USDCAD Will Go Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.424.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.440 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Signals
CADJPY Will Go Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 102.695.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 106.707.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Pullback to 80KMorning folks,
So, our long-term bearish journey that we were following for 4-5 weeks comes to an end. BTC more or less hit our 74K target and strong weekly support area .
The next one stands around 69K, but market strongly needs a new driving factor to break ~70K support area, and hardly this will happen this week.
Taking in consideration that market is oversold, now we set a tactical target- pullback to 80K resistance area , and then we will see, should be sell again or not.
Will BITCOIN prove to be resilient amidst this market crash??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just hit its 1W MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time since September 06 2024, while completing the first 1D Death Cross since August 09 2024. This is a critical double combo development as last time those conditions emerged it was a bullish signal.
Despite the theoretically bearish nature of the Death Cross, the last one on 1D was formed just four days after the market's previous major long-term bottom of August 05 2024. That bottom was exactly on the level that the market hit today, the 1W MA50.
The 1W RSI sequences among the 2 fractals are identical and if it wasn't for the abysmal negative market fundamentals regarding the back-and-forth tariffs, that would be an automatic long-term buy entry, the 3rd on of this Bull Cycle.
The only condition we can technically rely on right now, amidst the stock market crash, is for the weekly candle to close above the 1W MA50, as it did on August 05 2024. In that case and of course if and only if the trade war gets under control (and/ or the Fed makes an urgent rate cut), we can expect a new long-term Bullish Leg to begin towards $150k and above.
Failure to address those concerns and a 1W candle close below the 1W MA50, can result into a stronger sell-off towards $50000 and the next long-term technical Support level of the August 05 2024 Low (49150). That would also be a major Support cluster as the 1W MA200 (gray trend-line) is just below that level (and holding since October 16 2023) and by the time of the drop, the market may test that as well.
So what do you think? Will BTC turn out to be resilient amidst this market crash or will it follow suit and decline towards $50k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Outlook: Bullish Momentum Faces CorrectionOANDA:XAUUSD market has been bullish; however, Friday turned bearish with a nearly 3.8% decline. After such bullish momentum, this pullback seems normal. In the current timeframe, price completed the ABC move, which is typically followed by a pullback—exactly what we've seen recently. On the weekly timeframe, the price formed a long-tailed bar, indicating it may retest the support zone below the 2900 level. However, considering the upward momentum in the market and the fact that price did not close below the previous week's low, this scenario seems less likely.
I believe we're facing a similar scenario to what we saw in the last week of February, when the market fell around 4% but subsequently reached all-time highs. Right now, areas to consider going long include just below the week's low and the psychological level at 3000. Additionally, we have the channel border as well as the upward trendline serving as potential support. Another scenario worth noting is what happened before the US election last November, when prices fell around 9%, which could mean a retest of the 2900 level. Overall, next week the price may move sideways for a couple of days after bearish impulse leg or bounce off the 3000 level.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
NASDAQ Black Monday or a Massive Rally??Nasdaq (NDX) opened on early Monday futures trade below both its August 05 2024 and April 19 2024 Lows. All technical Supports have been broken and the market made new 12-month Lows. The market sentiment is extremely bearish, technically oversold, even the 1W RSI is below the 30.00 oversold barrier and the prevailing fundamentals regarding the back-and-forth Tariffs between nations don't leave much room for encouragement.
The index is more than -25% off the February 17 2025 All Time High (ATH), technically Bear Market territory, and the last time it dropped more this fast is during the lockdowns of the COVID crash (February 20 - March 23 2020). The market dropped by -32%, below also all known technical Supports (including its August low) before finding support and forming a bottom just above the 1W MA200 (red trend-line).
The two time events are virtually identical with the only notable difference is that Nasdaq is about to form the 1D Death Cross now while in 2020 it did about 1 month after the low.
The only technical development that leaves room for encouragement is that the 1W RSI during COVID got oversold just a day before the eventual market bottom.
Does today's 1W RSI drop into oversold territory mean that we are about to form a bottom? Unknown. But what we do know is that on March 03 and 16 2020 on two urgent, out-of-schedule meetings, the Fed stepped in to save the market from the free-fall (and save they did) by cutting the Interest Rates to near zero (first to 1.25% and then to 0.25% subsequently from 1.75% previously).
Perhaps that is the only thing that can restore investor confidence (certainly the only action that the Fed can do) and avoid a Black Monday below the 1W MA200, which would be catastrophic. On the other hand, if the U.S. government reach indeed trade deals with the rest of nations and the Fed do what they can from their end, we may even hit new ATH by August!
So what do you think it's going to be? Black Monday or Massive Rally?
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XAUUSD NEXT MOVE 1. Double Top Resistance Breakdown
The chart suggests a strong double top resistance zone around 3,160 USD.
