ELI LILLY has at least +50% upside from here.Eli Lilly (LLY) has been trading within a 5-year Channel Up and last week closed below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the week of March 06 2023. Despite the bearish pressure of this Bearish Leg since July 15 2024, that last 1W MA50 closing was the previous Higher Low at the bottom of the Channel Up.
The 1W RSI is on a similar level (just below 40.00) with all previous 4 major bottoms and the common characteristic of all was that the stock broke below the 1W MA50 but managed to keep clear and hold the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), practically the most important Support level of the market.
If you want a confirmed buy entry, you might want to wait for yet another Bullish Cross on the 1W MACD (as it happened on all previous bottoms), otherwise this buy opportunity is good to go for at least +58% from the bottom (minimum rise among those 4 Bullish Legs). Our Target is $1135.
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Signals
EURCHF Channel Down bottoming and giving a buy opportunity.The EURCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern on the 4H time-frame and is on its second Bearish Leg, pressured below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since November 08.
Having hit the 0.236 Channel Fib, the current forming of Lower Lows is similar to the bottom pattern formed on October 01. Even the 4H RSI sequences between the two fractals are identical, both on a Double Bottom that was the signal to buy at that time.
Our Target is 0.93500, still below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (blue), which was broken during the October rebound.
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USDCAD top of Channel Up rejection. Strong sell.The USDCAD pair has been trading within a long-term Channel Up pattern since the July 14 2023 Low and on Monday it hit its top (Higher Highs trend-line) and got rejected. This is a similar peak to November 01 2023, with the 1D RSI turning downwards as well on an early sell signal.
Initially, we expect at least the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) to be tested, so our Target is 1.37300.
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BITCOIN rally cant get caught anymore and SPXRUT ratio shows whyIt's beyond doubt now that Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started the new Parabolic Rally (PR), technically the most aggressive phase of the Bull Cycle. We've made numerous analyses in the past explaining on time why we expected this break-out to take place after 7 months of accumulation.
What we bring to you today is the SPX/RUT ratio, the correlation of the S&P500 (SPX) and Russell 2000 (RUT) indices against BTC and how it confirms that this rally will now accelerate to a pace that it won't be easy to get caught (i.e. bought).
The SPX/RUT ratio is displayed by the blue trend-line. The ratio is particularly helpful during Bitcoin's Parabolic Rally phase as their correlation is mostly a negative one, meaning when the ratio falls, Bitcoin rises. On this chart, this correlation is present on a cyclical basis. This means that during every Cycle, it displays a behavioral pattern that is common.
The key characteristic here is the Lower Highs pattern that the ratio forms every Cycle around the Halving time. As you can see, when SPX/RUT peaks (red circle) and starts forming Lower Highs, Bitcoin stars its Parabolic Rally (green arc). On the 1st Lower High, BTC's rally is already underway and has entered the stage where due to the sheer buying pressure and aggression, getting an entry is difficult. The Lower Highs on SPX/RUT also signify a shift from big capitalization stocks to low, i.e. an increasing appetite for riskier assets and that transcends to the Bitcoin market as well.
So what do you think? Does the SPX/RUT ratio indicate that we've started the part of BTC's rally that is hard to catch? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Going to 102KToday, guys we show you the longest and shortest our charts.
First one is a monthly time frame, and it shows strategical targets, and the nearest one is 102K. Pay attention that price is coming to historical record of overbought level. This combination significantly increases the retracement chances once 102K target will be reached.
Still, on 1H chart BTC accurately completed our 98K target - butterfly and 3-Drive patterns.
Although downside retracement here is also possible, thus minimal butterfly target is 3/8 pullback to 96.50K area.
But we do not expect that retracement will become more extended. The attractiveness and magic of 100K level strongly acts on the minds of investors, so by all efforts BTC will tend to touch 100K area
GBPUSD: False Resistance Break Could Add to DeclineFX:GBPUSD Back to the liquidity test above after the free fall. The pair lacks bullish conviction amid a stable US dollar and as investors choose to wait for the Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Report Hearing before placing strong bets.
