EURUSD: Selling strategy is preferred!EUR/USD continued to slide below 1.0800 during the European session on Wednesday. The major currency pair remained under pressure as the outlook for the Euro (EUR) deteriorated due to faster-than-expected inflation declines and rising risks of a Eurozone recession, fueling speculation of more rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB).
EUR/USD was also pressured by a rally in the USD. The US dollar gained amid political uncertainty ahead of the US presidential election and strong expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing cycle will be more gradual than previously expected.
Trend-wise, the bearish bias remains dominant across most timeframes and the short strategy remains the dominant style.
Happy trading and good profits!
Signals
US30USD Will Move Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for US30USD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 42,851.2.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 43,893.3 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Lingrid | EURUSD making LOWER Lows. Potential PULLBACK tradeThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target level. FX:EURUSD is trending downward, consistently making lower lows, and is currently testing the August low after breaking and closing below the psychological level at 1.08000. Given the bearish momentum that the market has gained, I anticipate a continuation of the downward trend. I expect the price to pull back toward the swap zone and then continue making lower lows, If it gives a sell signal during that pullback. My goal is support zone around 1.07550
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GBPJPY Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 197.654.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 203.292 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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PALLADIUM Bullish Cross on MACD sets the tone.Palladium (XPDUSD) has been rising since the 1D Golden Cross (October 07) and on top of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since September 09. We view this as the emergence of a Channel Up, currently on its 2nd Bullish Leg, aiming for the next Higher High.
The 1D MACD is on a Bullish Cross, and that's all we need to confirm the continuation of the rise. Our first Target is near the top (Higher Highs trend-line) at 1200. After that and if a potential subsequent pull-back holds the green zone, we will turn bullish again towards 1270.
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Gold's Reversal Signals: Why I'm Watching for a Drop Below 2700?Yesterday, I mentioned that a correction in OANDA:XAUUSD seemed imminent, even though we didn’t yet have confirmation at that moment, and I emphasized that buying no longer appeared attractive at these levels.
Indeed, after reaching another all-time high of 2740 during the day, a strong sell-off followed, pushing the price down to the 2715 zone.
Currently, the bulls are back in control, but in my view, this looks more like a natural rebound aligned with the broader trend, rather than a renewed surge in buying interest.
The 2740 level now serves as significant resistance, and a fresh reversal from this zone could very well occur.
For the bulls, the key support level lies in the 2725-2730 range. A drop below this zone would signal the beginning of a potential new downward move.
From my perspective, I'm focused on selling opportunities.
A break below 2700, with a move toward the 2685-2690 support range, is what I’m closely watching for.
Gold continues to conquer new heightsHello everyone! What is the current price of gold? Let's analyze with Victor!
The world gold price today set a new record of 2,747 USD/ounce, up 27 USD compared to the same period yesterday at 2,720 USD/ounce. The world gold price skyrocketed to an all-time high as investors increased their demand for safe capital due to uncertainties surrounding the US presidential election and ongoing military conflicts in the Middle East. In addition, gold is considered a hedge against geopolitical and economic instability and has increased by more than 32% since the beginning of 2024. Lower interest rates also increase the attractiveness of holding gold.
As can be seen on the 2-hour chart, gold is showing an extremely positive technical outlook. With moving averages sloping up and technical indicators supporting the bullish trend, gold is ready to conquer new highs. The $2,733 support level acted as a solid cushion in line with the 34 EMA and the rising channel limit, allowing gold to easily clear the $2,747 resistance and move strongly towards the $2,770 target.
So, what do you all think about gold prices today? Will the bullish momentum continue?
S&P500 Has it topped?The S&P500 index (SPX) is ahead of critical crossroads for the short-term as the Bullish Megaphone pattern that is in effect since April 01, is showing strong signs of topping.
Even though the price isn't on the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Megaphone, the 1D MACD formed a Bearish Cross today and practically is repeating the sequence of the index' previous Leg from April 19 to July 17, which ended also on a MACD Bearish Cross.
As you can see besides the Bearish Cross, even the price action between the two fractals has gone through very similar phases. The current Bullish Leg is in the form of a Rising Wedge.
Despite the Bearish Cross, the trend remains bullish within this pattern until the Wedge's bottom breaks. As a result, it is more likely to see at least 6000 next. If however the price breaks below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we will have a confirmed sell signal at hand, based on which we will short and target 5600.
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Bitcoin- Chronicle of a Break ForetoldA couple of weeks ago, I raised the question: What if Bitcoin were to remain stuck in a range between 70K and 50K for an extended period?
Although this idea seems unimaginable to the bulls—who get frustrated by any statement that isn’t "Bitcoin to the moon"—this scenario is more than just a remote possibility.
Recently, Bitcoin hit the 70K zone once again, and from a technical standpoint, it broke out of the flag it had been trading in for over six months.
