LTCUSD looking for a break-out to $255.Last time we looked at Litecoin (LTCUSD) was 3.5 months ago (October 10 2024, see chart below) when we gave the most timely buy signal, right before it started the strongest rally of its Bull Cycle yet:
Since however the break-out wasn't as aggressive as we initially expected, we have to downgrade our Target. The sequence in terms of 1W RSI is so far similar to the previous Cycles, it's just that the price hasn't responded as aggressively as then.
As you can see, LTC made the expected 1W RSI peak (December 02 2024) and then as the price started to consolidate, it declined, entering a Channel Down. This is no different that the previous RSI Cycle peaks (Dec 28 2020 and May 01 2017).
The difference is that in 2017 the price responded with a huger continuation rally just shy off the 4.0 Fibonacci extension from the consolidation stage, while in 2020 it 'only' managed to reach the 2.5 Fib.
The current pattern appears to have more in common with 2020/21, so we are downgrading our Target to match the current 2.5 Fib at $255.00. It is not impossible to reach $400 by the end of this Cycle (year) but it is best to pursue it only if you can accept elevated risk.
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Signals
Lingrid | SUIUSDT potential Trend REVERSAL. Long from SUPPORTBYBIT:SUIUSDT market retraced to the support level before rebounding, having taken liquidity from below the psychological level of 4.00. This move was also accompanied by a fake breakout of the previous week's low, indicating a potential reversal in sentiment. On the daily timeframe, a clear long-tailed bar formed at the support level, signaling rejection and a bullish sign. Looking left, we can see that the price has bounced off this support level twice before highlighting it as an area of interest. I anticipate that the price will continue to rise from this area. My goal is resistance zone around 4.60
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Lingrid | GOLD complex PULLBACK in Trending MARKETAs I mentioned yesterday, the price has completed an ABCD pullback towards the daily low. The market made a fake breakout of Thursday's low before bouncing off the support level. Given that the market made a complex pullback, there is a chance it may have entered a consolidation phase in anticipation of the upcoming FED rate cut decision. Looking back at the period from November 1 to 5, we can observe a similar pattern where the price moved sideways between 2730 and 2750 before dropping ahead of the Fed's decision. However, considering the current bullish momentum, I believe the market may push higher and potentially test the 2800 level this week. My goal is resistance zone around 2770
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NZD-JPY Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello, Traders!
NZD-JPY is going down
Now and broke the key
Horizontal level of 87.700
Which is now a resistance
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are locally bearish biased
Now and we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
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NZD-CHF Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CHF is trading along
The rising support line and
We are already seeing a
Bullish rebound after the
Retest of the rising support
So we are locally bullish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of GBPJPY at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
NVIDIA hit its 1W MA50 after 2 years! One last rally left?NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) opened significantly lower on Monday following the DeepSeek news on more efficient and lower cost A.I. competition and by doing so, the price hit its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 years, resulting in Tuesday's very strong rebound.
We have to go back to the week of January 23 2023 to see NVDA trading again on the 1W MA50, which became the major Support of the Channel Up pattern that took it off the 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom.
So the question is, does NVIDIA have fuel left in the tank for one more rally? Technically the answer is yes and it can be found on the stock's price action since July 2015. As you can see, the price has gone through 3 similar eras of Bull Cycles through Channel Up patterns and subsequent Bear Cycles of strong corrections that touched the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) before initiating the new Bull.
From the Bear Cycle bottom to the Bull Cycle's top, NVIDIA took around 1100 days (1162 during the 2015 - 2018 Cycle and 1071 during the 2019 - 2021 Cycle). Assuming the current Cycle will be at least as long as the last one (1071 days), the stock's Top is expected to be around September 2015.
It was in fact around this time during the last Cycle (Feb 2021) when NVIDIA touched again its 1W MA50, resulting into a new rally phase, the last one of the Cycle. This historic price action shows that during its last year, the stock always makes a January - Oct/Nov rally. When the 1W MA50 gets hit again, it is when the new Bear Cycle is confirmed.
