DOW JONES High Channel Up symmetry points to 46000.Dow Jones (DJI) easily hit our 45000 Target as suggested on our November 20 idea (see chart below), and immediately turned sideways, consolidating basically for the past 6 days:
This is not the first time that we've come across this consolidation within the 4-month Channel Up as the exact same sequence was last seen during September 20 - October 08. As with today's price action, the consolidation also took place above the 1.0 Fibonacci level and once completed, it gave one final push to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension before correcting back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
As a result, we now set a new Target for the end of the year at 46000.
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Signals
WTI OIL Bullish break-out to $76 imminent.WTI Oil (USOIL) is so far following our last call (November 26, see chart below) on high precision as, after once last pull-back to the Support Zone, it is now rebounding:
As you can see now on this 1D chart, the price hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) today but based on the other 2 November attempts, even a candle close above it doesn't translate into a sustainable break-out.
Contrary to that, however, those 2 attempts weren't supported by a 1D RSI Higher Lows base similar to September's. As you can see that same pattern was that initiated the rebound on the Support Zone that broke above the 1D MA50 and extended even above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and tested the bottom of the 4-month Resistance Zone.
As a result, our $76.00 Target remains intact, which is marginally above the 0.786 Fib and projected to be just below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
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US30 Will Go Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 44,904.9.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 45,324.9 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GOLD Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 2,641.783.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 2,628.904 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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NZDUSD Will Move Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.584.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.603.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.052.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.049 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Lingrid | GBPJPY pullback TRADE. Short from RESISTANCE zoneFX:GBPJPY formed a double bottom at a key support level and has subsequently bounced off this level, after bullish divergence. The price is currently pulling back against the major bearish trend, as the market has been consistently making lower lows. Recently, the price managed to break above the psychological level at 190.00. Given this context, it is possible that the market will retest the recent high from Monday and the upper border of the channel where a sell signal may present itself. If the price hits resistance in this area, it could provide a trading opportunity for a continuation of the bearish trend, as bears could take advantage of this pullback. My goal is support zone around 189.50
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Lingrid | CADJPY Trend CONTINUATION Shorting OpportunityFX:CADJPY is currently making lower lows and lower closes, which indicates a bearish trend. The price is retracing toward the resistance zone and the upper boundary of the channel. Given that the major trend remains bearish, this pullback presents an opportunity to short the market. The price action is demonstrating a strong bearish movement, followed by weaker pullbacks, indicating that the bulls are not in control. I anticipate that the market will provide further opportunities for trend continuation in the bearish direction. My goal is support zone around 106.300
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Gold prices on the international market increased slowlyGold prices in the international market increase slowly due to large selling pressure every time gold moves up and the USD strengthens as Donald Trump's US presidency approaches.
Gold prices increased again mainly because of the previous strong downward adjustment and investors still expect a long-term upward trend of this precious metal product when the US and the world are entering a down cycle. interest rates to support economic growth.
It is expected that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will reduce interest rates by another 0.25 percentage points at the December meeting and will reduce them several more times in 2025 and the bottom may fall in early 2026. When the Fed reduces interest rates interest rates, the USD will theoretically depreciate.
The prospect of a weaker USD has clearly decreased with new moves from Mr. Donald Trump. However, when countries step up pumping money and Mr. Trump also wants to intervene in the Fed to gain an advantage in trade, inflation in the US as well as around the world may escalate. This is a factor that is beneficial for gold.
EOSUSDT is primed for a massive breakout!A powerful Wolfe Wave pattern has formed on the weekly chart, indicating a potential for significant price movement. The current price is nearing the key support level, presenting an excellent entry opportunity.
Additional bullish signals:
Two active harmonic patterns further reinforce the bullish outlook.
Increasing trading volume suggests a growing interest in EOS.
Don't miss out on this potential profit opportunity!
Don't risk it, please don't forget to set a stop loss, when we reach the first target, save some profit, and then change the stop to entry.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please do your research before making any investment decisions.
GOLD is stable, trading day with lots of big data and eventsOn the Asian market on Wednesday (December 4), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery is basically stable, gold price is currently around 2,644 USD/ounce.
In New York trading on Tuesday, gold hit a daily high as South Korea's martial law boosted safe-haven demand.
South Korean President Yoon Seok-yue gave an emergency speech at the Yongsan Presidential Office in Seoul on Tuesday evening local time and issued an emergency martial law order. After this news arrived, spot gold soared to 2,655.64 USD/ounce.
Gold prices then gave up gains when South Korean President Yoon Seok-yue announced the lifting of martial law. As of the end of Tuesday, spot gold increased 0.2%, closing at 2,643.38 USD/ounce.
