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BITCOIN When the 4 year Cycles do the talking..It's been some time since we last used the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) but the timing is just right to bring you an update, only 2 weeks before the U.S. Presidential Elections with the market ahead on an imminent bullish break-out. This time we look into how the price was trading on this date every 4 years. As you know BTC is trading roughly within 4 year Cycles that keep a high degree of symmetry and tend to repeat a lot of dynamics each time. Right now, towards the end of October (2024), the price is trading within the Mean MM (black trend-line) and the 1st SD above (grey trend-line). It has already started rising off the Mean MM. Based on the 4-year Cycle Theory, it is no surprise then that the price was within the exact same range in October 2020, October 2016 and October 2012. The degree of symmetry is remarkable and is yet again showcased by this indicator. We can also see that by this time every 4 years, the price had already started rising off the Mean MM, just as it is doing now. With the green Rectangles we display the date range between these 4-year intervals and the peak of the Bull Cycle. For October 2012 it took 58 weeks (406 days) until it topped, October 2016 was 60 weeks (420 days) while October 2020 was 55 days (385 days). So time-wise the Cycle tends to peak roughly the same period. As a result, if we take the minimum scenario of 55 weeks, we can expect the Cycle to top by mid November 2025. As far as targets are concerned, the first two Cycles hit (and broke) the 3 SD above (red trend-line), while the last one the 2 SD above (orange trend-line). Again assuming a 'worst case scenario' hitting 'just' the 2 SD trend-line, we can set a Target Range of 190k - 250k, depending on whether the price hits it halfway through the 55 week range or towards its end. Nevertheless, an exciting rally appears to be starting for Bitcoin. So what do you think? Is this October MMB fractal about to break to a parabolic rally? And if so, will it hit the orange trend-line? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
4
Fantom / FTM analysisFtm pumped almost 300% since Andre Cronje back as vice president of memes at the fantom foundation! FTM has been one of the best performing tokens of 2023, pulling off a series of impressive gains in the last few weeks the price of Fantom is $0.54 today with a 24hour trading volume of 650 million dollar. This represents a 15% price increase in the last 24 hours and a 170% price increase in the past 30 days. Blockchain platform Fantom plans to introduce version 2 of its fusd stablecoin to provide a more predictable and budget-friendly system for builders, partners and users, developers said in a post over the weekend. They didn't give a timeline for the release.the new version will allow the stakeholders to allocate fees in either fantom or fUSD and to predict future costs based on usage, the developers said. It will allow programmers to build additional institutional products for users and provide a more consistent system for planning and budgeting for grants. while ftm has been on an upward trend since the first week of the year, its price rally in the last week can be attributed to Fantom’s recent integration with the Axelar Network.on Jan. 24, the Fantom Foundation announced a partnership with Axelar, which will introduce interchain communication to the Fantom Network. since we published our first ftm chart and hit all targets (100% gain) its time to look at the chart again and set new targets. ftm successfully broke ascending triangle and broke 0.29 and 0.31 resistance as well. next targets for ftm is 0.65, 0.75 and 0.8$ what do you think about ftm price ? bullish , bearish or apish!?
