GOLD Is Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 2,919.850.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 2,971.950 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Signals
EURCAD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURCAD.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.552.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.561 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBPCHF Is Going Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPCHF.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.135.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.149 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPCHF - Potential Buy Setup at Key Support LevelOANDA:GBPCHF is currently approaching the lower boundary of the ascending channel, aligning with a key support zone where buyers may step in.
This area has previously acted as a strong support level, suggesting that if the price confirms a bullish rejection, we could see a move higher toward the 1.13750 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. However, a break below this trendline would invalidate the bullish outlook and could lead to further downside.
This setup reflects a potential bounce from channel support, in line with the prevailing uptrend.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments! 🚀
USDNOK at Key Resistance Zone – Potential Reversal Setup OANDA:USDNOK is currently trading at a key resistance zone, where sellers may regain control. This level has been a strong area of interest in the past, leading to price reversals. The recent bullish momentum has pushed price into this supply zone, suggesting a potential for bearish continuation if price action confirms a rejection.
If the price confirms rejection from this zone, a move lower toward 11.2010 is likely. However, a strong breakout above could invalidate this setup, shifting momentum back to the bulls.
Do you agree with this analysis? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
COPPER at Key Resistance: Will Sellers Push Toward 4.5230?PEPPERSTONE:COPPER has reached a significant resistance level, marked by prior price rejections and strong selling pressure. This area has historically acted as strong supply, suggesting the potential for a bearish reversal if sellers regain control.
If the price confirms a rejection within this supply zone, I anticipate a move downward toward the 4.5230 level. This setup suggests the possibility of a retracement after the recent upward movement.
Traders should look for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or strong rejection wicks, before entering short positions.
AUDJPY Approaching Key Support - Will Price Rebound to 93.940?OANDA:AUDJPY is approaching a key support level, an area where buyers have previously shown strong interest. The recent bearish movement suggests that price may soon be testing this level, potentially setting up for a rebound.
A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would strengthen the case for a move higher. If buyers step in, the price could rally toward 93.940, aligning with the next key resistance level.
However, a decisive breakdown below this support would invalidate the bullish scenario and could lead to further downside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Best of luck, TrendDiva.
Lingrid | GOLD coiled UP for a BREAKOUT Ahead of NFPOANDA:XAUUSD has nicely bounced off the support level and is currently testing the previous day’s high. With the market trading within the range of the previous day, it seems to be in anticipation of the upcoming NFP data. There are two daily highs above the current price, which may create some resistance for further upward movement. However, considering the bullish momentum since the start of the week, it appears that the price might be forming an ABC move suggest that the market may reach 2985 level. I think price may retest the zone above last week's high then pulling back closing below it. Overall I expect upward spike, if the upcoming news doesn't negatively impact the price. My goal is resistance zone around 2945
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WTI OIL hit its 2-year Support. Major rebound possible.WTI Oil (USOIL) didn't fail us on our last bearish idea (February 20, see chart below), where we called the 1D MA50 rejection:
The decline didn't just hit our $69.00 Target but also broke below the medium-term Channel Up and entered the 2-year Support Zone.
The long-term dynamics should gradually start emerging now and the principle parameter is that every time this Support Zone gets hit, WTI starts strong medium-term rallies.
Technically (even on 1W MACD terms), the decline since mid January is very similar with the one of mid April 2023. Both were produced after another Support Zone rebound and before that a long-term Channel Down (red) preceded them.
As a result, we expect a strong rebound for at least the next 2 months, which (as in the case of Fractal 1) should initially target at least January's High at $80.50.
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Lingrid | USDCHF pullback Trade as BEARISH Momentum ContinuesThe price perfectly fulfills my previous idea . It reached the target. The FX:USDCHF is making lower lows and lower closes, indicating bearish momentum in the market. Recently, it broke through the downward trendline and the significant level of 0.89000. On the weekly timeframe, the price is currently trading within a big range between 0.84000 and 0.92000. Given that the price has recently bounced off resistance and is heading toward the lower end of this range, I expect a shorting opportunity. If the price pulls back to the resistance around the downward trendline zone, I expect it to continue moving lower toward the December low level. My goal is to support zone around 0.86800
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BITCOIN Same bottom, different year.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has formed a Triangle pattern of Lower Highs (Resistance) and Higher Lows (Support), following the February 28 Low. The bullish confirmation will be given if the price breaks above its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) but this already looks like a Bottom formation, similar to the Triangle patterns formed around August 2024 and September 2023.