On this trading day, there are multiple event risks in the US, including the ADP employment report, ISM services PMI, Federal Reserve Begie Book and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech . Among them, the ADP jobs report and Powell's speech attracted the most attention.
Today (Wednesday), US ADP employment change data for November will be released. This data is known as “small non-farm” and is expected to create a significant impact in the market.
Surveys show that US ADP employment is expected to increase by 150,000 in November. Previously, US ADP employment increased by 233,000 in October.
On the same day, the US ISM non-manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) for November will be published and is expected to be 55.5.
Fed President St. Louis Mussallem will give a speech. On Thursday, the Federal Reserve will release Begie Bôk on economic conditions.
On Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will be invited for an interview at the DealBook/Summit conference hosted by the New York Times.
In his final speech in November, Powell said the Fed was in no rush to cut interest rates, citing a solid job market and inflation remaining above its 2% target.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is still in a state of prolonged accumulation with price activity mainly sticking around the 21-day moving average (EMA21) and the technical point of 2,644USD.
Although gold has recovered after the previous decline, the overall picture is still inclined to decrease in price with the main trend from the price channel, on the other hand, pressure is still created from EMA21 along with activity. of the Relative Strength Index RSI remains below 50. These factors provide gold with conditions for a bearish trend.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, its technical outlook remains tilted to the downside and rallies should be considered short-term recoveries.
On the other hand, if gold is sold below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level it will likely continue to decline to a subsequent target of around $2,606 – $2,600. In addition, a new bearish cycle will be opened once gold is sold below the original price of 2,600 USD.
During the day, the bearish technical outlook for gold will be noticed by the following points.
Support: 2,634 – 2,606 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,663USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2681 - 2679⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2685
→Take Profit 1 2674
↨
→Take Profit 2 2669
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2599 - 2601⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2595
→Take Profit 1 2606
↨
→Take Profit 2 2611
XAUUSDGold prices have recovered slightly, trading at $2,639.97 an ounce, marking a modest gain of 0.20% over the past 24 hours. The recovery comes after a recent decline, driven by a stronger US dollar and rising US Treasury yields.
The current rise reflects cautious optimism among investors as the market awaits key economic data from the United States. The upcoming labor market report is expected to provide insights into the Federal Reserve’s future monetary policy, especially its stance on interest rates.
Despite the temporary relief, gold remains sensitive to moves in the dollar and bond yields. Market focus on key economic indicators could shape the trajectory of gold in the coming sessions, keeping traders on their toes.
GBP/USD --> Counter-Trend Correction Before Further DeclineFX:GBPUSD during the correction process, the price has reached the area of interest and resistance from which further bearish momentum can be expected, in the context of the dollar returning to its upward trend.
Overall, the market continues to struggle around the 1.267 area, which is considered a strong support zone. However, buyers appear to have limited opportunities to push the price higher as the dollar strengthens, fueled by Trump’s policies that exert significant pressure on the forex market.
From a technical perspective, GBP/USD is attempting to break out of the main range, testing the key support level. However, with the price currently testing strong support, we might see a corrective move toward the 1.275–1.285 area (0.618 Fibonacci retracement) before resuming the downtrend. It is also worth emphasizing the 1.256–1.248 range. A break and consolidation below this zone would confirm the bears’ intentions.
CAD/JPY Analysis – Potential Bearish SetupThe CAD/JPY pair is showing signs of bearish momentum within a descending channel on the 1H timeframe. The recent price action indicates potential for further downside, supported by technical confirmations:
Descending Channel: The price is respecting the boundaries of a well-defined bearish channel, suggesting continued downward momentum.
Weak Low Formation: The pair has formed a weak low at 106.229, potentially signaling the market's intention to grab liquidity below this level.
Bearish Order Block: A supply zone near 107.150 is acting as strong resistance, aligned with the channel's upper boundary.
Break of Structure (BOS) and ChoCH: Multiple BOS and ChoCH patterns indicate a bearish shift in market structure, adding confidence to the downside bias.
RSI Confirmation: The RSI shows bearish divergence, further supporting the bearish outlook.
🔑 Plan:
Entry Zone: Around 106.250 (near the weak low).
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 105.502
TP2: 104.675
Stop Loss: Above the 107.150 resistance level to limit risk.
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for traders looking to capitalize on CAD/JPY's bearish momentum. As always, risk management is key—trade responsibly and monitor for any unexpected market shifts.
EUR_JPY SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅EUR_JPY will be retesting a support level soon around 154.361
From where I am expecting a bullish reaction
With the price going up but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
LONG🚀
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XAUUSD - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some time of lower timeframe confirmation. For me the best way to confirm higher timeframe context is structure.
We can notice the break of market structure (sign of weakness) on key liquidity level, so there is a higher probability to see price lower at least on opposite level (marked lower).
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.