Long
by moonypto
8
Lingrid | EURUSD trend CONTINUATION OpportunityFX:EURUSD has moved lower, testing the August opening price level following the news that pushed the the market downward. The market is making lower lows, and it is likely to reach the round number at 1.0800. The market recently bounced off the 1.08100 level, presenting an opportunity for a pullback trade. Currently, the price is pulling back to a resistance zone and a downward trendline. If the price rejects this zone, we can anticipate a continuation of the downtrend. However, since today is Friday, the market may trade sideways. My goal is support level at 1.08100 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
6
Alikze »» SUSHI | Reverse head and shoulders pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Reverse Head and Shoulders Pattern - Reversal Motivational Wave - According to the analysis presented before , after filling the FVG gap, wave 3 continued up to the 0.47 range of the 100 Fibo zone. - After creating demand in the range of 100 Fibo, it has encountered a motivational wave. - It is currently in an uptrend, which has faced a temporary correction after breaking the supply zone. Due to the upward trend, it can encounter the bottom of the channel and meet the demand again and continue its upward trend until the next supply area. - This upward trend can continue in the range of 1.56. 💎 Therefore, by breaking the supply area (red box) and after pulling back to it, it can continue its ascent to the next supply area. ⚠️ Note: In addition, if this modification touches the "Invalidation LVL" area, the ascending scenario will be invalidated. ⚠️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:SUSHIUSDT
Long
by alikze
4
SPX500USD Will Grow! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 5,849.9. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 5,898.0 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SignalProvider
1
SILVER Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 34.118. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 30.110 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
USDJPY Will Go Lower! Short! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 150.710. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 148.225 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
NZDCHF Will Go Up! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for NZDCHF. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.523. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.536 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
GBPUSD Is Very Bearish! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.304. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.298 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
USD Index at 104 Resistance: Strategies for the Next MoveIn early October, I wrote that the multiple attempts to break below the support level given by the beginning of the year price were likely false breaks. I suggested that the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) was primed for a reversal to the upside, which could potentially push the price toward the 104 resistance level. As anticipated, the USD Index reversed and touched this key resistance. Looking ahead, a correction from this point seems probable, with the 102.50 zone being a possible target in the coming days. My strategy is to look for buying opportunities in EUR/USD and AUD/USD.
TVC:DXYShort
by Mihai_Iacob
Xauusd price is likely to be $3,000World gold prices increased in the context of the USD index falling. Recorded at 9:20 a.m. on October 21, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 103,749 points (down 0.08%). Over the past year, gold bars - a commodity considered a hedge against political and economic instability - have increased more than 31%, breaking many records. The US Federal Reserve's (FED) interest rate cuts combined with safe haven demand have created a perfect storm for gold. According to senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis of RJO Futures, developments ahead of the US election and geopolitical developments in the Middle East are supporting precious metals. President of Phoenix Futures and Options - forecasts that interest rates will decrease and gold is ready to conquer new milestones. He believes that gold prices will reach $3,000/ounce in the first quarter of next year. In the coming time, gold prices will still be affected by the FED's interest rate management. According to CME's FedWatch tool, US inflation has been contained, the market is expecting a 92.2% chance that the FED will cut 25 basis points and a 7.8% chance of keeping current interest rates unchanged. meeting on November 7. 💎 XAUUSD sell 2734 - 2738💎 ✔️TP1: 2730 ✔️TP2: 2720 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2744
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheLeader_WOLF
Dollar Index Consolidation: Will NFP Trigger an Upside Breakout?Since its recent touch on the support zone back in August, the U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has entered a period of consolidation, characterized by multiple attempts to break through this critical support level. Despite several instances where the price briefly dipped below the technical support zone, each time, the market witnessed a strong reversal, with bulls stepping in to defend the level successfully. From my perspective, we are nearing a potential upside reversal, and the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll report on Friday could serve as the catalyst for this move. Currently, 102 is the key level to watch for confirmation of an upward breakout. Should the DXY break above this threshold, the next reasonable target would be around 104, marking a significant bullish shift in momentum.
