Gold continues rally from 2650?Dear traders, Tom here!
Spot gold hit a near two-week high in the Asian session as the worsening Russia-Ukraine conflict benefited traditional safe-haven assets. The weekly uptrend appears to be unaffected by bets for a less aggressive Fed easing, continued USD buying and the prevailing risk-on environment. At the time of writing, gold is hovering around $2,683 and up 0.51% on the day.
Technically, gold confirms bullishness, we are watching the resistance zone ahead after a false break of 2,686, a break would be bullish while a hold would be bearish. But in any case, the preference remains on the buyers, as interest in the metal as a hedge has returned.
Medium-term target could be 2,710-2,750
Signals
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Nov 25 - Nov 29]Last week, gold prices continuously recovered from 2,564 USD/oz to 2,716 USD/oz.
The reason why gold prices increased sharply this week is because investors are concerned that the war between Russia and Ukraine will take a more serious turn when President Biden allows Ukraine to use long-range ATACMS missiles to fire into Russian territory to in response to Russia's deployment of North Korean troops in the Russia-Ukraine war. Besides, Mr. Biden seems to want to make his mark in the Russia-Ukraine war when he only has about 2 months left in power before handing it over to Mr. Donald Trump. In addition, according to many experts, this move by Mr. Biden may complicate the war between Russia and Ukraine, making it difficult for Mr. Donald Trump to end the hostilities as easily as he announced during the campaign. elect US President...
Perhaps most alarming is the nuclear doctrine that Russia emphasizes. It considers any attack by a non-nuclear country supported by a nuclear power to be a joint attack. This means that Ukraine's use of ATACMS missiles also means that the US is directly involved in attacking Russia, making the war between Russia and Ukraine no longer a war between these two countries, but could potentially lead to a world war. War III.
However, according to many experts, the US may only provide a limited number of missiles to Ukraine, fearing the dire consequences of this move. Therefore, the war between Russia and Ukraine is unlikely to drag many other countries, especially NATO member countries, into the war. Furthermore, with only 2 months left until Mr. Trump takes office as President of the United States, the war between Russia and Ukraine will soon subside.
The need for refuge in gold may continue to increase in the short term as Russia and the US are still taking tough stances in the Russia-Ukraine war. Therefore, next week's gold price may continue to rise even higher.
This week, the US announced two important indicators: third quarter GDP and personal consumption expenditure index (PCE) - an important inflation measure of the FED. If Q3 GDP declines and PCE increases, it will be difficult for the FED to resist further reducing interest rates, further supporting the rise in gold prices next week. On the contrary, if GDP increases and PCE decreases, the FED will have more motivation to delay cutting interest rates, causing gold prices next week to be negatively affected.
📌From a technical perspective, on the H4 chart, a head and shoulders pattern is forming, but a few more up/down cycles are needed to confirm. Specifically, if the gold price has a correction phase to around the support level of 2640, then bounces back to break the resistance level of 2711, then it can be expected that the price will continue to maintain its upward momentum above the 2790 threshold. In case of support area If 2600 is broken, it could trigger another sell-off, causing gold prices to fall to around 2500.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,684 – 2,697USD
Resistance: 2,760 – 2,750 – 2,732USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2791 - 2789⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2795
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2639 - 2641⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2635
Alikze »» ENJ | Descending channel - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C bullish scenario - 4H
- In the 4-hour time frame, according to the previous analysis , after the support in the range of 0.1465, it faced demand, which was able to grow to the middle of the channel.
- It faced selling pressure in the middle of the channel, which led to a zigzag correction to the 0.122 range.
- It is currently moving in a descending channel, which is at the ceiling of the channel and there is also a supply zone.
- Therefore, in case of selling pressure, it can face support in the specified limits or green box and lead to a price growth up to the specified supply area.
💎 In addition, it should be noted that if the green box is broken, the bullish scenario is validated and can have another corrective leg.
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support.
Best Regards,❤️
Alikze.
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
BINANCE:ENJUSDT
GBP-CAD Swing Long Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CAD is making a strong
Bearish correction and the pair
Is already locally oversold
So after it hits a horizontal
Support level of 1.7300
A bullish rebound is
To be expected
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Alikze »» COMP | Ascending channel - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 1W
- It is moving in an upward channel in the weekly time frame.
- According to the correction of the previous wave as 0.38 Fibo, demand is encountered in the area of the bottom of the ascending channel and an ascending candlestick is observed in the area of the bottom of the channel.
- Currently, in the weekly time frame with the buying pressure candle, the dynamic trigger is broken and it can continue its growth with demand in the range of the green box of the next wave at least up to the ceiling of the growth channel.
💎In addition, in case of failure of the first channel, the upward wave can continue to grow up to the specified supply area.
⚠️ Note: If the candle closes below the Fibo 38 range, there will be more possibility of correction and the continuation of the bullish scenario will be invalidated and should be checked and updated again.⚠️
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support.
Best Regards,❤️
Alikze.
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
BINANCE:COMPUSDT
EURUSD ---> Correction is getting stronger. Next is 1.040CAPITALCOM:EURUSD testing a key support level after a free fall. Short sellers continue to resist, relying on key fundamental aspects of the global economy.
The US Dollar strengthened following the release of last week’s Initial Jobless Claims data. Specifically:
US Initial Jobless Claims fell to 213,000 for the week ending November 15th, down from 219,000 (revised from 217,000) in the previous week and below the forecast of 220,000. This development has sparked speculation that the Federal Reserve's pace of rate cuts may slow down.
Attention now shifts to the Manufacturing and Services PMI from the Eurozone, Germany, and the United States...
Technically, EURUSD confirms the descending trend channel, providing us with a primary trend to monitor in our trading decisions. From a technical perspective, gold is attempting to break out of its main range, breaching a key support level. If there is a false breakout around the 1.047 level, a minor correction toward resistance may form. However, with the price testing strong support, we may see a false breakout and a corrective move to the areas to watch at 1.048-1.049 (0.618 fib line) before the downtrend continues.
US100 Is Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for US100.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 20,793.1.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 21,500.9 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NZDUSD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.582.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.578.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EUR-USD Strong Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Broke the key horizontal
Level of 1.0450 and the
Breakout is confirmed
Which reinforces our
Bearish bias and makes
Us expect a further
Bearish continuation
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!