Gold price increased sharply, reaching 2650 USDGold prices made an impressive reversal today, rising more than $25 to $2,635, after six consecutive sessions in the red. The recovery came on Thursday, as investors began to adjust their strategies based on a series of important economic data from the US.
The CPI report showed signs of cooling inflation, while employment data reflected a weakening labor market. These signals have reinforced the belief that the Fed is on the right track in adjusting monetary policy. This is the factor that helped gold prices rebound, as investors saw a less tense economic environment, supporting safe havens like gold.
With positive signals from the economy and confidence in the Fed's policies, gold is returning to an upward trend, opening up attractive opportunities for investors.
Signals
Update latest gold price today.Gold prices continued to rise slightly on Tuesday as Treasury yields eased, while investors cautiously awaited more data for fresh clues on the Federal Reserve's easing cycle. The 10-year yield fell as the day's report showed a slowdown in manufacturing activity in New York state.
Accordingly, bond yields are putting slight pressure on gold. However, the advantage is still tilted towards a sideways or higher scenario for gold in the short term, assuming that both bond yields and the USD will decline.
In the current environment, I appreciate the surprising strength of this precious metal. Gold has not succumbed to the strength of the USD and Treasury yields, and the rally continues to be simmering.
GBPUSD Ben hello everyone!
On the 1-hour chart, the downtrend continues. After losing momentum from 1.306, GBPUSD has continued to decline. With the market looking unfavorable and the Fed’s interest rate cut policy unclear, GU has lost value.
The next target for the next decline is seen at 1.2950, which is a strong psychological barrier. However, the possibility of a rebound cannot be ruled out if the bulls manage to push the price up from 1.2980 as mentioned on the chart.
EURUSD continues downtrend below 1.0900Dear Friends,
You may be wondering why the price has fallen so sharply.
In international market news:
- The US Dollar (USD) continued to appreciate, albeit modestly, encouraging the US Dollar Index (DXY) to maintain multi-week highs above 103.00.
- Supporting the greenback's rally in recent weeks were the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on September 18. The minutes showed that a "majority" of policymakers favored easing monetary policy with a 50 basis point cut, but did not commit the Federal Reserve to a specific timeline for future cuts.
Results:
- As both the Fed and the ECB consider additional interest rate moves, the EUR/USD outlook will depend on macroeconomic trends. The US economy is expected to outperform the Eurozone, potentially boosting the USD further.
On technical analysis and gold price forecast for the coming period:
- EURUSD has broken above the support level at 1.0892 and the price volume is below both the 34-day and 89-day exponential moving averages (EMA), suggesting a higher possibility of further declines.
- Currently, EURUSD is trading near the resistance level of 1.0892, with immediate support at 1.0850.
GBPUSD's decline has not stopped yetHello everyone, Conan!
Today, the GBPUSD pair is maintaining a mild negative trend, trading at around 1.0544. After losing momentum from 1.3000, GBPUSD has continued to decline. The pair could continue to decline in the coming period, as the market reassesses the Bank of England (BoE) policy outlook following weak inflation data.
The current support level is set at 1.2976, significant stops will accumulate below this figure and if triggered, the decline could accelerate towards 1.2950.
EURUSD extends gains above 1.0850Conan, hello everyone!
Currently, EURUSD is taking advantage of the upside opportunity from the strong support at 1.0852. It can be seen that the pair is cooling down and gradually opening up more upside opportunities.
It is clear that EUR/USD is on a tear, falling to a multi-week low as the Euro continues to weaken ahead of the upcoming European Central Bank interest rate meeting on Thursday. However, the widely expected ECB rate cut of a quarter of a percentage point, or 25 bps, has eased some of the pressure on the pair.
The price is currently trading around the 1.0862-1.0860 range and remains dependent on the price momentum of the US Dollar (USD).
Resistance: 1.0876, 1.0905
Support: 1.0852, 1.0858
XAU continues to rise due to tensions in the middle eastIn the Middle East, tensions continue to escalate and could spread after the US announced it would send troops and advanced anti-missile systems to Israel to protect its ally. Earlier, Israel's air defense system was hit by a supersonic missile from Iran and a military base was attacked by drones from Hezbollah.
Gold price update: Price exceeds 2665 USDHello everyone!