Disruption: If price tests this zone and fails again (creating a third top), a sharp reversal could occur.
Implication: Bearish pressure may increase, potentially invalidating the long-term bullish target.
2. Failure to Hold the Bullish Zone
Price is hovering above the support for bullish zone (~2,980–3,000 USD).
Disruption: A break below this level, especially with volume, could signal trend reversal or deeper correction.
Implication: Price might head towards the next unmarked support area below 2,960 USD.
3. Weak Rebound from Current Level
The chart projects a “V-shaped” or “W-shaped” recovery.
Disruption: If market sentiment is weak, the price may consolidate sideways or drift lower instead of rebounding.
Implication: Delayed bullish momentum, potential accumulation phase or even distribution.
4. Fundamental Catalyst Risk
Several U.S. economic event icons are marked (likely NFP, CPI, FOMC).
Disruption: Any unexpectedly hawkish data or Fed speech can strengthen the USD and suppress gold prices.
Implication: Technical patterns may get overridden by macro volatility.
5. Over-Reliance on Horizontal Levels
The analysis is heavily based on horizontal S/R zones.
Disruption: If market dynamics shift (liquidity hunts, news-driven spikes), price could fake out these zones.
Implication: Stop hunts and liquidity grabs could trap traders expecting clean technical moves.
Lingrid | BTCUSD breaking KEY Support Levels. Potential ShortThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It reached the target. BINANCE:BTCUSDT recently broke and closed below the March low. Furthermore, it broke below the psychological key level at 80,000 and the upward trendline. The weekly candle also closed bearish with a long tail, suggesting that the price may fall below the next support level at 70,000. On the daily timeframe, the price action is forming an ABC move which also suggests that the price may go below the 70,000 level. I think if the price remains below the 77,000-78,000 resistance zone, there is a chance of movement toward lower levels. I expect the price to retest the support level and channel border. My goal is support zone around 70,000
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Crypto Sell-Off: Is Solana Headed for $80?Without a doubt, Solana was the hottest topic in the crypto market last year and at the start of this one—especially with the meme coin craze.
However, after peaking near $300, the price began to decline in what initially appeared to be a normal correction. But once Solana broke below the $200 mark, things turned ugly, and the price quickly dropped to the key $120 support zone—a level that held strong over the past year.
Now, it looks like Solana is on the verge of breaking below this support, which could trigger an acceleration toward $80, with the $100 psychological level as an intermediate stop.
________________________________________
Why the Downside is Likely to Continue
📉 Bulls Can’t Hold Gains – Short-term rallies are fading fast, showing a lack of real buying strength.
📉 Bearish Engulfing Candle – Yesterday’s price action printed a lower high, adding further pressure on support.
📉 $120 Breakdown Incoming? – If this level fails, expect a sharp decline toward $80.
________________________________________
Trading Plan: Selling Under $130
🔻 Sell Rallies Below $130 – Targeting a move to $80 in the medium term.
🔻 Only a Sustained Move Above $130 – Would shift Solana to a neutral stance—not bullish by any means.
For now, the bearish pressure remains, and selling rallies is the strategy to follow. 🚀
EUR/USD: What to Expect - Trump vs FED!The EUR/USD has recently shown a recovery phase after reaching the late-September high near 1.1150 last Thursday, initially supported by the weakness of the US dollar following fears of stagflation in the United States, fueled by tariff announcements from President Trump. However, the scenario changed rapidly after the release of Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data and Jerome Powell’s speech last Friday. Employment data showed NFP growth in line with expectations, but also an increase in the unemployment rate, signaling a less solid labor market than anticipated. During his speech, Powell expressed concerns about the resilience of the US economy, highlighting the risk of an economic slowdown while at the same time reiterating the focus on inflation, maintaining a cautious approach regarding further monetary easing policies.
From a technical perspective, the chart shows that the area around 1.0980-1.1000 represents a crucial zone to assess the sustainability of the bullish trend. A daily close above this level could trigger a new upward push towards the highs of 1.1100 and subsequently 1.1150, especially if supported by further signs of dollar weakness or positive European economic data. If the EUR/USD fails to hold above 1.1000, we could see a pullback towards the support at 1.0950 and subsequently 1.0900. The critical support area on the chart is identified between 1.0360 and 1.0280, and a break below these levels would indicate a significant change in market sentiment.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [April 07 - April 11]This week, the price of OANDA:XAUUSD increased sharply from 3,076 USD/oz to 3,168 USD/oz, then made a "reverse" move to 3,015 USD/oz and closed this week at 3,038 USD/oz.
