DXY just broke below the 1W MA200 after 6 months!The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) broke today below its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 6 months (since the week of September 30 2024). By doing so, it has almost hit the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up.
The last contact with the 1W MA200 initiated a massive Bullish Leg two weeks after, so it would be an encouraging development if the candle holds here or better yet even close above the 1W MA200.
If it does, we expect a new strong Bullish Leg to start, targeting initially at least the 0.786 horizontal (blue) Fibonacci level at 108.000.
If not, the 2-year Support Zone is the last defense, with 99.600 as its lowest level (the July 10 2023 Low). Below that, a multi-year downtrend for DXY awaits.
Notice however, the incredible 1W RSI symmetry between selling sequences. Since January 2023, we've had two -54.50% declines. Right now, the current decline since January 2025 is exactly at -54.50%. If DXY rebounds here, it will confirm this amazing symmetry.
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Signals
JP MORGAN won't give a better buy opportunity in 2025.Last time we looked at JP Morgan Chase (JPM) on November 27 2024 (see chart below), it gave us a clear sell signal that went straight to our $236 Target:
Now that the price rebounded not only on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but also on the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up, we are switching back to buying a we even got the first pull-back on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Given that the 1D RSI also rebounded from oversold (<30.00) territory like the October 27 2023 Low did, we expect a similar Bullish Leg to follow and thus our Target is $330 at the top of the Channel Up.
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Lingrid | GOLD possible CONSOLIDATION Following a Fake BreakThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the take profit level. OANDA:XAUUSD appears to have made a false break of Tuesday and Wednesday's highs before reversing. Currently, the market is forming a bearish long-tailed bar on the daily timeframe, which may indicate a deeper correction or a consolidation zone between the 3100 and 3140 levels. If the price pulls back toward the support level, I believe it may rebound from there. Given the upward trendline and channel border, this area could serve as an optimal entry point in anticipation of further upward movement. However, with high-impact news scheduled for today, we should remain vigilant, as the market may experience increased volatility. My goal is resistance zone around 3160
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86K for another short sellMorning folks,
So, not occasionally we said in previous 2-3 updates that BTC action doesn't look bullish and we suggest a new nosedive. Now we have bearish engulfing pattern on weekly chart . And consider these two Fib levels for another short entry attempt. Of course, 86K would be just perfect, but it could start earlier. One of the possible shapes we consider a downside butterfly.
In general, re-test of 70-73K area on average fits to our long-term view.
In a case if 86K will be broken, it could mean that market is tending to 93.5K target, based on daily AB=CD pattern . But we consider this scenario as less probable due on overall BTC heavy performance in a recent few weeks.
Thus, for now, if you want to make a scalp long trade, you could try, but better to set initial target not higher than 86K.
Our major scenario is bearish and we consider 84K and 86K Fib levels for accumulation of a bearish position, unless something extraordinary will happen.
Profit to everybody, Peace.
GOLD Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,128.13.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,167.36 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURUSD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.101.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.123 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDJPY Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 146.824.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 149.538.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GBPJPY Will Grow! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 193.194.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 197.049 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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BITCOIN is exactly where it's supposed to be.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under heavy pressure lately due to the trade tariffs but as long-term investors, we shouldn't let this volatility affect us.
The MVRV has been one of the most consistent cyclical Top (sell high) and Bottom (buy low) indicators giving only a maximum of two optimal signals in each Cycle and it shows that the market is nowhere near a Top.
On the contrary the MVRV has spend the first 3 months of the year correcting from the 0.382 Fibonacci level to the 0.236. This is the exact same score it had i March 2017. Even in the other two Cycles that wasn't this low on Fibonacci levels, it still made a correction, flashing a red signal.
As the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) continues to support, there are far more greater probabilities that the market will recover, turning the recent trade volatility into the best buy opportunity of 2025.
As far as a Cycle Top is concerned, it has always been an excellent exit signal when the MVRV hit the 0.786 Fib.
