until broken), so we will be aiming for 0.11500.
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APPLE targeting $265 at the top of the Channel UpApple (AAPL) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the January 03 2023 bottom. At the moment the price is on the pattern's second long-term Bullish Leg, supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
As long as this line holds, we expect the Bullish Leg to complete a +20.82% rise (similar to December 14 2023) from the U.S. elections low and target $265.00. The fractals are quite similar as the 1W MACD is forming now a Bullish Cross, in indentical fashion as November 20 2023.
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Lingrid | GOLD double TOP At The RESISTANCE zoneOANDA:XAUUSD has bounced perfectly off the resistance zone that I highlighted yesterday. The market formed a pinbar pattern on the 4H timeframe, indicating rejection at this level. Additionally, there was a false breakout of the previous resistance zone at 2666.350. On the 1H timeframe, we can see a double top pattern, which further signals a potential reversal. I believe the market may move sideways just below this resistance before making a downward move, especially since there are no high-impact news events scheduled for today and price pulled back into consolidation zone. I expect the price to retest the support level and the downward trendline. My goal is support zone around 2650
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Lingrid | EURNZD short after FAKE BreakoutThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target level. FX:EURNZD experienced a sharp decline from the resistance zone at 1.81500 and subsequently pulled back to retest this level. The price made a significant move from this area, and I believe it may decline again, as it is currently testing last week's high. I expect the market could form a false breakout and then making downward move toward the channel border . My goal is support zone around 1.80400
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
US100 Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for US100.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 21,420.2.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 22,305.1 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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