NQ! Short Idea (MXMM, Quarterly Theory)Dear Traders,
today I present you once again my current idea on the Nasdaq. We have swept a High Liquidity Area marked as my lower HTF PDA. Because of that we might see a stronger Pullback as shown on my Chart.
However, I will still keep my eyes open and wait for the 9:30 (UTC-4) Manipulation to look for a Market Maker Sell Model which I will only consider a after a Pullback into my Key Areas and Price Action showing interests of a bearish continuation.
(09:30 Manipulation, Liquidity Sweep + SMT Divergence, Break Of Structure, Any PD-Array)
Praise be to God
-T-
Signals
Gold’s Wild Ride: Is the Correction Over?Yesterday was an insane day for Gold—while I expected a strong drop to at least 3,080, I didn’t anticipate such a sharp reversal after the sell-off.
Now, the big question is: Has Gold finished correcting, or is more downside coming?
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Why I Expect Another Wave of Selling
📉 Gold Still Looks Vulnerable – Despite the rebound, I don’t believe the correction is over.
📉 Key Resistance Established – The 3,135–3,140 zone has now formed a strong ceiling, limiting upside potential.
📉 Selling Rallies Remains the Plan – Even with yesterday’s bounce back above 3,100, my outlook remains unchanged.
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Trading Plan: Selling Spikes During NFP
🔻 Looking for price spikes during the NFP report as opportunities to sell into strength.
🔻 Targeting a new leg down toward the 3,030 support zone.
The correction is likely not done yet—let’s see if the market confirms it. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD corrects after hot rally, conditions remain optimisticOANDA:XAUUSD has retreated from an all-time high of $3,167.67/oz as investors began to take profits after a “parabolic” rally. While the rally was initially fueled by safe-haven demand stemming from US President Donald Trump’s plans for higher tariffs, questions are starting to arise about the sustainability of the rally as buying pressure wanes and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) moves into overbought territory.
Gold has rallied 19% so far in 2025 and this correction could be temporary
Gold prices have rallied 19% this year, supported by multiple macro uncertainties, historic central bank buying and continued inflows into ETFs. Despite the current pullback, from a fundamental perspective, this does not impact the overall bullish fundamental trend and the likelihood of near-term technical consolidation has begun to increase.
Trump’s tariffs a “catalyst” supporting the physical gold market?
Trump's proposal to impose 10% tariffs on most imports has stoked market concerns about slowing economic growth and rising business costs, while risk aversion has pushed gold prices higher.
However, the White House later clarified that "critical raw materials" including gold, copper and energy would be exempt, alleviating some concerns about supply chain disruptions and providing some support to the physical gold market.
Market sentiment remains bullish, with strong buying momentum on dips
Although the technical side is currently under some pressure, the market's optimism remains unshaken. It is difficult to try to assess the peak near the historical high, but it is clear that every pullback is quickly absorbed by buyers, which shows that the underlying bullish sentiment in the market is still strong.
Described by the sharp drop on Thursday, gold recovered very quickly after the drop.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold may enter a correction phase after a long period of hot growth, depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) falling below the overbought level, breaking the blue bullish channel. In the short term, if gold breaks below the short-term channel, converging with the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level, it will be in a position to correct further with the next target level around $3,066 in the short term, more than $3,040.
However, overall, gold still has a bullish technical outlook with the price channel as the long-term trend and the main support from the EMA21. As long as gold remains within the price channel and above the EMA21, the declines should be considered as corrections and not a trend. On the other hand, once gold recovers from the 0.50% Fibonacci extension and holds above the raw price point of $3,100, it will signal the end of the correction cycle, then the upside target will be the 0.786% Fibonacci extension in the short-term.
During the day, the long-term uptrend with the possibility of a short-term correction will be noticed again by the following positions.
Support: 3,086 – 3,066 – 3,040USD
Resistance: 3,100 – 3,106 – 3,135USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3147 - 3145⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3151
→Take Profit 1 3139
↨
→Take Profit 2 3133
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3061 - 3063⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3057
→Take Profit 1 3069
↨
→Take Profit 2 3075
DAX Ultimate buy signal on the 1D MA200 approaching.DAX is having a brutal sell-off, which wasn't technically unexpected as the index made a Higher High on March 06 at the top of its 2.5-year Channel Up. The 1D RSI is already oversold (below 30.00), which is the initial long-term buy signal. Out of the last 3 times the 1D RSI was oversold only on September 26 2023 it extended the downtrend. The other 2 times, it was an immediate buy signal.