Editors' picks
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
15
GOLD recovered after adjusting from the target levelOANDA:XAUUSD recovered after a correction since reaching the reader attention target increase in previous issues at 2,741 USD. Gold soared to a new all-time high on Monday hitting $2,740.60 an ounce. Uncertainty over the US presidential election and war in the Middle East have contributed to gold's rally, which has been fueled by expectations of lower Fed interest rates. Gold prices have risen this year and have consistently hit record highs, a recovery that has accelerated over the past few months as the Federal Reserve moved to cut interest rates. Worsening tensions in the Middle East and upcoming US elections are also increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Citi Research raised its three-month gold price forecast in a report on Monday, citing a possible continued slowdown in the US labor market, interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and increased gold purchases. physical and ETF funds. The bank raised its 3-month gold price forecast to $2,800 from $2,700 previously and said its 6- to 12-month gold price forecast is $3,000. Specifically, the report said: “We note that despite weak retail physical demand in China and rising US interest rates, gold and silver have performed very well since the Fed cut interest rates by 50 points. basis last month and nonfarm payrolls exceeded expectations.” According to the latest Washington Post poll, Republican candidate Trump and Democratic candidate Harris are still tied in 7 important states. However, on core issues such as the economy, inflation and immigration, Trump's approval rating is higher than Harris's. A Trump victory would mean a completely different story, with more taxes and restrictions likely to negatively impact inflation, forcing the Fed to abandon its current loose monetary policy, meaning If Trump wins the election, it is likely that the USD will strengthen again and gold will come under significant pressure. Regarding the situation in the Middle East, according to local authorities, Israel conducted air strikes across Lebanon at night, targeting Hezbollah's financial activities. "We will continue to fight Iran's proxies until the country collapses," said Israeli Foreign Minister Israel Katz. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, after adjusting from the target increase of 2,741 USD, gold recovered when approaching the nearest support level at the Fibonacci extension level of 0.786% price point of 2,711 USD. The current recovery is significant and is once again close to the key technical level at $2,741, the $2,741 level being the confluence of resistance of the upper channel edge and the 1% Fibonacci extension. If gold breaks above $2,741 it will be primed for a new bull run ahead, and indeed the target after gold breaks $2,741 is not to be found beyond round price points like 2,750 – 2,800 USD. During the day, structurally and the short-term trend remains unchanged to the upside with upward momentum remaining very strong as the Relative Strength Index points steeply upward without any signs of a bend or heading down from the overbought area, although the room for price increases is no longer large, there will still be enough motivation for shock increases (short and strong) before adjusting downward. The upward trend in gold prices on the daily chart will be noted by the following technical points. Support: 2,711 – 2,700USD Resistance: 2,741 – 2,750USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2762 - 2760⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2766 →Take Profit 1 2755 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2750 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2694 - 2696⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2690 →Take Profit 1 2701 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2706
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
EUR/USD: Watch for the Rebound!EUR/USD began the week on a bearish note, hitting 12-week lows near 1.0800 as the US dollar remains strong, supported by solid economic fundamentals and rising US yields. Key support levels are at 1.0811 and 1.0775, while major resistance is seen at 1.0930 and 1.1040. The macroeconomic backdrop favors the dollar, with the Fed remaining cautious on rate cuts, and the ECB, despite a recent rate cut, facing weak growth and declining inflation. A drop below 1.0800 could accelerate losses, while a recovery above 1.0875 would be the first positive signal.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Expectations for Further Gains Amid Lower Interest RatesGold prices are currently in an uptrend and have broken through the $2,730 resistance level, heading higher. The technical chart shows that the price is continuing to maintain its upward momentum within the price channel, with the 34-day EMA and 89-day EMA supporting below. However, after hitting $2,740/ounce, the price has corrected to $2,720 due to a stronger USD and profit-taking. News from China about the PBoC cutting interest rates is an important factor driving the gold market. Meanwhile, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates in November, creating expectations that gold prices will continue to rise in the long term, although there may still be short-term corrections when major central banks cut interest rates.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Naoomi
PayPal (PYPL): Elliott Wave update - final target in sightSince our entry in PayPal, the stock has performed exceptionally well, respecting the Elliott wave structure and currently providing us with a return of over 35%. This price action demonstrates how effectively PayPal follows the Elliott wave count, reinforcing our bullish outlook. We have now set our stop loss at break even, allowing us to safeguard our gains while continuing to benefit from potential upward movement. During the recent wave (4), we chose not to enter, but it's important to note that the price respected the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level precisely, indicating a strong likelihood that similar levels will be respected in future corrections. PayPal is currently advancing through wave (5), and we anticipate this wave to conclude soon. Our target for the larger wave (iii) stands at $81, with wave (5) potentially reaching up to $84. However, there is a possibility that wave (5) may conclude before reaching the wave (iii) target. Therefore, we will closely monitor the situation, keeping our alerts ready to react as needed. Once PayPal moves into the $81 target area, we will look to secure additional profits. Should the price action align with our projections, we will consider re-entering at wave (iv) for further opportunities. Until then, we let our position continue running.
