Signals
BITCOIN Is it owed a parabolic rally based on the GoldBTC ratio?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading on a highly structured manner within a Channel Up for the entirety of its Bull Cycle since the November 2022 bottom. We've discussed before how this is the smoothest Cycle of all.
What we didn't bring into the mix before was the Gold/BTC ratio (black trend-line), naturally negatively correlated to Bitcoin, which has been trading within a Channel Down since its January 2023 Top. As you can see it posts the same pattern on every Cycle: Channel Down (blue), followed by its bearish break-out and a huge drop (red ellipse) that prices the Bull Cycle Top on BTC.
So far every BTC Cycle had its parabolic rally (green ellipse) when the Gold/BTC ratio broke downwards. Does the market owe one this time also? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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GBP-NZD Potential Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD is making a local
Bullish move upwards and the
Pair will soon hit a horizontal
Resistance of 2.2620 and after
The retest a local bearish
Correction is to be expected
Sell!
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Why GBPJPY IS BULLISH ?? DETAILED TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALS GBPJPY is currently trading at approximately 195.000, having achieved a substantial gain of over 300 pips. Technical analysis suggests that the pair is poised for further upward movement, with a target price of 199.000, indicating the potential for an additional 400 pips gain. This bullish momentum is supported by the pair's recent breakout from a consolidation phase, signaling strong buying interest.
Fundamentally, the British pound has demonstrated resilience, bolstered by stable economic indicators and a proactive monetary policy stance from the Bank of England. Conversely, the Japanese yen has experienced depreciation, influenced by the Bank of Japan's commitment to maintaining ultra-loose monetary policies. This divergence in central bank policies has widened the interest rate differential between the two currencies, favoring a stronger pound against the yen.
Technical indicators further reinforce the bullish outlook for GBP/JPY. The pair has been trading above key moving averages, with oscillators indicating strong upward momentum. The recent breakout above the 193.000 resistance level has opened the path toward the 199.000 target. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in bullish territory, suggesting that the current uptrend has room to continue
Traders should monitor key resistance levels closely, as a sustained move above 195.000 could confirm the continuation of the bullish trend toward 199.000. Implementing robust risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, is essential to navigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in effectively capitalizing on this trading opportunity.
NATURAL GAS Channel Up getting ready for the next Leg to 6.600Natural Gas (NG1!) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 27 2024 Low and right now it is consolidating on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
The last Higher Low was priced on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which isn't far of, actually it sits at the bottom of the Channel Up. Given the strong symmetry on the Channel's initial Bullish Legs (+61.23%), we expect the new rally that is about to start to also reach the 1.618 - 1.786 Fibonacci extension Zone as the previous.
As a result, we see NG at a minimum of 6.600 by June - July.
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AUDJPY This Golden Cross is the signal for selling.The AUDJPY pair gave us last time (February 19, see chart below) an excellent sell signal that easily hit our 93.750 Target and bottom of the Bearish Megaphone:
The market is about to complete a 4H Golden Cross and last time it did (January 07 2025), it formed a Top. That was also after a Channel Up that started following an almost -6% decline. Notice how the 1D RSI patterns among the two fractals are similar.
The bearish sequence that followed the previous 4H Golden Cross hit the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we expect to see 91.000 by May.
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Lingrid | GOLD soars to NEW All-Time High LEVELSThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target level. OANDA:XAUUSD broke above last week's high and is currently testing the resistance level at 3080. After such a surge, it seems prudent to wait for a potential pullback. With the prevailing bullish momentum, the market may continue to rise towards the next resistance levels or move sideways untile next week. If a pullback occurs, it may provide an opportunity to go long from the previous resistance zone that has now become support. Given the upcoming high-impact news, the market might form a range or pull back toward support. Overall I expect a rebound from the support level around 3050, leading back toward all-time high levels. My goal is resistance zone around 3085
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ETHEREUM Ascending Triangle bottomed and is targeting $4700.Ethereum (ETHUSD) hit 2 weeks ago the bottom (Higher Lows Zone) of its 4-year Ascending Triangle pattern, following the recent 3-month correction. That correction has technically been the pattern's Bearish Leg and during those 4 years we've had another 5 similar to this, all with the exception of one, producing a Higher High.
This is actually more similar to the October 09 2023 and June 21 2021 bottoms, so at worst we should get a +168.44% rally from here that will interestingly enough test the Triangle's top (Resistance Zone) a $4700.
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Lingrid | GBPAUD anticipating POTENTIAL Consolidation-ExpansionFX:GBPAUD market continues to oscillate between the resistance and support levels of 2.0300 and 2.0600. It has broken and closed above the downward trendline and the highs from the last two days. With a bullish outlook on the daily timeframe, we anticipate a classic consolidation expansion move. If the price holds above the support level and trendline, we can expect a retest of at least last week's high and potentially further bullish moves. My goal is resistance zone around 2.06490
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GOLD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,076.15.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,102.53 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDJPY Will Go Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 150.395.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 149.580 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GBPUSD Will Go Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.295.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.287 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBPNZD Will Move Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPNZD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 2.263.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 2.229 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Lingrid | TONUSDT Potential BULLISH Momentum in the MarketOKX:TONUSDT market continues to rise following a period of consolidation, testing the significant psychological level of 4.00. It may pull back toward the support level and the upward trendline, but since it has broken and closed above the consolidation zone—which typically serves as both support and resistance. I think the price may bounce back and move higher if the market retests this area. Additionally, on the daily timeframe, the formation of a bullish engulfing candle indicates strong bullish pressure. I anticipate that the price will continue to push higher towards the resistance zone between 4.50 and 4.80. My goal is to resistance zone zone around 4.40
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EurUsd- The "big" move is down, not upLast week, TRADENATION:EURUSD reached a high of around 1.09 and has been consolidating ever since, now for the fifth consecutive trading day. Despite some weak upward spikes, the pair remains in a range-bound phase.