The ultimate buy signal, if you want to wait for it, was last time (August 05 2024 Low) when the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) broke. The minimum rally DAX had following such a bottom was +11.73%, which gives us a short-term Target of 21900 and the maximum (but still the bad case scenario of the 3 Bullish Legs) +29.48%, which gives a long-term Target of 25400.
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S&P500 down -4.84%, worst day since 2020 COVID crash! GAME OVER?The S&P500 (SPX) had yesterday its worst 1D closing (-4.84%) in exactly 5 years since the COVID flash crash started on March 11 2020 (-4.89%). Not even during the 2022 Inflation Crisis did the index post such strong losses in a day.
Obviously amidst the market panic, the question inside everyone's minds is this: 'Are we in a Bear Market?'. The only way to view this is by looking at SPX's historic price action and on this analysis we are doing so by examining the price action on he 1W time-frame since the 2008 Housing Crisis.
As you can see, starting from the Inflation Crisis bottom in March 2009, we've had 4 major market corrections (excluding the March 2020 COVID flash crash which was a Black Swan event). All of them made contact with the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and immediately rebounded to start a new Bull Cycle. Those Bull Cycles typically lasted for around 3 years and peaked at (or a little after) the red vertical lines, which is the distance measured from the October 15 2007 High to the May 07 2011 High, the first two Cycle Highs of the dataset that we use as the basis to time the Cycles on this model.
The Sine Waves (dotted) are used to illustrate the Cycle Tops (not bottoms), so are the Time Cycles (dashed). This helps at giving a sense of the whole Cycle trend and more importantly when the time to sell may be coming ahead of a potential Cycle Top.
This model shows that the earliest that the current Cycle should peak is the week of August 11 2025. If it comes a little later (as with the cases of October 01 2018 and June 01 2015), then it could be within November - December 2025.
The shortest correction to the 1W MA200 has been in 2011, which only lasted 22 weeks (154 days). The longest is the whole 2008 Housing Crisis (73 weeks, 511 days). All other three 1W MA200 corrections have lasted for less than a year.
On another note, the 1W RSI just hit the 34.50 level. Since the 2009 bottom, the market has only hit that level 5 times. All produces immediate sharp rebounds. The December 17 2018, March 16 2020 and August 15 2011 RSI tests have been bottoms while May 09 2022 and August 24 2015 bottomed later but still produced sharp bear market rallies before the eventual bottom.
Uncertainty is obviously high but these are the facts and the hard technical data. Game over for stocks or this is a wonderful long-term buy opportunity? The conclusions are yours.
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Lingrid | GOLD Pre-NFP Price ACTION in the MarketOANDA:XAUUSD market has spiked down, dipping below the 3100 level. The previous daily candle is a large doji, indicating that the market is consolidating. I think the price may continue to move sideways until the NFP data is released. It’s possible that the price will create a triangle pattern, with the current weekly candle closing near the previous week’s high. The price has almost tested the 3050 level and subsequently bounced off that level, suggesting that there may be potential for a continued upward movement. Overall, we should watch for developments around these key levels, especially as we approach the NFP release. My goal is resistance zone around 3129
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NAS100 Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 18,411.4.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 18,773.6.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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BITCOIN Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 84,393.94.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 81,267.75 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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CHFJPY Will Go Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for CHFJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 171.221.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 169.475 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CADJPY Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 103.448.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 102.631 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Lingrid | CADJPY channel BREAKOUT. Potential Bearish MoveFX:CADJPY market recently broke and closed below the upward channel and following the channel breakout, the price has formed a range zone around 130.500. On the 1H timeframe, the market is making lower lows, while the daily timeframe shows a large engulfing candle, suggesting that the correction may be coming to an end. Given that today we have high-impact news, we can expect increased volatility in the market. I think that the price may move lower if it remains below the 104.000 resistance zone. My goal is support zone around 102.500
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Nasdaq's Drop: A Temporary Rebound Before More Downside?I've been calling for a strong correction in the Nasdaq (and all major U.S. indices) since the start of the year—long before the tax war even began. I warned that a break below 20,000 was likely, with my final target set around 17,500.
And indeed, the index has fallen—regardless of what the so-called "cause" might be. Right now, Nasdaq is trading at 18,400, sitting right at a minor horizontal support zone.