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
TRIANGLE PATTERNS 101The triangle pattern is one of the most common yet least reliable formations in trading. It occurs during periods of price consolidation or reversals, representing a narrowing trading range defined by two converging trend lines. For a trendline to be established, at least two touches are required. Consequently, a complete triangle typically consists of a minimum of four touches—two for each trendline. However, in practice, triangles tend to be more reliable when there are three or more touches on each line. In essence, the greater the number of touches, the stronger the lines become. The more frequently the price interacts with these lines, the higher the likelihood that they will serve as significant support and resistance zones, thereby resulting in a more powerful breakout. There are two main types of triangles: symmetrical and ascending/descending. Let's explore both of these patterns in more detail. 📍 Symmetrical Triangles A symmetrical triangle is formed by two or more trends combined with price movements, characterized by each successive high being lower and each low being higher than the previous ones. Unlike an extension, where trend lines diverge, the lines connecting the peaks and troughs in a symmetrical triangle converge. These triangular patterns are often referred to as “springs” because, as they develop, price fluctuations tend to calm down and trading volumes decrease. When the triangle is finally broken, the price can shoot out sharply—much like a tightly compressed spring releasing its tension. This breakdown occurs as the price breaks through the triangle with increased momentum. The essence of the symmetrical triangle lies in its ability to balance the interests of buyers and sellers during its formation. When a breakout occurs, trading volume typically surges, signaling that one side has gained the upper hand in terms of price direction. While most patterns provide fairly clear indicators of potential breakout directions, the symmetrical triangle encourages a bit of speculation. The prevailing trend remains dominant until it is definitively proven otherwise, leading to the assumption that the breakout will likely align with the main trend. Hints of a reversal — a breakout in the opposite direction might emerge if the price moves too far in either direction. Additionally, it's prudent to observe other assets; if they are breaking in a new direction, it could signal a potential shift. Generally, a reversal is more probable if the symmetrical triangle forms after a strong trend and remains intact for an extended period. However, in the absence of these signs, the default assumption should be that the primary trend will continue. 📍 The Psychology Behind Triangles in Trading A triangle formation in trading represents an escalating battle between buyers and sellers. It begins with a strong price movement on the left side of the pattern, reflecting volatility and uncertainty in both camps. As the price climbs to the apex of the triangle, buyers initially lose their enthusiasm while sellers start to take action. Subsequently, the price retracts, attracting those who missed out on the earlier surge and are determined to capitalize on this opportunity. At this juncture, sellers grow weary, and the price begins to rise again, though not as dramatically. This moderate increase confuses buyers once more. Potential sellers, who may have regretted their missed opportunity to sell at higher prices, begin to set aside their greed and are willing to sell at lower levels. Ultimately, the price falls once again, bringing in new buyers. However, with each cycle, the number of participants dwindles, leading to increasingly subdued price reactions. The initial excitement fades, and market participants become more cautious, waiting for stability and a normal balance to be established. As the triangle progresses, the boundaries between buyers and sellers draw closer, as neither side can assert its dominance. Typically, when the price stalls at the top of the triangle, even a slight imbalance in supply and demand can trigger a significant price movement. In summary: The more touchpoints there are within a triangle, the more substantial the price movement is likely to be after a breakout. A strong indicator of breakout strength is the contrast between decreased volume during the triangle's compression and a sudden surge in volume upon breakout. The greater this difference, the more decisive the outcome and the stronger the trading signal. 