Those were the major bottoms (so far) of the 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle and it won't be surprising at all if 2025 has its own now that will drive BTC to its eventual Top towards the end of the year.
Both rallies that followed the 2023 and 2024 Triangle break-outs, reached at least their 1.786 Fibonacci extension. As a result, this gives us a minimum medium-term Target of $120000 in the event the 4H MA200 breaks.
So do you think this is a standard Bull Cycle Triangle bottom formation? And if yes, is $120k the immediate Target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Lingrid | TONUSDT short-Term BULLISH Momentum on the HorizonOKX:TONUSDT market reached the 3.00 support level, as I predicted in my previous forecast . Currently, the price is fluctuating around this psychological level, squeezed between the support level and a downward trendline. This situation is likely to result in a breakout, and I think the market may push higher, given that the price continues to bounce off the support level. Notably, it reached the March high of 2024. Thus the price may oscillate around the 3.00 level, moving up and down. However, I expect an upward movement if the unexpected news does not have a negative impact on the cryptocurrency market. My goal is resistance zone around 3.250
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Why I shorted BTC?In last weekend’s crypto analyses, I mentioned that many altcoins were in a support zone, with a strong chance of a reversal from that level.
Shortly after I published my analyses, the announcement regarding the federal crypto reserve was released, triggering a massive pump.
However, this surge was short-lived, and prices quickly retraced back to their initial levels. For me, this is not a good sign—when major positive news fails to sustain gains, it often signals weakness in the market.
Now, regarding Bitcoin: although its price remains above the announcement level, it has struggled to hold gains above the 91K support level and continues to break below it.
I don’t believe prices are dropping just to set up a massive bull run for everyone to buy in—this looks like a bearish signal to me.
As a result, I have shorted BTC and expect a decline to 75K. That said, with my stop-loss placed above the initial pump’s high, I’m currently running a 1:3 risk-reward ratio, which—regardless of the outcome—is ideal in my book.
Markets hesitant, GOLD sideways on NFP data dayIn the Asian trading session on Friday (March 7), the spot OANDA:XAUUSD maintained a very slight decline during the day and the current gold price is around 2,911 USD/ounce. On this trading day, investors will pay attention to the US non-farm payrolls report, which is expected to impact the main trends in the gold market.
The US non-farm payrolls are expected to increase by 160,000 in February. Gold is likely to react more strongly to disappointing employment data than to an optimistic non-farm payrolls report because this will push gold prices higher, ending the period of downward adjustment and subsequent recovery and accumulation in the past.
The US will release its February non-farm payrolls report at 20:30 Hanoi time on Friday.
Surveys show that the number of non-farm payrolls in the US will increase by 160,000 in February, after increasing by 143,000 in January. The US unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.0% in February.
Surveys also show that the monthly increase in average wages in the US is expected to slow to 0.3% in February, after increasing by 0.5% in January. Average hourly earnings are likely to increase at an annual rate of 4.1% in February.
The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring signs of weakness in the labor market as it tries to balance supporting the labor market and controlling inflation. The slowdown in employment data certainly adds complexity to the Fed’s decision-making process.
Review of expected data: A large negative surprise in non-farm payrolls, at 100,000 or lower, could put significant pressure on the dollar and open the door for a move higher in gold to help it end the week on the positive side. On the other hand, if the non-farm payrolls figure reaches or exceeds 180k, the dollar could remain firm and limit the upside potential for gold.
Technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold is still in the process of accumulation before receiving a strong impact of structural change from NFP data released today. Up to now, the upward momentum is limited but short-term price declines are supported from the base price area of 2,900 USD, this is considered the closest support to pay attention to readers in the previous publication.