A clear bearish wave is forming on the larger timeframe, on the smaller timeframe the downtrend is formed based on negative fundamentals, which only strengthened after Trump's victory. Therefore, any strong resistance can easily hold the market.
On H4, it is trying to break out of the main range, breaking the main support level. A consolidation is forming inside the channel, if sellers hold the 1.269 - 1.277 zone, we can expect a decline towards the areas of interest in the medium term.
Resistance: 1.282 - 1.277 and 1.269
Support: 1.259 - 1.247 and 1.231
The focus is on the resistance level mentioned above, as the further struggle and movement of the market depends on this important zone at this point. The bearish structure will be broken when the local high at 1.282 i.e. (0.5 fib) is broken and the price consolidates above this zone.
EURUSD : Realization continues, risks increase!Dear traders,
EURUSD is currently in a bearish "flag" phase this Friday morning in Europe, influenced by risk-off flows stemming from escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and concerns over potential U.S. tariffs on the EU... Now, there is nothing stopping it from further distribution.
Key news is on the horizon that traders should approach with caution. A Fed rate cut. And the question is no longer "when" but "how much" the Fed will cut amid persistently high inflation over the past few months.
From a technical perspective, the focus is on resistance levels at 1.055 and 1.054, which is the (fib 0.618). A gradual retracement and retest will increase the chances of a breakout.
Now, selling pressure on this currency pair is intensifying, prices are entering a risk zone, and buyers are becoming increasingly cautious. We are monitoring the next key downside targets at 1.047-1.044...
Lingrid | TRXUSDT pulled Back after reaching All-Time HighThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target level. BINANCE:TRXUSDT has pulled back toward the support level after forming an all-time high level. The price is currently near a key swap zone, where it has previously bounced multiple times, highlighting its significance. On the weekly timeframe, we can observe a large bullish candle, suggesting that it would be healthy for the price to revisit one-third of the previous week's candle or the psychological level at 0.1900. Nevertheless, I expect the price to pull back slightly before continuing its bullish movement. My goal is resistance zone around 0.2070
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Gold --> Bear Market Heating Up? Resistance AheadOANDA:XAUUSD rising after a false breakout of 2547. Fundamentally, the situation is quite complicated as well as technically...
The metal price is positively affected by the escalating Russia-Ukraine war, making gold more attractive to investors as a safe-haven asset.
In addition, the appeal of gold is reinforced by geopolitical tensions, economic risks and a low interest rate environment. Fed officials are expected to speak this week, thereby providing more details on the US interest rate cut roadmap. Currently, according to traders' predictions, there is a 62% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December... Theoretically, it is still unclear whether gold can maintain its bullish momentum as prices are approaching strong resistance and traders are cautious as they wait for new signals on the Fed's interest rate outlook.
Technically, gold is in the range of 2643 - 2626. Since the opening of the session, the price has increased quite strongly, which increases the possibility of resistance to stop this increase. The situation is complicated by the mixed fundamental backdrop. A false break of 2647 and consolidation below this area will strengthen the selling pressure. But there is a possibility of a retest of 2686 (order block area) before the decline continues. The expected decline will reach the levels of 2547 - 2471 respectively.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with.
Gold- Rebound, Resistance, and Selling OpportunitiesGold remains highly volatile.
After last week's sharp drop of approximately 1,500 pips from top to bottom, the price rebounded significantly this week, recovering around 1,000 pips.
Despite finding a potential bottom at 2,537, the price is expected to encounter strong resistance at 2,680.
I’m considering selling in that resistance zone, targeting a potential decline toward the 2,650 level.
US500 Will Go Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for US500.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 5,902.9.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 6,123.9 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USOIL Will Go Down! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 69.181.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 63.975.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDCAD Will Move Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.396.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.403 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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EURAUD Is Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURAUD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.619.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.625 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Alikze »» BITC | Ascending channel - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 4H
- Bitcoin has already touched the supply range according to the analysis presented in the daily target time frame.
- In the 4H time frame, it is moving in an ascending channel, which has managed to register an ascending candle in the supply area in the 4-hour time frame.