📍 Identify The Price Target For The Triangle Breakout To identify where the price might move after a triangle breakout, there is a traditional method you can use. First, draw a line parallel to the upper trendline, starting from the base of the triangle. This reference line will help identify the target zone the price is expected to reach, providing insight into potential future movements. When analyzing a symmetrical triangle, the same approach applies. You can also apply this method at the lower trend line of the formation. This technique is versatile and can be useful in various consolidation patterns as well. In the second example, you would measure the distance between the peak of the triangle and the subsequent low. This distance can then be projected from the breakout point to estimate the price's likely direction and target. By using these methods, we can gain a clearer understanding of potential price movements following a triangle breakout. 📍 Turning a Symmetrical Triangle into a Head and Shoulders Pattern Triangles, particularly symmetrical triangles, are often viewed as less reliable price patterns in technical analysis. This is primarily due to their tendency to evolve into different formations entirely, making them challenging to interpret. For instance, what starts as a symmetrical triangle can eventually transform into a head and shoulders pattern, which may lead to a misleading breakout that doesn’t accurately predict subsequent price movements. In a scenario where a triangle breakout appears promising, the price may undergo another movement that creates the contours of a sloping head and shoulders pattern. This transformation represents a significant shift in market sentiment and can lead to false expectations regarding future price behavior. Therefore, traders must be cautious and aware of this possibility, as it highlights the unpredictable nature of triangle patterns. To mitigate the risk of being caught off guard by such deceptive formations, it's beneficial to apply a filtering technique. Focus on patterns where the price has interacted with the trendlines—either support or resistance—two or more times. More touches or approaches reinforce the validity of the trendlines, lending them greater significance as points of support or resistance. Consequently, when a breakout occurs from a well-established triangle, it is more likely to be strong and reliable. 📍 Ascending and Descending Triangles A symmetrical triangle alone does not indicate the direction of a potential breakout, whereas an ascending or descending triangle does, due to the presence of sloping support and resistance lines. As is the case with most patterns, a breakout from a triangle is typically followed by a pullback. If you missed the initial breakout, this pullback often presents a second opportunity to enter the trade, usually under calmer market conditions. If a pullback trendline can be identified, it enhances the breakout line as a favorable entry zone, reinforcing the validity of the breakout that has already occurred. 📍 Transforming Ascending and Descending Triangles into Rectangles One challenge with these patterns is that many rectangles can initially appear similar to ascending and descending triangles. Consequently, it's important to exercise caution when analyzing these formations. 📍 When Ascending and Descending Triangles Fail We’ve already observed that ascending and descending triangles can sometimes evolve into rectangles. Typically, there are two scenarios where this failure can occur. The first scenario arises when the price breaks above the horizontal trendline, only to subsequently return and fall back through it. In the case of a false upward breakout, a closely situated false peak forms, allowing us to place a tight stop just below the trendline. The second situation occurs when a descending triangle fails due to the breaking of the rising or falling trendline before the horizontal trendline is broken. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
1
Alikze »» BTC | Bullish angle pattern | bullish channel - 8H🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish angle pattern in the bullish channel And the pullback is broken into the swing - According to the movement scenario predicted in the previous analysis , by forming an ascending diamond pattern, it managed to break the dynamic trigger and move towards the supply areas. - It is currently moving in an ascending channel in the 8H time frame. - With the formation of an ascending corner pattern, it is undergoing a temporary correction to the green box. - Therefore, it can encounter support after correction in the green box area and continue its growth up to the supply range. 💎 In addition, if the correction is sharp, there will be a possibility of breaking the green box, up to the range of 62500. 💎 So, in case of zigzag correction in the green box area, it can meet the demand and touch the target of the supply area. ⚠️ In addition, if below the area of ​​62500 candles, the bullish scenario will be invalidated and should be re-examined and updated.⚠️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« MEXC:BTCUSDT
Long
by alikze