The reason why the price of gold increased sharply to 3,168 USD/oz in the trading session on April 3 was because US President Donald Trump decided to impose reciprocal taxes from 10% to 49% on many trading partners. However, it was also because of the tariff issue that caused the gold price to break the upward trend right after the Trump administration announced a list of tariff exemptions for many goods.
Meanwhile, many countries have also proactively negotiated with the US to reduce import taxes on US goods, import more goods from the US to contribute to gradually balancing the trade balance with the US so that the Trump administration can remove tariffs.
In addition, the US non-farm payrolls (NFP) data for March unexpectedly jumped to 228,000 jobs, much higher than the forecast of 137,000 jobs. This shows that the US labor market is still positive, causing investors to believe that the FED may continue to delay cutting interest rates.
In addition, FED Chairman Powell also said that the Trump administration's recent reciprocal tariff policy will cause inflation to increase for a long time, risking pushing the US economy into recession. This implies that the FED will not cut interest rates in the upcoming meetings.
In particular, the stock market has fallen too sharply, causing investors to close profitable gold investment positions to add margin (cover losses) for stocks.
According to many experts, gold prices may continue to adjust next week, but will not fall too deeply. Because the Russia-Ukraine war and armed conflicts in the Middle East are still complicated. Moreover, China has just imposed an additional 34% tax on all US goods. Without hesitation, Canada also imposed a 25% import tax on all cars imported from the US that are not eligible for preferential treatment in the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). If more countries retaliate against the US like China and Canada, the trade war will become increasingly heated, pushing the world economy into instability, increasing the role of gold as a safe haven.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
Inflation and the Fed will be back in the spotlight next week, with the release of the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) March monetary policy meeting on Wednesday. This will be followed by the US consumer price index (CPI) report for March on Thursday, and the producer price index (PPI) on Friday. Friday morning will also see the latest preliminary survey of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan – a key indicator of how Americans feel about the outlook for the economy.
📌Technically, observing the H4 chart, it is necessary to pay attention to the important support level at 3,000 USD/oz. If next week the gold price trades above this level, it can re-enter the correction phase to 3085. In case the 3000 round resistance level is broken, the gold price will continue to be under selling pressure, causing the price to drop to around 2,900-2,950 USD/oz.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,019 – 3,000 USD
Resistance: 3,050 – 3,056 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3093 - 3091⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3097
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2988 - 2990⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2984
NZD_USD RISKY LONG|
✅NZD_USD has hit a key structure level of 0.5520
Which implies a high likelihood of a move up
As some market participants will be taking profit from short positions
While others will find this price level to be good for buying
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bullish correction
LONG🚀
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NZD-USD Strong Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-NZD is approaching a
Horizontal support level
Of 0.5521 so when the
Market opens we will be
Expecting the pair to retest
The support first and then
Make a nice bullish rebound
Buy!
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GBP_USD LONG SIGNAL|
✅GBP_USD made some crazy
Moves last week and was eventually pushed
Back down to the horizontal support of 1.2874
From where we will be expecting a local
Rebound, therefore we can go long on
The pair with the TP of 1.2946
And the SL of 1.2849
LONG🚀
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EUR-USD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a nice
Bearish correction from the
Resistance above and hit
A horizontal support level
Of 1.0934 from where
We can go long on Monday
With the Take Profit of 1.0996
And the Stop Loss of 1.0906
Buy!
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USOIL Will Move Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 62.526.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 65.043 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBPUSD Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.289.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.326 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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ICPUSDT READY TO FLY AGAIN ?? ICPUSDT is currently forming a classic falling wedge pattern on the chart, which is widely recognized as a bullish reversal signal. The price has been compressing within this narrowing range and is now approaching a key point where a breakout is highly likely. With strong support being respected and buyers gradually stepping in, the setup is aligning well for a potential upside move.
Volume levels have been steadily increasing, confirming growing investor interest in Internet Computer (ICP). This increasing participation from traders and investors alike can often serve as a reliable indicator that a breakout may occur soon. Technical indicators such as RSI and MACD are also hinting at a momentum shift that aligns with a bullish scenario.
Given the strength of this chart formation and the positive volume dynamics, ICPUSDT could potentially see a price gain in the range of 90% to 100%+ from current levels. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, especially for those who are entering early before the breakout confirms with stronger candles above resistance. A retest of the wedge breakout, if it happens, could also provide a second opportunity to enter.
ICP is also gaining traction among long-term investors due to its unique blockchain technology aimed at decentralizing the internet. The ongoing development and community support around the project adds more fundamental strength to this setup. Keep an eye on it for confirmation of the breakout!
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AUD-NZD Massive Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-NZD has also fallen
Down by a lot last week
And we think that the
Initial panic move is over
So as the pair is oversold
And is about to retest a
Horizontal support of 1.0740
A strong bullish correction
Is to be expected on Monday
Buy!
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