So do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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USDCHF Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.884.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.881 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DXY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 104.207.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 102.727 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Lingrid | GBPNZD potential UPWARD Breakout. LongThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the target zone. FX:GBPNZD price is making higher highs and higher closes, indicating that the market is in a bullish phase. Recently, it tested the previous resistance zone and then bounced back because the markets usually breaks through key levels on the third or fourth attempt. If the market rebounds from the support level, we can expect a continuation of the current bullish trend. Additionally, the market is forming an ABC pattern, suggesting that the price may reach the 2.3000 level in the near future. My goal is resistance zone around 2.29000
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Lingrid | TONUSDT bearish DIVERGENCE at Resistance ZoneOKX:TONUSDT market has formed a double top in the resistance zone, accompanied by a bearish divergence at the resistance zone and channel border. It failed to break above the psychological level of 4.00 forming a fake breakout. Additionally, the price has broken and closed below the upward trendline after taking liquidity above last week's high. This suggests that the market is likely gearing up for a corrective phase. I anticipate that the price may move lower towards the lower levels, possibly retesting the 3.00 supporrt level. My goal is support zone around 3.30
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Trump's Tariff War! GOLD nears targetIn Asian trading on Thursday (April 3), the market's risk-off sentiment increased, boosted by Trump's wide-ranging tariff actions. Spot gold prices jumped to $3,167.77/ounce in early trading, up nearly $37 in a day and hitting a new record high.
OANDA:XAUUSD Continues to Rise as Trump Launches Tariff Campaign
The US Dollar fell sharply in Asian trading on Thursday, contributing to the boost in gold prices. The US Dollar Index is currently at around 103.050, down more than 60 points on the day.
On April 2, local time, the White House issued a statement saying that US President Trump declared a national emergency on the same day to enhance US competitiveness, protect US sovereignty, and strengthen US national and economic security. Trump declared this as America's "declaration of economic independence".
The statement said that Trump will impose a 10% "base tariff" on all countries, effective from 0:01 a.m. Eastern time on April 5. In addition, Trump will impose higher, personalized "reciprocal tariffs" on countries with the largest US trade deficits, effective from 0:01 a.m. Eastern time on April 9. All other countries will continue to adhere to the original base tariff of 10%.
Gold prices hit a new record above $3,160 an ounce after US President Donald Trump announced comprehensive “reciprocal” tariffs, imposing a minimum 10% tax on imported goods, raising concerns that this could trigger a global economic recession.
Investors have flocked to gold as concerns about the health of the global economy have grown. Gold prices have risen 20% this year after a strong rally in 2024, driven largely by central bank buying and strong demand in Asia.
AND IT WILL KEEP RISE AS FUNDAMENTAL SUPPORT IS ABSOLUTELY IN PLACE!
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after approaching the target level of attention to readers in yesterday's publication at the price point of the 1% Fibonacci extension, there are temporary signs of cooling down, mainly this is considered a correction state after a shock increase.
In terms of trends, gold is currently being noticed by the short-term price channel, this is an uptrend in which the medium-term trend at the price channel is also an uptrend channel, in addition, EMA21 is also the current main support.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also in an uptrend channel, which shows that gold is also in an uptrend in terms of momentum, and a signal for a possible downward correction in terms of momentum can only occur when the RSI folds downwards below 80.
As long as gold remains in the price channel, it is still in an uptrend in the short term, and the notable positions for the day will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,135 – 3,106 – 3,100 USD
Resistance: 3,172 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3171 - 3169⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3175
→Take Profit 1 3163
↨
→Take Profit 2 3157
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3098 - 3100⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3094
→Take Profit 1 3106
↨
→Take Profit 2 3112
Lingrid | GOLD anticipating Potential MARKET RetracementThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the target zone. Overall, OANDA:XAUUSD market is in the process of forming an ABC move, with the C point nearing completion around the 3175 resistance zone. The market has made a corrective move of about 1.9% from the peak of the consolidation zone before. I think that the price might create a similar pullback from the all-time high zone. Given the high-impact news scheduled for today, it’s possible that the price could retest the area below yesterday's low. However, considering the current momentum, I expect the market is likely to bounce off the support level and the upward trendline, ultimately moving forward to complete the ABC pattern. My goal is resistance zone around 3170.
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Gold reverses sharply after Trump's tax announcementThe world gold price has reversed sharply because the global market has just received information last night (Hanoi time) that US President Donald Trump has just signed an executive order to impose taxes on all goods imported into the US, many countries will have to pay high taxes of up to tens of percent.
Specifically, the UK, Brazil, Singapore will be subject to a 10% tax. The European Union, Malaysia, Japan, South Korea, and India will be subject to 20-26%. China, Thailand, and Vietnam are among the countries subject to the highest tax rates, at 34%, 36%, and 46%, respectively. The highest is Cambodia, which will be subject to a tax rate of up to 49%. This tax rate will be applied from April 9. In addition, Mr. Trump said that a 10% import tax will be applied to all goods imported into the US from April 5.