Technically, the short-term trend is currently unclear as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also moving sideways in the 60-50 range, indicating that market sentiment is still hesitant.
However, considering the overall fundamental and technical picture, my personal opinion is to defend the bullish view, with each decline only being considered a short-term correction or a buying opportunity.
During the day, the technical outlook for gold continues to target the technical level of 2,942 USD in the short term, more than the all-time high. Notable positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: 2,900 - 2,880 USD
Resistance: 2,942 - 2,956 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2976 - 2974⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2980
→Take Profit 1 2968
↨
→Take Profit 2 2962
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2877 - 2879⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2873
→Take Profit 1 2885
↨
→Take Profit 2 2891
CAD/JPY Analysis – Key Levels & Market Drivers📉 Bearish Context & Key Resistance Levels:
Major Resistance at 108.32
Price previously rejected from this strong supply zone.
Moving averages (yellow & red lines) are acting as dynamic resistance.
Short-term Resistance at 106.00-107.00
Failed bullish attempt, leading to a strong reversal.
A break above this area is needed to shift momentum bullishly.
📈 Bullish Context & Key Support Levels:
Support at 102.00-101.50 (Demand Zone)
Significant buyer interest in this area.
If the price reaches this zone, a potential bounce could occur.
Deeper Support at 99.00-100.00
If 102.00 fails, the next demand level is in the high 90s, marking a critical long-term support.
📉 Current Market Outlook:
CAD/JPY is in a strong downtrend, consistently making lower highs and lower lows.
The price is testing key support areas, and further movement depends on upcoming economic events.
A potential bounce could occur at 102.00, but failure to hold could trigger further declines toward 99.00.
📰 Fundamental Analysis & Market Drivers
🔹 Bank of Canada (BoC) Interest Rate Decision – March 12, 2025
Expected rate cut from 3.00% to 2.75% → Bearish for CAD.
A dovish stance signals weakness in the Canadian economy, potentially pushing CAD/JPY lower.
If the BoC provides an aggressive rate cut or hints at further easing, the downtrend could continue.
🔹 Japan Current Account (January) – March 7, 2025
Expected at 370B JPY (significantly lower than previous 1077.3B JPY).
A lower-than-expected surplus may weaken JPY, slightly offsetting CAD weakness.
If JPY remains strong despite this data, CAD/JPY could fall further toward 101.50-100.00.
📈 Potential Trading Setups:
🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Below 103.00, confirming further weakness.
Target 1: 102.00
Target 2: 100.00
Stop Loss: Above 104.50 to avoid volatility spikes.
🔼 Long Setup (Bullish Scenario - Retracement Play):
Entry: Strong bullish rejection from 102.00
Target 1: 105.00
Target 2: 108.00
Stop Loss: Below 101.50 to limit downside risk.
📌 Final Thoughts:
The BoC rate decision will likely be bearish for CAD, increasing downward pressure on CAD/JPY.
The Japan Current Account data could provide temporary support for JPY but is unlikely to fully reverse the trend.
102.00-101.50 is a key buying zone, while failure to hold could drive the pair toward 99.00-100.00.
🚨 Key Watch Zones: 102.00 Support & 108.00 Resistance – Strong moves expected!
Will the NFP report act as a catalyst for a downside breakout?In my post yesterday, I argued that multiple resistance levels exist above 2925, which could lead to a market decline.
Indeed, throughout the day, gold dipped below 2900 once again, but support held, keeping the price stuck in a range.
Looking ahead, today’s NFP data could act as a catalyst for a breakout from this range.
My bias remains bearish, and I expect a break of the support level, followed by a continuation downward toward last week's lows.
However, a breakout and sustained buying above 2925 would shift my outlook.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Nonfarm forecast tonight ? 🔴US Expected to Add 170,000 Jobs in February, But Job Outlook Worsens
————
⚫February Jobs Forecast: Nonfarm payrolls report projects 170,000 jobs added, up from 143,000 in January, while unemployment remains at 4%.
⚫Mixed Signals: While official data shows the labor market remains strong, surveys show many workers are worried about their jobs and less willing to look for new opportunities, while job seekers are having a tough time.