As Conan predicted earlier, gold did indeed take advantage of the $2,665 support level and broke above the nearest resistance level of $2,770. As a result, gold rallied and hit an earlier high of $2,685 before quickly correcting slightly but still maintaining its best uptrend in 2024.
Currently, according to CME's FedWatch tool, traders are pricing in a 96% chance of a further 25 basis point cut in US interest rates at its November policy meeting.
In addition, experts predict that the ECB is likely to cut rates again at its October 17 meeting. Likewise, expectations for a BoE rate cut at its meeting next month are gradually increasing as domestic inflation shows signs of slowing.
GOLD Potential Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a
Strong uptrend but the
Price has already hit a
Horizontal resistance
Of 2685$ and we are
Already seeing a local
Bearish reaction so we
Will be expecting a
Further local move down
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
DXY: Market Is Looking Up! Buy!
Welcome to our daily DXY prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 103.601
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Sell!
Welcome to our daily EURUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 1.08559
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
SILVER: Local Correction Ahead! Buy!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 32.05657$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
GOLD: Strong Bearish Bias! Sell!
Welcome to our daily GOLD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 2,661.469$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
GOLD reaches price increase target, outlook remains positiveUS inflation data reinforces the prospect of an interest rate cut next month. Gold prices rose more than 1% in the weekend's trading session, while safe-haven demand triggered by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
The U.S. Department of Labor reported Friday that the Producer Price Index (PPI), a measure of wholesale prices, was unchanged in September, suggesting the inflation outlook remains favorable and supporting the view that the U.S. Department of Labor The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again next month.
The report showed that US PPI increased 0% month-on-month in September, lower than the expected 0.1%, the previous value was a 0.20% increase.
Commerzbank reported that gold ETF holdings increased by nearly 95 tons in the third quarter, meaning ETFs once again contributed positively to gold demand for the first time in 10 quarters.
This week, the market will focus on US retail sales data to determine whether consumer spending will continue to be strong.
In addition, the European Central Bank's monetary policy decisions are also the focus of market attention. Traders will need to keep an eye on (Empire State Manufacturing Survey; US Weekly Jobless Claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey, as well as data on building permits and construction starts US housing on Friday.)
In summary, although the gold market may experience volatility in the short term, in the long term, the safe haven asset gold is still the main factor supporting price increases.
Including the recent reduction of interest rates by the Federal Reserve, attracting investors to choose gold as a haven, combined with the widespread war in the Middle East, has further boosted gold prices, because gold is considered an investment channel. safety, especially during difficult times. geopolitical conflict.
Going back a bit in history, in 1979, during the Soviet conflict in Afghanistan, the value of gold more than doubled during that period.
If Israel carries out retaliatory attacks against Iran, the gold price has absolutely enough basis to continue to surge even stronger. Previously, on October 1, Tehran fired about 180 missiles at Israel in retaliation for Israel's killing of Hamas and Hezbollah leaders.
Economic data to watch next week
Tuesday: Empire State Manufacturing Survey
Thursday: European Central Bank monetary policy decision, US retail sales, US weekly jobless claims: Philly Fed manufacturing survey.
Friday: Housing construction starts and construction permits in the United States
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
During the weekend trading session, gold achieved the target increase in the weekly issue sent to readers last week and the upward momentum was temporarily limited by the technical level of 2,660 USD.
If gold breaks above 2,660 USD, it will be eligible to continue to increase in price with the next target level after that at about 2,672 USD, more than 2,685 USD. Breaking the $2,660 level means that the price channel is also broken, while the Relative Strength Index pointing up with a significant slope reinforces the expectation of strong price increases in the near future.
As long as gold remains within the price channel and above the EMA21, the bullish outlook and the technical structure for the uptrend are unchanged, pullbacks should still only be considered short-term technical corrections.
In the coming time, the main prospective trend of gold is price increase and notable levels will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,634 – 2,630USD
Resistance: 2,660 – 2,672 – 2,685USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2690
→Take Profit 1 2679
↨
→Take Profit 2 2674
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2627 - 2629⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2623
→Take Profit 1 2634
↨
→Take Profit 2 2639
News that the Middle East cools down brings GOLDOANDA:XAUUSD adjusted downward again in the short term after recovering and achieving the upside price target around the technical point of 2,660USD on yesterday's trading day.