However, to me, this breakout feels more like the "chronicle of a break foretold"—the one we’ve all been expecting, where everyone’s buying, everyone’s making money.
Yet, from a fundamental perspective, things aren’t looking as rosy as one might think.
Technically, it seems like the price will come back to confirm the breakout. But again, from my point of view, things just seem a bit too simple .
So, what if Bitcoin slips back under 65K and continues downward towards the bottom of the range at 50K?
Asking for a friend. :)
GOLD Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 2,726.00.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 2,742.59 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USDCHF: Growth Continues 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Earlier, I have already predicted a bullish movement on USDCHF.
I see one more bullish confirmation this morning.
The price successfully violated a resistance line of
a horizontal parallel channel on a 4H time frame.
The next goal for buyers - 0.87 psychological resistance.
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Lingrid | AVAXUSDT in CONSOLIDATION: Opportunity to BUYBINANCE:AVAXUSDT is currently forming a triangle pattern, creating lower highs and higher lows. Overall, it is in a consolidation phase, which provides an opportunity to buy at the bottom of the range. The price is approaching last week's low, and I anticipate that the market may dip below this level before moving toward the upper boundary of the range. If the market rejects the support zone around 26.00, we can expect a bullish move to emerge from that support. My goal is resistance around 29.00
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Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Price ACTION AnalysisOANDA:XAUUSD reached another all-time high this week, closing above 2700 and continuing an upward trajectory, as I mentioned in my last post. The weekly candle closed strongly following a long-tailed bar, indicating that the market has gained bullish momentum. Any pullback at this point could present an opportunity to go long, especially since, at this rate, a surge to the 3000 level by the end of the year seems plausible.
On the daily timeframe, the market is forming an AB=CD pattern, and once this pattern completes around 2745, there is a chance the market may pull back from that resistance area. However, on the weekly timeframe, we can observe a wick pointing downwards, suggesting a potential retest of about 50% of the previous week's range.
Overall, I anticipate that the market to continue to move higher, and I plan to go long during any pullbacks as we aim for the next target of 2770, which is likely to be reached sooner than expected. It’s worth noting that geopolitical concerns remain significant, prompting traders to seek safety in gold. Additionally, global central banks support, driven by consistent demand and worldwide interest rate cuts, is making gold increasingly attractive.
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Lingrid | GBPJPY range BREAKOUT. Long from SUPPORT zoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It reached target level. Overall, FX:GBPJPY is forming a bullish trend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows on the 1H timeframe. Recently, it broke and closed above the resistance zone around 195.600, a level that had been tested multiple times. Following this breakout, I anticipate that the market may surge upwards toward the upper boundary of the channel. It's important to note that the market has been choppy since the beginning of October, suggesting that the breakout could be substantial. My goal is resistance zone around 196.900
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Aussie Yen on the Rise: Could It Hit 103.000 Soon?Hey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of OANDA:AUDJPY !
On the H4 timeframe, Aussie Yen is holding strong above the EMA90, signaling a solid bullish trend. We’ve also seen a breakout from the symmetrical triangle pattern, which typically points to a continuation of the current uptrend. The MACD indicator shows a hidden bullish divergence, where the price makes higher lows while the indicator makes lower lows. This often suggests underlying strength and the potential for the uptrend to continue, reinforcing the bullish momentum.
With these key technical factors in alignment, we could witness an exciting push towards Target Area 1 at 103.000, or even up to Target Area 2 at 103.972. However, traders should keep a close eye on the stop-loss level at 99.946 to manage risk effectively.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Gold. "
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Gold prices continue to rise at the end of the week!Hello everyone, what do you think about the gold price?
Today, the gold price is on an upward trend, after the buyers previously completed conquering the highs at 2661 -2700 - 2720 respectively, the price has started to increase and is currently trading at a new high of 2721 dollars. This increase is due to the fact that the two largest and second largest economies in the world, the US and China, have both announced negative economic data, which has boosted the demand for gold reserves. In addition to the reason for the poor economic information, investors expect the US Federal Reserve to cut the USD interest rate in early November, the market also expects the upcoming US election in November.
As seen on the 4-hour chart, the gold price has been continuously pushed up since the price broke out of the downtrend and in addition, the new peak is still unclear before the weekend close, showing that the upward trend will continue. Using the Fibonacci extension, I expect and forecast that the gold price will likely move in the Elliott wave (1,2,3,4,5) and target higher levels at around 1.618 i.e. (2739) and if 1.272 (2717) holds, the price will increase higher to level 2 (2762) to continue to set as the final target.
At this time, the realization phase is forming, Conan is waiting for confirmation with the aim of further strengthening in the coming time. What do you think about this view?