⚫Layoffs Rising: Staffing firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas reports that businesses are announcing the highest level of layoffs since July 2020, with 62,000 jobs tied to the Trump administration's federal workforce cuts.
⚫Consumer Confidence Falls: A report from the Conference Board and the University of Michigan showed consumer confidence is falling sharply amid fears about growth and the labor market.
⚫Impact of Government Layoffs: Some economists warn that government layoffs could spread and affect as many as 500,000 jobs, undermining confidence in the economy.
⚫Wage Growth: Average wages are expected to rise 0.3% month-over-month and 4.2% year-over-year, up from 4.1% in January.
Gold purchase strategy continues to prioritize. Target 500 pips!Dear friends!
Gold continues to trade negatively for the second consecutive day, despite a combination of factors still acting as key drivers ahead of the crucial U.S. NFP report at the end of this Friday. Rising trade tensions continue to put pressure on investor sentiment.
As mentioned on the 1-hour chart, the daily chart for XAU/USD shows little change for the second consecutive day. However, at the same time, it also records lower highs and lower lows, shifting the risk bias to the downside. Nevertheless, the short-term picture indicates that buyers are struggling to maintain control, with the 34 EMA having reversed, increasing the risk for sellers. As a result, the downside potential remains limited, with dips likely to continue attracting buyers.
Key short-term levels to consider:
Support: 2,894 | 2,876
Resistance: 2,911 | 2,927
USDJPY STRONG FALLING OPPORTUNITY 1. 144.00 Support May Hold Strong
The analysis assumes 144.00 will break, but this is a key psychological and historical support level.
If buyers step in, USD/JPY could reverse back up instead of continuing downward.
2. Rebound Towards 150.00 Possible
Instead of a lower low, USD/JPY could bounce off intermediate demand zones and attempt a retest of resistance at 150.00.
US economic strength (inflation, interest rates) could support the dollar and invalidate the downtrend.
3. Lower Highs are Not Confirmed Yet
If the price stays above 146.50, the trend could shift back bullish, disrupting the bearish projection.
Lack of strong selling pressure near 147.00-146.00 could mean the market is undecided rather than fully bearish
4. Macroeconomic Factors Favor USD Strength
If Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains dovish and the Fed keeps rates high, USD/JPY might resume its uptrend instead of falling
ETHUSD SURELY BULLISH 1. Support at 2130 May Fail
The chart assumes a bounce from 2130 support, but if ETH breaks below this level, it could trigger further liquidations and push price toward 2000 or lower.
Bearish divergence or weakening buy volume could signal a lack of strength.
2. Resistance at 2800 May Hold Strong
The projection suggests ETH will reach 2800, but this could be a strong supply zone where sellers step in.
If ETH struggles around 2400-2500, we might see a reversal instead of a breakout.
3. Lower High Formation
If ETH fails to break above previous highs (~2265+), it could signal a lower high, leading to a downtrend continuation rather than a rally.
Rejection near 2300-2400 might confirm a bearish structure.
4. Macroeconomic & Market Risks
If Bitcoin corrects or macro factors (rate hikes, regulatory news, or stock market weakness) pressure crypto markets, ETH might struggle to sustain upside momentum
XAUUSD strong bullish 1. (Xauusd)Support at 2900 May Not Hold
The chart suggests a bounce from the 2900 support area, but if market sentiment weakens, we could see a breakdown below 2900 instead of a recovery.
If this happens, gold might dip further toward 2850 or even 2800 before regaining strength.
2. Trendline Breakdown is Possible
There's an upward trendline acting as dynamic support, but multiple touches increase the chance of a breakdown rather than a continuation.
A confirmed break below this trendline could lead to bearish momentum rather than a push higher.
3. Resistance May Be Stronger Than Expected
The analysis suggests a move toward 2960-3000, but these levels could act as a strong resistance instead of a breakout zone.
Failure to break 2960 might trigger another sell-off back toward 2900 or lower.
4. Macroeconomic Factors Could Shift Bias
If the US Dollar strengthens or bond yields rise, gold could struggle to gain momentum, invalidating the bullish outlook