- In case of failure of the supply zone, the specified movement path can touch the $100,000 targets of 106,250 and 112,500.
NEXT TARGET:
🎯 100.000$
🎯106250 $
🎯112500$
SUPPORT LVL
💹 75000$
💎 In addition, if the sales pressure increases in the supply area, an alternative scenario can be realized.
⚠️ In the alternative scenario, with selling pressure in the supply area by entering the second pullback channel, it can continue to correct until the bottom of the second channel and Fibo 1.618, the range of $75,000.⚠️
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
EURUSD: Consolidation “flag”. Willingness to go belowBen, hello everyone!
CAPITALCOM:EURUSD is consolidating in the form of a "flag", the purpose is to accumulate before continuing the trend... The fundamental context remains negative.
On D1, when looking closely at the 4-hour chart, it is clear that the price is maintaining a decline below 1.0600. There is no reaction to push the price higher. Therefore, in the short term, the momentum and strength of buyers are not expected to be enough to reverse the local situation.
Looking ahead, as long as the dollar continues to consolidate, the euro will theoretically be hit hard...
In particular, the focus is on the consolidating "flag". Breaking this channel, the downtrend will continue.
Ben personally appreciates trading in the direction of the current trend, if there is a clear move, that is, expecting the price to break out and consolidate below the 1.052 area, aiming for a lower target in the short term. The focus is still on the 1.060 level and around the resistance at 1.065.
Ukraine is dangerous, GOLD receives support from risksOn Wednesday (November 20) on the Asian market, spot gold continued to increase in the short term. Gold price has just retested the mark of 2,640 USD/ounce, increasing sharply to reach nearly 10 USD during the day.
Growing concerns about the Russia-Ukraine crisis have caused gold prices to rise further. It is worth noting that geopolitical tensions flared up again due to information that the Biden administration authorized Ukraine to use US-made weapons to attack Russian territory last weekend.
Geopolitical tensions, economic risks and a low interest rate environment have enhanced the appeal of gold.
Bloomberg of the US commented that as the conflict entered its 1,000th day, Ukraine used its newly acquired long-range missile capabilities to attack a military base on Russian territory.
Moscow has warned against such actions and stepped up threats of nuclear responses to conventional attacks.
Russia's war in Ukraine has entered a dangerous new chapter
On Tuesday local time, Ukrainian forces used the US Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) for the first time to attack a facility in Russia's Bryansk Oblast.
The Russian Ministry of Defense confirmed that Ukraine used missiles from the US military's Tactical Missile System to attack Russia and that Russia's anti-missile system shot down 5 out of 6 missiles.
On Tuesday local time, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree approving a new version of Russia's basic national policy on nuclear deterrence, which took effect from the date of signing.
The new version of the policy expands the range of countries and military alliances with which Russia can exercise nuclear deterrence, and proposes to consider "aggression against Russia by any non-nuclear state with the participation or support of nuclear states" is a "joint attack". against Russia. (Directly aimed at America)
Bloomberg noted that two developments on Tuesday worried investors, causing investors to rush into safe-haven assets, especially gold.
On the daily chart, gold tested the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level at $2,640, which is an important technical point for the downtrend that readers should pay attention to through the price channel.
Currently, gold still has conditions to decrease in price with the main trend from the price channel and the main pressure from EMA21 still maintained. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index is also creating a curve as it approaches the 50 level, which shows that buying is slowing down.
Technically, gold still has a more bearish outlook. However, if it breaks the price channel and rises above the EMA21 level, a new uptrend could open.
During the day, the bearish technical outlook still prevails and the notable points are listed below.
Support: 2,605 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,640 – 2,668USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2653 - 2651⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2657
→Take Profit 1 2646
↨
→Take Profit 2 2641
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2589 - 2591⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2585
→Take Profit 1 2596
↨
→Take Profit 2 2601
Solana: Cup and Handle PatternThe textbook Cup and Handle pattern (black) has formed on the chart.
The price has broken through the Handle, triggering a bullish signal
The target of this pattern is the depth of the "Cup" added to the breakout point.
Therefore, the SOL/USDT price is heading towards $412.