GBP/USD: Is the Dollar Weakness Back?After a brief two-day recovery, GBP/USD reversed course on Monday, losing 0.5% and continuing to show signs of weakness on Tuesday morning, trading slightly below the 1.3000 level. Market sentiment was cautious at the beginning of the week due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which bolstered demand for the US Dollar as a safe haven. The US economic calendar features the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for October, though it is not expected to significantly impact the market. Additionally, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will deliver a speech at the Bloomberg Global Regulatory Forum in New York, but without expected comments on monetary policy, the event could have a minimal effect on the pound.
The next important data releases for GBP/USD will be on Thursday, with the preliminary PMI Manufacturing and Services Index data for the UK and the US, which could provide further direction for the pair. It is also worth noting that on Tuesday, the market closed the day with a doji candle, opening up a potential bullish opportunity. We will see if today, during the London session, the market provides a clear confirmation to go long.
Happy trading, and have a great day!
Gold charge forecast 23/10/2024As of 8:45 a.m. on October 23, the world gold price listed on Kitco was at 2,738.4 USD/ounce, an increase of 8.6 USD/ounce compared to the beginning of the previous trading session.
Gold charge forecast
World gold expenses are anchored excessive no matter the growing USD index. Recorded at 8:forty five a.m. on October 23, americaA Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the dollar with 6 essential currencies became at 103,749 points (up 0.12%).
Early this morning, global gold expenses reduced as compared to remaining night`s session, however had been nevertheless indexed round document highs. Overall, from the start of the 12 months till now, gold bars have accelerated via way of means of greater than 32%.
Gold has risen no matter growing greenback and Treasury yields, and the upward thrust in gold expenses has outweighed weaker bodily call for and better supply, analysts stated.
Exinity Group marketplace analyst Han Tan stated gold ought to overcome unheard of charge degrees if the valuable steel maintains to disregard the healing in US Treasury yields and the electricity of the silver greenback. green.
💎 TVC:GOLD Buy limit 2724 - 2722💎
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2750
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2716
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎 TVC:GOLD Sell limit 2750 - 2748💎
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2720
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2758
Gold price may rise to $3,000 by the end of this yearBusinessInternationalWednesday, October 23, 2024, 08:34 (GMT+7)
World gold prices increased again
The need for shelter when geopolitical tensions escalated pushed gold prices to a new peak, at 2,748 USD an ounce.
Closing the trading session on October 22, the world spot gold price increased nearly 30 USD to 2,748 USD per ounce. This is a new record high for the precious metal.
"Geopolitical tensions are still the main cause. The US presidential election will take place in two weeks and the race is still very close. Political instability is driving up the need for shelter."
The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll shows that Vice President Kamala Harris's support rate is currently 46%, slightly higher than former President Donald Trump's 43%. "This closeness is creating a situation of uncertainty. This environment is beneficial for gold," said analysts at BNP Paribas bank.
Grant predicts that if tensions in the Middle East continue to heat up, the price could rise to $3,000 by the end of this year. Since the beginning of the year, the price has increased 33% and continuously set new peaks.
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Buy limit 2724 - 2722💎
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2750
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2716
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Sell limit 2750 - 2748💎
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2720
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2758
Gold Benefits From Political TensionsThe technical analysis of the gold chart shows that the price has increased sharply and broken the resistance level near $2,743/ounce. The EMA 34 and 89 continue to point up, reinforcing the long-term uptrend. It is expected that the gold price may have a correction to the $2,700 level before continuing to increase to higher targets around $2,800 and $2,950, corresponding to the Fibonacci levels 1.0 and 1.618.
The political news factor also contributes significantly to the fluctuations of the gold price. The US presidential election in November is strongly affecting the market sentiment. If Mr. D.T. wins, the gold price is likely to decrease due to expectations that he can resolve geopolitical tensions. However, strong economic policies from both candidates may also increase economic stimulus and money injection, further supporting the gold price increase.
EURUSD: Recovery then decline?Hello dear friends! What do you think if EURUSD continues its downtrend in the future?
This will be a long-term analysis for this currency pair.
On the chart analysis: Ben sees that a double top pattern has formed (clearly indicated from the chart) which marks a strong fight from the sellers as they try to push the downtrend back.
Furthermore, using Fibonacci retracement levels to measure the retracement of the first wave (blue area), the downtrend is expected to continue after reaching the 0.618 retracement level.
If the price action of this currency pair plays out according to this trading idea, the 1.0910 and 1.0779 levels will be targeted by the sellers.
What about you? How do you feel about the future trend of EURUSD? Share in the comments!
Latest GBPUSD Comments Today - October 21, 2024Looking at the GBPUSD chart, we can see that the price is moving within a clear downtrend channel. Currently, the price is right next to the upper trendline of this channel, indicating that selling pressure may dominate and continue to push the price lower.
Today's trading trend: SELL scalp.
Trading strategy: For those considering trading, it is reasonable to look for a selling opportunity in the resistance area near $1.3050, with a target of $1.2950. Place a stop loss above the resistance area of $1.3070 to limit risk.
Wishing you a profitable and safe trading week.