Mr. Trump said that every year the US loses 1,200 billion USD due to the trade deficit due to 3,000 billion USD of imported goods.
After this information, the global financial market was shaken, in which the US stock market had a strong decline, losing from more than 1% to more than 2%. On the contrary, gold - an asset that ensures capital safety in case of risk - has benefited from a strong increase in price.
Many experts commented that the Trump government's tariff policy has increased global trade tensions. Previously, the US imposed tariffs on some goods from Canada, Europe and China, aluminum and steel. These countries have responded to the tariffs on the US.
EUR_CHF BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅EUR_CHF is going up now
And the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key level
Of 0.9570 which is now a support
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are bullish biased
And after the pullback
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP-USD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is growing now
But a horizontal resistance
Level of 1.3000 from where
We will be expecting a local
Pullback and a local move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
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NIKKEI LONG FROM SUPPORT|
✅NIKKEI went down to retest a horizontal support of 35,250
Which makes me locally bullish biased
And I think that a move up
From the level is to be expected
Towards the target above at 36,093
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin- Short term recovery?As you know, I am bearish on Bitcoin in the long term. However, in the short term, the cryptocurrency could see a recovery.
Yesterday, the price tested the 81,000 support zone once again and rebounded from that level. Now, Bitcoin is pushing against the 83,500 resistance, and I believe a breakout is likely.
If that happens, we could see further gains, with 86,500 as the next key target for the bulls.
In conclusion, I’m bullish on BTC in the coming days and will be looking to buy dips.
Gold's trend has too many friendsThere’s a well-known saying in trading: “The trend is your friend.”
I firmly believe in this principle. However, when price movements become too extreme—too fast and too far—it’s wise to exercise caution, even if you’re not ready to take the opposite side of the trade.
And right now, I believe that’s exactly the case with Gold.
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Why a Major Gold Correction is Likely
As I’ve been repeating like a broken record since Monday, Gold’s price is severely deviated from the mean, signaling that a brutal correction is on the horizon.
After reaching a new all-time high of 3,150, Gold retraced yesterday, dropping to 3,100—a support level formed earlier in the week. A rebound followed, but as I’ve explained in an educational article, this price action looks more like a stepwise distribution rather than true buying strength.
The key point?
➡️ Support isn’t holding because buyers are stepping in—it’s holding because big sellers have paused selling.
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Still Bullish, But a Drop is Coming
There’s no doubt that Gold is in a strong uptrend. But even if it drops 1,000 pips, the overall bullish trend would still be intact.
Key Technical Signs of Weakness
📉 Trendline Break – Yesterday, Gold broke below the rising trendline, marking the first sign of weakness.
📉 Failed Rebound – Despite a short-term bounce, the price is now more likely confirming the break rather than invalidating it.
📉 Lower High in Progress? – The next minor support sits at 3,120. If Gold breaks below this level, we’ll have confirmation of a lower high, which strengthens the bearish case.
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Targeting the Correction
If Gold breaks below 3,120, I expect a move below 3,100, targeting:
🎯 Soft target: 3,080
🎯 Likely target: 3,030 – 3,040
I believe it’s only a matter of time before this brutal correction plays out.
Let’s see how it unfolds! 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Silver could drop 2k+ pipsSilver has been on the rise recently, but unlike its big brother, Gold, it started rolling back down on Friday—even as Gold continued to print new all-time highs, culminating at 3,150 yesterday.
This divergence between the two metals could be an early sign that Silver is losing momentum.
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Technical Signs of Weakness
📉 Rising Wedge Formation – Since early March, Silver’s price has been contained within a rising wedge, a classic bearish pattern signaling an impending breakdown.
📉 Testing Key Support – Right now, the price is hovering above wedge support. If Gold fails to hold above 3,100, I expect Silver to break down as well.
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Targeting the Breakdown
If Silver breaks below support, I expect:
🎯 Initial target: $32
🎯 Final target: $31 (a key support zone)
Trading Plan: Selling the Rallies
Given the current setup, my strategy is to sell into rallies, aiming for at least a 1:2 risk-reward ratio.
Let’s see if Silver follows through on this bearish setup! 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.