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A Short-Term Rebound Before More Downside?
📉 Overall Bias Remains Bearish – The broader trend still points lower.
📈 Rebound Likely – A push above 19,000 in the coming days wouldn’t be surprising.
⚠️ High-Risk Setup – Going long here is risky, given the current macroeconomic backdrop.
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Trading Strategy: Short-Term vs. Long-Term
✅ For Short-Term Traders & Speculators – A temporary upside correction could offer a buying opportunity.
❌ For Swing & Long-Term Traders – It's better to wait for this rebound to fade and position short for the next leg down.
While a bounce could be on the cards, the bigger picture still points lower—I remain bearish in the long run. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Strong Breakout on WUSDT: Potential for Major Bullish Move WUSDT has recently completed a strong breakout from a key resistance zone, signaling a potential shift in momentum and attracting significant attention from traders. The technical setup points to a confirmed breakout with increased trading volume, which typically precedes a powerful rally. This move is further supported by market participants showing renewed interest in the project fundamentals, positioning WUSDT for a potential bullish continuation.
With solid volume pouring in post-breakout, WUSDT looks ready to make a major move to the upside. Current market structure indicates a healthy retest of the breakout level, setting the stage for a possible rally of 250% to 300% in the coming sessions. Such gains are within reach, especially if broader market sentiment remains positive and volume continues to climb.
Investor confidence in WUSDT is growing, as many see it as an undervalued gem ready to reclaim higher levels. Its technical strength, combined with strong buying activity, presents an attractive opportunity for both swing traders and long-term holders. Watch for key psychological resistance levels to act as future targets while support holds firm below.
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EUR-AUD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the
Pair made a bullish breakout
And a retest of the key
Horizontal level of 1.7420
And is going up now so
We can enter a long trade
On a local pullback with
The Take Profit of 1.7551
And the Stop Loss of 1.7362
Buy!
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AUD-JPY Will Keep Falling! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY made a bearish
Breakout then made a retest
And is going down again
So we are bearish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bearish continuation
Sell!
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GBP_NZD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅GBP_NZD is trading along
The rising support
And as the pair will soon retest it
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels
Above at 2.2659
LONG🚀
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GOLD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry - 3130.2
Sl - 3142.3
Tp - 3109.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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#AI16ZUSDT remains in a bearish momentum
📉 SHORT BYBIT:AI16ZUSDT.P from $0.1544
⚡️ Stop loss $0.1582
🕒 Timeframe: 1H
✅ Overview BYBIT:AI16ZUSDT.P
➡️ Price continues in a downtrend, breaking key support levels.
➡️ POC: $0.1615 marks a high-volume area where price was rejected, indicating strong selling pressure.
➡️ Resistance at $0.1582 — expect rejection on retest.
➡️ Entry zone: $0.1544, but wait for confirmation before entering!
➡️ Targeting TP1: $0.1510 and TP2: $0.1485 on further downside movement.
📍 Important Note: Watch for confirmation levels before entering! Do not enter too early.
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.1510
💎 TP 2: $0.1485
⚡️ Plan:
➡️ Wait for confirmation before entering at $0.1544.
➡️ Stop loss $0.1582 — above resistance.
➡️ Take profits at $0.1510 and $0.1485.
🚀 BYBIT:AI16ZUSDT.P remains in a bearish momentum — follow the plan after confirmation!
EUR-GBP Risky Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-GBP keeps growing
Sharply after the Trump's
Tariff announcement wrecked
Havoc on the markets
But a strong resistance is
Ahead around 0.8446
From where we will be
Expecting a local
Bearish correction
Sell!
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Gold new ATH at 3,168: A Final Push Before the Drop?Yesterday was a high-volatility day, and we all know why.
Gold surged to yet another all-time high at 3,168, and luckily, I had already closed my sell trade around break-even—otherwise, my stop loss would have been triggered.
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Gold Still Set for a Hard Drop?
Despite the rally, my outlook remains unchanged—I still believe Gold is due for a significant correction.
📉 3,100 Held as Support – But buyers are struggling to hold onto gains around 3150
📉 Every New High is a Selling Opportunity – So far, Gold has failed to sustain its breakouts, reinforcing a potential distribution phase.
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Trading Plan: Selling the Rallies
🔻 Target: At least 3,080
🔻 Preferred Strategy: Continue selling into rallies
For now, I remain bearish and will keep looking for opportunities to short the market. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.