GOLD suffered a fierce sell-off, the US Dollar was strongerOANDA:XAUUSD Continuing to endure a fierce sell-off fueled by market profit-taking and a stronger US dollar, the US Dollar Index rose to a 10-day high on Friday of 107.66 amid concerns about US trade policy and data that raised fears of a recession.
US President Trump confirmed 25% tariffs will be imposed on Mexican and Canadian products next week, March 4. This increases market uncertainty.
Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau said Canada does not want to get into a trade war with the United States, but if the United States imposes tariffs on Canadian goods on March 4, Canada "will immediately have an extremely strong response."
Bloomberg said currency traders bought the dollar after US President Trump confirmed he would impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico next week.
On Friday, the Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model predicted that U.S. GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 would be -1.5%, compared with a previous forecast of 2.3%. The US Dollar was boosted after the data was released due to concerns about an economic recession.
OANDA:XAUUSD fell to lows in early New York trading on Friday as Wall Street's major indexes opened weak as investors remained cautious about the potential for price pressure from President Trump's policies.
As US PCE inflation data was in line with expectations, the data suggested the Federal Reserve may be more cautious in cutting interest rates, which helped the dollar remain at a two-week high.
The US core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.3% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year in January, in line with expectations. The overall PCE price index in the United States increased 0.3% month-on-month and 2.5% year-over-year in January, also in line with expectations.
However, “personally” believes that PCE data does not significantly change Fed price expectations, so it essentially has a small impact on gold prices.
Spot gold prices fell 2.7% in the past trading week, the largest weekly decline since November last year.
Next, the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP), (ADP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports will become important market data. If inflation data rises too high, it could trigger a sharp sell-off in gold, and the opposite effect if slowing inflation data stimulates market bets on the Fed's ability to cut interest rates.
Of course, further analysis of the above data will be sent to readers in daily publications.
Economic data to watch next week
Monday: Euro Flash CPI Estimates, US ISM Manufacturing PMI
Wednesday: ADP jobs report; ISM US Services PMI
Thursday: European Central Bank Monetary Policy Decision, US Weekly Jobless Claims
Friday: US nonfarm payrolls.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week.
With its current position, gold does not have enough conditions to continue falling in price as long as gold maintains price activity above 2,835 USD and Fibonacci retracement of 0.382%, along with the Relative Strength Index above 50. On the other hand, a confirmation signal for gold price to end the downward correction cycle is price activity returning to the price channel.
However, traders also need to be careful as a new bearish cycle will open up once RSI goes below 50, the price chart is sold below 2,814 USD, so protective positions should be placed behind 2,814 USD.
In the short term, gold is still in a downward correction cycle and the notable points will be listed as follows.
As for "personally", I continue to defend the view that declines are only short-term corrections and not a sustainable trend, declines can also be considered an opportunity to buy.
Support: 2,835 – 2,814USD
Resistance: 2,868 – 2,900USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2896 - 2894⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2900
→Take Profit 1 2888
↨
→Take Profit 2 2882
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2819 - 2821⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2815
→Take Profit 1 2827
↨
→Take Profit 2 2833
Signals
GBP/JPY Analysis – Key Levels & Trade Scenarios📊 Timeframe: Weekly (1W) | Current Price: ~189.90
📉 Bearish Context:
Resistance at 192.04:
Strong supply zone (red rectangle) where price previously reversed.
Aligned with moving averages (likely 50 & 100 periods), acting as dynamic resistance.
Support at 184.63:
Marked in blue as a significant demand zone.
Historical reaction area, where buyers may step in again.
📉 Current Outlook:
Price rejected 192.04, forming a bearish structure.
Price currently consolidating below resistance, indicating weakness.
If selling pressure continues, a move toward 184.63 is likely.
📈 Trade Setups:
🔻 Short (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Below 189.50 with a bearish confirmation.
Target 1: 186.00
Target 2: 184.63
Stop Loss: Above 192.00 to avoid fakeouts.
🔼 Long (Reversal Play):
Entry: Strong bullish reaction from 184.63.
Target: Retest of 192.04, with SL below 184.00.
📌 Final Thoughts:
The bearish trend remains dominant unless 192.04 is broken.
A clean break below 189.50 strengthens the bearish outlook.
Macro factors and volatility could influence upcoming price action.
EURUSD Approaching Key Resistance – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong selling interest. This area has historically acted as a supply zone, where sellers have stepped in, leading to notable price reversals. The current price action suggests a potential bearish reaction if the resistance holds.
If sellers maintain control, we could see a decline toward the 1.03940 level, which represents a logical target based on the current market structure. Confirmation signals—such as a bearish engulfing candle, rejection wick, or increased selling volume—would strengthen the bearish outlook.