From a technical perspective, multiple resistance levels lie ahead, with the psychological 1.10 mark acting as a key barrier. Given the current price action, I believe this consolidation is more likely to result in a downside breakout rather than a continuation of the uptrend.
There is a strong possibility that EUR/USD will correct the impressive rally that began in early March.
With this outlook in mind, I see more downside potential than upside and I am considering selling into rallies, targeting a move toward 1.07.
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Lingrid | GOLD Continues to CONSOLIDATE above the 3000 level Yesterday, OANDA:XAUUSD price moved higher, briefly taking liquidity above the previous day's high at 3035 before pulling back to consolidate. This resembles the price action we observed at the beginning of the month when the price consolidated around the 2900 level, tested the bottom of the consolidation, made a false break, and then moved to higher levels. Given that the price has tested the bottom of the current consolidation zone twice, I anticipate a similar scenario may unfold, where the price could retest the area below the psychological level once more before climbing higher, particularly if a false break occurs. My goal is the resistance zone around 3060
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Nasdaq100 Update: Another Leg Down Likely After Recent Reversal?For quite some time, I have been highlighting the possibility of a strong correction in the Nasdaq 100 ( TRADENATION:USTEC ), with the 17,500 level remaining a realistic downside target.
In my more recent analyses, I argued that while a reversal from the 19,100 support zone was likely, it was merely a dead cat bounce , and the index could decline further from the 20,300-20,500 resistance zone. The lower boundary of this range was tested, and as expected, the index has started to fall again.
Although a temporary rally above 20,000 cannot be ruled out, my overall outlook remains unchanged—I still anticipate another leg down.
In conclusion, selling into rallies continues to be my preferred strategy, with 17,500 as the medium-term target.
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Gold update 4H 28.03.2025Technical Overview
Gold has broken out of a bullish pennant, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. XAU/USD is currently testing resistance around $3,087. A successful breakout could push prices toward $3,108–$3,138 (0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels).
Key Levels:
Support: $3,066 | $3,040
Resistance: $3,087 | $3,108 | $3,138
Indicators:
The oscillator shows overbought conditions, suggesting a possible short-term pullback.
A retest of $3,066 could provide a support zone for continuation.
Fundamental Factors
Fed interest rate decisions and inflation data will impact gold.
Market uncertainty continues to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish: A strong breakout above $3,087 could lead to a rally toward $3,108 and $3,138.
Bearish: Failure to hold above $3,087 may trigger a pullback toward $3,066 and $3,040.
A breakout above $3,087 could open the path toward $3,108–$3,138.
Gold Recovers After Dip – Is a New ATH Next?After reaching its recent all-time high exactly one week ago, Gold began a correction, dropping to $3,000, where buyers stepped in. This led to a recovery, pushing the price above a key resistance zone at $3,025–$3,030.
At the time of writing, the price is sitting at the upper boundary of this support zone. If it stabilizes above this level, a new ATH could be on the horizon.
I remain bullish as long as the daily close stays above this zone.
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GOLD breaks and refreshes All-Time High, on PCE Data dayOn Friday (March 28) in the Asian trading session, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD unexpectedly accelerated and the gold price surpassed the level of 3,077 USD / ounce, up more than 20 USD on the day.
The threat of additional tariffs by US President Trump has affected the USD. Gold still maintains a positive growth momentum and is expected to reach a new record high.
The spot OANDA:XAUUSD closed up 37.50 USD on Thursday as new auto tariffs announced by President Donald Trump have increased trade tensions around the world and sent stock markets plunging, sending investors fleeing for safe-haven assets.
Gold traders will focus on U.S. PCE inflation data on Friday to gauge the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting path.
Markets will now focus on upcoming U.S. economic data. On Friday, the U.S. will release data on the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index for February, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge.
The U.S. core PCE price index is expected to have risen 2.7% year-on-year in February, up slightly from 2.6% in January.
“A mild PCE inflation reading could reinforce the Fed’s dovish stance and maintain support for gold”
Gold is traditionally seen as a safe haven from economic and political uncertainty and tends to perform well in low-interest-rate environments.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Continuing to rise, gold reached all the target levels sent to readers in the weekly publication and also broke these levels. With the current position, gold is expected to continue to rise with the next target at the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level.
The RSI is upright moving back to the 80 area, showing surprisingly strong buying momentum without any signs of weakening in the oversold area.
In the short term, the confluence of the upper edge of the price channel with the 0.50% Fibonacci extension will be the most important position to watch, as it acts as an expected resistance for a slight correction when the RSI enters the overbought zone. However, once gold continues to break $3,113, there will be nothing to stop gold from continuing to increase rapidly.
Overall, the overall bullish outlook for gold prices during the day will be focused on the following technical levels.
Support: $3,057 – $3,051
Resistance: $3,086 – $3,100 – $3,113
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3101 - 3099⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3105
→Take Profit 1 3093
↨
→Take Profit 2 3087
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3004 - 3006⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3000
→Take Profit 1 3012
↨
→Take Profit 2 3018
CAD_CHF BEARISH WEDGE PATTERN|SHORT|
✅CAD_CHF made a retest of
The horizontal resistance
Of 0.6213 which makes us
Locally bearish biased and
On top that we are seeing a
Fully formed bearish wedge
Pattern so IF we see a bearish
Breakout from the wedge
Pattern we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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