The Washington Post reported on Monday that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the Biden administration that he is ready to attack Iran's military facilities, but not its oil or nuclear facilities.
This can be seen as a sign of Israel's restraint in retaliating against Iran's missile attacks.
According to a report by "Jerusalem Post", sources revealed that Iran has contacted Israel through secret channels, saying that as long as Israel's response is limited, Iran will consider this round of conflict to have ended. .
These two pieces of news eased external concerns about the situation in the Middle East, thereby reducing the appeal of the safe-haven asset gold and causing the upward momentum to slow down, creating downward corrections in the future. short term.
Next, traders will need to monitor comments from Federal Reserve officials this week for further hints of an impending rate cut, as well as U.S. retail sales data.
The market still sees an 88.1% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its November meeting. Since gold does not earn interest, lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold .
However, gold will react more strongly to "future" orientations. Therefore, it is possible that even if the Fed cuts another 25bps, it will not react strongly but will be influenced by Fed officials' comments on future direction, especially Jerome Powell.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold's recovery was limited after hitting target gains at $2,660. The area around the technical point of 2,660 USD has created pressure causing gold to correct downwards but it is also receiving support from the 2,634 – 2,630 USD area. Note to readers in the previous issue. Along with that, gold is also receiving support from the position of the EMA21.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, the main uptrend remains unchanged and the EMA21 level will still serve as the closest support for the uptrend.
Once gold breaks above $2,660 it will tend to continue rising with a subsequent target of around $2,672. The $2,660 – $2,672 levels form an area of resistance in the short term.
During the day, the technical outlook for gold remains bullish and notable levels are listed below.
Support: 2,634 – 2,630USD
Resistance: 2,660 – 2,672 – 2,685USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2690
→Take Profit 1 2679
↨
→Take Profit 2 2674
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2627 - 2629⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2623
→Take Profit 1 2634
↨
→Take Profit 2 2639
GOLD hits upside targets, temporarily capped by $2,672OANDA:XAUUSD continues to get stronger, reaching the short-term target level at 2,660USD and aiming for the next target levels at 2,672 - 2,685USD. Boosted by falling US Treasury yields, investors cautiously await more data that could provide a fresh assessment of the Federal Reserve's monetary easing cycle.
According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders now see about a 95.5% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in November.
Market attention will be focused on US retail sales data, industrial production data and weekly jobless claims data due out later this week.
Gold prices have risen more than 29% year-to-date, with optimism about interest rate cuts fueling recent gains. Gold prices are also supported by strong purchasing power from central banks and safe-haven demand amid ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.
The latest news from Israel, two Israeli officials said on October 15 local time that although Israel's attack on Iran is not expected to target nuclear facilities and oil facilities, it could including missile and drone launchers, Iranian warehouses and factories, military bases, government buildings and other targets.
Iran on October 1 launched a large number of ballistic missiles into Israel, attacking Israeli military and security targets in response to a series of previous Israeli attacks and assassinations.
In security consultations involving Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, Defense Minister Galante and other ministers, a comprehensive agreement was reached on the course of action against Iran, timing and intensity a response is possible, but the details still require final Cabinet approval before the action can be taken.
Gold itself does not generate interest, but it has the potential to increase in price during times of geopolitical and economic instability.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has recovered and increased to achieve most short-term targets from 2,660 USD to close to the 2,672 USD area.
Temporarily, technically, the gold price is still limited by the level of 2,672 USD. However, maintaining above 2,660 USD will be a positive condition in the short term for the possibility of a technical price increase in the near future.
Once gold breaks $2,672 it will be on track to continue rising more with a target then around $2,685 or so making new all-time highs.
The relative strength index (RSI) is pointing up from 50 and is still far from the overbought level, showing that there is still room for price growth in terms of momentum.
As long as gold remains within the channel and above the EMA21, it still has a bullish technical outlook, and notable intraday levels are listed below.
Support: 2,660 – 2,643USD
Resistance: 2,672 – 2,685USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2690
→Take Profit 1 2679
↨
→Take Profit 2 2674
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2642 - 2644⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2638
→Take Profit 1 2649
↨
→Take Profit 2 2654