As a result, based on this data set, we've entered NVIDIA's final rally of the Cycle, assuming of course it doesn't close a candle below the 1W MA50 and also that the 1M RSI recovers its MA trend-line (yellow), which also happened again during its previous Cycle.
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US10Y will turn bullish on its 1D MA50.The U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the September 17 2024 Low and is currently on its Bearish Leg. This is now approaching the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), below which the last Higher Low was priced that initiated the Bullish Leg.
With the 1D RSI approaching the same level as then, this is the ideal level to go long again and target 5.000%, which is just below the October 23 2023 Resistance.
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NAS100USD Will Grow! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 21,546.0.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 21,980.8 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USOIL Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 73.23.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 75.54 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURGBP Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURGBP.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.837.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.839 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPAUD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.994.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.983.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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AUD/JPY Bearish Pennant Breakout and 500+ Pips TargetAUD/JPY represents the Australian Dollar against the Japanese Yen in the forex market. The current price is 96.800, with a target price of 86.000, indicating a strong bearish outlook. The expected price drop suggests a potential gain of 500+ pips if the trade moves as predicted. The analysis is based on the bearish pennant pattern, a continuation pattern signaling potential further downside. The price is currently consolidating within the pennant, awaiting a breakout. A bearish breakout would confirm strong selling pressure, leading to a sharp decline. Traders anticipate a drop toward the 86.000 level once the breakout occurs. This setup aligns with technical analysis, where pennants often lead to significant price movements. If the breakout is confirmed, momentum could accelerate the decline. Risk management is crucial, as false breakouts can occur.
US100 Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for US100.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 21,855.7.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 21,446.9 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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AUD/USD Resistance Rejection and Bearish OutlookAUD/USD represents the Australian Dollar against the US Dollar in the forex market. The current price is 0.62300, with a target price of 0.60000, indicating a bearish outlook. The expected price drop suggests a potential gain of 200+ pips if the trade moves as anticipated. The analysis is based on the support and resistance pattern, a key concept in technical trading. The price has reached a strong resistance level and is facing rejection, signaling selling pressure. A rejection at resistance often indicates a shift in momentum, leading to a possible downward move. Traders anticipate the price to decline toward the next support level at 0.60000. This setup suggests bearish dominance as long as resistance holds. If the price fails to break above resistance, further downside movement is likely. Proper risk management is crucial, as market conditions can change.
DOW JONES close to a rejection. See where to buy & target 47000.Dow Jones (DJI) gave us the most optimal buy entry on our previous call (January 09 2025, see chart below), as we bought right below the 4H MA200, which was the bottom of the 1-year Channel Up, and on minimum risk it hit our 45000 Target:
The price is currently about to break above Resistance 1. As this chart shows, every time a sub-1D MA50 (blue trend-line) rebound broke above a Resistance 1 level, it was only on a marginal note and then corrected back to the 1D MA50.
The two notable examples where August 30 2024 and May 20 2024. After the correction bottomed and the bullish trend was resumed, the rebound that followed reached the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, making a roughly +8.50% rise from the Low.
This indicates that the next Higher High of the Channel Up should be a little over 47000 and that will be our Target after we catch that 1D MA50 pull-back entry.
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Lingrid | CHFJPY short from RESISTANCE zoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It reached the target. The price pulled back to the resistance level after a bearish move, but failed to break above the 172.000 level, forming a false breakout. I think that if the price falls below the trendline, it may retest the recent lower low level. Looking at the daily timeframe, we can see that the price action is forming a large triangle pattern, and it appears to be poised for a downward move. In addition, the price squeeze is likely to lead to a breakout, so I expect the market to move lower. My goal is support zone around 170.000
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WIFUSD targeting $3.00 on this Channel Down bottom signal.Dogwifhat (WIFUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern on the 1W time-frame, which on the greater scale looks like a giant Bull Flag. Regardless of that, the price almost hit the pattern's bottom (Lower Low trend-line) and with the 1W RSI stabilizing like on the August 05 2024 Low, we should now see that start of its technical Bullish Leg.
The previous Bullish Leg reached marginally above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, so our current Target is $3.000.
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