However, if the price breaks above this resistance zone and sustains momentum, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, signaling a potential shift in favor of buyers.
Monitoring how price reacts to this zone is crucial for identifying entry opportunities. As always, applying proper risk management is essential given the potential for volatility.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
GBPUSD Approaching Major Resistance — Potential Sell SetupOANDA:GBPUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, a level where sellers have consistently stepped in, leading to notable bearish reversals in the past. This area is marked by strong selling interest and historical price reactions, increasing the likelihood of a bearish move if sellers regain control.
The current price action suggests that if the pair confirms resistance through signals like bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks, or increased selling volume, we could see a downward move toward 1.25770—a logical target based on previous price behavior and market structure.
However, if the price breaks above this zone and sustains, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, opening the door for further upside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
EURAUD – Bullish Continuation Toward 1.68270OANDA:EURAUD is currently trading within an ascending channel, maintaining a strong bullish structure. The price has broken above a key resistance zone and may now be pulling back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward 1.68270, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have! 🚀📈
GBPAUD - Bullish Continuation Toward 2.04040OANDA:GBPAUD has broken above a key resistance zone, which has now flipped to support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong buyer interest and reinforcing the bullish outlook.
With momentum favoring the upside, the next logical target is 2.04040, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. As long as the price remains above the support level, the bullish bias stays intact.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here!
EUR-AUD Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A bullish breakout of the
Key horizontal level of 1.6777
And the breakout is confirmed
So we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
ALUMINIUM Approaching Key Support – Bullish Rebound ExpectedPEPPERSTONE:ALUMINIUM is approaching a significant support zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if buyers regain control.
If buyers step in and confirm support within this zone, we could see a rebound toward the 2,634 level, aligning with a corrective move after the recent sell-off. However, failure to hold this support could signal further downside continuation.
Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing patterns, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
EURSEK at Major Support Level – Bullish Rebound ExpectedOANDA:EURSEK is approaching a key demand zone, which has historically acted as strong support. The recent sharp decline has brought the price back into this area, increasing the likelihood of a potential bullish reaction.
If buyers step in and confirm support within this zone, we could see a rebound toward the 11.25000 level, aligning with a corrective move after the recent sell-off. However, failure to hold this support could signal further downside continuation.
Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing patterns, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
AUDCAD at Key Support Level – Potential Rebound to 0.89950OANDA:AUDCAD has reached a significant support zone, marked by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 0.89950 level, a logical target based on the recent market structure.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
CORN at Key Resistance: Will Sellers Push Toward 4.4950?PEPPERSTONE:CORN has reached a significant supply zone, marked by historical price rejections and strong selling pressure. This zone has acted as resistance, suggesting the potential for a bearish reversal if sellers regain control.
The current market structure indicates that if the price confirms rejection at this supply zone, we could see a move downward toward the 4.4950 level, which aligns with the broader bearish trend.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or strong rejections at this resistance zone, before considering short positions.
FRA40 Trending Higher – Bullish Continuation Toward 8,445PEPPERSTONE:FRA40 is currently trading within an ascending channel, indicating a strong bullish structure. The price has broken above a key resistance zone and has now pulled back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward the 8,445 level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have! 🚀
STOXX50: Maintains Bullish Momentum - Is 5,688 the Next Target?ICMARKETS:STOXX50 remains within a well-defined ascending channel, with the price showing a rebound from the midline of the channel. This suggests a continuation of the uptrend, targeting the upper channel boundary.
A short-term pullback could offer a potential entry opportunity. If buyers step in and confirm strength through candlestick patterns like bullish engulfing or hammer formations, momentum could drive price higher toward the 5,688 level.
A breakdown below the channel's lower boundary, however, would invalidate the bullish outlook and signal a potential shift in market direction.
Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
DE40 in a Strong Uptrend - Will Buyers Push Toward 24,000?CAPITALCOM:DE40 is currently trading within an ascending channel, indicating a strong bullish structure. The price has broken above a key resistance zone and may now pull back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward the 24,000 level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have! 🚀
EURNZD – Bullish Continuation Toward 1.86640OANDA:EURNZD is currently trading within an ascending channel, maintaining a strong bullish momentum. The price has broken above a key resistance zone and may now be pulling back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward 1.86640, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have! 🚀📈
USDJPY - Bullish Continuation in Play?OANDA:USDJPY currently trading within an ascending channel, indicating a prevailing bullish trend. The pair has broken above a key resistance zone and may now pull back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward the 151.700 level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have! 🚀